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Medical Forum / General / Nutrition / March 2005

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The Great "Mediterranean Diet" Fraud.

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montygram - 17 Mar 2005 23:11 GMT
I've posted scientific papers here before about "Mediterranean Diet"
claims, but this is worth pointing out:

New York's Newsday newspaper, page A34, 3/17/05:

"...in Cyprus... Greece, Malta and Slovakia a higher percentage of men
are obese or overweight than the 67 percent of U.S. men."

In addition, you can go to the World Health Organization's web site and
take a look at some of the cancer rates for Mediterranean nations.
Italy's is really bad, even when compared to the USA.  Some are
slightly better, but if you want a real difference, you need to look at
the countries where highly saturated fatty acids comprise a big part of
the diet (coconut and palm kernel oil), such as Sri Lanka (which also
has a very low heart disease rate).  People in Mediterranean nations,
in general, eat diets higher in antioxidants that Americans, and that
is the likely explanation for lower heart disease rates in some of the
nations (since heart disease is largely due to oxdizied cholesterol,
also known as oxysterols, and not normal cholesterol).
Juhana Harju - 18 Mar 2005 06:30 GMT
:: I've posted scientific papers here before about "Mediterranean Diet"
:: claims, but this is worth pointing out:
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
:: due to oxdizied cholesterol, also known as oxysterols, and not
:: normal cholesterol).

The present day Mediterranean diet differs greatly from the
_traditional_ Mediterranean diet once eaten. In Crete, which was praised
for its diet, the grains where mostly used in unrefined form around 1960
and before. Also the use of red meat was very rare compared to the
present day consumption.

Signature

Juhana

montygram - 19 Mar 2005 04:39 GMT
Where is the basis, then, of this claim.  Is it Ancel Keys' book, Seven
Countries?  If so, according to him, your cholesterol should be between
200 and 220 for optimal life expectancy, but he didn't know about
oxidized cholesterol.  In any case, there was a study of rural Italy in
the 60s, and they concluded that the grains eaters had a much higher
cancer rate.  That might be because they ate less fruit and vegetables
than others.  I would say the biggest difference, though, is the use of
the extremely unhealthy unsaturated oils:  sunflower, canola,
safflower, flax, corn, vegetable, etc.  The evidence demonstrating how
dangerous these oils can be is so overwhelming it's almost funny.  Do a
www.pubmed.com search for lipid peroxidation or oxidative stress and
you'll see what I mean.
Alf Christophersen - 21 Mar 2005 13:13 GMT
>than others.  I would say the biggest difference, though, is the use of
>the extremely unhealthy unsaturated oils:  sunflower, canola,
>safflower, flax, corn, vegetable, etc.  The evidence demonstrating how

Sorry, but the population that did eat canola or olive oil had the
highest life expectancy.

But I tend to agree about your statement about soy oil use which is a
pure omega-6 oil with a proportion of more than 100:1 of
omega-6:omega-3 letting the peroxidation enzymes running wild, by lack
of the strong substrate inhibitor class omega-3 acids. (Omega-3 has a
Km on COX about 10 times less combined with a Vm of about 10 times
less. Low Km means much less is needed to have the enzyme running at
50% Vm. That means, if both is present, omega-3 is preferred
substrate, but form products very slowly compared to arachidonic acid,
and do NOT produce any thromboxane, while PGI-3 is a fully active
substance.

And most lipoxygenase products from EPA are counteractive towards the
products from arachidonic acid, like leukotriene formations etc.(and
also for these enzymes, omega-3 in general bind better than omega-6.
Mirek Fidler - 22 Mar 2005 18:46 GMT
> Sorry, but the population that did eat canola or olive oil had the
> highest life expectancy.

Hm, I wonder where you got data for canola, as it is relatively recent
"invention". There was no canola before 1980. I am not sure that 25
years are enough to make any study of "life expectancy".

BTW, FYI, canola is kind of rapeseed oil with reduced euric acid
content. It is little known, but euric acid is probably one of the most
atherogenic substances known...

Mirek
Alf Christophersen - 23 Mar 2005 15:23 GMT
>BTW, FYI, canola is kind of rapeseed oil with reduced euric acid
>content. It is little known, but euric acid is probably one of the most
>atherogenic substances known...

In carnivores, yes. Are you one??
Mr-Natural-Health - 19 Mar 2005 06:22 GMT
> I've posted scientific papers here before about "Mediterranean Diet"
> claims, but this is worth pointing out:

I rather doubt it, as if you had actually read any of Keys research
papers you would not be making such dumb statements.

