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Medical Forum / General / Alternative / May 2008

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Questions for our anti-statistics friends

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Richard Schultz - 15 May 2008 16:11 GMT
I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
methods are of any use in determining the efficacy (or lack thereof) of
any particular course of medical treatment.  Certainly, my repeated offer
to explain some of the statistical difficulties in determining the
efficacy of alternative treatments has been ignored by all of them.

I have two questions for those who reject the evidence brought so
far on which conclusions such as the efficacy of vaccination in preventing
disease and the lack of demonstrated efficacy of alternative treatments
such as acupuncture and homeopathy:

(1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?
(2) If so, on what evidence do you base your conclusion?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
trigonometry1972@gmail.com | - 16 May 2008 10:25 GMT
> I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
> who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
> Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
> Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University

I have no problem with statistics, I do have a problem with
studies and papers that fail to show their "work" but instead
choosing to tell us their so-called finding.

But then I don't accept homeopathy.
But I don't fully trust vaccines as I don't think
the follow up after the use of vaccines has been sufficienct;
in other words, I want more numbers and the
I want the whole population considered in the final
follow up. In the information age this is not too much
to ask. I want more than use samplings and educated
guesses. Would that cost public health monies, absolutely.
Would it be well worth it, I think so.
There are other issues as to who is doing the measurements
and observations in these studies beyond the numbers.
Richard Schultz - 16 May 2008 11:45 GMT
:> (1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?
:> (2) If so, on what evidence do you base your conclusion?

: There are other issues as to who is doing the measurements
: and observations in these studies beyond the numbers.

In the meantime, you didn't answer the questions.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
trigonometry1972@gmail.com | - 16 May 2008 12:58 GMT
> In article <c325f8a3-9ae4-4958-90b9-03f0e0132...@2g2000hsn.googlegroups.com>, trigonometry1...@gmail.com | <trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> -----
> Richard Schultz                              schu...@mail.biu.ac.il

I addressed what I saw as an underlying issue.

As to (1) & (2), well, I believe cigarettes to be harmful
because that is the "received wisdom said to be
a based on statistics", because smoking increases
disease in animal lab subjects, it contains known
carcinogens, personal observation of people
I've know for the last nearly 60 years and their appearance
and healthy outcomes, a the fact a smoke filled
room makes the lungs and  nasal passages burn
if I have a cold, and because MD's at one time recommended
smoking;-) to loosen lung mucus build up
Richard Schultz - 16 May 2008 14:16 GMT
: As to (1) & (2), well, I believe cigarettes to be harmful
: because that is the "received wisdom said to be
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
: if I have a cold, and because MD's at one time recommended
: smoking;-) to loosen lung mucus build up

How does a substance become a "known carcinogen"?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Contrariwise," continued Tweedledee, "if it was so, it might be, and
if it were so, it would be; but as it isn't, it ain't.  That's logic."
trigonometry1972@gmail.com | - 16 May 2008 19:47 GMT
> In article <c846d08a-07ed-437d-9f25-94e3bb72d...@34g2000hsf.googlegroups.com>, trigonometry1...@gmail.com | <trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
> "Contrariwise," continued Tweedledee, "if it was so, it might be, and
> if it were so, it would be; but as it isn't, it ain't.  That's logic."
trigonometry1972@gmail.com | - 17 May 2008 00:11 GMT
On May 16, 11:47 am, "trigonometry1...@gmail.com |"
<trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:

> > In article <c846d08a-07ed-437d-9f25-94e3bb72d...@34g2000hsf.googlegroups.com>, trigonometry1...@gmail.com | <trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
> > "Contrariwise," continued Tweedledee, "if it was so, it might be, and
> > if it were so, it would be; but as it isn't, it ain't.  That's logic."

Google ate my homework!!!

It depends whether one is selling or eating it.

It has been my observation that for many substances there
are those who will deny it has harmful properties and others
who will ignore benefical properties..

It has been my experience, many involved in chemistry
deny the risks involved with pesticides, plastics,
and petroleum products.

Here is your answer:
Start with something like an Ames test.
Next use various doses on various species
of lab animal. Keep those stats.
Observe the health of the poor saps the
work in the processing plant that makes
the chemical of interest. They often
get huge doses.

Obviously certainty is something of judgement value.

And never the trust the Chemical Society opinion
of the risks of chemicals.

Asking questions is an easy way to burn others time.
Now what was your point? I hope you had a purpose
beyond burning time.

