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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Prostate Cancer / April 2006

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Adjuvant and salvage RT comments from my uro-onc

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I.P. Freely - 16 Apr 2006 06:11 GMT
Just some random points from my latest appointment with my doctor
yesterday, FWIW, in case it triggers any useful dialog or ideas.

Refresher: PSA 8.8, Gleason 8, T3c @ age 61, RRP Oct ’04 w/ negative
margins but SVI. PSA still < 0.03 @ 18 months, but with pre-op PSAV >
2.0, SVI, and G8 I’m probably screwed; it will probably return. Our
major focus is on the selection and timing of my next tx (we can focus
on that now because my OTHER, more dangerous, cancer has been called
“probably cured”). Doc is uro, onc, surgeon, medical professor, and
large-study researcher who studies the literature rigorously, attends
many medical conferences, and is active in the robust Seattle medical
community. I believe he knows his stuff, and he consults with others
frequently and hooks me up with them when appropriate.

Now for some Q&A, paraphrased from my notes and my backup set of ears
(my very sharp, attentive, informed wife).

I.P.: I’ve begun modest adjuvant/salvage RT reading, and quickly find
two bottom lines drawn by studies and by formal polls of oncologists:
1. Whether we do RT preemptively (early adjuvant, w/no PSA) or upon PSA
return (thus SRT by definition) is a coin-toss in terms of results, and
2. That parity goes away if we let PSA slide past 1.0. i.e., if we’re
gonna do post-op RT, we’d best do it before 1.0.

Doc: Right, and right.

I.P.: And even the studies that show significant benefits of early
treatments usually mean biochemical advantage, not survival advantage,
right? I.e., any advantage is often just in the PSA number, not
something actually IMPORTANT or perceptive?

Doc: Correct. Doctors and pts choosing treatments and timing should
consider that distinction.

I.P.: What are the distinctions between adjuvant and salvage, when has
PSA failure occurred, and when does the PSA DT calculation begin after a
treatment?

Doc: The old PSA "failure" threshold of 0.2 is beginning to give way to
0.4 in many circles. After that point post-RP RT becomes "salvage", and
PSA DT calculation begins. The time-to-failure and the subsequent PSA DT
are two of the three best independently useful predictors, along with
verified Gleason number.

I.P.: Strum told one of our cancer forum guys that w/SVI, RT has only a
7% chance of helping, so why bother with the tx or risk the SEs? Do you
concur?

Doc: Strum is not invited to conferences and doesn’t get his literature
reviewed by peers because he can’t back his work up with data. I study
this particular literature exhaustively, and the real SRT benefit figure
for your case is 30%, even with SVI. So the benefit is clear and
significant, but the SEs often include serious or even severe diarrhea
and urinary problems for weeks to months plus some risk of long-term
bowel problems.

I.P.: Speaking of which, let’s get real; tats and even gold fiducial
implants and pelvic molds notwithstanding, how in heck can radiologists
zap an internal soft target within a millimeter 35 times without frying
the rectum and other goodies? Even if radiation WERE aimed within
microns, we’re talking MEAT here, not cast iron; radiation blooms
(similar scatter is the major technical challenge to Star Wars laser
weapons) and meat shifts.

Doc: This, plus the extra dosage, boosts post-RP RT's short and long
term SE threat. I worked with RT at S-K, and targeting is always a
challenge.

I.P.: Is Provenge [an immunotherapy candidate] becoming a prospect for
me if I can wait a while yet? And is immunotherapy in general a
promising technology? How about nanoparticles?

Doc: Both immunotherapy -- alone or with chemo -- and nanoparticles are
very promising technologies. I often discuss Provenge with the CEO of
Dendreon (the Provenge manufacturer), and the nanotechnology guru is on
our staff, so we follow both closely. But both are still a long ways
from USFDA approval. And chemo, while not nearly as traumatic as it was
years ago, is still of limited effectiveness, adding maybe 6 months to
survival in very advanced PC cases.

I.P.: Any emerging PC met predictors or detectors, such as CT/PET, for
screening pts considering RT?

Doc: CT/PET is still hampered in PC met detection by its slow sugar
uptake [as this forum has discussed], but there are many efforts to find
other enhancers which will light PC mets up like light bulbs.  It’s all
promising technology receiving a lot of attention. But because you had
negative surgical margins, any PSA recurrence is more likely to be
distant, reducing the likelihood that prostate fossa RT will resolve any
recurrence.

At that point I was about to suggest that given my PSA level and the SRT
effectiveness breakpoint of 1.0, we should reduce our face-to-face
meetings to every six months, plus quarterly PSA tests, plus ongoing
e-mail and phone calls as necessary (my doc is 220 miles away over a
very snowy mountain pass), and hold off on my intense SRT research until
my PSA dynamics say “it’s time”.