Keys recently died at the age of 100.

I have written two web pages that talks about Keys' actual research
data.

Seven Countries Study
http://food.naturalhealthperspective.com/sevencountriesstudy.html
This web page covers the only Mediterranean diet worth eating.

Diet of Southern Italy
http://food.naturalhealthperspective.com/southitaly.html
This web page covers the diet most people assume is the recommended
Mediterranean diet.  But, it is not.
--
john gohde
montygram - 22 Mar 2005 23:51 GMT
I read the entire book, Seven Countries, and he couldn't be clearer.
Cholesterol between 200 and 220 is optimum.  The studies since then
that have been well conducted all say the same.  Go get your
cholesterol down to 120 and see what happens to you.  You will deserve
it for closing your mind.  On my super high saturated fatty acid diet,
my cholesterol is 209, HDL is 63, and LDL is 123.  TGs are low and
glucose is 75.

As to people eating a great deal of canola oil and living long, healthy
lives, I want to see that study.  I've searched pubmed for
"mediterranean diet" and there are foolish abstracts that just make
claims and there are the ones that point out how there is little
evidence for such claims.  Don't be lazy.  Do some research or stop
misleading people.
Juhana Harju - 23 Mar 2005 06:42 GMT
:: I read the entire book, Seven Countries, and he couldn't be clearer.
:: Cholesterol between 200 and 220 is optimum.  The studies since then
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
:: As to people eating a great deal of canola oil and living long,
:: healthy lives, I want to see that study.

Okinawan elders have an average total cholesterol of 170 and a good
total cholesterol:HDL ratio with a diet containing canola oil as the
major source of fat. In addition they have a high intake of
polyunsaturated omega-3 fats. They are a population with one of the
longest life-expectancies in the world.

Signature

Juhana

Juhana Harju - 23 Mar 2005 07:04 GMT
:: montygram wrote:
:::: I read the entire book, Seven Countries, and he couldn't be
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
:: polyunsaturated omega-3 fats. They are a population with one of the
:: longest life-expectancies in the world.

Here is a study.

Suzuki M, Wilcox BJ, Wilcox CD. Implications from and for food cultures
for cardiovascular disease: longevity. Asia Pac J Clin Nutr.
2001;10(2):165-71.

Okinawa Research Center for Longevity Science, Naha.

A healthy cardiovascular system, with minimal arteriosclerosis, good
endothelial function and well-compensated ventricular function has been
observed at advanced ages, and linked to a healthy lifestyle. This has
consisted of a plant-based diet, low in salt and fat, with
monounsaturates as the principal fat. Other healthy lifestyle factors
include regular physical activity (farming and traditional dance) and
minimal tobacco use. The associated negative risk factors are low
homocysteine, healthy cholesterol profile (Total:HDL ratio less than
3.5) and reasonable blood pressures throughout the life cycle.
Hormone-dependent cancers including breast, ovary, prostate and colon
and osteoporotic complications, such as hip fracture rates, are also
less frequent compared to the west. Protective factors may include high
anti-oxidant consumption, mainly flavonoids and carotenoids, through a
high vegetable (e.g., onions) and soy intake. Related biological
observations include low lipid peroxide, high superoxide dismutase
activity and high serum hydroxyproline, a marker of bone formation.
Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) and its hormonal byproducts testosterone
and oestrogen appear to be high in Okinawan serum compared with
age-matched Americans, possibly reflecting a slower age-associated
decline in the sex hormone axis in Okinawans. This may be linked to
better cardiovascular and overall health. Further study is needed to
delineate the reasons behind the impressive cardiovascular and overall
health of the Okinawans. PMID: 11710359

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=11710359


When the Okinawans emigrate to other countries and adopt a western diet
with high in saturated fat, their risk of getting degenerative diseases
increase.

http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/bsc/cep/2004/00000031/A00201s2/art00003

Signature

Juhana

adam_becker_sr@yahoo.com - 23 Mar 2005 17:23 GMT
> Okinawan elders have an average total cholesterol of 170 and a good
> total cholesterol:HDL ratio with a diet containing canola oil as the
> major source of fat.

Umm, you sure about the canola?  I suspect you mean soy oil.

Adam Becker
Juhana Harju - 23 Mar 2005 17:50 GMT
::: Okinawan elders have an average total cholesterol of 170 and a good
::: total cholesterol:HDL ratio with a diet containing canola oil as the
::: major source of fat.
::
:: Umm, you sure about the canola?  I suspect you mean soy oil.

