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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Prostate Cancer / October 2006

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Timing of Recurrence?

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callalily - 27 Sep 2006 04:18 GMT
Hello,

If a person is going to get a recurrence of PC is there a time frame
when it's more likely to happen?

I thought if  a person had surgery and there was ca left it would show
up on the first PSA test.  Why wouldn't it?

I guess the celebration was premature...

p.s. how can anybody stand this "watchful waiting" every 3-mos.  It
gives me a nerv. breakdown each time (and there have only been 3).

Thanks,

Leah
c palmer - 27 Sep 2006 10:27 GMT
From: lfcjjk@aol.com (callalily)

Hello,

If a person is going to get a recurrence of PC is there a time frame
when it's more likely to happen?
I thought if a person had surgery and there was ca left it would show up
on the first PSA test. Why wouldn't it?

I guess the celebration was premature...
p.s. how can anybody stand this "watchful waiting" every 3-mos. It gives
me a nerv. breakdown each time (and there have only been 3).

Thanks,

Leah

======
hi leah - biochemical failure (recurrence) is greatest around the 18
month after the RP.    i found this out when i was 20 months post op and
i had a detectable psa.   the surgeon went back over his records and we
both discuss the possibilities of why i had the psa reading.  
then, the bottom line - i had to wait another 90 days before having
another test to make sure of the psa reading in question.  

the next psa reading came back undetectable.  whew!!!    

when i saw the uro and ask why the detectable reading, i was told that a
psa test can "misfire" and give a reading.   ain't that a kick in the
pants???

and on your last part of the waiting game.  for now on - it's never
over.  you will cringe each time it gets near to pull the psa test.
i'm 3 1/2 years and my psa test is next month and i'm can feel myself
getting anxious.    then, after you get the results and it comes back
undetectable,  you will go back to your feel good self.

~ curtis

knowledge is power - growing old is mandatory - growing wise is optional    
"Many more men die with prostate cancer than of it. Growing old is
invariably fatal. Prostate cancer is only sometimes so."
http://community.webtv.net/PALMER_ENT/doc
Claude - 27 Sep 2006 13:21 GMT
"c palmer" <PALMER_ENT@webtv.net> wrote in message
news:3802-451A43E4-7@storefull-
> ======
> hi leah - biochemical failure (recurrence) is greatest around the 18
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> psa test can "misfire" and give a reading.   ain't that a kick in the
> pants???

I don't understand the analysis of the blood, but my uro said that false
readings can occur because of reagent differences.  He warned me of that
early in my tests in case one comes back detectable.  (He doesnt use the
ultra-sensitive test.)

> and on your last part of the waiting game.  for now on - it's never
> over.  you will cringe each time it gets near to pull the psa test.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>
> ~ curtis

You sure got that right.  I'm 4 1/2 years out from my RP (margins were not
clear), still undetectable, but facing my next 6 month PSA result next week.
My moods start changing a bit several weeks in advance of the test.  The
blood draw is tomorrow, and in my mind I'm saying, "Well the die will be
cast tomorrow."  In the past, when the results have been undetectable, I
came out of the doc's office feeling like I did when I was  kid and summer
vacation began---all those months when I don't have to even think about
prostate cancer.  At age 68, my *major* concern is not dying from the
cancer, but having to think about it again and make treatment decisions
involving the serious possible side-effects of radiation or hormone therapy.
I just don't want to have to wrestle with that stuff.  I wonder if PSA
anxiety ever goes away, short of very advanced age.
I.P. Freely - 29 Sep 2006 06:06 GMT
>   I wonder if PSA
> anxiety ever goes away, short of very advanced age.

I suspect one could just drop the "PSA" modifier. Many of us are either
anxious people or we're not; PSA is just another -- GOOD! -- thing for
anxious people to fret over. After all, our PC not going anywhere in a
few  weeks, or maybe even months, that we need to be concerned over.

I.P.
Steve Kramer - 27 Sep 2006 11:40 GMT
> Hello,
>
> If a person is going to get a recurrence of PC is there a time frame
> when it's more likely to happen?

The longer you go without detecable PCa, the less likely it's still in your
body.  Conversely, Iguess, most often, the 'reccurrence' occurs right after
surgery.  However, I've read that 1½ years is the biggest and first
milestone.

> I thought if  a person had surgery and there was ca left it would show
> up on the first PSA test.  Why wouldn't it?

Imagine cancer growing in a prostate.  One damaged cell splits and you have
two.  Two split into four.  Four in to eight.  Over a couple of years, it
grows to tens of thousands.  Then, a few escape.  If you take out the
prostate, tens of thousands are taken with it.  But the few that escape are
now growing under the radar.
Bill - 27 Sep 2006 15:06 GMT
""I thought if  a person had surgery and there was ca left it would
show up on the first PSA test.  Why wouldn't it?"

It may be such a small no. of cells that it is below the sensitivity of
the PSA test used. That is the reason you absolutely need to insist on
the ultrasensitive assay. (Claude, you too.) Don't get too concerned
about the tiny variations you see, but knowing whether or not you ever
achieved undetectable PSA has diagnostic and predictive significance
later on if there is a recurrence.

Bill Denton
RP 2/12/02
PSA .96
Memphis
Claude - 27 Sep 2006 17:04 GMT
> ""I thought if  a person had surgery and there was ca left it would
> show up on the first PSA test.  Why wouldn't it?"
>
> It may be such a small no. of cells that it is below the sensitivity of
> the PSA test used. That is the reason you absolutely need to insist on
> the ultrasensitive assay. (Claude, you too.)

Bill, this is one of the choices I have made and am content with.  I would
agonize over every little shift in the ultrasensitive and not be able to get
it out of my mind.  At my age (68), anyway, I'm not sure I would opt for any
treatment if the risk of side effects are too great, and certainly not until
PSA gets over 0.1.  So I enjoy life more without knowing about the little
shifts beneath that level.  If I were 10 years younger, I would probably
feel differently about subsequent treatment and therefore want to know more
about what's happening at their lower level.