The doc beat me to it with exactly that recommendation, with one caveat:
“How do you feel about quarterly PSAs? Some men have a big problem with
them, but it is useful data.”

I.P.: I want to know what’s going on because it helps me feel more in
charge of this thing. Quarterly it is.

I.P.
juniper - 16 Apr 2006 16:03 GMT
Great stuff, I.P.  Do you have any concerns about RT increasing the
chances for a secondary (not prostate) cancer?  Especially since you
have already had a different cancer?  We are concerned because of an
extreme family history of colon (and other) cancers.  Unfortunately I
have not found much information on this topic.  In addition to all the
other SEs and the questionable value of salvage RT w/known mets, this
particular question of secondary cancers caused by the RT is high on
our list for potential SEs to consider.  I think I am once again the
run-on-sentence queen.  My question is if you have any informtaion
about the secondary cancer risk.

> Just some random points from my latest appointment with my doctor
> yesterday, FWIW, in case it triggers any useful dialog or ideas.
[quoted text clipped - 102 lines]
>
> I.P.
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 01:42 GMT
> Do you have any concerns about RT increasing the
> chances for a secondary (not prostate) cancer?  

Minor concern, sure, but I don't think that needs to be a dominant
factor in a Tc3 G8 case, where the bigger threat is the return of an
aggressive PC. RT-induced colon (rectal) cancer seems to surface around
a decade later, so a big issue would be the 10-year prognosis of one's
individual case of PC. Otherwise and in general, RT-induced CC would
probably a strong tiebreaker if everything else is a coin toss,
including one's age and overall health.

> Especially since you
> have already had a different cancer?  

My other cancer, also an aggressive one whose pathology indicates its
return is a coin toss or worse (but with nothing even near the
statistical base of PC), has been a solid decision tiebreaker for me
(but which I've done my best to leave out of my PC deliberations here
because it's irrelevant to this forum), but now that its threat has
diminished (pending one last 6-month CT soon), I [hope I] can focus on
my PC, especially on SRT, when my PSA or clinical data warrants it.

> We are concerned because of an
> extreme family history of colon (and other) cancers.  Unfortunately I
> have not found much information on this topic.  
> My question is if you have any informtaion
> about the secondary cancer risk.

My particular colon cancer (a carcinoid tumor) is very rare even among
colon cancers, so I haven't researched garden variety colon cancer. Even
the colon cancer books seldom cover carcinoid tumors to any useful
length. But as nasty as "ordinary" colon cancer is, I'd surely keep
close tabs on it while making PC tx choices. If Google reveals nothing,
I'd be asking your questions directly of a couple of major hospitals or
individual gurus, who in turn may direct you to some useful sources.

I.P.
Alan Meyer - 17 Apr 2006 22:05 GMT
Excellent report I.P.  Thanks.

> I.P.: And even the studies that show significant benefits of early treatments usually
> mean biochemical advantage, not survival advantage, right? I.e., any advantage is often
> just in the PSA number, not something actually IMPORTANT or perceptive?
>
> Doc: Correct. Doctors and pts choosing treatments and timing should consider that
> distinction.

I have seen this before, but I confess that I have not understood
it.

Is it the case that early treatment reduces PSA but that the
men die of prostate cancer at about the same time that they
would have died anyway, albeit with a lower PSA?

Or is it that early treatment leads to an increase in early deaths
from non-prostate cancer causes, e.g., heart disease or
something else, and this balances out any advantage that might
be gained in the fight against PCa?

Or is it that early treatment and later treatment both add about
the same amount of time to life, i.e., that the treatment works,
but there is no advantage to starting it early as opposed to waiting
for metastasis, or perhaps even waiting for symptoms?

Or is there some other explanation?

I also wonder if the generalization that early treatment confers no
survival advantage is true for all groups, i.e., independently of age,
Gleason, or primary treatment.

Thanks.
Ed Friedman - 17 Apr 2006 23:04 GMT
> Excellent report I.P.  Thanks.
>
[quoted text clipped - 29 lines]
>
> Thanks.

Alan,

The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival rate.

My personal theory is that this is an example of competitive risk factor
for low levels of T.  It is known that men with low endogenous levels of
T have the worse prognosis for PCa, and low T is also linked to all
major cardiovascular risk factors (the #1 killer of men) as well as
Alzheimer's and reduced cognitive ability (which may result in more
accidental deaths).

Ed Friedman
Alan Meyer - 18 Apr 2006 00:08 GMT
...
> Alan,
>
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
>
> Ed Friedman

That makes sense.  Thanks.