The Okinawan researchers write: "We found that the most common fat in
the Okinawan diet is also monounsaturated fat, mostly from the canola
oil that they use for stir-fry cooking." "The Okinawan's main method of
cooking is low-temperature stir-fry (not deep-frying). Canola oil os the
main cooking oil, and is one of the healthiest oils on the market."
(Willcox, Willcox & Suzuki, The Okinawa Program,  Clarkson Potter
Publishers, NY 2001, p. 30, 72)

Signature

Juhana

Laurie - 23 Mar 2005 21:05 GMT
"The Okinawan's main method of cooking is low-temperature stir-fry
> (not deep-frying).
   What are the temperatures involved?

   Laurie
Juhana Harju - 23 Mar 2005 21:55 GMT
:: "The Okinawan's main method of cooking is low-temperature stir-fry
::: (not deep-frying).
::     What are the temperatures involved?
::
::     Laurie

No mention about that. Personally I don't think that canola oil is ideal
for frying. I would rather use extra virgin olive oil and fry only in
low temperatures and very lightly. Extra virgin olive oil reduces lipid
peroxidation slightly better than canola oil because of the phenolic
compounds of olive oil contains. Canola oil would be better for salad
dressings than frying because of the higher content of polyunsaturated
oils. But the fact that Okinawan centenarians use canola oil (or a
combination of rapeseed oil and soy oil) even in frying is an indication
that it is a reasonably safe and healthy choice.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 24 Mar 2005 19:36 GMT
>dressings than frying because of the higher content of polyunsaturated
>oils. But the fact that Okinawan centenarians use canola oil (or a

Seems like PUFA content in rape seeds may vary a lot. The brand I
normally use have less PUFA and saturated fats than olive oils
(Eldorado or EuroShopper rape seed oil) and more oleic acid (and free
of C20:1)
adam_becker_sr@yahoo.com - 26 Mar 2005 00:36 GMT
:: Umm, you sure about the canola?  I suspect you mean soy oil

> The Okinawan researchers write: "We found that the most common fat in
> the Okinawan diet is also monounsaturated fat, mostly from the canola
> oil that they use for stir-fry cooking."

OK, I stand corrected.  But that must be a relatively new development.
Canola's only been on the market for about 25 years.  Certainly the
Okinawin elders weren't using it in their formative years.

> But the fact that Okinawan centenarians use canola oil (or a
> combination of rapeseed oil and soy oil) even in frying is an
indication
> that it is a reasonably safe and healthy choice.

Oh, canola's healthy, all right.  Rapeseed oil?  From
http://www.wholefoods.com/healthinfo/canola.html

How was Canola Oil developed?
In the late 1970s, canola was bred from rapeseed to contain low amounts
of erucic acid, a long chain fatty acid that had been associated with
detrimental health effects in animal studies [It's thought to be
atherogenic - Adam.]  The new oil was referred to as LEAR oil (Low
Erucic Acid Rapeseed) or Canola oil (from Canadian oil low acid, since
most canola oil was grown in Canada).

What is Erucic Acid?
Erucic acid is a 22-carbon fatty acid that is present in all members of
the Brassica family in trace amounts. Erucic acid constitutes 40%-50%
of the fatty acid content in rapeseed, however canola has been bred to
typically contain less than 2% erucic acid. Because of this, canola oil
is thought to have a more neutral taste and to be healthier for human
consumption. Note that erucic acid is not all bad: for individuals with
the wasting disease adrenoleukodystrophy, erucic acid is actually
helpful with treatment and was the lifesaving ingredient of Lorenzo's
oil.

Adam Becker
Alf Christophersen - 26 Mar 2005 20:31 GMT
> :: Umm, you sure about the canola?  I suspect you mean soy oil
>
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>Canola's only been on the market for about 25 years.  Certainly the
>Okinawin elders weren't using it in their formative years.