Claude
dave perry - 27 Sep 2006 17:20 GMT
Right on Claude.  I'm 63 and I opt for the less sensitive test too.  If
I had the more sensitive test, I'd be making graphs, fretting over
trends, quaking at every upturn from .002 to .003, calculating doubling
times, etc..  Just tell me it's <0.1, that's all I want to know.
Dave Perry
> > ""I thought if  a person had surgery and there was ca left it would
> > show up on the first PSA test.  Why wouldn't it?"
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
>
> Claude
Bill - 30 Sep 2006 15:18 GMT
Claude, the reason for my comment to you was that you stated not that
YOU had chosen to forego ultrasensitive testing but that your doctor
did not use it. IMO in this day and age a uro who refuses to use the
ultrasensitive test is out of touch and I would wonder about his advice
in general. Time after time Strum laments to men: "Too bad we will
never know if you achieved undetectable PSA." That is because, as I
stated, whether or not PSA goes truly undetectable has implications on
whether a recurrence is local or systemic. I.e. it has value even if
you would not start salvage Tx until it was over the .1 threshold.

Bill Denton
RP 2/12/02
PSA .96
Memphis
Steve Kramer - 30 Sep 2006 15:33 GMT
> Time after time Strum laments to men: "Too bad we will
> never know if you achieved undetectable PSA." That is because, as I
> stated, whether or not PSA goes truly undetectable has implications on
> whether a recurrence is local or systemic. I.e. it has value even if
> you would not start salvage Tx until it was over the .1 threshold.

But, why is it lamentable?  After treatment, has anyone here added or
changed a course of treatment based on a value of less than 0.1?

Steve Jordan's 0.1 is the lowest 'endpoint' I have seen here.

For salvation radiation treatment, I waited until 0.37.  For hormone
treatment, 0.32.  I added Casodex at 0.145.  I could have been oblivious for
many months (or in JerryW's case, years).  Knowing that my PSA was rising
six months before we took action really did nothing positive for me.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  .1  .1  .1  .27  .37  .75
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 (4 mo), 12/03, 4/04, 09/04, 01/05, 5/05, 10/05,
2/06, 6/06
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145
Casodex added daily 07/06
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

peter*pan - 30 Sep 2006 16:48 GMT
After 3 years of ultrasensitive undetectable, psa came in at .05 and then
.06 a month later.  Started IMRT shortly after that.
Bill - 01 Oct 2006 14:56 GMT
"But, why is it lamentable?  After treatment, has anyone here added or
changed a course of treatment based on a value of less than 0.1?"

As I understand it, Steve, and as I have stated twice, whether or not
you EVER acheived true undetectable PSA has Dx significance LATER ON.
That would be one of the variables doctors like Strum would plug into
the equation to try to determine whether a recurrence was local or
systemic. Now, I can't vouch for the validity of that, but wouldn't you
want that very important question answered as accurately and w/ the
best info possible? I think so. In your own case you had local SRT when
you apparently had systemic disease - I lament the fact that you went
through that and it did not cure you. It may be that in some cases
useless salvage Tx can be avoided by attention to post-primary Tx PSA
dynamics using the ultrasensitive test. Since it costs no more, doesn't
hurt any more, has no SEs, etc. - why on earth would anyone not take
advantage of it?

Pts and their doctors just have to be disciplined and not jump to
premature conclusions over minute changes. E.g. the guy who had had SRT
when his PSA went from .003 to .006. A compromise approach might be to
do the first couple of tests w/ the ultrasensitive just to confirm
undetectability and then switch to the standard - at least you will
have your baseline.

Bill Denton
RP 2/12/02
PSA .96
Memphis
JerryW - 01 Oct 2006 23:23 GMT
>...as I have stated twice, whether or not
> you EVER acheived true undetectable PSA has Dx significance LATER ON.
>
>... to determine whether a recurrence was local or
> systemic.

Bill, I'm confused. I was under the impression that even the hypersensitive
PSA test could only rule out the presence of PSA down to a certain
threshold...<0.05 or <0.04 or <0.004, or whatever. I was not aware it could
detect "true undetectable PSA" as a finite value of zero. If so, how does
this determination indicate a local vs. a systemic recurrence? If the test
indicates, at least once, that PSA was less than 0.05, or whatever is
considered "undetectable," does that mean any recurrence would have to be
local?? Or, the other way around??

JerryW
Bill - 02 Oct 2006 15:35 GMT
Jerry, it may have been a bad choice of words but what I meant by "true
undetectability" was simply undetectable using the most sensitive test
at our disposal. I think most doctors, perhaps even Strum, would accept
<.05 as sufficiently "undetectable" for future Dx use.

Frankly, I think this comes down to a difference of opinion between
those who want all the info possible about their disease and are
actively involved in evaluation and Tx on the one hand, and those who
are more content to let the doctors handle it on the other. I am not
making a value judgement; what's good for one man is not for another.

Bill Denton
RP 2/12/02
PSA .96
Memphis
dave perry - 02 Oct 2006 16:28 GMT
Bill, I've opted for the less sensitive test simply because I don't
feel I need it, not that I'm "content to let the doctors handle it."
I'm not going to do anything based on what the PSA is doing when <0.1
anyway, so why should I fret over a small rise down in the "noise"
area?  I really question the haste some have who scurry off to
radiation because of PSA variations down in this low range.  I have two
urologists since I'm fortunate to have two totally independent
insurances, one through my employer and the other through my wife's
employment, and anything one says that I question, I toss at the other.
They and I are on top of whatever may arise although if PSA does
climb, I will say adios to both and visit the radiation/oncology docs.
Dave Perry

> Jerry, it may have been a bad choice of words but what I meant by "true
> undetectability" was simply undetectable using the most sensitive test
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> PSA .96
> Memphis
Bill - 03 Oct 2006 15:50 GMT
"I'm not going to do anything based on what the PSA is doing when <0.1
anyway,"

Not too many years ago the thinking of many men, their GPs, and even
uros went something like this: "I'm not going to do anything based on
what the PSA is doing when <4.0 anyway."

