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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Prostate Cancer / March 2008

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PSA Doubling Time Question

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ErnieA - 07 Mar 2008 20:30 GMT
Hi!

I am wondering what effect a rather high PSA Doubling Time is on my
condition and prognosis.

Here's a bit of background:
-  Was referred to a urologist in October 2007 due to a PSA of 7.5
-  Initial biopsy resulted in an indication of PCa
-  RP set for January 9th, 2008
-  Asked for a second opinion on the pathology report.  The second
opinion from another lab came back inconclusive.
-  Operation cancelled.
-  Second biopsy performed - 19 samples taken - pathology report
indicated that two had 5% cancer
-   PSA is now 10.7 which means a Doubling Time of 10 months.
-   Going for a RP asap.

Now, my question:
  What could the high PSADT mean when it appears that there is
minimal cancer in the prostate?  Could the cancer have gotten out of
the prostate already?

Thanks so much for your thoughts!!

Ernie Adsett

Stats:
> PSA 7.5 10/15/2007 @ 55//   10.7 2/20/2008 @ 55//  DT = 10 months
> Biopsy 1/15/2008 G6 (3+3), T1c
> RRP (planned) asap
Steve Kramer - 07 Mar 2008 22:00 GMT
>   What could the high PSADT mean when it appears that there is
> minimal cancer in the prostate?  Could the cancer have gotten out of
> the prostate already?

The good news is that the PSA difference between 7.5 and 10.7 is not a
tremendous one.  It will put you into the next set of Partin tables, but
10.7 is closer to 10.0 than 7.5 is to 6.0.  And, if you haven't researched
Partin Tables, don't worry about it.  Partin Tables are used for decision
making and your decision regarding surgery is already made.

As far as having gotten out of the prostate, sure.  Is it likely?  No.  PCa
is very slow growing and if they only found you at 5%, I doubt it got out
between January 9 and March 6.  It may be out, but if it is, it was probably
out in December.

That said, you had a Gleason of 6, a Stage of T1c (which means it's not
palpable), and a PSA of 10.7 in a range of 1 to 5000.  Quit your worrying
and get on with your surgery.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  <.1  <.1  <.1  .27  .37  .75            PSAD 0.19 years
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32                       PSAD .056 years
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 and every 4 months there after
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145       PSAD 1.4 years
Casodex added daily 07/06
PSA <0.04, <0.05, <0.04, <0.04, <0.1  2/12/08
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

ron - 07 Mar 2008 22:16 GMT
> Hi!
>
[quoted text clipped - 29 lines]
>
> - Show quoted text -

Hi Ernie...Assuming that your biopsy samples were accurately read,
then with your GS6, 2/19 5% volume PCa, it is unlikely that the PCa
has already spread beyond the prostate.  I would also venture a guess
that the PSA data that you used in your PSA doubling time calculation
is being influenced by factors other than the cancer.  Some
combination of prostatitis, BPH or residual infection/irritation from
your two biopsies may be influencing PSA levels.  I notice that your
second PSA blood draw was taken about 1 month after the second
biopsy.  Just as a DRE can dramatically increase PSA, so can a
biopsy.  While the time for PSA to recover from a biopsy is variable,
1-2 months is not unusual, so your 02/20/08 PSA may have been
influenced by the biopsy.  Also realize that the typical trans-rectal
biopsy cannot probe all parts of the prostate, so it is possible that
you have a significant tumor in one of these inaccessible areas.
Fortunately, tumors in these errors are typically indolent and slow
growing, even though they may be large and generate a lot of PSA...ron
DominicM - 08 Mar 2008 01:34 GMT
> > Hi!
>
[quoted text clipped - 48 lines]
>
> - Show quoted text -

Ernie:
PSADT is generally used as a prognistic tool after local treatment
(RP, RT etc) not before primary treatment.  In the discussions I've
had with med onc's PSADT of <= 3 mo's is considered high risk.

Here are some articles on doubling time.
http://www.prostate-cancer.org/education/preclin/psadbl.html
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/05/070525074607.htm

In my non medical opinion I don't think you should worry just get
pursue the primary treatment you feel is appropriate for your
situation.

Good luck to you.
rosbif - 08 Mar 2008 10:13 GMT
> PSADT is generally used as a prognistic tool after local treatment
>(RP, RT etc) not before primary treatment.

Both before and after. Where a biopsy suggests the cancer is
'non-aggressive' or has been diagnosed early - and on the face of it
Ernie's looks like it might be one of these (2x5% cores out of 19 is
not a lot of cancer) - then pre-treatment PSADT is a vital prognostic
tool.  A report posted here recently suggested a 7 year (or better)
doubling time was a reliable marker for avoiding treatment of any
kind....other than continued surveillance of course.

My amateur take on this: Two PSA results are not enough to establish a
trend for the good reasons posted by Ron.  The upbeat conclusion would
be that either the first reading was falsely low and/or the second
falsely high which together could put a much better gloss on (or even
vastly alter) the PSADT. The possible downsides are 1) the readings
are good in which case PSADT looks to be faster than one would like
and/or 2) the biopsy was optimistic and missed some of the cancer.
Anything's possible.

I would have liked a few more PSA tests to establish a best-fit trend
before jumping into surgery but I appreciate the anxiety about this -
if 10 months is the true PSADT then I would want treatment soon.

Best of luck Ernie.
ErnieA - 08 Mar 2008 20:03 GMT
I just want to say "thanks" to everyone for responding.  You have all
given me good advise and I appreciate it.
It certainly appears that my situation is not that serious (when
compared to many others here).

This group is a great help to many people!

Ernie
A. Black - 08 Mar 2008 22:02 GMT
> Hi!
>
[quoted text clipped - 29 lines]
>
> - Show quoted text -

Normally one needs more than 2 PSA readings in
case some of the readings were influenced by one
of a number of extraneous factors.  See the
Factors Affecting PSA section part way down this
page:
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com/2007/05/psa-screening-and-early-detection-
part_14.html


This 5 part article on PSADT will give you more
info on interpreting and calculating PSADT:
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com/2007/03/psa-doubling-time-psadt-part-1.html

Also aside from PSADT you can get prognostics from
a number of prostate cancer calculators listed here:
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com/2007/02/prosate-cancer-calculators.html

---
The Palpable Prostate
http://www.palpable-prostate.com
Lud - 10 Mar 2008 21:20 GMT
> Hi!
>
[quoted text clipped - 27 lines]
> > Biopsy 1/15/2008 G6 (3+3), T1c
> > RRP (planned) asap

Ernie
From the dates you gave, first biopsy was in Oct 2007 then you had a
second one in Jan 2008 and PSA a month later.

I had multiple PSA's after the pre-biopsy one and even 3 months after
the biopsy, my PSA was 30% higher than pre-biopsy.

Your PSA was probably elevated because your biopsy was the month
before - I have not seen any studies that gives a time when the biopsy
effect is gone. In my case, it was not gone 3 months after.

Keep your peace of mind - it is NOT an accurate doubling time.

Lud

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