I think in the actual case they mean rape seed oil (pre-Canola)
Roger Rabbit - 28 Mar 2005 07:54 GMT
>::: Okinawan elders have an average total cholesterol of 170 and a good
>::: total cholesterol:HDL ratio with a diet containing canola oil as the
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>(Willcox, Willcox & Suzuki, The Okinawa Program,  Clarkson Potter
>Publishers, NY 2001, p. 30, 72)

Canola oil is rape seed oil and was developed in Canada. It has only
been around for 20-30 years. I sincerely doubt the Okinawans can point
to this as their "secret" to longevity. ;o)

rr
Juhana Harju - 28 Mar 2005 08:25 GMT
:: On Wed, 23 Mar 2005 18:50:01 +0200, "Juhana Harju"
:: <shantigiri@despammed.com> wrote:
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
:: been around for 20-30 years. I sincerely doubt the Okinawans can
:: point to this as their "secret" to longevity. ;o)

Nor do I think so. It was a question of its safety.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 28 Mar 2005 16:18 GMT
>Canola oil is rape seed oil and was developed in Canada. It has only
>been around for 20-30 years. I sincerely doubt the Okinawans can point
>to this as their "secret" to longevity. ;o)

Other brands of rape seed oils has in some civilisations been around
for longer time than that. But I agree it is wrong to call it Canola
oil
montygram - 23 Mar 2005 05:26 GMT
Because I seek to educate, not admonish, here is the citation from
Keys' Seven Countries (the 1979 book, page 135):  "At levels below
200 mg/dl, decreasing cholesterol concentrations tend to be associated
with increasing rates of non-coronary death."

This finding is consistent.  Read the books, Heart Failure or The
Cholesterol Myths, for example, for references and analysis of the
pertinent evidence.

But the key is preventing the oxidation of cholesterol.  On page B17 of
New York's Newsday newspaper (March 1, 2005), AHA spokesperson Dr.
Richard Stein states:
"What we've learned in the last 15 years is that LDL has to be
oxidized in the vessel wall... [in order for plaque to accumulate and
become dangerous]."

You can find more than a few scientific papers that make this point at
www.pubmed.com, which is used for research by scientists.
The more saturated fatty acids you eat, the healthier you will be, just
as long as you don't eat things with saturated fatty acids that also
contain dangerous substances (a good example of this would be a fried
hamburger).  Coconut oil is best fat source:

"Cholesterol, coconut, and diets on Polynesian atolls: a natural
experiment: the Pukapuka and Tokelau Island Studies."  Ian A. Prior,
M.D., et. al. (The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 34: August
1981, pp. 1552-1561).  Quotation from the abstract: "Vascular disease
is uncommon in both populations and there is no evidence of the high
saturated fat intake have a harmful effect in these populations."
Quotation from the text: "The migration of Tokelau Islanders from
their atolls to the very different environment of New Zealand is
associated with changes in lipids that indicate increased risk of
atherogenesis.  This is associated with an actual fall in saturated fat
intake... and an increase in carbohydrate and sugar."

For more on this a other interesting studies, see Bruce Fife's book,
Saturated fat may save your life.  My book, which will cover this, and
other diet/health subjects, should be available in less than a year.
And I intend for it to be a profit-free book, meaning that you can get
it at actual cost, probably around $4 or so.  I'll post at least one
free chapter here when I finish it.
Rob Capps - 23 Mar 2005 07:25 GMT
I scanned your website, and unfortunately, you seem to be conflating
two separate studies by Dr Keys: the Six Countries Study (1953) and the
Seven Countries Study (1970). The former attempted to demonstrate a
positive correlation between total fat consumption and death from heart
disease. It did so, but only after throwing out the other 16 data
points(countries) originally part of the study. The latter attempted to
demonstrate a similar correlation between total serum cholesterol and
death from heart disease. Plotted out, the 15 data points from this
study ALSO showed no meaningful correlation, but DID reveal a wide
range of cardiac death over a wide range of cholesterol, an
inconvenient fact that Dr. Keys et al never mentioned or explained in
their much ballyhooed book. I respectfully submit that your "actual
research data" is, to say the least, incomplete.

Rob Capps
Rob Capps - 23 Mar 2005 07:36 GMT
I scanned your website, and unfortunately, you seem to be conflating
two separate studies by Dr Keys: the Six Countries Study (1953) and the
Seven Countries Study (1970). With the results of the former, the
authors attempted to demonstrate a positive correlation between total
fat consumption and death from heart disease. It did so, but only after
throwing out the other 16 data points(countries) originally part of the
study. In the latter, they attempted to demonstrate a similar
correlation between total serum cholesterol and death from heart
disease. Plotted out, the 15 data points from this study ALSO showed no
meaningful correlation, but DID reveal a wide range of cardiac death
over a wide range of cholesterol, an inconvenient fact that Dr. Keys et
al never mentioned or explained in their much ballyhooed book. I
respectfully submit that your "actual research data" is, to say the
least, incomplete.

