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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Herpes / November 2004

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Long-term effectiveness of Valtrex/acyclovir?

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Anonymous - 19 Nov 2004 04:57 GMT
Hey all -

Seems like GSK doesn't know, but has anybody taken acyclovir or any
variant long-term, IE at least 2 or 3 years?  Either suppressive or
outbreak dosing would be interesting to know (actually, both would).

The reason I'm asking is, the data _seems_ to suggest that the longer
you take it, the less effective it is.

Why is this?  Is this a result of the particular HSV strain you've
contracted mutating as a result of resistance?

Thanks in advance
Tim Fitzmaurice - 19 Nov 2004 08:22 GMT
> Hey all -
>
> Seems like GSK doesn't know, but has anybody taken acyclovir or any
> variant long-term, IE at least 2 or 3 years?  Either suppressive or
> outbreak dosing would be interesting to know (actually, both would).

Im fairly certain thats there is 15 year suppressive therapy out there
somewhere, I've certainly put out old 5 year data citations here in the
past. I have to say Ive not heard any general rule that efficacy goes off.

Archives of Ophthalmology. Vol. 121(12)(pp 1702-1704), 2003. lists 18month
use and efficacy remaining. Thats oral use for ocular herpes.

This paper;
Tyring SK. Baker D. Snowden W.
Journal of Infectious Diseases. Vol. 186(SUPPL. 1)(pp S40-S46), 2002. Date
of Publication: 15 OCT 2002.
Valacyclovir for herpes simplex virus infection: Long-term safety and
sustained efficacy after 20 years' experience with acyclovir.

is the most recent review I can find, it makes the following statement in
its abstract
'Long-term use of acyclovir for up to 10 years for HSV suppression is
effective and well tolerated.'

Try this URL
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JID/journal/issues/v186nS1/020174/020174.html

I can get to it but Im not sure if its generally available or because of
my work access but its the full text of the Tyring article. Its linked
direct of Pubmed which is public access so it should either let you in or
block you by domain. There should be a PDF option somewhere - on the
sidebar I think.

This one looks at Valacyclovir over a one year period,
Baker DA. Blythe JG. Miller JM.
Once-daily valacyclovir hydrochloride for suppression of recurrent genital
herpes.
Obstetrics & Gynecology. Vol. 94(1)(pp 103-106), 1999

OK below your threshold of 2-3 years but over one year they saw no drop
off at all....

Ah bingo....
Goldberg LH. Kaufman RH. Kurtz TO. Conant MA. Eron LJ. Batenhorst RL.
Boone GS. Baker D. Blythe J. Crumpacker C. Fife K. Frost P. Gelb L. Hale
R. Herndon J. Kaplowitz L. Kurtz T. Mertz G. Mills J. et al. Continuous
five-year treatment of patients with frequently recurring genital herpes
simplex virus infection with acyclovir.
Journal of Medical Virology. Vol. 41(SUPPL. 1)(pp 45-50), 1993.

Thats a report I've cited here before - it works...though after 3 or so
years it suggests that episodic and suppressive therapy converge in
effectiveness which is interesting.

I've seen papers at conferences listing longer term use of the drug but
they aren;t in databases like pubmed or are buried under slightly more
obscure titles and I doubt I've still got the paperwork lying around
(though I might somewhere)

Valacyclovir doesnt seem to have anything like the long term study I've
seen on acyclovir (we've got 20 years of studies with that one)

> Why is this?  Is this a result of the particular HSV strain you've
> contracted mutating as a result of resistance?

Resistance was the big worry in the field. The data coming out really
sugggests it is not really an issue. The basic lifecycle of the virus
(infect, set up reservoir, no further infections and recurrences from the
reservoir) really leaves a source of virus that is sensitive and even if
you can generate resistant virus in drug therapy (a transmission risk and
presumably one way it colonises other people) you personal virus seems to
remain sensitive since the template it comes off doesnt change. Fair
amount of that is guesswork and extrapolation as its one area people are
still trying to figure out - the 'resistance is not on the increase' is
relatively recent data so what how why and so on are still under heavy
discussion.

Tim
--
When playing rugby, its not the winning that counts, but the taking apart
ICQ: 5178568
Anonymouse - 20 Nov 2004 04:07 GMT
Tim, thanks!  Very, very helpful information.  I appreciate the time you
spent responding very much.