Hmmm.

Bill Denton
RP 2/12/02
PSA .96
Memphis
Steve Kramer - 02 Oct 2006 00:53 GMT
> "But, why is it lamentable?  After treatment, has anyone here added or
> changed a course of treatment based on a value of less than 0.1?"
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
> hurt any more, has no SEs, etc. - why on earth would anyone not take
> advantage of it?

A compelling argument (as always), but should one base their tx on it?  I
mean, in a life or death game, is Strum's theory proven to the point that
one can bet his life on it?

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  .1  .1  .1  .27  .37  .75
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 (4 mo), 12/03, 4/04, 09/04, 01/05, 5/05, 10/05,
2/06, 6/06
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145
Casodex added daily 07/06
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

Steve Jordan - 02 Oct 2006 01:52 GMT
>  
>> "But, why is it lamentable?  After treatment, has anyone here added or
[quoted text clipped - 14 lines]
>> advantage of it?
>>    
On October 1, Steve (Kramer) answered Bill:

> A compelling argument (as always), but should one base their tx on it?
Better question: why should one not do so?
>  I  mean, in a life or death game, is Strum's theory proven to the point that
> one can bet his life on it?
>  
AIUI, Strum says that it is better to know early on what is happening
than not.

It seems to me that the primary argument against ultra-sensitive PSA
tests is that it might --MIGHT-- make some folks nervous.

Well,

(1) a minor change in U/S result, frex my one nanogram per milliliter
increase last month from 0.01 to 0.02, is trivial in and of itself, and
(2) it is very helpful so see changes in PSA that would not be evident
using the less-sensitive test. One can then plan one's response,
something one could not otherwise do.

So, tiny changes in PSA are not in and of themselves cause for concern,
but they can alert the patient and his medic to keep an eye on it.

Regards.

Steve J
I.P. Freely - 02 Oct 2006 02:00 GMT
>  It may be that in some cases
> useless salvage Tx can be avoided by attention to post-primary Tx PSA
> dynamics using the ultrasensitive test. Since it costs no more, doesn't
> hurt any more, has no SEs, etc. - why on earth would anyone not take
> advantage of it?

Why not? Because if it's little more than random noise, as many experts
suspect, it is meaningless at best, potentially frightening to those
with PSA anxiety, and even harmful if it unduly influences decisions and
actions. Maybe one day when it's better understood, or if a particular
case -- but which ones? -- turns out to be meaningful and valid . . .

We could put laser aiming widgets on chain saws and shovels and measure
injections to micrograms, but . . . why?

I.P.
I.P. Freely - 30 Sep 2006 15:59 GMT
> Claude, the reason for my comment to you was that you stated not that
> YOU had chosen to forego ultrasensitive testing but that your doctor
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> PSA .96
> Memphis

Some excellent docs debate or even question that, and at least one BIG
VA hospital doesn't do it. (Yeah, I know, it's a gum'mint institution,
but last I heard it's still the biggest source of PC data on the planet.)

I.P.
dave perry - 27 Sep 2006 16:32 GMT
I think each of us has tension prior to the next PSA no matter how far
out we go.  Anyway, I read somewhere that roughly 30% of all surgery
patients get a recurrence at some time.  Of those who do get a
recurrence, 70% get it in the first three years, 25% during the next
two years, and the remaining 5% after five years.  At ten years, we're
thought to be "home free" although we still continue to get PSA tests
after that "just in case."  By the way, even many doctors don't
understand all this PSA stuff.  My general practioner congratulated me
when he saw my first post-op PSA and told me that I was "cured."  I
pointed out to him the above figures which were news to him and that if
I were indeed "cured" I wouldn't need any more PSA's.  At least my uro
knows better.
Dave Perry
> Hello,
>
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> Leah
Buttercup's Dad - 27 Sep 2006 16:49 GMT
I have seen more than one person report here recurrence nine or almost
ten years out.  Seems to me I have also read here that the medical
establishment is now calling a "cure" fifteen years out.  Has anyone
else seen that?

> Hello,
>
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> Leah
Beverley - 27 Sep 2006 18:30 GMT
I personally know several men who have gone 8, 9, 10, 11 years with
undetectables after RP and then uh-oh! They were all treated with SRT and
are all doing just fine now.

Bev

> I have seen more than one person report here recurrence nine or almost
> ten years out.  Seems to me I have also read here that the medical
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
> >
> > Leah
ron - 27 Sep 2006 21:47 GMT
callalily wrote...snip...
> If a person is going to get a recurrence of PC is there a time frame
> when it's more likely to happen?

Hi Leah...Long-term studies (25 years) indicate that the cumulative
recurrence rate is roughly linear with time for both RP and RT.  There
is not a time when recurrence is most likely to occur.   Walsh has
studied the question for a shorter period of time (10-15 years) for men
having surgery at Hopkins'.  You can find his paper at

http://www.prostate-help.org/download/jhnomo.pdf

Use your husband's data to locate the correct nomogram and look at the
progression rates over time for men with similar stats...Best wishes
and good health, ron
Leonard Evens - 27 Sep 2006 21:49 GMT
> Hello,
>
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> p.s. how can anybody stand this "watchful waiting" every 3-mos.  It
> gives me a nerv. breakdown each time (and there have only been 3).

I think it may depend on the prognosis before and after treatment.

It seems generally believed that the likelihood of recurrence drops as
time goes on.  Scardino even says that somewhere, but I can't locate
just where.  I looked at the reference he gave, and what it seems to
show is that for relatively aggressive cancers with a somewhat higher
risk of recurrence to start, the risk does drop significantly after a
few years.   However, as I read it, for cases with low risk of
recurrence to start, the likelihood of recurrence seems to stay constant
or at best drops very slowly.   The problem is that for such cases the
risk of recurrence is very small to start with.   Since it is so small,
it is hard to detect a lowering of the risk over time.