Rob Capps
Juhana Harju - 23 Mar 2005 07:58 GMT
:: I scanned your website, and unfortunately, you seem to be conflating
:: two separate studies by Dr Keys: the Six Countries Study (1953) and
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
:: ballyhooed book. I respectfully submit that your "actual research
:: data" is, to say the least, incomplete.

Verschuren WM et al, Serum total cholesterol and long-term coronary
heart disease mortality in different cultures. Twenty-five-year
follow-up of the seven countries study.  JAMA. 1995 Jul 12;274(2):131-6.

"[...] a 0.50-mmol/L (20-mg/dL) increase in total cholesterol
corresponded to an increase in CHD mortality risk of 12%, which became
an increase in mortality risk of 17% [...] CONCLUSION--Across cultures,
cholesterol is linearly related to CHD mortality, and the relative
increase in CHD mortality rates with a given cholesterol increase is the
same."

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=7
596000&dopt=Citation


Signature

Juhana

montygram - 23 Mar 2005 23:47 GMT
Only oxidized cholesterol is dangerous.  Go to pubmed, put in the
relevant search words, and see for yourself.  The okinawa thing is a
complete fraud.  Those who did live to very old ages ate pork, raw
sugar cane, and guess what - there was no canola oil available in those
days.  Now, as they are dying much younger, they are using canola oil.
You people are really out of touch with reality.
Juhana Harju - 24 Mar 2005 06:39 GMT
:: Only oxidized cholesterol is dangerous.  Go to pubmed, put in the
:: relevant search words, and see for yourself.  The okinawa thing is a
:: complete fraud.  Those who did live to very old ages ate pork, raw
:: sugar cane, and guess what - there was no canola oil available in
:: those days.  Now, as they are dying much younger, they are using
:: canola oil. You people are really out of touch with reality.

You don't know a thing about the diet of Okinawan centenarians. I have
read the entire book and also other material about the subject. When the
results don't please you it is very easy to say that the study is a
complete fraud. If the Okinawan studies don't please you can also look
at the China study which contradicts clearly your claims about pork and
saturated fat.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 24 Mar 2005 19:36 GMT
>Only oxidized cholesterol is dangerous.  Go to pubmed, put in the
>relevant search words, and see for yourself.  The okinawa thing is a
>complete fraud.  Those who did live to very old ages ate pork, raw
>sugar cane, and guess what - there was no canola oil available in those

Agree about Canola oil. They used rape seed oil.
Juhana Harju - 24 Mar 2005 20:00 GMT
:: On 23 Mar 2005 14:47:18 -0800, "montygram" <nazztrader@lycos.com>
:: wrote:
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
::
:: Agree about Canola oil. They used rape seed oil.

Canola oil is a market name for rape seed oil. So it is same stuff.
Montygram's claims about pork eating are not valid. Main protein sources
of Okinawan centenarians are tofu and fish. Pork is eaten very little.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 25 Mar 2005 09:40 GMT
>Canola oil is a market name for rape seed oil. So it is same stuff.
>Montygram's claims about pork eating are not valid. Main protein sources
>of Okinawan centenarians are tofu and fish. Pork is eaten very little.

No. Canola oil is just one brand of many types of LEAR oils. Made in
Canada.

The oils produced eg. in Sweden is another brand of LEAR. In China and
probably Okinawa LEAR is not used at all. In China, C22:1 can be as
high as 25% or more in food oils used for many years.
With no side effects.

Why? In humans, after a lag period, peroxisomes are induced to take
care of C22:1. This don't happen in rats and alike and the fat is
building up, confusing researchers in the 70'ies to believe intake of
it was the main reason of heart attacks.

The problem was the first project in biochemistry/nutrition I was
presented, but chose to work on enzymology instead (but could have
used this problem as one of the models for substrate
concurrency/inhibition studies)
Juhana Harju - 25 Mar 2005 13:35 GMT
:: On Thu, 24 Mar 2005 21:00:20 +0200, "Juhana Harju"
:: <shantigiri@despammed.com> wrote:
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
:: No. Canola oil is just one brand of many types of LEAR oils. Made in
:: Canada.

Canola oil has become a generic name meaning rape seed oil. Just as
hoovering has become a generic name for vacuum cleaning.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 26 Mar 2005 16:45 GMT
>Canola oil has become a generic name meaning rape seed oil. Just as
>hoovering has become a generic name for vacuum cleaning.