>>Hey all -
>>
[quoted text clipped - 78 lines]
> When playing rugby, its not the winning that counts, but the taking apart
> ICQ: 5178568
Angela S. - 19 Nov 2004 12:58 GMT
Anonymous,

Why does it seem that GSK doesn't know?? I have an online buddy that has
been on acyclovir for years and years. She goes by the name "Grace." You are
more than welcome to come on over to Picking Up the Pieces and ask her about
it. Here's link for Picking Up the Pieces:
http://health.groups.yahoo.com/group/PickingUpThePieces/ It's one of the
largest Herpes and HPV support groups combined on Yahoo Groups. Also, this
newsgroup has slowed down quite a bit over the last couple of years so you
might want to think about coming over for the simple fact that you will get
lots of opinions and experiences shared by the members over there. I don't
know what data you are looking at. Is there a link you can share because I
have not  heard of Herpes Antivirals becoming less effective over the years.
I don't feel that information is correct. I will tell you that the longer
you have the virus the less frequent your flare ups become if you actually
get flare ups. I wouldn't worry about HSV strains because they are not
really looked at and even if they were it would be minimal and rare. Hang in
there..

- Angela :)

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Picking Up the Pieces:
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SSNA Scoop:
http://health.groups.yahoo.com/group/SSNA-Scoop/

Herpes Simplex Help Blog:
http://herpes-help.blogspot.com/

> Hey all -
>
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
> Thanks in advance
Anonymous - 19 Nov 2004 17:07 GMT
> Anonymous,
>
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
> - Angela :)

Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
(both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)

That's interesting to me, and I'm wondering why, at least for this
particular study.
M.L.S. - 19 Nov 2004 17:25 GMT
>> Anonymous,

>> Why does it seem that GSK doesn't know?? I have an online buddy that has
>> been on acyclovir for years and years. She goes by the name "Grace." You are
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>> really looked at and even if they were it would be minimal and rare. Hang in
>> there..

>> - Angela :)

>Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
>(both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
>study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
>year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
>After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)

>That's interesting to me, and I'm wondering why, at least for this
>particular study.

It's impossible to derive any indication of Valtrex efficacy over
time from the statement you quoted.  I believe you are
mis-understanding something about statistics.

It would be quite unlikely that the people who didn't have outbreaks
in the first six months would never have outbreaks after the six
months.

Indeed, if, say, half the group had one outbreak in the first six
months of Valtrex use, and then, in the second six months of the
study, the *other* half of the group had one outbreak each, the
statement by the Valtrex people would have to be modified to say
"After one year, zero were outbreak-free," while the actual
reduction in outbreaks would be a consistent +80% or so.

Hope that helps,

Mike
Angela S. - 20 Nov 2004 20:49 GMT
To add to what Mike had to say.. Suppression with Valtrex reduces
asymptomatic shedding, flare ups and frequency of flare ups. By how much
depends on each person because we are all different and herpes doesn't react
the same way in all people that take Valtrex to treat their herpes. As for
talking to others that have been on suppression for many many years.. I know
several with no problems. - Angela :) www.yoshi2me.com

>>> Anonymous,
>
[quoted text clipped - 55 lines]
>
> Mike
Tim Fitzmaurice - 21 Nov 2004 17:22 GMT
> Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
> (both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
> study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
> year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
> After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)

Erm that is, i think, because they are using a leakage analysis....f
someone gets an outbreak they come out of the count. Drug treatment isnt a
guarantee of no outbreaks forever, it reduces he frequency.
As such these people had 6 or more outbreaks, they take the drug and at 6
months still 50% of them had not had an outbreak of any kind. In a further
6 months then 1/3 of the original starters (so 2/3 of the 50% who got to 6
months outbreak free) were STILL outbreak free.

Thats not the drug going off thats just the fact that there is a
cumulative permanent dropout of triallist from the mathematical set of
'those who at this time have not yet had an outbreak from the start fothe
trial'. Compared to at one year expecting all of them to have had an
outbreak (well 6 actually) thats a BIG difference. Get one outbreak and
you are out of that count....still one outbreak in 12months when you were
getting 6+ indicates some kind of drug effect.

It is however limited in that it doesn't describe how many in th control
arm were in the same position of not having had an outbreak (ie the
natural tendency of the virus to shut down to some extent or other over
time), nor does it give a frequency change (did those that drop out just
get th one outbreak in the year or revert to a pattern of 6 per year, or
somewhere in between).

Tim
--
When playing rugby, its not the winning that counts, but the taking apart
ICQ: 5178568
 
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