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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Prostate Cancer / May 2007

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PSA Test Reliability

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Steve Jordan - 09 Apr 2007 00:25 GMT
Notwithstanding the nay-sayers,

"Prostate-Specific Antigen Improves the Ability of Clinical Stage and
Biopsy Gleason Sum to Predict the Pathologic Stage at Radical
Prostatectomy in the New Millennium."

Chun FK, et al.

PubMed ID: 17383807

See, http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi
.....and search on the ID number.

Their conclusion: "In the new millennium, PSA has not lost its ability
to accurately predict the pathologic stage in contemporary patients."

---even though they split an infinitive ;-) it seems valid

Regards,

Steve J

"No patient in a civilized society should present with a PSA level that
is in double digits. Routine PSA testing on a yearly basis (initially)
would virtually eliminate any advanced presentation of prostate cancer,
increase the number of patients presenting with true organ confined
prostate cancer, increase our ability to cure this disease, decrease health
care costs from having to treat more advanced presentations, improve
productivity of those men diagnosed with prostate cancer and of course most
importantly improve the quality and the duration of life with men diagnosed
with this illness."
-- Stephen B. Strum, MD
JoeC - 16 Apr 2007 22:40 GMT
IMHO - PSA test is useless in many cases, including mine - mine never
went above 3.15 yet I had agressive prostate cancer

http://prostate-cancer-log.blogspot.com

Joe
joec_49@hotmail.com

>Notwithstanding the nay-sayers,
>
[quoted text clipped - 28 lines]
>with this illness."
>-- Stephen B. Strum, MD
Steve Jordan - 17 Apr 2007 01:00 GMT
JoeC replied to me:

> IMHO - PSA test is useless in many cases, including mine - mine never
> went above 3.15 yet I had agressive prostate cancer

Perhaps Joe has not read the abstract I cited. If he had, he would be
aware that it refers to *localized* PCa.

I, too, was dxd with aggressive PCa. Such a dx requires aggressive tx.

We must take great care when reading abstracts and other such items.
Each of us is different; what helps you might harm me, and vice versa.
The essential point is: where does each of us fit in the cohort reported
on in the abstract?

Joe apparently does not fit into the present cohort. Neither do I but
that is no reason not to pass along information that just might be
helpful to my brothers.

Regards,

Steve J

"No man is an Island, entire of itself; every man is a piece of the
Continent, a part of the main; if a clod be washed away by the sea,
Europe is the less, as well as if a promontory were, as well as if a
manor of thy friends or of thine own were; any man's death diminishes
me, because I am involved in Mankind; And therefore never send to know
for whom the bell tolls; It tolls for thee."
-- John Donne

> http://prostate-cancer-log.blogspot.com
>
[quoted text clipped - 33 lines]
>> with this illness."
>> -- Stephen B. Strum, MD
doofus.jones - 29 Apr 2007 06:12 GMT
Joe

I "inadvertently" had a PSA test 10 years ago which was 3.4 - I was
told to "watch it" didn't even know what it was! Five years later I
had another - again 3.4. Then, this January, I had one which was 13!

I went to a hospital here in Hong kong where I live and they took it
again - it was 9. Eventually I went to a private ( read - expensive)
urologist who gave me a free PSA ratio - came out 15 ( ambiguous). He
then put me on anti-biotics and anti-inflamatories for 1 month before
giving me another free PSA Ratio - this one was 15 again, but total
PSA had dropped to 7.8.

Now he says I should have a biopsy ( which I don't want). I honestly
believe he just wants the money!

I have just seen another urologist in Bangkok - who says he wouldn't
give me a biopsy - he would just watch it. Personally I am of the
opinion that the medical profession don't know what PSA is telling
them - of 1.3 million biopsys in USA less than 15% find cancer - I
think that's pretty poor - the urologist in bangkok say the obsession
with biopsys is really about "malpractice" law suites in the USA.

I'm suprised no-one here is talking about the new EPCA 2 test - which
will be here in 18 months.  I'm drinking pomegrante juice and am
intending to live long enough to have one.

I was 58 yesterday.

Best wishes

Pete Kline
------------------

> JoeC replied to me:
>
[quoted text clipped - 64 lines]
> >> with this illness."
> >> -- Stephen B. Strum, MD
Steve Kramer - 29 Apr 2007 12:03 GMT
> Joe
>
[quoted text clipped - 24 lines]
>
> I was 58 yesterday.

I don't know the status of medicine in Hong Kong since 1999.  If the labs
are good, the fluctuation seems to indicate BHP -- which still has to be
treated, but is not as bad as Cancer.

That said, you fPSA looks like Cancer.

The only way to find out which is biopsy.... and maybe multiple biopsies if
the first comes up negative.