Canola seeds are one kind of LEAR, Low Erucic Acid Rape. You have also
rape seeds and rape seed oils that are high in erucic acid,mostly
grown for industrial use since erucic acid has scared a lot people.
Such oils are still in use for humans in China.
Rob Capps - 27 Mar 2005 04:47 GMT
> Verschuren WM et al, Serum total cholesterol and long-term coronary
> heart disease mortality in different cultures. Twenty-five-year
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> increase in CHD mortality rates with a given cholesterol increase is the
> same."

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=7
596000&dopt=Citation


> --
> Juhana

This is an ABSTRACT. Of a selective RE-ANALYSIS. Read the ORIGINAL
data, plot the points, and a different pattern emerges: different
populations within the same countries show VASTLY different
mortalities. Specifically, Finland(interior vs coastal) and
Greece(Crete vs Corfu) demonstrate similar serum cholesterol levels
with very different rates of death from heart disease.

As I mentioned, 15 data points did NOT plot out a good correlation.
Notice that even the ABSTRACT says: "To increase statistical power six
cohorts were formed, based on similarities in culture and cholesterol
changes during the first 10 years of follow-up." SIX? What about the
other NINE? Similarities in culture? BS. If the original study design
yielded negative results, good scientists don't pick and choose data
points to revive the hypothesis. This article is junk, clearly
following the poor example originally set by Dr Keys picking the 6
countries out of 22 that suited his idea, they have picked the 6 out of
15 that suited theirs.

Thank you for pointing out this abstract. Instructive to know that as
recently as 1995, Dr Keys' dishonesty was still being emulated.

Rob
Rob Capps - 27 Mar 2005 05:09 GMT
Addendum: Upon further reflection (another 3 minutes or so), it occurs
to me that the 6 cohorts may not have been simply PICKED from the
original 15 cohorts, but FORMED from the 15. Which STILL probably
involved excluding the ones that didn't "fit". A minor difference, but
statistical sleight-of-hand takes many forms.

Here's another form: the relative risks (RR) that they list do NOT
include the 95% confidence interval, but a 1.2 could very well be 0.7
to 1.8. Which (for the statistically impaired) means that the 1.2 is
not significant, could very well be due to random chance. Not having a
copy of the original article, I can't say this for sure. However,
having read abstract after abstract on pubmed, more often than not the
CI is included, unless it demonstrates a non-significant result - very
common, and misleading, practice.

Rob
Juhana Harju - 27 Mar 2005 08:03 GMT
:: Juhana Harju wrote:
::
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
:: populations within the same countries show VASTLY different
:: mortalities. [...]

I have never said that total cholesterol is a good and watertight
predictor of heart disease. But I would like to ask you: do you also
deny the predictive value of total cholesterol:HDL ratio?

Signature

Juhana

Rob Capps - 27 Mar 2005 09:37 GMT
No need to be defensive. I wasn't attacking YOUR beliefs, merely the
historical foundations of current theory. Whether or not any
subfraction of serum cholesterol is predictive of anything is a
separate issue. But as I have recently engaged in a review of the
literature, I felt compelled to set the historical record straight.

Now, as to tot chol:HDL, I'd like to reframe your question before
answering it. Here goes:

Is the ratio of total cholesterol to HDL the BEST predictor of CHD?

To THIS question, I can answer an unequivocal "No."

You see, the structure of your original question made it impossible to
issue a denial, but also made it impossible to give a meaningful
answer. You could just as easily have asked if I deny the predictive
value of homocysteine, male pattern baldness, or even creased earlobes.
I cannot deny that all of these are nominally predictive, but that
doesn't mean I'm going to endorse their routine clinical use.

So, back to my preferred question and answer. The practice of
evidence-based medicine requires the selection of tests with the
strongest predictive value AND the lowest cost. If something worked
better than cholesterol but was horrendously expensive, I couldn't
conscientously support its use. But if that something worked better AND
was relatively cheap...is there such a beast?

Yup.

In the past few years, the chronic inflammatory theory of CAD etiology
has been gaining support. And the utility of acute phase reactant
assays - especially C-reactive protein - in predicting the onset of
disease has been repeatedly demonstrated. More importantly, serum hsCRP
has beaten ANY subfractional combination of cholesterol you care to
name, in recent studies of considerable statistical power. As to cost,
both run less than $50 (US). hsCRP is currently more expensive, but
labs typically lower their prices when the volume goes up, and hsCRP
isn't ordered NEARLY as often as FLP.

Researchers whose careers have been built on the cholesterol issue
(especially those on the payroll of Big Pharma), are amusing in their
attempts to equivocate, but I'm betting that by the time I finish my
residency or shortly thereafter - say 5 years - hsCRP will be within
the acceptable standard of care. Maybe within 20 the NCEP will be
nothing more than an historical footnote. Otherwise, I'll have to
explain myself over and over and over...