I guess if I had a choice I'd prefer a heart attack, especially a
quick one, to a slow death by PCa.  On the other hand, I think
I'd prefer almost anything, including cancer, to Alzheimer's.

   Alan
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 04:19 GMT
> I think
> I'd prefer almost anything, including cancer, to Alzheimer's.

Well, our FAMILIES probably would, but would we know, or care?

I will not let my wife suffer through years of my advanced Alzheimer's
unless she so chooses. That's not fair.

I.P.
Alan Meyer - 18 Apr 2006 15:42 GMT
> > I think
> > I'd prefer almost anything, including cancer, to Alzheimer's.
>
> Well, our FAMILIES probably would, but would we know, or care?

I've seen it both ways.  My mom knew for years that her faculties
were slipping.  She hated it and was tremendously angry and
depressed.  At the last stages, when she couldn't talk any more,
had lost most of her memory, and was living in an Alzheimer's
home, she stopped eating and starved herself to death.

> I will not let my wife suffer through years of my advanced Alzheimer's
> unless she so chooses. That's not fair.

I'm pretty sure that my wife would choose to take care of me - which
is a reason why, if I have the guts and still retain enough knowledge
to do it, I would try to keep her from having to live through that.

Cancer is tough, but there's nothing more heartbreaking than to
look at a parent or spouse who isn't sure who you are, can't talk
and make sense, is desparately unhappy, and there isn't a thing
you can do about any of it except watch it get worse and worse.

   Alan
ron - 18 Apr 2006 00:27 GMT
Ed Friedman wrote...snip...
> The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
> number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival rate.

See
J Clin Oncol. 2005 Nov 10;23(32):8225-31; Early versus delayed androgen
deprivation for prostate cancer: new fuel for an old debate; Ryan CJ,
Small EJ.

The time from diagnosis to death (overall survival, e.g. not PCa
specific mortality) in advanced men is increased by 17 months (18%) if
ADT is initiated before mets appear (D0) rather than after (D2).  The
authors also note that their study was biased and the "true" difference
in time from diagnosis to death is probably larger than they report.
72% of the men in their D0 cohort had GS 8-10, only 46% of the men in
the D2 cohort has GS 8-10...Ron
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 04:02 GMT
> The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
> number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival rate.

Doesn't that imply the treatment killed off some people early, by
accelerating their cancer or causing other means of death?

> My personal theory is that this is an example of competitive risk factor
> for low levels of T.  It is known that men with low endogenous levels of
> T have the worse prognosis for PCa, and low T is also linked to all
> major cardiovascular risk factors (the #1 killer of men) as well as
> Alzheimer's and reduced cognitive ability (which may result in more
> accidental deaths).

Heresy! That would imply that ADT might conceivably have . . . dare I
say it? . . . SIDE EFFECTS!  '-)

I.P.
juniper - 18 Apr 2006 05:30 GMT
> > The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
> > number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival rate.
>
> Doesn't that imply the treatment killed off some people early, by
> accelerating their cancer or causing other means of death?

What is the overall survival in that age group?  Maybe it doesn't
change the death rate at all.  Having seen my father-in-law die of PCa
mets to the brain, I think there are better ways to go.  Worse, too, I
suppose.
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 07:06 GMT
>>> The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
>>> number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival rate.

>> Doesn't that imply the treatment killed off some people early, by
>> accelerating their cancer or causing other means of death?
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> mets to the brain, I think there are better ways to go.  Worse, too, I
> suppose.

I'm talking straight math. If the number of PC-related deaths in a
sample goes down but the overall survival rate does not go up, then
non-related deaths must have increased. Why?

I.P.
juniper - 18 Apr 2006 16:08 GMT
> > What is the overall survival in that age group?  Maybe it doesn't
> > change the death rate at all.  Having seen my father-in-law die of PCa
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> sample goes down but the overall survival rate does not go up, then
> non-related deaths must have increased. Why?

No real answer here, but a little 'net scanning is interesting. There
are a couple of key pieces of information in here, one of which is
"estimates of long term survival may not be very relevant for newly
diagnosed patients".

"The death rate, as opposed to number of deaths, has been declining in
the United States since 1991. But, until 2003, the aging and growth of
the population conspired to increase the actual number of deaths.  Now,
the numbers are actually dropping. The report found that from 2002 to
2003 the number of U.S. cancer deaths fell by 369 -- from 557,271 in
2002 to 556,902 the following year. http://tinyurl.com/zr8yc"