Trig
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 00:22 GMT
On May 16, 7:11 pm, "trigonometry1...@gmail.com |" als.

> Asking questions is an easy way to burn others time.
> Now what was your point? I hope you had a purpose
> beyond burning time.
>
> Trig

Well... that's the thing
about Richard's posts, one is never
quite sure.

I think he likes to put little
morals or lessons in his posts
without stating them explicitly
and then we're supposed
to figure out what the hell
he's talking about.

To add to the mystery,
there's the end quotes
or non-quotes or whatever the
hell they're supposed to be.

Citizen Jimserac
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 06:30 GMT
:> Asking questions is an easy way to burn others time.
:> Now what was your point? I hope you had a purpose
:> beyond burning time.

: Well... that's the thing about Richard's posts, one is never
: quite sure.

Here's the answer for the terminally dense:  I was curious what answers
I would get.

: I think he likes to put little morals or lessons in his posts
: without stating them explicitly and then we're supposed
: to figure out what the hell he's talking about.

*You* are not supposed to figure out what the hell I'm talking about.
You're just supposed to use the opportunity to make a fool of yourself.

: To add to the mystery, there's the end quotes
: or non-quotes or whatever the hell they're supposed to be.

And, as usual, you do not fail in your ability to make use of an opportunity.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Compared with Man, we have to admit that the insect does not display what
we can describe as intelligence. But don't feel too proud about that, because
where there is no intelligence, there is also no stupidity."
Citizen Jimserac - 18 May 2008 12:40 GMT
> In article <e5c8361f-514b-45e0-8230-7f1d473dc...@26g2000hsk.googlegroups.com>, CitizenJimserac<Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 28 lines]
> we can describe as intelligence. But don't feel too proud about that, because
> where there is no intelligence, there is also no stupidity."

See, now there is no connection between his endquote
(which is unattributed so maybe he made it up, who knows?)
and the body of his message... but wait, maybe its some kind
of metaphor.

Yeah, that's it, is must be some kind of metaphor which
we are supposed to figure out.

This Richard dude is deep, really deep...
(or he doesn't know what the f.ck he's talking
about and likes attention... reader's choice).

Whatever... I love puzzles, keep it coming Rich.

Like Ciao dude!
(one hopes he is not inhaling too much bad
stuff from those test tubes!)

Citizen Jimserac
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 13:34 GMT
:> "Compared with Man, we have to admit that the insect does not display what
:> we can describe as intelligence. But don't feel too proud about that,
:> because where there is no intelligence, there is also no stupidity."

: See, now there is no connection between his endquote
: (which is unattributed so maybe he made it up, who knows?)

I will leave it to you and your "common sense" to figure out whether I
made up the .sig quote or if I lifted it from another source.  If you are
even a tenth as smart as you think you are, it should take you under 15
seconds.  If I were you, I'd give myself an hour.

: Yeah, that's it, is must be some kind of metaphor which
: we are supposed to figure out.

It's not a metaphor.  It's called a .sig quote.

In the meantime, you *still* haven't answered the two questions that
I asked.  What are you afraid of?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Apparently, you take me for a complete fool."
"Yeah -- more or less."
                Bob & Ray, "Garish Summit"
Citizen Jimserac - 18 May 2008 14:10 GMT
> In article <e7dc4ae2-b213-40d3-bf41-2a78a4c9b...@34g2000hsh.googlegroups.com>, CitizenJimserac<Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 26 lines]
> "Yeah -- more or less."
>                                 Bob & Ray, "Garish Summit"

Well Rich, now there's the problem, I don't
feel it is worth 15 seconds or ANY amount
of time more than it takes to read your posts
to devote on analyzing them or whatever
it takes to understand your message,
if there is a message at all.

Now, instead of speaking in riddles, metaphors
and thinly veiled insults, you DO have the option
of explicitly stating your position but...
that would require that you step down
from the ivory tower and enter the real
world of reality and common sense
of the rest of us mortals.

The choice is yours, but many thanks
for at least heeding some of my criticisms
and giving an attribution to your last
quote!

Keep up the great posts, they are of course,
always welcome.

A humble respondent....

Citizen Jimserac
Richard Schultz - 19 May 2008 05:39 GMT
:> In the meantime, you *still* haven't answered the two questions that
:> I asked.  What are you afraid of?

: Now, instead of speaking in riddles, metaphors and thinly veiled insults,
: you DO have the option of explicitly stating your position but...