Have I explained myself to YOUR satisfaction? :)
Juhana Harju - 27 Mar 2005 12:48 GMT
:: Now, as to tot chol:HDL, I'd like to reframe your question before
:: answering it. Here goes:
[quoted text clipped - 39 lines]
::
:: Have I explained myself to YOUR satisfaction? :)

I do agree with the inflammation theory in the ethiology of CAD and I
agree that hsCRP has good predictive value. However, I would like to see
references that would show that hsCRP is unequivocally better predictor
of CAD than TC:HDL ratio. So, references to back your claim, please. :-)
Based on the studies and abstracts I have read I would say that TC:HDL
ratio and hsCRP are equal in predicting CAD and combining them would
give the best results. Measuring homocysteine also would further add the
predictive power. I think that CAD is a multifacetial disease and can
not be explained or predicted by one factor only.

Signature

Juhana

Rob Capps - 27 Mar 2005 18:59 GMT
References? Happy to. To date, here are the best-powered, relevant
studies:

Ridker PM, Rifai N, Rose L, Buring JE, Cook NR. Comparison of
C-reactive protein and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in
the prediction of first cardiovascular events. N Engl J Med. 2002 Nov
14;347(20):1557-65.

Ridker PM, Cannon CP, Morrow D, Rifai N, Rose LM, McCabe CH, Pfeffer
MA, Braunwald E; Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and Infection
Therapy-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 22 (PROVE IT-TIMI 22)
Investigators. C-reactive protein levels and outcomes after statin
therapy. N Engl J Med. 2005 Jan 6;352(1):20-8.

Just for fun, here's one from the same group favoring tot chol to
HDL...but for predicting PAD, not heart disease:

Ridker PM, Stampfer MJ, Rifai N. Novel risk factors for systemic
atherosclerosis: a comparison of C-reactive protein, fibrinogen,
homocysteine, lipoprotein(a), and standard cholesterol screening as
predictors of peripheral arterial disease. JAMA. 2001 May
16;285(19):2481-5.
Juhana Harju - 27 Mar 2005 21:41 GMT
:: References? Happy to. To date, here are the best-powered, relevant
:: studies:
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
:: predictors of peripheral arterial disease. JAMA. 2001 May
:: 16;285(19):2481-5.

I am still not quite convinced. The studies by Ridker et al. compare LDL
and CRP, not TC:HDL ratio and CRP. This is important because the ratio
has better predictive value than LDL. Actually studies are saying just
what I said in my previous post: TC:HDL ratio + hsCRP taken together
give the best predictive results. Below are couple of studies that you
might find interesting.

Paul M. Ridker et al, C-Reactive Protein Adds to the Predictive Value of
Total and HDL Cholesterol in Determining Risk of First Myocardial
Infarction. Circulation. 1998;97:2007-2011.

http://circ.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/97/20/2007?ijkey=2794b6e0c8f708
4ae3b028fffd4f1460d0a528a2&keytype2=tf_ipsecsha


Please notice the combined effect:

http://circ.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/full/97/20/2007/F3

This might especially interest you as it supports strongly the view of
the importance of hsCRP:

Willcox BJ et al, C-Reactive Protein as a Novel Risk Factor for
Cardiovascular Disease: Is It Ready for Prime Time?

http://www.arabmedmag.com/issue-15-11-2004/cardiology/main01.htm

Signature

Juhana

Rob Capps - 28 Mar 2005 06:04 GMT
Oops.  Forgot to include this one, in which all standard cholesterol
subfractions were compared to CRP(still on top):

Ridker PM, Hennekens CH, Buring JE, Rifai N. C-reactive protein and
other markers of inflammation in the prediction of cardiovascular
disease in women. N Engl J Med. 2000 Mar 23;342(12):836-43.

However, an interesting point here. Dr Ridker & company originally
studied men (male physicians, specifically) in whom total cholesterol
to HDL outperformed CRP, and later studied women, in whom the reverse
was true. A split ticket, using only case-control evidence.
Unfortunately, the RCT (my 2nd cited reference, the PROVE IT-TIMI 22
trial) only reported the LDL subfraction results. I suspect they HAVE
the data for the standard FLP (who orders JUST an LDL?). I hope we get
to see it someday.