"  Age-Adjusted Rate  Age-adjustment is a method that allows
comparisons of populations that takes into account the differences in
ages of these populations. SEER incidence rates and US mortality rates
are age-adjusted to the US population as was recorded in the 2000
census. An age-adjusted rate is a weighted average of crude rates,
where the crude rates are calculated for different age groups and the
weights are the proportions of persons in the corresponding age groups
of a standard population. The age-adjusted rate for an age group
comprised of the ages x through y is calculated using the following
formula:  /faststats/img26.gif  where count is the number of cases for
the ith age group, popi is the relevant population for the same age
group, and stdmili is the standard population for the same age group.
See Calculating Age-adjusted Rates for more information."
http://seer.cancer.gov/cgi-bin/glossary/glossary.pl

"One problem inherent in estimating long- term survival is that only
cohorts diagnosed a long time ago have enough follow-up to directly
estimate these quantities. Thus direct estimates of long term survival
may not be very relevant for newly diagnosed patients, especially in
cancer sites where there have been dramatic improvements in survival.
The section on Cohort Definition describes various approaches to
defining which years of diagnosis are included in order to provide more
up-to-date estimates of survival... Population-based survival derived
from cancer registries differs in several important ways from survival
derived in clinical trial settings. In a clinical trial there is a
detailed review of the medical record to ascertain the cause of death,
whereas in population-based registry settings one must depend on death
certificates which have inherent inaccuracies. Approaches to Estimation
describes various approaches to using death certificate cause of death
as the endpoint. Another approach circumvents the problems inherent in
using death certificate cause of death, if one can assume that the
general population dies of causes other than cancer at the same rate as
the cancer population. If this independent competing risk assumption is
met, then one can use population lifetables to statistically factor out
the probability of death from cancer and other causes. Potential
problems with using life tables include lack of availability for small
geographic areas, certain racial/ethnic groups, and up-to-date tables.
http://srab.cancer.gov/survival/ "

"The largest number of avoided deaths arose for breast cancer in women
(4822), representing an 11% reduction in the excess mortality that
would have occurred within five years of diagnosis if survival had not
improved. More than 1000 deaths were also avoided from cancers of the
colon (2560, 6% of excess deaths), bladder (1157, 6%) and rectum (1090,
4%) and from melanoma of the skin (1098, 23%) (fig 1). Comparatively
few deaths were avoided by improvements in survival from cancers of the
lung (326 deaths, 0.2%), stomach (627, 1.6%), or prostate (294, 1%),
for which survival had hardly improved since the previous five year
period... Future gains in survival cannot be predicted with any
certainty: even a small improvement in survival for one or more common
cancers---such as those of lung, stomach, oesophagus, or
prostate---would have a major impact on avoided deaths. Conversely, if
no such gains occur and if the recent pace of improvement in survival
for other cancers is not maintained, the future reduction in cancer
deaths would be much smaller. However, given the overall regularity
with which survival for all cancers combined has improved during the 25
years up to 1995,3 recent gains can be used as the basis for a rough
estimate of the extent to which future improvements in survival might
contribute to the government's target of fewer cancer deaths by 2010.
If excess mortality were to continue falling for patients diagnosed
during 1996-2010 as it has done for patients diagnosed during
1981-90---that is, by about 3% every five years---then a further 6%
fall would occur, leading to some 34 000 fewer deaths overall within
five years of diagnosis by the year 2010, of which some 24 000 would be
in people aged under 75. This represents about a quarter of the
government's overall target "to reduce the death rate from cancer in
people under 75 years by at least a fifth by 2010---saving up to 100
000 lives in total."
http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/content/full/320/7239/895
juniper - 18 Apr 2006 16:15 GMT
> I'm talking straight math. If the number of PC-related deaths in a
> sample goes down but the overall survival rate does not go up, then
> non-related deaths must have increased. Why?

Here's one you'll like: (except I think its talking about preventative
chemo)
" There are relative risks and benefits for any treatment. Tamoxifen
has certain side effects that can be serious. Whether these potential
side effects are acceptable to an individual patient depends on how
much benefit she may receive. If a patient has a high risk of breast
cancer and an intervention may substantially reduce that risk, then the
side effects are more palatable than if a patient is at low risk for
cancer and can expect little incremental benefit (which may be
outweighed by the side effects). Furthermore, tamoxifen's possible
beneficial effects on other organs such as the heart and bones (which
estrogen is known to affect) also plays a role in the equation. A
recent study in the Journal of Clinical Oncology (Vol. 16, No 6; June
1998: p 2018-2024) suggested that for breast cancer survivors on
tamoxifen treatment, the balance between avoided deaths (from new
breast cancer or cardiovascular disease) outweighed excess deaths (from
uterine cancer and blood clots), yielding an overall survival benefit."
http://tinyurl.com/fr6hy
Ed Friedman - 18 Apr 2006 17:07 GMT
>>>> The studies that I have seen indicate that the treatment reduces the
>>>> number of deaths due to PCa, but does not improve overall survival
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
>
> I.P.

