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> Anonymous,
>
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
> - Angela :)
Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
(both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)
That's interesting to me, and I'm wondering why, at least for this
particular study.
M.L.S. - 19 Nov 2004 17:25 GMT
>> Anonymous,
>> Why does it seem that GSK doesn't know?? I have an online buddy that has
>> been on acyclovir for years and years. She goes by the name "Grace." You are
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>> really looked at and even if they were it would be minimal and rare. Hang in
>> there..
>> - Angela :)
>Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
>(both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
>study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
>year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
>After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)
>That's interesting to me, and I'm wondering why, at least for this
>particular study.
It's impossible to derive any indication of Valtrex efficacy over
time from the statement you quoted. I believe you are
mis-understanding something about statistics.
It would be quite unlikely that the people who didn't have outbreaks
in the first six months would never have outbreaks after the six
months.
Indeed, if, say, half the group had one outbreak in the first six
months of Valtrex use, and then, in the second six months of the
study, the *other* half of the group had one outbreak each, the
statement by the Valtrex people would have to be modified to say
"After one year, zero were outbreak-free," while the actual
reduction in outbreaks would be a consistent +80% or so.
Hope that helps,
Mike
Angela S. - 20 Nov 2004 20:49 GMT
To add to what Mike had to say.. Suppression with Valtrex reduces
asymptomatic shedding, flare ups and frequency of flare ups. By how much
depends on each person because we are all different and herpes doesn't react
the same way in all people that take Valtrex to treat their herpes. As for
talking to others that have been on suppression for many many years.. I know
several with no problems. - Angela :) www.yoshi2me.com
>>> Anonymous,
>
[quoted text clipped - 55 lines]
>
> Mike
Tim Fitzmaurice - 21 Nov 2004 17:22 GMT
> Well, I was specifically referring to the marketing on their commercials
> (both websites and TV ads), in which "In fact, in a one-year clinical
> study among people with genital herpes who had six or more outbreaks a
> year and took VALTREX--at six months, over half were outbreak-free.
> After one year, a third were outbreak-free." (Source: Valtrex.com)
Erm that is, i think, because they are using a leakage analysis....f
someone gets an outbreak they come out of the count. Drug treatment isnt a
guarantee of no outbreaks forever, it reduces he frequency.
As such these people had 6 or more outbreaks, they take the drug and at 6
months still 50% of them had not had an outbreak of any kind. In a further
6 months then 1/3 of the original starters (so 2/3 of the 50% who got to 6
months outbreak free) were STILL outbreak free.
Thats not the drug going off thats just the fact that there is a
cumulative permanent dropout of triallist from the mathematical set of
'those who at this time have not yet had an outbreak from the start fothe
trial'. Compared to at one year expecting all of them to have had an
outbreak (well 6 actually) thats a BIG difference. Get one outbreak and
you are out of that count....still one outbreak in 12months when you were
getting 6+ indicates some kind of drug effect.
It is however limited in that it doesn't describe how many in th control
arm were in the same position of not having had an outbreak (ie the
natural tendency of the virus to shut down to some extent or other over
time), nor does it give a frequency change (did those that drop out just
get th one outbreak in the year or revert to a pattern of 6 per year, or
somewhere in between).
Tim
--
When playing rugby, its not the winning that counts, but the taking apart
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