Either way, if the case-control evidence is applied to clinical
practice, and if you are forced by the bean-counters to chose only ONE
test for screening (not at all far-fetched), the FLP is not the best
choice for over half the population (women), hsCRP is. Based on the
recommendation track record of bodies such as AHA, NHLBI, and NCEP,
this will likely be swept aside in the interests of (over)simplicity,
and the standard of care(in the US, at least) for the near-future will
still be "one-size-fits-all": FLP for everyone.

Thanks for the info and the skepticism; if there better ingredients for
rational discourse than these, I don't know of them.

Rob
Juhana Harju - 28 Mar 2005 10:24 GMT
:: Oops.  Forgot to include this one, in which all standard cholesterol
:: subfractions were compared to CRP(still on top):
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
:: Thanks for the info and the skepticism; if there better ingredients
:: for rational discourse than these, I don't know of them.

Thanks. I agree with you that hs-CRP is still heavily neglected. If
TC:HDL and hs-CRP are about equal risk factors I wonder why people are
given no dietary advice for lowering inflammation? In the public health
care there is a lot of talk about dietary means to lower cholesterol but
absolutely no advice about lowering inflammation by diet. Isn't that
interesting?

Signature

Juhana

adam_becker_sr@yahoo.com - 29 Mar 2005 21:26 GMT
> In the public health care there is a lot of talk about
> dietary means to lower cholesterol but
> absolutely no advice about lowering inflammation by
> diet. Isn't that interesting?

Remember the quality of the advice the US government historically has
given about cholesterol and nutrition in general (eat no eggs, use
margarine instead of butter, eat high carbs and low fat, omega-6 fats
are PUFA and therefor 'good fat', starch is 'complex carbohydrate' and
much better for you than sucrose...)

It's probably just as well they're keeping their collective mouth shut
about inflammation.

Adam Becker
Juhana Harju - 29 Mar 2005 22:02 GMT
::: In the public health care there is a lot of talk about
::: dietary means to lower cholesterol but
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
:: It's probably just as well they're keeping their collective mouth
:: shut about inflammation.

Yes and I guess the same applies to other countries as well. My opinion
is that the safest policy would be to adopt a diet which would give you
a good total chol:HDL ratio /and/ keep inflammation minimum at the same
time. The Mediterrean diet and especially the Portfolio diet developed
by the Toronto University are pretty good in this respect. They are both
efffective in lowering cholesterol and CRP.

Signature

Juhana

Alf Christophersen - 27 Mar 2005 19:17 GMT
>Researchers whose careers have been built on the cholesterol issue
>(especially those on the payroll of Big Pharma), are amusing in their

What about those founded by a chocolate producer? (Throne-Holst
foundation, the former producers of Freia and Marabou chocolates in
Scandinavia)
Rob Capps - 27 Mar 2005 20:18 GMT
Not sure I take your meaning. By "those", are you referring to
researchers' careers "founded by a chocolate producer" or studies
FUNDED by said producer? Assuming you were referring to the latter, are
there studies funded solely, or even chiefly, by  this foundation? And
if so, how often are they cited in the literature? How often are they
trotted out by drug reps in doctors' offices? Or profiled in the mass
media? And incidentally, what do these studies actually SHOW?

Another question I almost feel dirty asking: does the Foundation's
money come SOLELY from candy? Here in the States, many of the big food
conglomerates have Big Tobacco as well as Big Pharma investors.  Nestle
in Switzerland DEFINITELY has competing interests beyond candy. Same
may be true, in some form, of Throne-Holst/Freia&Marabou, and you might
not know it unless you dig a little.

OTOH, maybe you meant something else entirely. Easy to get me started,
though!

Rob
Roger Rabbit - 28 Mar 2005 07:50 GMT
>I rather doubt it, as if you had actually read any of Keys research
>papers you would not be making such dumb statements.

Still plugging that old flawed Seven Countries Study?

>Keys recently died at the age of 100.

George Burns died at age 100. What's your point?

>I have written two web pages that talks about Keys' actual research
>data.

rr
John Sankey - 27 Mar 2005 14:28 GMT
Rob Capps wrote:
"I'm betting that by the time I finish my residency or shortly
thereafter - say 5 years - hsCRP will be within the acceptable
standard of care."

It is now, in Canada at least. My doctor (who isn't that long out of
residency) first did total cholesterol (the cheapest test) as part of
a general screening at 65, promptly asked for the more expensive
ratio tests, then went through over a dozen detailed questions about
personal/family medical factors before deciding that she didn't need
any other tests to advise me.
Our bodies are indeed a tad too complex to put just one number on!
 
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