I.P.

That is exactly the point of competitive risk.  E.g., let's take a
totally hypothetical set of numbers to illustrate the principle.  If men
with a level of T of 250 will die on average at age 70 from heart
failure, whereas men with that level of T with PCa will die on average
at age 69.5, then even if the PCa is cured, there will be no noticeable
increase in survival rate.

Think of it as a car that is getting older and every part is starting to
fail.  Even if you remove the rust (or repair any other single problem),
that won't stop the car from dying from the other parts that are in the
process of failing.  So the treatment did not increase the failure rate
of the other parts - it was just irrelevant to that failure rate.

Ed Friedman
juniper - 19 Apr 2006 06:05 GMT
> That is exactly the point of competitive risk.  E.g., let's take a
> totally hypothetical set of numbers to illustrate the principle.  If men
> with a level of T of 250 will die on average at age 70 from heart
> failure, whereas men with that level of T with PCa will die on average
> at age 69.5, then even if the PCa is cured, there will be no noticeable
> increase in survival rate.

I don't even know what to do with this.  I guess that's why they say if
someone's life expectancy is over 10 years then look at local
treatments.  Trouble is, in the absence of identified serious disease,
almost everyone's life expectancy is 10 years or more.

At least this explains why the other statements didn't 'sit right' with
me (that PCa treatment causes death by other causes.)  I mean, I'm sure
it does in *some* instances.  So does crossing a street, sometimes.  I
guess we all have to think we are in the % that is going to live 10 or
20 or 30 years, and make treatment decisions based on that.  The fact
that PCa tends to be an age-skewed disease is just part of the picture.

I suppose if you did as complete assessment of your health and health
risks as possible, and addressed them all, and adjusted for age, then
treatment might show a much better survival advantage than it does.
ralphv - 18 Apr 2006 01:40 GMT
> Excellent report I.P.  Thanks.
>
[quoted text clipped - 29 lines]
>
> Thanks.
RV>++++++++++++++++++>
Alan,
There are several trials that have shown survival benefits. The best
known is the landmark study by Bolla M et al. that compared the use of
adjuvant androgen suppression  combined with EBRT with EBRT alone in
locally advanced prostate cancer.

The results were:
1. Disease-free survival: 40% in the radiotherapy-alone group, and 74%
in the combined treatment group
2. Overall survival was: 62% and 78% respectively
3. Disease-specific survival was: 79% and 94% respectively).

As you can see his study demonstrated that for patients with locally
advanced disease, prolonged (three years) combined androgen suppression
and radiation is superior to radiation alone.

Other studies include:
A. RTOG trial 86-10 of androgen deprivation adjuvant to definitive
radiotherapy in locally advanced carcinoma of the prostate.

471 patients were randomized to receive goserelin, 3.6 mg every 4
weeks; and flutamide, 250 mg t.i.d. for 2 months before radiation
therapy and during radiation therapy (Arm I), or radiation therapy
alone (Arm II).

RESULTS: As of November 1999, the median follow-up has reached 6.7
years for all patients and 8.6 years for alive patients. At 8 years,
androgen ablation has been associated with an improvement in local
control (42% vs. 30%, p = 0.016), reduction in the incidence of distant
metastases (34% vs. 45%, p = 0.04), disease-free survival (33% vs. 21%,
p = 0.004), biochemical disease-free survival = PSA <1.5 (24% vs. 10%,
p < 0.0001), and cause-specific mortality (23% vs. 31%, p = 0.05).
However, subset analysis indicates that the beneficial effect of
short-term androgen ablation appears preferentially in patients with
Gleason score 2--6. In that population, there is a highly significant
improvement in all endpoints, including survival (70% vs. 52%, p =
0.015). In patients with Gleason 7--10 tumors, the regimen has not
resulted in a significant enhancement in either locoregional control or
survival. CONCLUSION: In patients with Gleason score 2--6 carcinoma of
the prostate, a short course of androgen ablation administered before
and during radiotherapy has been associated with a highly significant
improvement in local control, reduction in disease progression, and
overall survival.