So I would say that if the prognosis is guarded, you have the
consolation that if you get through the first several years,  there may
be a significantly lower risk after that.  If the prognosis is good to
start, the most rational thing to do is to assume it will never recur.
  The risk in any given year is quite small, and even if it isn't much
lower 10 years from now, it will still be very small.   Of course, you
may just be very unlucky in such a case and your cancer may recur, but
it doesn't make sense to plan your life on that basis.

In deciding how often to test you, doctors follow a protocol which was
set up some time ago.  But docotors differ in how often they want to see
you.   My doctor had me tested every three months for the first tow
years, every six months, for the next two years, and yearly thereafter.
  But Walsh recommends for cases with a good prognosis yearly tests
from the beginning.

Of course, it is different from knowing something theoretically and
feeling it emotionally.  I think all of us dread our periodic PSA tests.
 But in time, we may get used to them.

If you can try not to think of this thing as something hanging over you
forever ready to drop.   That may happen, but in most cases it probably
won't, and thinking about it won't help.

Good luck.

> Thanks,
>
> Leah
Alex - 28 Sep 2006 01:00 GMT
The discussion earlier about "timing for recurrance" leads me to ask the
group for input on the opposite issue:  the significance of downward changes
in PSA over time.

In February of 2005 my PSA was 4.8. A 12-core biopsy found nothing. DRE was
normal. (Foolishly, my last PSA test was in November of 2001, at 1.1)

In July of 2005 the PSA was 6.2. A second biopsy, with 14 cores, found
cancer in 5% of two cores, with a Gleason 3+3 according to Johns Hopkins,
verified by Bostwick. DRE was again normal.

I have a gi-normous 88 gm prostate, with a large median lobe that pushes
into the bladder. That combo pretty much rules out EBRT and/or seeds, so
surgery is my likeliest option if/when I elect active treatment.

In the meantime I've been doing "active surveillance", with PSA readings
every 3 months, color doppler ultrasound (by Dr. Duke Bahn) every six
months, plus health-oriented changes in diet and lots of supplements.

The PSA (all the same lab, all high-precision) held relatively steady at
between 5.81 to 5.25 until this summer, when it dropped to 4.50, then 3.33
at mid-September. An ultrasound this month shows no change in the (quite
visible) area of cancer since diagnosis. My age is 62, and I'm otherwise in
very good health.

In short, I'm currently experiencing a negative doubling time, or a
deceleration of PSA velocity.

I know there are fellows in this NG who are much more knowledgeable than I
about PSA trends, nomograms and the like, and some who are quite skeptical
about watchful waiting. I'd welcome research-backed input from these and
anyone else.

(While I respect the feelings of those who "just want it cut out," or who
believe "the cure is all that matters," I am looking for medical
information, not well-intentioned exhortations to act.)

Alex
ron - 28 Sep 2006 02:52 GMT
> The discussion earlier about "timing for recurrance" leads me to ask the
> group for input on the opposite issue:  the significance of downward changes
[quoted text clipped - 34 lines]
>
> Alex

Hi Alex...Dropping PSA can't be bad!  Did you start / stop anything
(supplements, exercise, etc.) over this past summer (or slightly
before) when the PSA started dropping?  Some things can artificially
reduce PSA levels.  Does Dr.Bahn's ultrasound show any tumor near the
capsule?  Sometimes tumors close to the surface can leak more PSA and
when they stop their growth spurt PSA might decline until the next
spurt.  Another possibility would be that you recovered from some time
of infection or inflammation (stones).  A lot of possibilities, but the
bottom line is that a rapidly dropping PSA (over months) can't be bad.
BTW, your AS program sounds pretty active, way to stay on top of
things...Best wishes and good health, ron
Leonard Evens - 28 Sep 2006 14:00 GMT
> The discussion earlier about "timing for recurrance" leads me to ask the
> group for input on the opposite issue:  the significance of downward changes
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
> In short, I'm currently experiencing a negative doubling time, or a
> deceleration of PSA velocity.

On rare occasions, cancers of almost any kind can regress.  The body's
immune system may start to kill them off.   Sometimes, people have had
infections with high fevers, and afterwards they found their cancers had
regressed or even disappeared.   But normally prostate cancer contues to
grow over time.   However, some prostate cancers produce little PSA.  I
think in some circumstances a cancer can switch from producing lots of
PSA to producing little PSA.   In spite of all that, the most likely
explanation of what has happened to you is that in addition to the
cancer you had some chronic prostatitis which improved.  The drop from
the reduction in prostatitis could more than make up for any increase in
PSA from a slowly growing cancer.

Since just what is going on could be relevant in deciding the future
course of your treatment,  you should really discuss these matters with
your physicians, and you may want to get more than one opinion.  Don't
rely an anything you read on the internet for such an important matter.

> I know there are fellows in this NG who are much more knowledgeable than I
> about PSA trends, nomograms and the like, and some who are quite skeptical
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
> Alex
Alex - 28 Sep 2006 23:53 GMT
>> The discussion earlier about "timing for recurrance" leads me to ask the
>> group for input on the opposite issue:  the significance of downward
>> changes in PSA over time.
snip

>> In short, I'm currently experiencing a negative doubling time, or a
>> deceleration of PSA velocity.
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
> your physicians, and you may want to get more than one opinion.  Don't
> rely an anything you read on the internet for such an important matter.

Thanks to all (including Ron, who responding to my first misplaced post.)

I certainly don't believe I am experiencing a spontaneous cure. That up
there with turning into a George Clooney lookalike or becoming a good
dancer -- not anything I consider likely.

It is possible that the gradual decline in my PSA is due to a regression in
chronic prostatitis. I had prostatitis years ago, and my doctor (a prostate
cancer specialist) has done about every test known to mankind, so I assume
that would be on the list, but I'll ask when I see him.