I am not speaking in riddles or metaphors:  I asked two simple questions
the answers to which I was particularly interested in hearing from people
who do not accept statistical evidence.  I asked the questions because I
was curious what answers I would get -- or if I would get any answers at
all.  I was sort of expecting that I would *not* get any answers, and so
far, I have not been particularly disappointed.

For what it's worth, I wasn't aware that my insults were thinly veiled.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
". . . for while he was not dumber than an ox, he was not any smarter."
                -- James Thurber, _My Life and Hard Times_
D. C. Sessions - 19 May 2008 13:53 GMT
> For what it's worth, I wasn't aware that my insults were thinly veiled.

It's a relative thing.

| "Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against |
|  unintelligible propositions. Ideas must be distinct   |
|  before reason can act on them" -- Thomas Jefferson    |
+-------- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---------+
David Wright - 21 May 2008 03:39 GMT
>> For what it's worth, I wasn't aware that my insults were thinly veiled.
>
>It's a relative thing.

No point using thinly-veiled insults when the people you're insulting
are pretty thick, I say.

 -- David Wright :: alphabeta at copper.net
    These are my opinions only, but they're almost always correct.
    "There are two kinds of Republicans:  millionaires and suckers."
                                                     -- John Dolan
D. C. Sessions - 18 May 2008 14:03 GMT
> See, now there is no connection between his endquote
> (which is unattributed so maybe he made it up, who knows?)
> and the body of his message... but wait, maybe its some kind
> of metaphor.

Here's a clue: many newsreaders have the ability to
randomly select .signature files.  In at least one
that I know of, .signature is actually a socket and
what you get is pretty much like a cookie.

| "Ridicule is the only weapon which can be used against |
|  unintelligible propositions. Ideas must be distinct   |
|  before reason can act on them" -- Thomas Jefferson    |
+-------- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---------+
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 06:28 GMT
:> > How does a substance become a "known carcinogen"?

: Start with something like an Ames test.
: Next use various doses on various species
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
:
: Obviously certainty is something of judgement value.

In other words, statistics is perfectly fine for determining whether or
not something is harmful, but not acceptable for determining whether or
not something is helpful.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
trigonometry1972@gmail.com | - 20 May 2008 00:43 GMT
> In article <806673a2-2559-4f42-bce0-9680f9442...@y21g2000hsf.googlegroups.com>, trigonometry1...@gmail.com | <trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 20 lines]
> -----
> "Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."

How do you get that from what I said? With stats there is
the aspect of uncertainty and chance. And with people there seem to be
too many variables when they are the subjects of medical experiments
for me
to always feel comfortable in some conclusions.
Sometimes benefits are likely marginal, it the intervention is
relatively safe it maybe worthwhile even if a trial gives
a null result. What maybe needed is a larger
population of subjects or an improved intervention or
a improved monitoring of the subjects i.e. lab tests
to see if the subject actually implementing
the intervention.

"The Devil is in the detail. The Great Satan
speaks in broad glowing simplifications ;-) "...Trig

Don't conflate my views with those of Cee or Citizen J.
Citizen Jimserac - 21 May 2008 04:42 GMT
On May 19, 7:43 pm, "trigonometry1...@gmail.com |"
<trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:

> > In article <806673a2-2559-4f42-bce0-9680f9442...@y21g2000hsf.googlegroups.com>, trigonometry1...@gmail.com | <trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 38 lines]
>
> Don't conflate my views with those of Cee or Citizen J.

Ah but you're on a factual - logical
plane and think you are having a rational
discussion and, unfortunately, with
him that is often not the case.

Good luck in trying though, I've given
up.

Citizen Jimserac
Richard Schultz - 21 May 2008 09:31 GMT
: Ah but you're on a factual - logical plane and think you are having a
: rational discussion and, unfortunately, with him that is often not the case.

At this point, you have demonstrated an inability correctly to identify
logical fallacies; you have demonstrated a lack of knowledge of, and a
lack of interest in learning about, statistical analysis of data; you
apparently believe (the extent of your solipsism is not always clear) that
reality is determined either by each individual or by a majority vote; you
have demonstrated an inability to construct an argument that does not
comprise non-sequiturs; you ignore any evidence that your beliefs may
not be true.