B. Phase III trial of androgen suppression adjuvant to definitive
radiotherapy. Long term results of RTOG study 85-31.

RTOG (Radiation Therapy Oncology Group) Protocol 85-31 was designed to
evaluate the effectiveness of adjuvant androgen suppression using
goserelin in unfavorable prognosis carcinoma of the prostate treated
with definitive radiotherapy. Eligible patients were those with
palpable primary tumor extending beyond the prostate (Clinical Stage
T3) or those with regional lymphatic involvement. Patients who have
undergone prostatectomy were eligible if there was histologically
documented penetration through the prostatic capsule to the margin of
resection and/or seminal vesicle involvement. Stratification was based
on histological differentiation, nodal status, acid phosphatase status,
and prior prostatectomy. The patients were randomized to either
radiotherapy and adjuvant goserelin (Arm I) or to radiotherapy alone
followed by observation and application of goserelin at the time of
relapse (Arm II). In Arm I the drug was to be started during the last
week of radiation therapy and was to be continued indefinitely or until
signs of progression. From 1987 to 1992 when the study was closed, 977
patients were entered: 488 on Arm I and 489 on Arm II. As of December
2002, the median follow-up for all patients reached 7.3 years and for
live patients10 years. Adjuvant androgen suppression has resulted in
significant improvement in all end points.
Ten year results were:
Local Failure: 23% for combined treatment versus 39% for RT alone (p=
0.0001)
Distant metastasis: 25% vs 39% respectively (p= 0.0001)
Absolute survival: 53% vs 38% respectively (p=0.0043)

In summary, there was disease-specific survival and and overall
survival reported in these trials. BTW, these were randomized clinical
trials, but for whatever reason the SEs of treatment are usually
reported and the poor quality of life of progressive disease leading to
death seems go be ignored. The symtomatic effects of disease
progression should not be ignored in the decision making process.

RalphV
juniper - 18 Apr 2006 03:37 GMT
> on histological differentiation, nodal status, acid phosphatase status,

What is 'acid phospatase status'?

> trials, but for whatever reason the SEs of treatment are usually
> reported and the poor quality of life of progressive disease leading to
> death seems go be ignored. The symtomatic effects of disease

Very good point, Ralph.

> progression should not be ignored in the decision making process.
>
> RalphV
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 21:18 GMT
> There are several trials that have shown survival benefits. The best
> known is the landmark study by Bolla M et al. that compared the use of
> adjuvant androgen suppression  combined with EBRT with EBRT alone in
> locally advanced prostate cancer.

Since I'm past that point and that decision for now, I just don't have
the time and motivation to re-examine these particular results on their
merits. Thus I must question them in a more general way: If these
studies are so definitive and so applicable and so "old", why were they
not argued so adamantly by this forum or by my oncology team when I
researched and raised the ADT effectiveness issue so thoroughly 15
months ago?

Were our own in-house experts, a teaching hospital, cancer research
centers, Google, the VA, and a team of oncology researchers/
practicioners -- some with PC -- ignorant of these results? Are there
reasons these results are inapplicable or suspect in the negative-margin
T3 scenario?

I encountered the names and acronyms you reference during my research,
yet I, our forum, and the dozen oncologists involved in my ADT decision
all reached quite different ADT benefit assessments than Bolla reaches.
Not even the most optimistic studies anyone brought up offered as much
benefit as he does, IIRC.  Regrettably, I've all but given up in trying
to find the file I generated 15 months ago before my new computer puked,
so I can't conveniently trace many of my findings back to specific
studies. What I DO have includes the following segment of my carefully
developed summary of that research:

EARLY ADJUVANT ADT BENEFITS . . . OR LACK THEREOF
* Major meta-study found no evidence that early adjuvant ADT provides
any advantage, even w/rising PSA. [Walsh, the Mayo Clinic,
Sloan-Kettering, the ACS, and universities agree (citing failure to
prolong life, SEs, QOL, and accelerated refraction).]
* 5-yr-relapse-free ADT improvements run from negligible to 10-15% . . .
not much benefit for the SEs.
* Adjuvant ADT helped N=1 patients, but trials do not demonstrate clear
advantages to ADT after RP w/N=0, even with PSA elevation.
* Pts w/asymptomatic mets *MAY* experience fewer serious complications
with early, rather than late, ADT.
* Finasteride monotherapy slightly improved prognosis, but => more,
higher-grade refractory tumors.
* ADT 2 or 3 (CAB) not promising, not curative, may promote refraction,
no 5-yr benefit, more SEs.
* IAD MAY delay refractory mutation, MAY extend heartbeat by 6-12
months, and MAY reduce side effects towards the end of each ADT-off cycle.
* Young (including robust middle-agers) G8 T3c RP pts have unacceptably
high relapse and refraction rates even with adjuvant ADT,
* But it’s ineffective after biochemical failure w/Gleason >7.
* T3c, G > 6, and/or aneuploidy => high p(AIPC) => low likelihood of big
ADT benefit.
* All those results => little risk and much reward potential in delaying
ADT at least until PSA DT is known.
* OTOH, accumulating evidence supports ADT w/locally advanced disease
(but is a long ways from overriding the bulk of the data, especially
with G>7).
* Antiandrogen monotherapy w/Casodex reduces SEs to primarily
gynecomastia, may be as effective as LHRH agonists or castration for
locally advanced PC, and is approved in 60 countries -- but not the U.S.
-- for that purpose.