My hope was that my revised diet (little meat, low fat, etc.) plus lots of
supplements (calcium, pomegranate extract, omega 3, tumeric, saw palmetto,
lycopene, garlic, Vitamin D3, etc.) may have given some support to the
body's ability to slow the cancer.

Curtis is correct about the uncertainty of watchful waiting, and about the
painful nature of a PCa death. My sister died a prolonged and excruciating
death of ovarian cancer, so I know what cancer can do. On the other hand, a
close relative had open RP for PCa a couple of years ago that left him with
ongoing side effects that substantially diminish his quality of life.

I'm comfortable at the moment with VERY active surveillance of the PCa,
using frequent PSA tests and color doppler ultrasound, to see if it remains
indolent. If it begins to get feisty, I think I'll have an early enough
indication of the change to act before the PCa metastisizes. In that case
I'll probably head for a highly experienced daVinci LRP surgeon.

Essentially my goal is to buy time -- first, for QOL reasons, and second to
give the folks in the labs time to come up with a magic bullet, potion or
ray gun.

At my doctor's suggestion, I am considering taking Proscar or Avodart, both
of which tend to shrink the prostate and cut PSA scores about in half. It's
not entirely clear that the reduction in PSA is due to a reduction in cancer
activity (rather than a masking effect), but my doctor believes it is.
Avodart is stronger in this effect, but has a somewhat higher risk of side
effects such as enlarged breasts. This is Leonard's area of expertise, but I
typically understand only about half of his rigorously documented posts. (g)

Again, thanks to all. As many have said, this NG is no substitute for a
doctor's advice, but as a virtual community it is an enormous source of
help, support, information and shared experience for us involuntary members
of the club.

Alex
Steve Kramer - 29 Sep 2006 21:57 GMT
> The PSA (all the same lab, all high-precision) held relatively steady at
> between 5.81 to 5.25 until this summer, when it dropped to 4.50, then 3.33
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> In short, I'm currently experiencing a negative doubling time, or a
> deceleration of PSA velocity.

Alex,

I marvel at your story each time I hear of it and your continued
progress....  er....  regress.

It just don't make sense.  I offer up some possibilities, knowing in advance
that they are not likely.

A)  Prayer

I know you prayer (all other who do not can skip to B).  I know of know
natural function that causes mitosis to stop or that can apopsys in cancer
cells at a rate equal to or greater than mitosis.  If there is no natural
answer, then the answer is supernatural.

B)  Saw Palmetto

It seems that back in the recesses of my Lupronized brain, I recall you
telling us you take Saw Palmetto as part of your modified diet.  Saw
Palmetto has been shown in studies to decrease the production of PSA in PCa
cells.  Mitosis continues, PCa cells reproduce, and tumors grow, but PSA
isn't being produced and misleads the tests.  However, in your case, there
is no apparent growth in your tumor.  Which may or may not take us back to
A.

C)  Benign Prostate Problem

Maybe you have prostatitis or BHP or some other prostate problem that caused
much or most of your original PSA and, for whatever reason, is slowly curing
itself (maybe the modified diet and/or Saw Palmetto).  If that were the
case, then while your tumor remains static, your PSA would decrease.  But,
then, we have to ask what is causing your tumor to remain static.  Back to
A?

D)  Darwin

Though Darwin was wrong and adaptation has no proof, remember that virus
vaccines are being heavily bet on as a potential cure for cancer.  It is
possible that something happened in your body, maybe even you got sick, and
your immune system decided that those pesky PCa cells closely resemble those
that fought it in that virus war.  And, now, the immune system is attacking
the cancer cells.

Either way, I would not stop praying or eating your modified diet.

Signature

PSA 16 10/17/2000 @ 46
Biopsy 11/01/2000 G7 (3+4), T2c
RRP 12/15/2000 G7 (3+4), T3cN0M0 Neg margins
PSA  .1  .1  .1  .27  .37  .75
EBRT 05-07/2002 @ 47
PSA  .34 .22 .15 .21 .32
Lupron 07/03 (1 mo) 8/03 (4 mo), 12/03, 4/04, 09/04, 01/05, 5/05, 10/05,
2/06, 6/06
PSA  .07 .05 .06 .09 .08 .132 .145
Casodex added daily 07/06
Non Illegitimi Carborundum

Alex - 30 Sep 2006 19:43 GMT
>> The PSA (all the same lab, all high-precision) held relatively steady at
>> between 5.81 to 5.25 until this summer, when it dropped to 4.50, then
[quoted text clipped - 49 lines]
>
> Either way, I would not stop praying or eating your modified diet.

Steve, good advice, on both counts.

I'm not so sure about Darwin being wrong, if the alternative to evolution is
Intelligent Design. After all, are Heidi Klum, Angelinia Jolie and Jessica
Simpson enough to offset engineering gaffes like the giraffe, the prostate
and most of our elected representatives?

Given my track record here on Earth, I figure I'd better count more on
supplements than on divine intervention, so tend to pray for others who
really deserve it -- including this NG's resident statistician, librarian
and cheerleader.

Alex
callalily - 28 Sep 2006 03:18 GMT
> > Hello,
> >
[quoted text clipped - 51 lines]
> >
> > Leah

Thank you all for your thoughtful, detailed responses.  Steve, for your
simple, elegant explanation of how this all works (for us non-science
majors).  I must say you are all veritable founts of information.  It's
like the chinese guy with the miracle prostatitis cure wrote:  after a
long illness the patient becomes the doctor.  But in this case I'm sure
we all would be happier without the MD degree.

>From what you folks said it seems that you can breathe a little easier
after 18 mos.and also that the risk decreases over time.  I have seen
posts of people getting a PC recurrences eons after treatment, but I
think these posts attract attention because they are so unusual.  I
also want to say to Curtis, Claude and the others who are a couple of
years post-op: Try to relax a little.  You're not out of the woods yet
but the science is in your favor. I wish I was at your stage of the
journey.