Happy birthday!  If you want to a lot more, get the biopsy.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  <.1  <.1  <.1  .27  .37  .75            PSAD 0.19 years
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32                       PSAD .056 years
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 and every 4 months there after
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145       PSAD 1.4 years
Casodex added daily 07/06
PSA <0.04, <0.05
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

rosbif - 29 Apr 2007 12:12 GMT
>I "inadvertently" had a PSA test 10 years ago which was 3.4 - I was
>told to "watch it" didn't even know what it was! Five years later I
[quoted text clipped - 27 lines]
>Pete Kline
>------------------

Hi Pete.  I'm just a lowly PCa patient with no specialist knowledge.
From what you write you appear to be a dyed-in-the-wool
watchful-waiter.  Whatever your suspicions about the medical
profession and its arguably indecent haste in pushing folk into having
needless biopsies, I'd say 15% is a significant tally of positive
outcomes.  Yes, of course it would be great to have a procedure both
non-invasive AND reliable and I'm sure everyone here is just as
excited as you about the EPCA2 test but it's probably not overly
discussed because it's not here yet. While PSA may be a less than
perfect marker, there's not much else going for us at the moment and
the inexactness of PSA and biopsy testing is not a good reason to cast
them aside, I believe. Would you perhaps begin to attach some
significance if your PSA dynamics were to show a velocity or
acceleration?  Of course I hope they don't!  As to your urologist's
mercenary bent - I don't see why that can't happily co-exist with his
conscientious efforts to look out for your good health.
Good luck.
Larry A. - 02 May 2007 03:32 GMT
... But if you are one of the unlucky 15% who have cancer, your
statistic is 100%.  

Remember - there are lies, damned lies, and staticstics.

Get the biopsy. (PCa survivor, 7 years clean after RP.)

- Larry A.

>>I "inadvertently" had a PSA test 10 years ago which was 3.4 - I was
>>told to "watch it" didn't even know what it was! Five years later I
[quoted text clipped - 45 lines]
>conscientious efforts to look out for your good health.
>Good luck.
A. Black - 29 Apr 2007 13:45 GMT
> I "inadvertently" had a PSA test 10 years ago which was 3.4 - I was
> told to "watch it" didn't even know what it was! Five years later I
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> Now he says I should have a biopsy ( which I don't want). I honestly
> believe he just wants the money!

I think your doctor is giving you good advice.  He tried to eliminate
other factors
and he gave you an fPSA test in another effort to avoid the biopsy so
he has
really done everything that could be expected.  Yet even after all
that your
PSA is high and your fPSA failed to exclude prostate cancer.

Based on this online calculator:
http://www.compass.fhcrc.org/edrnnci/bin/calculator/main.asp

and using Caucasian, 58, 7.8, No, Normal, No as the responses
it says you have roughly even odds of having or not having cancer.
I answered the questions I did not know, e.g. family history, in a
way
which favors non-cancer so if I answered them wrong your chances are
higher.

BTW, this and many other prostate cancer calculators are listed here:
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com/2007/02/prosate-cancer-calculators.html

Note that a biopsy really is not that bad.  I found it only mildly
uncomfortable and you can always ask for anaesthetic if you
have concerns.

>  I have just seen another urologist in Bangkok - who says he wouldn't
> give me a biopsy - he would just watch it. Personally I am of the
> opinion that the medical profession don't know what PSA is telling
> them - of 1.3 million biopsys in USA less than 15% find cancer - I
> think that's pretty poor - the urologist in bangkok say the obsession
> with biopsys is really about "malpractice" law suites in the USA.

This is a controversial subject but cancer can be best treated if
its caught early and I think many people would say its worthwhile
to have a number of healthy individuals undergo biopsy in return for
catching cancer early in most men who have it.

> I'm suprised no-one here is talking about the new EPCA 2 test - which
> will be here in 18 months.  I'm drinking pomegrante juice and am
> intending to live long enough to have one.

Hopefully EPCA-2 works well but its not available yet, there are
limitations to the
generalizations you can make from the study due to its non-
representative
sample, some of the media reports had significant errors in reporting
and
anyone who has been around the cancer scene for a while starts getting
weary of the numerous "breakthroughs" that never seem to pan out when
subjected to greater testing.  See the following for some cautions:
http://www.cancer.org/aspx/blog/Comments.aspx?id=145

---
The Palpable Prostate
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com
chasjac - 29 Apr 2007 17:23 GMT
Hello, Pete:

Based on your numbers, I really think that the doctor's advice is
coming from the right place.  You may disagree with the next step
being a biopsy, but with what you have presented here -- big change in
PSA, free PSA ratio in the ambiguous range -- you are at risk, and
should take some measures to find out what you have.

You mention the EPCA-2 test.  While it will be a big help in the
arsenal against PCa, I really do not think that it's going to replace
biopsies as a part of the diagnostic process.  In order to decide the
best treatment for the newly diagnosed, the Gleason score of the tumor
cells will still need to be known, and if I'm reading the JHU report
correctly, the EPCA-2 will not do that.