Where Bolla fits in there I just don't recall, yet I suspect it's all of
great interest to many of us.

I.P.
ralphv - 19 Apr 2006 00:23 GMT
> > There are several trials that have shown survival benefits. The best
> > known is the landmark study by Bolla M et al. that compared the use of
[quoted text clipped - 61 lines]
>
> I.P.
RV>++++++++++>
You just mentioned the Bolla study, but there are several studies (I
mentioned 3) where there is a survival benefit including the Messing E
et al study mentioned in a previous post.

Why this was not discussed here or by your team of oncologists is
difficult to understand. These are all Phase III, randomized clinical
trials. Should they be ignored because they were not mentioned here or
by your team of experts? You just reported a recent exchange with your
doctor:
"I.P.: And even the studies that show significant benefits of early
treatments usually mean biochemical advantage, not survival
advantage,right? I.e., any advantage is often just in the PSA number,
not something actually IMPORTANT or perceptive?

Doc: Correct. Doctors and pts choosing treatments and timing should
consider that distinction. "

It seems that he still doesn't know about these trials or is ignoring
them for whatever reason even when they have demonstrated a survival
benefit based on timing and protocol.

RalphV
I.P. Freely - 19 Apr 2006 01:18 GMT
> You just mentioned the Bolla study, but there are several studies (I
> mentioned 3) where there is a survival benefit including the Messing E
> et al study mentioned in a previous post.

> Why this was not discussed here or by your team of oncologists is
> difficult to understand. These are all Phase III, randomized clinical
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> them for whatever reason even when they have demonstrated a survival
> benefit based on timing and protocol.

And case relevancy.

I noticed 15 months ago, my oncs confirmed, and we discussed here, that
Messing's study is inapplicable to this scenario because his study
explicitly addressed node-positive PC, in which RT alone is obviously
inadequate and ADT is virtually a no-brainer for max survivability.
Çonsiderations such as that relegate many studies (e.g., Crawford,
Labrie, Granfors, and on and on) to the interesting-but-irrelevant bin
in this case, and illustrate the necessity for each of us to look
carefully before applying any study to our own case.

I.P.
Alan Meyer - 19 Apr 2006 02:30 GMT
I.P., have a look at the article abstract I posted under the heading:

 "Overall survival improved by hormone therapy"

It's from a Bolla study published November, 2005.

Bolla studied a number of different categories of patients with
radiation as their primary therapy, not surgery.  My reading of
his conclusion is that all radiation patients benefitted from ADT,
no matter whether they started before or immediately after
radiation, or what their initial condition was.  He claimed a
significant overall survival benefit for all such patients.

However, I couldn't tell from the abstract that the overall
survival benefit was greater for patients starting ADT immediately
vs. those who waited for a rise in PSA.  If he studied that,
it doesn't appear to be reported in the abstract.  There is also
nothing said about surgery patients.

When I was first diagnosed with PCa and started researching
all of the issues, I assumed that significant sized, randomized
clinical trials gave us unimpeachable evidence for their
conclusions.  I have since concluded that it ain't so.  They
give evidence, but even with large numbers of randomized
participants, it's not the kind of evidence that we can accept
just based on the study design.  I've seen too many good
sized clinical trials that come to contradictory conclusions.

I presume that there are often hidden factors that bias results
that no one realizes.  Maybe the sample population isn't as
representative as expected.  Maybe the treatment isn't exactly
as described.  Maybe the randomization wasn't perfect, or
the period of observation too short, or the people assigned to
one group tended to get treatments outside the study.

So I still believe strongly in clinical trials.  What else do we
have?  But I won't take the results of any one trial as gospel.

   Alan
ralphv - 19 Apr 2006 03:15 GMT
<snip>
> So I still believe strongly in clinical trials.  What else do we
> have?  But I won't take the results of any one trial as gospel.
>
>     Alan
RV>+++++++++++++++++>
The question was/is: is there a survival benefit to ADT + EBRT?
Based on this study and several other randomized trials the answer is
yes. This includes overall survival as well. Still each individual must
do what they think is better for them.

RalphV
I.P. Freely - 19 Apr 2006 04:09 GMT
> The question was/is: is there a survival benefit to ADT + EBRT?

That's news to me. No WONDER I got lost in that recent thread.

I.P.
ralphv - 19 Apr 2006 04:38 GMT
> > The question was/is: is there a survival benefit to ADT + EBRT?
>
> That's news to me. No WONDER I got lost in that recent thread.
>
> I.P.
RV>++++++++++++++>
Amazing! You started the thread saying that there was no survival
benefit and your physician agreed. Ed Friedman mentioned that there was
disease-specific survival but no overall survival. When I provided
references, you said: no relevancy. Now you say it is news to you? No
WONDER indeed!