It's also reassuring to know there are reasons for false positives,
like lab screwups.  I feel sorry for you two guys who had to provide
this "data." You must have gone through hell waiting for those second
results. But it helps others to know that these things can happen....

Also, I I would like  everybody to know that I read in the Scardino
book that the salivary glands manufacture a tiny amount of PSA, so if
you salivate a lot this might be the cause of a positive reading.
Every time Jon goes for a test I repeat this to myself like a mantra.
The more possibilities the merrier.

The ultrasensitive test sounds appealing but my husband is not the type
to benefit from this info.  He just doesn't like to know anything.
I've heard so much about the nomogram and I might check it out sometime
but  for the moment I  think I'll pass because I'm not so happy with
his numbers - G7 (4+3). and I'd rather not know.  Believe me, if he had
a g of 6 or less I'd be doing calculations all day.

What I really wanted to say to share with you all is my theory about
what makes the psa  testing process so wretched. I think it i because
unlike with some other illnesses, you, the patient, have no CONTROL
over the outcome.  And the less control you have the more anxious
you'll be.

For example, I don't know of anything reliable that you can do to
prevent a recurrence of pc. You could be the most virtuous person and
do everything right but it probably wouldn't change the outcome.
Therefore, you feel powerless.

Second, there are no warning signs of a recurrence.  It's not like you
get a get a nagging feeling that something in your body is not right.
This just adds to the sense of helplessness.

Finally,  if you get a positive psa result and have it verified it can
mean only one thing.   (Correct me if I'm wrong.)  Compare that to a
test that can point to various conditions, benign and serious.

I am only familiar with one other ca.  My husband had a melanoma some
years back and so what I write is from experience.  I am comparing my
experience with the two ca's so far.

A lot of time skin cancers are out there in the open. If Jon hadn't
shut  his eyes so tightly, he would have noticed the oozing sore on his
chest and done something about it.  Eventually, I got him to a derm who
diagnosed a melanoma.  He had surgery and the tumor was removed along
with the lymph nodes.

This all wasn't a picnic and i remember that every time i see the huge
scar on his chest shaped like a huge tic-tac-toe grid.

The difference between this and pca is that in the above situation you
have much more control of the disease.  I don't know of any way to
prevent a recurrence of melanoma.  But you can certainly check your
body regularly (or compulsively) and if you see anything suspicious you
can check it out with a doctor.  It happened that once I saw a
strange-looking pimple on J's  hand that turned out to be one of those
"benign" skin cancers.

Anyway, because the ozone layer is going and melanoma is rising fast,
it is a good idea for everybody to examine themseves and their partners
for strange looking skin phenomena.

I examine J. regularly and go over his body  nice and slow to make sure
i don't miss anything.  (A proper examination should take a few hours).
I check every square inch of him and I really mean it.  Melanomas can
appear anywhere, even in the hair.  Occasionally it occurs in the eyes
so you really need to fix your gaze on your partner's eyes for a very
long time..Finally you must examine the genitals very closely
(preferably with a magnifying glass) because, yes, it can happen there
too (that's why it's not a good idea to sunbathe in the nude...).

I repeat this exercise as often as I can.

My point in all this is that with melanoma  you have a way to detect a
recurrence of the cancer, and therefore you have a greater sense of
control and less anxiety when it comes to testing.  Chances are, if
you're vigilant, you will catch the problem before the dr. does.

On the other hand, the docs say Pca has no symptoms.  My husband found
out he had it bec. he was  having some normal prostate problems for
somebody his age: you know, getting it started, keeping it going, etc.
The doctor did a psa test and found that he had a 10 and referred him
to a urologist and the rest is history.

The doctors swore up and down that Jon's symptoms had nothing to do
with the pc; it was all a coincidence. This doesn't make any sense
because you would think a diseased organ (blocked by a tumor) would
malfunction in some way.  Anyway, it wha the docs say is true, there's
nothing that could alert you to the presence of pc, not even BPH.

Anyway, I hope I made my point about why psa testing is so agonizing.
The only thing that stands between you and eternity is this one blood
test.  And it is FATE that determines the outcome (you have no say in
it at all).  All you can do is hope for the best.

I am not saying this to depress anybody. For me, it feels a little
better know there are a lot of people in this same boat unfortunately,
and most of them will make it to shore.

The best things to do is not to think about it too much.  Maybe I just
have a little too much time on my hands.

 It happens that while I'm writing all this my husb is at a Yankee
game having a great time.  (I just got an update: the Yanks are playing
the orioles and are winning 13-4 and its only the sixth inning.  They
have hit 5 home runs.)  The people who wrote that they are filling
their time with sports or other hobbies have the right idea.

For me the most uplifting this is just to look at JOE TORRE.  He is a
pca survivor and he's certainly doing well.  He looks great and i
imagine him having a very full life, living it up in Hawaii and
frolicking with his barely legal wife (off-season).  And the yankees
are having their best season since maris and mantle, so Joe must be on
the ball. And for an older guy he has a certain sex appeal...

Ditto for Guiliani.  You never know, but our next president might be a
pca survivor.  It wouldn't surprise me.

Sorry to go on for so long.. I wish you all the best.