This behavior on your part probably helps explain why you think that *I* am
the one who is not having a rational discussion.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Compared with Man, we have to admit that the insect does not display what
we can describe as intelligence. But don't feel too proud about that, because
where there is no intelligence, there is also no stupidity."
Citizen Jimserac - 16 May 2008 12:31 GMT
On May 16, 5:25 am, "trigonometry1...@gmail.com |"
<trigonometry1...@gmail.com> wrote:

> > I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
> > who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
[quoted text clipped - 31 lines]
> There are other issues as to who is doing the measurements
> and observations in these studies beyond the numbers.

Well stated!

If we did what you suggest, then things
such as Vioxx would not be allowed to happen
and yes indeed it WOULD be well
worth it.

Your comment about follow up tests
on the vaccines is a very good point.

Only recently, posters on this newsgroup
pointed me to the "Francis" report,
a test of the polio vaccine done in
the mid 1950's,
as some sort of holy grail of vaccine
testing.   Well, it was on a large
population sample and it was indeed
a double blind placebo test, so far
so good.  But quietly, after ALL the
hoopla had died down, months later
one of the vaccine designers mentioned
that after 3 months, 44% of those who
took all 3 shots of the polio vaccine
had NO polio virus antibodies that the vaccine
was supposed to stimulate.  So... yes
the rate of polio incidence did go down
but, did the vaccines do it????
There were numerous other statistical
errors and flaws in the Francis
report and not long after it appeared,
there was outrage that a spoiled
batch of the vaccine was given.
Many people AVOIDED the polio vaccine
after that, which makes one wonder
if the polio outbreak did not subside
of its own accord, as it did in 1916.

I disagree with you on Homeopathy...
see for example the following links:

List of articles by
FULLY QUALIFIED RESEARCHERS on Homeopathy
http://nationalcenterforhomeopathy.org/articles/view,257

National Institue of Health government
web site on Homeopathy:
http://nccam.nih.gov/health/homeopathy/#a1

Brilliant presentation by Dr. Iris Bell M.D. PhD
in support of Homeopathy and confirming
the accuracy and efficacy of recent reaearch:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=wYO6nNQGe1M

A full list of PEER REVIEWED papers supporting her research
can be found at:

http://nationalcenterforhomeopathy.org/articles/view,173

Citizen Jimserac
drceephd@insightbb.com - 16 May 2008 13:14 GMT
> Only recently, posters on this newsgroup
> pointed me to the "Francis" report,
[quoted text clipped - 22 lines]
> if the polio outbreak did not subside
> of its own accord, as it did in 1916.

In order to create an “epidemic” you need lots of ill humans.  In the
case of polio, at a time when the average wage was only $50 per week,
the doctors were offered a bounty of $25 for every case of polio
reported.  This did generate a lot of kids being reported as having
polio.  The “iron lung” further frightened the public.
Following the introduction of the vaccine, the bounty on polio was
dropped.  In addition, the diagnostic criteria was changed from 48
hours to two exams over a 3 month period.
We also find from the Whale site:
Statistics on polio were manipulated. One such way was to redefine the
disease, renaming it "viral or aseptic meningitis" or "cocksackie
virus". In one US county, for example, in July 1955 there were 273
cases of polio reported for 50 cases of asceptic meningitis, compared
to 5 cases of polio in 1966 and 256 cases of aseptic meningitis. These
new diagnostic guideline's were issued by the CDC. If you object to
polio vaccination, and you get polio--it is usually called "polio." If
you have been vaccinated and you get "polio", it is called meningitis.
Beddow Bayly, author of the book “The Case Against Vaccination” said:
“After vaccination was introduced, cases of aseptic meningitis were
more often reported as a separate disease from polio, but such cases
were counted as polio before the vaccine was introduced. The Ministry
of Health admitted that the vaccine status of the individual is a
guiding factor in diagnosis. If a person who is vaccinated contracts
the disease, the disease is simply recorded under a different name.”
Coxsackievirus and echoviruses can cause paralytic syndromes that are
clinically indistinguishable from paralytic poliomyelitis. (John H.
Menkes, Textbook Of Child Neurology, 5th ed., page 420) http://www3.bcity.com/harpub/

Does anybody have the book “How to lie with Statistics”.

DrCee
You cannot secure nor restore health with pus or poisons.
Richard Schultz - 16 May 2008 14:18 GMT
: Does anybody have the book _How to lie with Statistics_.

I don't have it, but I have read it.

