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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / Prostate Cancer / September 2004

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Prostate Cancer Predictive Nomogram

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jhhtexas@ieee.org - 27 Sep 2004 19:36 GMT
I came across a good prostate cancer predictive nomogram at the
following Sloan-Kettering Cancer website:
http://www.mskcc.org/mskcc/html/10088.cfm

It is valid for newly diagnosed men to help them with treatment options
and for men up to 6 months after an RP to show their chances of
recurrence. Based on my inputs, it said my chances of non-recurrence of
Pca within 7 years was 98%.
Leonard Evens - 27 Sep 2004 21:07 GMT
> I came across a good prostate cancer predictive nomogram at the
> following Sloan-Kettering Cancer website:
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> recurrence. Based on my inputs, it said my chances of non-recurrence of
> Pca within 7 years was 98%.

That is pretty encouraging, isn't it?  The Sloan Kettering nomogram
seems to be based on some very solid research by some very good people,
but other predictive schemes are not so optimistic.  Some are very
pessimistic, but those don't seem to me to be based on as much data.
But even Walsh's results, while still very optimistic are not as
optimistic as the Sloan Kettering nomogram.   It has to be understood in
these things that until everyone comes up with the same results, or the
differences in the results are fully explained, all these predictions
are at best educated guesses.  Still, if your RP was done by a qualified
urologist skilled in modern techniques, and the Sloan Kettering nomogram
gives a figure of 98 percent, you might as well accept that until you
here differently from a reputable source.

Congratulations!

Sloan kettering predicts 96 percent for me, by the way.
JerryW - 27 Sep 2004 23:44 GMT
It predicted 98% for me. I'm happy to just go along with that unless
something untoward happens.
Signature

JerryW
jweindel at flash dot net

2/11/04 PSA 2.6, Suspicious DRE (age 62)
2/23/04 Biopsy: Gleason 3+4=7, T2a, left lobe
5/18/04 RRP, Path: Gleason 4+3=7, T2c, both lobes
Tumor organ-contained; lymph nodes clear, seminal vesicles clear
Both nerve bundles spared
7/13/04 PSA <0.1

>> I came across a good prostate cancer predictive nomogram at the
>> following Sloan-Kettering Cancer website:
[quoted text clipped - 21 lines]
>
> Sloan kettering predicts 96 percent for me, by the way.
 
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