And it won't be available for 18 months.  While PCa is usually slow-
growing, giving it such a head start does not seem to be wise.

You did not mention a DRE, so I'm assuming that it was negative for
irregularities.  Is that correct?

--charlie
doofus.jones - 29 Apr 2007 18:14 GMT
Thanks for all your very reasonable replies guys. I still need to do
some serious thinking - if I'm still "watching and waiting" any
suggestions as to when I should get another PSA test - 3 months, 6
months, 1 year?

best wishes to you all

Pete
==========

> Hello, Pete:
>
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
>
> --charlie
rosbif - 29 Apr 2007 18:43 GMT
>Thanks for all your very reasonable replies guys. I still need to do
>some serious thinking - if I'm still "watching and waiting" any
>suggestions as to when I should get another PSA test - 3 months, 6
>months, 1 year?
>
>best wishes to you all

in your shoes I would opt for a biopsy as soon as is convenient (make
sure you get the anesthetic shot then it's really no biggy).  If that
proves negative - GREAT! - but keep doing the PSAs 3-monthly because
the biopsy can miss the cancer, if present, and you need to see if
there's any change in your numbers.  If the biopsy shows an early
cancer, typically T1 gleason (3+3) or better, you could still opt for
WW while monitoring your continued 3-monthly PSAs for any change, but
make sure you read up thoroughly on the implications of WW and have
your future strategy mapped out well ahead.

If you decide against a biopsy - then I suspect you'd be advised to
check your PSA 3-monthly for changes.

(I'm not a doc!)
Steve Kramer - 29 Apr 2007 23:30 GMT
> Thanks for all your very reasonable replies guys. I still need to do
> some serious thinking - if I'm still "watching and waiting" any
> suggestions as to when I should get another PSA test - 3 months, 6
> months, 1 year?

Determining probability of cancer just by PSA is a foolish quest.  However,
if that's what you end up doing, quarterly PSA tests seem to be the norm for
your circumstances (in my unprofessional opinion).

I don't believe I have heard you mention a digital rectal exam.  Have you
had one?  If so, what is normal or abnormal?  If normal, you have about a
28% chance of having cancer according to the formula you've already been
introduced to.  If abnormal, I think it was 51%.

If you haven't had a DRE, I think that is your next step and should be done
as soon as possible.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  <.1  <.1  <.1  .27  .37  .75            PSAD 0.19 years
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32                       PSAD .056 years
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 and every 4 months there after
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145       PSAD 1.4 years
Casodex added daily 07/06
PSA <0.04, <0.05
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

doofus.jones - 30 Apr 2007 09:51 GMT
Steve

I have ended up having so many DREs the doctor is sending me valentine
cards! : )  Apart from enlarged I'm told no hard lumps etc(normal?) .

sincere thanks for your advice. I will have another PSA in 3 months
and then take it from there.

wishing you luck and good health

Pete
===========

> > Thanks for all your very reasonable replies guys. I still need to do
> > some serious thinking - if I'm still "watching and waiting" any
[quoted text clipped - 25 lines]
> PSA <0.04, <0.05
> Non Illegitimi Carborundum
Justin Case - 30 Apr 2007 17:55 GMT
: Steve
:
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
: Pete
: ===========

<Remainder snipped>

Pete, if you trust your doctor (and I sense this is an issue with you) and
he recommends a biopsy, I'd go for it.  It's not the most pleasant
experience you'll ever have, nor is it the worst.  My urologist, really a
very kind man, performed my biopsy, 13 cores, without even suggesting
anesthetic and I survived it, and it revealed more than the finger or the
PSA.

No one, especially men, I believe, want probes up into places where no
probes are supposed to go, but it's sometimes necessary to learn what's
taking place "in there."  A colonoscopy is no fun, either.

Ken Bland
Steve Kramer - 30 Apr 2007 20:07 GMT
> Steve
>
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
>
> Pete

Okay, Pete.  I wish you luck.

There is a 100% certainty that I have cancer and, without a medical
breakthrough, I will die of it.

With a PSA of 15 and a 'normal' prostate, there is a 50% chance you have
cancer.  Don't wait until you catch up with me.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  <.1  <.1  <.1  .27  .37  .75            PSAD 0.19 years
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32                       PSAD .056 years
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 and every 4 months there after
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145       PSAD 1.4 years
Casodex added daily 07/06
PSA <0.04, <0.05
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

A. Black - 30 Apr 2007 23:00 GMT
> I have ended up having so many DREs the doctor is sending me valentine
> cards! : )  Apart from enlarged I'm told no hard lumps etc(normal?) .

Abnormal is when its "palpable".  That means either the doctor can
feel nodules or else the overall feel is hard.  Such hardness is
also called induration. Its somewhat subjective although an
experienced
doctor would have felt more prostates and therefore would presumably
be in a better position to know the normal range of hardness.

---
The Palpable Prostate
http://palpable-prostate.blogspot.com
 
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