In the meantime, are you going to answer the questions?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"You don't even have a clue about which clue you're missing."
Citizen Jimserac - 16 May 2008 21:56 GMT
On May 16, 8:14 am, drcee...@insightbb.com wrote:
> On May 16, 7:31 am, CitizenJimserac<Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 57 lines]
> DrCee
> You cannot secure nor restore health with pus or poisons.

You know Cee, you make some good points
here.  I was 7 years old in 1955
and I can well recall the constant TV
depictions of people in iron lungs, the
dangers of polio and how everyone should
get vaccinated.

This was probably the first instance
of big vacco hooking up with big pharma
and the then young TV media.

We all bought it hook, line and non-existent
antibodies.

Some people somewhere had figured out that
with this wonderful new "TV" media, they
could scare people enough to make MILLIONS
of dollars in profits.

The Francis report is more full of holes
than Swiss Cheese, but you've got to remember
that in those days, the word of a Doctor
or scientists was VERY respected and
nobody (or very few) in the general
population questioned them or talked back
to them.

What "saved" a lot of people, including
my family, was the bad batch of vaccine.
Once word of that got out, a LOT of people
would no longer go back for the 2d or 3d
polio shots.  And yet the great polio
epidemic subsided.

Note the 3 key things which are still being
used in this era -> MISINFORMATION, FEAR MONGERING,
and APPEALS TO AUTHORITY.

It's been done so many times that all but the most
gullible can see right through it nowdays.

Citizen Jimserac
D. C. Sessions - 17 May 2008 05:01 GMT
> You know Cee, you make some good points
> here.  I was 7 years old in 1955
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> of big vacco hooking up with big pharma
> and the then young TV media.

I remember films of WWII -- which was, apparently, also
faked.

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
Mark Probert - 17 May 2008 19:50 GMT
> On May 16, 8:14 am, drcee...@insightbb.com wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 102 lines]
>
> Citizen Jimserac-

If there was any doubt that you are a moron, this post removes all of
it.

Your post is ripe with misinformation (in your case, lying), fear
mong4ring and false appeals to authority.
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 20:06 GMT
> On May 16, 4:56 pm, CitizenJimserac<Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 110 lines]
> Your post is ripe with misinformation (in your case, lying), fear
> mong4ring and false appeals to authority.

Mark Probert!!!!!!

Man, you reply fast and...

Oh no! wait!! I have a ban in effect
against replying to YOU!

I've done it again... oh how could I...???

Ban reinstituted.

Citizen JImserac
Mark Probert - 17 May 2008 21:12 GMT
> > On May 16, 4:56 pm, CitizenJimserac<Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 123 lines]
>
> Citizen JImserac-

Cannot deal with it, eh?

All you have to do is prove that "like cures like" and that water has
memory.

Otherwise, your claims are all logical fallacies. All of them.
JanDrew - 18 May 2008 02:05 GMT
"Mark S Probert"  Merrick, NY
Peter Moran - 16 May 2008 23:00 GMT
On May 16, 7:31 am, Citizen Jimserac <Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Only recently, posters on this newsgroup
> pointed me to the "Francis" report,
[quoted text clipped - 22 lines]
> if the polio outbreak did not subside
> of its own accord, as it did in 1916.

In order to create an “epidemic” you need lots of ill humans.  In the
case of polio, at a time when the average wage was only $50 per week,
the doctors were offered a bounty of $25 for every case of polio
reported.  This did generate a lot of kids being reported as having
polio.  The “iron lung” further frightened the public.
Following the introduction of the vaccine, the bounty on polio was
dropped.  In addition, the diagnostic criteria was changed from 48
hours to two exams over a 3 month period.
We also find from the Whale site:
Statistics on polio were manipulated. One such way was to redefine the
disease, renaming it "viral or aseptic meningitis" or "cocksackie
virus". In one US county, for example, in July 1955 there were 273
cases of polio reported for 50 cases of asceptic meningitis, compared
to 5 cases of polio in 1966 and 256 cases of aseptic meningitis. These
new diagnostic guideline's were issued by the CDC. If you object to
polio vaccination, and you get polio--it is usually called "polio." If
you have been vaccinated and you get "polio", it is called meningitis.
Beddow Bayly, author of the book “The Case Against Vaccination” said:
“After vaccination was introduced, cases of aseptic meningitis were
more often reported as a separate disease from polio, but such cases
were counted as polio before the vaccine was introduced. The Ministry
of Health admitted that the vaccine status of the individual is a
guiding factor in diagnosis. If a person who is vaccinated contracts
the disease, the disease is simply recorded under a different name.”
Coxsackievirus and echoviruses can cause paralytic syndromes that are
clinically indistinguishable from paralytic poliomyelitis. (John H.
Menkes, Textbook Of Child Neurology, 5th ed., page 420)
http://www3.bcity.com/harpub/

Does anybody have the book “How to lie with Statistics”.

