> I'm 47 and in good health
>
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> hand, if the PSA is <2, then testing can be done every two years
> instead of annually.
In your case, you don't have evidence yet of a consistent rise over 0.75
per year for two years. Also, as you suggest below, it is possible
you have some prostatitis. Prostatitis is very common, and is the
mostly likely explanation for a sudden increase in PSA. It also may
appear without any other obvious symptoms. It might be wise to discuss
this with your doctor who might decide to check for prostatits and/or to
order addtional PSA tests further down the line, say in 3 to 6 months.
> I'm also skeptcial about applying these indicators with only three data
> points, since PSAV and DT are statistical models which depend on
> regression techniques.
I think it goes something like this. Men with prostate cancer tend to
have higher PSAV, but of course in any individual man, the actual time
series of values will show considerable variation rather than a smoothly
increasing value. There is experimental error in measuring it, the
fact that other factors such as prostatitis, BPH, and even situmlation
of the prostate can raise the value. So detecting the signal of an
increase in PSAV in the noise can be tricky. In your case, there are
not even three data points since the first two just indicate a constant
value with typical variation. That is why they recommend a clear
progression of 0.75 mg/ml per year over a two year period before
recommending a biopsy. Even so, most such biopsies would come up negative.
But let me note that a more recent study suggests that men with
particularly aggressive PSA were likely to show an increase of more than
2.0 mg/ml in the year before diagonosis. Of course a large increase is
still much more likely to be due to prostatitis than to prosate cancer,
but it still might be grounds for a biopsy.
> What do you think? Am I making too much of this or should I be
> concerned?
You should be concerned enough to discuss it with your doctor. Further
testing seems appropriate, but otherwise I don't think you should start
thinking you have prostate cancer. The odds are still strongly against it.
> I do have on and off slight groin and testicular tenderness/pain, which
> I
> have attributed to exercise but wonder if ot may be a touch of
> prostatitis.
I am not a physician, but I don't think that what you describe is
typical of prostatitis. And it certainly isn't an indication of
prostate cancer.
> Also, I had been taking Wellbutrin for about two months
> when the PSA was taken. An interesting question would be whether
> dopamine agonists raise PSA.
Sorry. I haven't seen anything like that, but I don't really know.
> Any ideas?
>
> Thanks!