Leah

 

t
c palmer - 28 Sep 2006 10:09 GMT
hi leah - i didn't mention that i drew the skin cancer card as well as
the pca card.  

the good news is that i didn't quite wait as long as john, but i did
wait for almost two years and the area had grown to OVER 4 times its
size.  

i would like to offer a word about the psa tests without it sounding
like a challenge and starting world war III on the the subject of psa
testing.

you know, as much as we talk about gov't spending and the way that they
do things,  some things that they do are really a good thing.  by this,
i mean they have the money and the research to go as deep as a they want
into ANY subject of their choosing.

so, when the gov't is using the ultra-sensitive test,  there must a
reason.  

now, i will share with you what my surgeon said to me.

he said that when the prostate is removed,  that there won't be any
detectable psa and since he uses the ultra-sensitive testing of the
gov't, i found his comment interesting.

interesting, in the fact of all the conversations and posting that have
taken place at this newsgroup have talked about the positive and
negatives of psa testing.

interesting, in the fact that so many different sources will argue for
or against psa testing.

interesting, in the fact, that this is the standard that the gov't is
using for the veterans.

and most interesting, is the fact, that the waiting room at the urology
dept at the VA hospital is not full, but usually only has a handful of
men in there.  and a lot of times that i have been there, i am the only
one there.   think about it......

of all the men in the VA system, and of all the millions of
ultra-sensitive psa tests that the gov't run each year, and couple that
back to the above paragraph.

now, whether or not, somebody wants to use the super-sensitive,
ultra-sensitive, and the standard psa test is their choice.

but always remember this..........   when i was working in the test lab.
the standard for ANY test - had to pass TWO standards.

1.  it must sense what the test is suppose to sense, each as every time.

2. it must be reliable in the fact that the reading must read the same,
each and every time.

otherwise - the test is not a test.

it makes no difference, whether the test  is for blood sugar,
cholesterol, LDL, HDL, lipids, WBC, RBC, or the PSA.   we use tests in
our lives everyday and we trust the results of these tests in the fact
that are it is suppose to be telling us the right information and we
base decisions off of these tests.

well, i'll get off my stump - just wanted to give some food for thought
on this subject.

~ curtis

knowledge is power - growing old is mandatory - growing wise is optional    
"Many more men die with prostate cancer than of it. Growing old is
invariably fatal. Prostate cancer is only sometimes so."
http://community.webtv.net/PALMER_ENT/doc
callalily - 29 Sep 2006 17:27 GMT
> hi leah - i didn't mention that i drew the skin cancer card as well as
> the pca card.
>
> the good news is that i didn't quite wait as long as john, but i did
> wait for almost two years and the area had grown to OVER 4 times its
> size.

I guess you ARE  lucky to be this side of the dirt.  I hope the next
card you draw is  a good one.

>> you know, as much as we talk about gov't spending and the way that they
> do things,  some things that they do are really a good thing.  by this,
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> so, when the gov't is using the ultra-sensitive test,  there must a
> reason.

I think what you're saying is that the ultra test must be better bec.
the gov't uses it.  That is something to think about because, yes, the
gov't does have a lot of money (even if it's borrowed).

THe problem is that most of the time the government doesn't make very
good use of its money. So i was blown away to read the following (NYT,
9/4/06, "Health Policy Malpractice" by Paul Krugman):

"The veteran's health admin. is a stunning success. . . The system
achieves higher customer satisfaction than the private sector, higher
quality of care by a number of measures and lower mortality rates at a
much lower cost per patient."

Bravo.

> now, i will share with you what my surgeon said to me.
>
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> interesting, in the fact, that this is the standard that the gov't is
> using for the veterans.

had no idea the va healthcare system was so good.  Maybe i will
suggest to J. that he enlist in the army -- they will take anybody with
a pulse.  Anyway, a man always looks good in a uniform and the only one
J. has ever worn is a cub scout's.

> and most interesting, is the fact, that the waiting room at the urology
> dept at the VA hospital is not full, but usually only has a handful of
> men in there.  and a lot of times that i have been there, i am the only
> one there.   think about it......

I don't get it.  Is the waiting room empty bec. the patients are cured
or dead.

I think the ultra-sensitive test is worth looking into but suppose my
husband's doctor doesn't have it?  Then it would be upsetting.>

> all the best,

Leah
c palmer - 29 Sep 2006 17:46 GMT
From: lfcjjk@aol.com (callalily)

c palmer wrote:

hi leah - i didn't mention that i drew the skin cancer card as well as
the pca card.
the good news is that i didn't quite wait as long as john, but i did
wait for almost two years and the area had grown to OVER 4 times its
size.

I guess you ARE lucky to be this side of the dirt. I hope the next card
you draw is a good one.

======

hi leah - that ain't the half of it.  i don't tell everything at the
newsgroup when it comes to the choice of treatments because i believe
everyone should make up their own mind.  but i will tell this for the
first time.   in my case, surgery WAS the best option, just didn't know
it at the time.

i was going to have seeds done.  there is a story behind why i switched
at the last minute to the RP, but here's the "rest of the story"

when, they got inside of me,  they found that a piece of the BPH tissue
had pushed it's way out of the muscle band that supports the prostate
and it had pushed against and folded over the bladder wall and was
covering the bladder output hole.

the surgeon said that i was already going into rental shutdown and that
i would have been dead in 6 months unless i had this taken out, but
there was no test to show that i had this condition as it was.   so
between the skin cancer death card and this death card,  i'm waiting for
age 65 because i was told that without treatment for the pca, i would
have been dead before i could ever draw a social security check.

keep those good cards coming.

~ curtis

knowledge is power - growing old is mandatory - growing wise is optional    
"Many more men die with prostate cancer than of it. Growing old is
invariably fatal. Prostate cancer is only sometimes so."
http://community.webtv.net/PALMER_ENT/doc
callalily - 30 Sep 2006 18:19 GMT
> From: lfcjjk@aol.com (callalily)
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>
> ~ curtis

This is a great story.  I don't know why people keep the good stories
to themselves.

It's hard to imagine that you would have no symptoms in this situation.

Also, I wonder what it was that made you change your mind about
treatment.  I guess we will never know.

BTW my husband drew not only the skin cancer card and the PCa card but
also the high cholesterol card (w/o meds it has gone up to 365).

It's painful to see this happen to him bec. he is in good shape, works
out regularly, doesn't smoke, drink or do drugs, goes to sleep at the
same time every day and eats hamburgers (his favorite food) only on
special occasions.  He gave up the latter for soy burgers which he eats
once, sometimes twice a day.  I am going to get him some pomegranate
juice but the question is will he swallow it.