DrCee
You cannot secure nor restore health with pus or poisons.

PM   This sort of nonsense makes me so angry, because neither of these two
(DrCEE and Jimserac),  have sufficient personal scientific or medical
knowledge to have any way of assessing the veracity of the material they
mouth.        The desire seems to be to agitate, to demean honest attempts
to spare children death and paralysis, and to hell with the consequences.

There is no question that epidemics of infantile paralysis (Polio) have
stopped in vaccinated populations, whereas they continue in the
unvaccinated,  these days  usually because of similar malicious
misinformation.

Misdiagnosis?  No other virus has  EVER produced the epidemics of paralysis
that polio did and still does.  Not only that, but the diagnosis of polio
can be made precisely by virus culture these days, and even different
strains identified.

James, you know so little about epidemic illnesses that you "wonder  if the
polio outbreak did not subside of its own accord, as it did in 1916."
James, ALL epidemics eventually subside of their own accord -- that is part
of what "epidemic" means.    Do some honest homework and work out why for
yourself.   DrCee,  read up about these old epidemics and note that the
disappearance of all the paralysed kids, and the wards full of  on
respirators,  cannot possibly be explained by diagnosing polio as something
else.

PM
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 00:31 GMT
> PM   This sort of nonsense makes me so angry, because neither of these two
> (DrCEE andJimserac),  have sufficient personal scientific or medical
[quoted text clipped - 22 lines]
>
> PM

Well, we must have really pulled your chain
there to get you all riled up.

So it's OK to call Homeopathy nonsense or based
on placebo but when people start criticizing your
favorite modalities its another story huh?

Well, one of those vaccine inventors specifically
stated that 3 months after the "inoculations"
there were no polio virus antibodies that
were supposed to have been stimulated by the
vaccine in 44% of those vaccinated.

44%??? THAT'S NEARLY HALF OF THOSE WHO
GOT THE VACCINE.  What, do the antibodies
just fade out in such a short period
of time?  If so, people would need polio
vaccinations every 3 months.   Is that
why the BOOSTER shots were needed?

I don't have to be a virologist or
epidemiologist to see that something
is very wrong here, it is simple
common sense.

You go ahead and be angry as you like
and meanwhile I WILL CONTINUE TO INSIST
THAT THE SAME SCIENTIFIC RULES
WHICH YOU FOLKS REQUIRE OF HOMEOPATHY
BE APPLIED TO EVERYTHING ELSE TOO.

No double standards today or any day.

SO then, the polio vaccine must have
worked by placebo effect, if it had
any role at all in the ending of
that epidemic.

Citizen Jimserac
Peter Moran - 17 May 2008 01:18 GMT
>> PM   This sort of nonsense makes me so angry, because neither of these
>> two
[quoted text clipped - 48 lines]
> vaccinations every 3 months.   Is that
> why the BOOSTER shots were needed?

So bloody what,  if one batch of one of the early vaccines did not produce a
detectable immune response in some?    That is does not mean that no
immunity was conferred, the relevant immune cells may still have been
sensitised to a degree not detected by this crude test.  And it is  not that
unusual for vaccines to vary in potency, even today, with low-potency
vaccines being withdrawn. .

> I don't have to be a virologist or
> epidemiologist to see that something
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> WHICH YOU FOLKS REQUIRE OF HOMEOPATHY
> BE APPLIED TO EVERYTHING ELSE TOO.

No what you need to do is to stand back and look at ALL the evidence.  The
fact is that the only epidemic illnesses that we do not see any more are
those that are vaccinated against.  In countries that have high levels of
vaccination we only see these illnesses when vaccination levels drop or in
communities that object to vaccination.     You cannot deny these facts, no
matter how much you might grub around looking for virtually irrelevant
material; like this.