RalphV
I.P. Freely - 19 Apr 2006 05:35 GMT
>>> The question was/is: is there a survival benefit to ADT + EBRT?
>> That's news to me. No WONDER I got lost in that recent thread.
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> references, you said: no relevancy. Now you say it is news to you? No
> WONDER indeed!

Please show me where I introduced -- or even discussed -- combined
ADT/EBRT. OF COURSE there's a survival benefit to ADT, or EBRT, or EBRT
with ADT in my opening post. My comparison was between early (by
definition: no PSA, no mets, no nothing past RP) and at biochemical
failure, i.e., early adjuvant RT vs salvage RT.

I.P.
I.P. Freely - 19 Apr 2006 23:05 GMT
> I.P., have a look at the article abstract I posted under the heading:
>
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> radiation, or what their initial condition was.  He claimed a
> significant overall survival benefit for all such patients.

That ADT may prolong life doesn't surprise me at all; many studies
agree. But the little blurb we can find in English about that study
leaves three HUGE questions:
1. By how much?
2. By how much with high-risk cases in particular?
3. Does his study of primary RT mean squat in post-RP cases? (My oncs'
usual answer to questions about the applicability of "inapplicable"
studies is usually something like "it's tough enough being sure studies
addressing exactly a given case are valid and useful; we REALLY have
little faith in the applicability of "inapplicable" studies, because
there are way too many variables."

Because this group of oncs, including my primary onc in particular,
monitors and performs studies in many PC-related fields, I'm quite
confident they've seen this study and consider it of little use for the
SRT pt . . . else they would have mentioned it to me.

I've added it to my file.

I.P.
I.P. Freely - 18 Apr 2006 02:15 GMT
>> I.P.: And even the studies that show significant benefits of early treatments usually
>> mean biochemical advantage, not survival advantage, right? I.e., any advantage is often
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> men die of prostate cancer at about the same time that they
> would have died anyway

That's my understanding, and my doc confirmed it.

> albeit with a lower PSA?

That, or the PSA may surge. But if we're on our death bed and fresh out
of options, our PSA level is of little concern.

> Or is it that early treatment leads to an increase in early deaths
> from non-prostate cancer causes, e.g., heart disease or
> something else, and this balances out any advantage that might
> be gained in the fight against PCa?

The GOOD studies and reports separate the cancer-specific survival
results from the overall survival results. But while your question is
intriguing, I've never seen it addressed. One reason is that high
cholesterol usually takes decades to kill, so even if our ADT clearly
bumps our cholesterol, any subsequent heart attack that renders our PC
moot was probably initiated by any of the other causes of heart attacks.

> Or is it that early treatment and later treatment both add about
> the same amount of time to life, i.e., that the treatment works,
> but there is no advantage to starting it early as opposed to waiting
> for metastasis, or perhaps even waiting for symptoms?

I'd guess, and I think my doc and much of the literature concur or
doesn't dispute, that this is often the case, depending on many  factors.

> Or is there some other explanation?

Likely so, but I'm generally a bottom line kinda guy, and any
explanations might concern PC researchers more than their patients.

> I also wonder if the generalization that early treatment confers no
> survival advantage is true for all groups, i.e., independently of age,
> Gleason, or primary treatment.

Well, most of the studies cover pretty specific parameters, and my doc,
like many I'm sure, is quick to discourage me from applying
non-Tc3/G8/RP studies to my Tc3/G8/RP case. I haven't asked him yet
whether his mistrust of unproven factoids and protocols is due more to
personal cynicism, professional conservatism, or simply the number of
great-sounding hypotheses that have crashed and burned. I suspect I'll
ask that question when my PSA approaches 0.5 . . . one PSA DT short of
1.0 . . . or maybe even at 0.2.

I.P.
juniper - 18 Apr 2006 03:47 GMT
> Well, most of the studies cover pretty specific parameters, and my doc,
> like many I'm sure, is quick to discourage me from applying
> non-Tc3/G8/RP studies to my Tc3/G8/RP case. I haven't asked him yet

Well, I like this point.  I can hardly find any studies of our Stage IV
- T4a (disregard the surgeon said it was a T3c) N1Mx G9.  Or maybe I
don't want to admit we are very advanced PCa even without extended
mets.  It will be very interesting to find out what the rad onc has to
say about that bone scan.

> whether his mistrust of unproven factoids and protocols is due more to
> personal cynicism, professional conservatism, or simply the number of
> great-sounding hypotheses that have crashed and burned. I suspect I'll
> ask that question when my PSA approaches 0.5 . . . one PSA DT short of

Keep us posted, this is interesting.
 
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