I'm sure he wonders why all this happened to him (and not his father,
for example, who has never had a sick day) but his solution is to pray.
It really gives him strength.

Good luck,

Leah
c palmer - 30 Sep 2006 22:50 GMT
It's hard to imagine that you would have no symptoms in this situation.

Also, I wonder what it was that made you change your mind about
treatment. I guess we will never know.

BTW my husband drew not only the skin cancer card and the PCa card but
also the high cholesterol card (w/o meds it has gone up to 365).

=======

hi leah - i've been told more than once that i should write a book
because of all the stuff that has happened in my life.

your husband's story isn't far off from mine.

i was healthy as a horse, until age 56.  in fact, (and i know this was
stupid)  i never saw a doctor but once between the age of 40 and 56.
the only time i was ever in a hospital before then was to visit someone.

and i knew my dad had pca when i was in my 50's but thinking that i
would get it "later down the road"

so, that will give you some idea of how screwed up my thinking was at
the time and i might point out that i had been researching pca
information for about some years before then.  it just didn't click i
guess.......  don't have an answer for that one.  

then, one day, after my back was against the wall from the barrage of
medical bills from the wife's sudden health problems of two heart
attacks, open heart surgery, three stents and two angioplasties,  there
was no money for my health care.  i was slowing down on the peeing part,
but wrote that off to maybe a BPH condition.

i was told that i could go to the VA and get medical treatment.  that i
was entitled to it since i'm a vet.  but being a vietnam vet, i didn't
want any part of it.   so, after much kicking around and fighting with
myself, i turned myself into them and they did the usual "check up
things" along with pulling blood for five different blood tests.   i
flunked four of them.  cholesterol was around 300 and my HDL, LDL, and
psa were out of range. and then got all this news on my birthday.  some
birthday present!!!!!

the following  year, i had 5 surgeries and ever since - my health has
been racking up more problems than tickets of a teenager in a high
powered hot rod.

but enough about that part.

you ask about why i switched treatments.  
ok - here's the story.....

as i watched my dad's psa climb from the watchful waiting and everything
he was going through with the HT treatment, i decided that if i were to
develop pca, i would have seeds.  it was the newest thing out and having
a vast of knowledge in radiation exposure,  knew that if you put the
radiation right inside where the cancer is, that you can kill it.

then, as the news hit that i had pca and the treatments were laid out in
front of me  to be chosen,  that was when i had a long, long talk with
my doctor.  i was amazed that he didn't try to end my conversation and
push me out the door. why?  because we are talking about a conversation
that lasted almost 2 hours.  he stayed there to answer ANY question and
concern that i had.  

so, when it got to the treatment on seeds, i stated my view point.  he
listened and then offered this view point.  he said,  "you know i'm a
surgeon.  this is the church that i practice at, so i'm biased".

then, he went on to discuss seeds.  he agreed with me that it would kill
the cancer inside, but added two comments beyond that.

the first comment was, "the cancer grows on the back two lobes.  picture
it like an orange and the cancer is on the peel of that orange.  you put
the radiation inside the orange, and you will certainly kill the pulp of
that orange, but will the radiation be strong enough to kill the cancer
that is on the peel of that orange?"

the second comment was very more direct.   he said, "you know, you are
going to kill the pca cells, but what about the good prostate cells.
you won't kill all of them.  you will leave some of them left.  but what
about them?  these are cells that have been heavily radiated and while,
right now, are ok, who is to say that in 3....4.....5..or 10 years down
the road, that they won't turn cancerous.   then, what are your options
at that point in time?"

it was this last question that got me to thinking.

right now, i knew that if i have surgery, and if i were to have a
recurrence, then i could use the radiation treatment later for a chance
for a second shot of beating it.  but,  if i were to use the radiation
treatment first, then, i've played all my cards and HT was the only
thing left and i already was witnessing what that treatment was like
with my dad.

the other joker in the deck that my doctor told me was this.  he said,
"right now,  you are a candidate for surgery.  but who is to say that 5
years or so,  if something was to happen to your health to where this
option is not open to you"  

i thought, boy, how right you are.  why?  because just 8 months before,
i had an echocardiogram done as part of the redux settlement and found
out that i have an enlarged heart chamber and a leaking heart valve.

so, with all of this information, i had a talk with the man in the
mirror.  and here's what i decided.

i had to look that person in the face each morning and i have to be
honest to myself.  if i were to take the easy way out and later, the
cancer came back,  can i tell myself that i gave my body EVERY chance
that it could to live?  the answer was 'no'.  i didn't.  i had knowledge
that there were two chances of survival if i went surgery, and only one
chance with radiation.   so, to me,  i HAD to go surgery because i owed
it to myself and nobody else.

oh, and to give you some idea of how bad the sympom of rental shutdown
was.  my dad was at the end of life part of stage 4 of pca, so you can
only image how bad off his rental function was as it was shuting down.  

i was having to stop at EVERY rest area on the highway to relieve
myself.   on the way over to the air force hospital, two of my sons went
with me,  we went into the rest room  - they took both of the urinals
and i had to go into a stall.  as the sons pass the stall, one said to
the other, "you know,  he pees like grandpa."   i yelled back, "hey,
this is the best i can do"   what i failed to recognize at that point,
is that my dad was 38 years older than me at that point and i'm already
there.........????

that's my story and i'm sticking to it......

i strongly feel that each  person should make the decision of their
treatment on pca with what they feel comfortable with and not have
someone else opinion pushed on them.

but you did ask and i did answer.

hope it was interesting reading......  :))

~ curtis

knowledge is power - growing old is mandatory - growing wise is optional    
"Many more men die with prostate cancer than of it. Growing old is
invariably fatal. Prostate cancer is only sometimes so."
http://community.webtv.net/PALMER_ENT/doc
 
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