I call ALL the evidence to bear upon homeopathy, including YOUR own everyday
experience that no matter how often you dilute and shake your morning coffee
it never increases its biological effects (i.e taste, stimulant and
diuretic) as homeopathy predicts it should.   You are the one who wants to
limit evidence to a selected few positive studies, and weak laboratory
studies and anecdote.   I recently tried to point out that "science"
includes all human experience not just that done in studies or laboratories.
In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
clinical trials were even invented, and there was almost no such thing as
biological science.  And two hundred years later there is still no support
for its several core propositions.  The dilution thiung is only a small part
of homeopathy's grossly inprobable and completely unsupported hypotheses, as
I have many times pointed out.

Here we have just one simple hypothesis and the evidence is overwhelmingly
in favour of the effectiveness of vaccines..

PM
Peter Bowditch - 17 May 2008 06:41 GMT
>In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
>clinical trials were even invented, and there was almost no such thing as
>biological science.

1842

Homeopathy and Its Kindred Delusions
Oliver Wendell Holmes

http://www.ratbags.com/rsoles/comment/homeopathyholmes.htm

And if you want to see a bit of the history of the shredding of any
plausibility for homeopathy, go to "Still Deluded After All These
Years":

http://www.ratbags.com/rsoles/comment/ausscience0607.htm

Signature

Peter Bowditch aa #2243
The Millenium Project http://www.ratbags.com/rsoles
Australian Council Against Health Fraud http://www.acahf.org.au
Australian Skeptics http://www.skeptics.com.au
To email me use my first name only at ratbags.com

Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 13:58 GMT
> >In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
> >clinical trials were even invented, and there was almost no such thing as
> >biological science.

Yeah, those same people were drinking Mercury
and getting bled to death -> they thought was OK too.

Here...

List of articles
on Homeopathy
http://nationalcenterforhomeopathy.org/articles/introductory.jsp

Homeopathic Treatment for Epidemics and Trauma
http://nationalcenterforhomeopathy.org/services/crises/general_info.jsp

National Institue of Health government
web site on Homeopathy:
http://nccam.nih.gov/health/homeopathy/#a1

Brilliant presentation by Dr. Iris Bell M.D. PhD
in support of Homeopathy and confirming
the accuracy and efficacy of recent reaearch:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=wYO6nNQGe1M

A full list of PEER REVIEWED papers supporting her research
can be found at:

http://nationalcenterforhomeopathy.org/articles/view,173

(shock! they're not all Homeopathy journals!)

But, I urge caution -> the SHOCK of reading genuine
research may be TOO MUCH for YOUR delusions.

Citizen Jimserac

ps Go to  the American Academy of Medical Acupuncture
web site at:
http://www.medicalacupuncture.com/aama_marf/journal/index.html
Click on the back issues on the left
and read HUNDREDS of articles reporting
research by M.D.'s on its use
for MANY conditions, illnesses and diseases,
much of the research by M.D.'s skilled in
acupuncture;  then slap yourself on the head
for being so gullible as to believe
the nonsense you've read or been told
to believe

Citizen Jimserac
D. C. Sessions - 17 May 2008 16:07 GMT
>> >In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
>> >clinical trials were even invented, and there was almost no such thing as
>> >biological science.
>
> Yeah, those same people were drinking Mercury
> and getting bled to death -> they thought was OK too.

Are you looking for someone to defend the practices of
18th century medicine?  As far as I know, only Cee is still
on the "balance of humors, disease is the body expelling
poisons and returning itself to balance" theory with contempt
for actually bothering to find out whether your "treatments"
actually work.

However, the fact that they were wrong doesn't make everyone
else right who criticized them.

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
Peter Moran - 18 May 2008 00:45 GMT
>> >In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before
>> >ever
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> Yeah, those same people were drinking Mercury
> and getting bled to death -> they thought was OK too.

Yes, physicians thought these methods worked for thousands of years, for the
same reasons that homeopaths think their treatments work and that
acupuncturists think their treatments work, and that placebos seem to work.
They are still (mostly) honest practitioners, being misled by what are now
quite well-known phenomena and the quite obvious fact that any treatment at
all can satisfy some of the needs that people bring into medical
consultations, including a measure of symptom relief.

Why else all the cure-alls throughout medical history and especially within
the crazy extremes of "alternative" medicine?   I mean,  science is on
occasions wrong about what it predicts,  or  more usually partially wrong,
but not about so many matters at the one time!   Surely even alternative
supporters don't think ALL alternative claims are based upon valid medical
theory.    Yet they all have their utterly convinced clients and
practitioners.   And what one person might find medically helpful,  another
finds terminally ridiculous.    There has to be a single unifying
explanation for so much extraordinarily diverse and weird (scientifically)
medical activity.

Incidentally, it does not bother me in the slightest to admit that this
phenomenon applies equally within conventional medicine.  That is where we
discovered that doctors are generally hopeless at assessing what certain
types of medical treatment actually do.   It is why clinical trials were
invented.   Patients may be more reliable, but still prone to suggestion and
personal biases.

PM.
D. C. Sessions - 18 May 2008 01:01 GMT
> Surely even alternative
> supporters don't think ALL alternative claims are based upon valid medical
> theory.

Have you ever seen advocates of totally irreconcilable
schools of sectarian medicine argue with each other?

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
Peter Moran - 18 May 2008 01:31 GMT
>> Surely even alternative
>> supporters don't think ALL alternative claims are based upon valid
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> Have you ever seen advocates of totally irreconcilable
> schools of sectarian medicine argue with each other?

Oh no!  It is very bad form to do so!.   The most you will get is "Well I
personally don't hold with that, but if it helps some people ----".      I
can even go part of the way with this -- it is the exaggerated claims,
scientific pretentions and blatant fraud that arouse my antipathy.

PM
drceephd@insightbb.com - 18 May 2008 01:59 GMT
it is the exaggerated claims,
> scientific pretentions and blatant fraud that arouse my antipathy.
>
> PM

Well, I can agree with that.  That is why I oppose the current medical
monopoly called allopathy, or modern medicine, or evidence based
medicine, or western medicine, or whatever.

Your concept of cut, burn, and poison for remission of disease is
scientific pretention, medical egotism, and absolute fraud.

You cannot poison the sick into becoming well.
You cannot vaccinate to prevent disease.

You and yours are the fraud meisters, the quacks of modern medicine.

DrCee
You cannot secure nor restore health with pus or poisons.
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 06:33 GMT
: Your concept of cut, burn, and poison for remission of disease is
: scientific pretention, medical egotism, and absolute fraud.

Why don't you answer the questions that were posed at the beginning of
this thread, viz.

(1) Do you believe that smoking is harmful to one's health?
(2) If so, on what evidence do you base this belief?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Apparently, you take me for a complete fool."
"Yeah -- more or less."
                Bob & Ray, "Garish Summit"
JanDrew - 18 May 2008 02:03 GMT
"Peter Moran" <pmoran@internode.on.net> wrote in message

ZZzz.

*Substantial* *real*  *convincing* *hard* *clear-cut* *reasonable*
*significant* *credible* *compelling* *copious* *direct*  *reliable*
*adequate* *definite* *valid*
Mark Probert - 17 May 2008 19:57 GMT
> >In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
> >clinical trials were even invented, and there was almost no such thing as
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
> http://www.ratbags.com/rsoles/comment/homeopathyholmes.htm

More proof of my statement that OWH and OWH, Jr. are two of the
greatest minds in the last several centuries.

Note that he wrote this before BIGPharma.

> And if you want to see a bit of the history of the shredding of any
> plausibility for homeopathy, go to "Still Deluded After All These
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> Australian Skepticshttp://www.skeptics.com.au
> To email me use my first name only at ratbags.com
JanDrew - 18 May 2008 02:08 GMT
"Mark S Probert" Merrick, NY reposts lying Peter Ragbat's lying web
sites.....

<snip>
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 06:34 GMT
: More proof of my statement that OWH and OWH, Jr. are two of the
: greatest minds in the last several centuries.

Yeah, that Supreme Court decision in which Junior explained why eugenic
sterilization is a Good Thing is one for the ages.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"an optimist is a guy/ that has never had/ much experience"
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 20:00 GMT
From Dana Ullman's website excerpts
from his outstanding book,
The Homeopathic Revolution"
http://www.homeopathicrevolution.com/pages/excerpt.jsp

Dr. Oliver Wendell Holmes, Sr. had
written a book extremely critical
of homeopathy, though embarrassingly
ill-informed on the subject.
Because Dr. Holmes had such respect
for Washington Irving, the doctor
chose to visit him and suggest
treatment for Irving's asthma and cough.
He prescribed medicated cigarettes and
"Jonas Whitcomb's Cough Remedy" (a nineteenth-century patent
medicine), without having
examined his patient. Dr. Peters
wrote an admirably restrained
reply to Holmes, suggesting that
his treatment was not based on
adequate understanding of this patient.

Dr. Peters gave Irving the patent medicine
to show good faith toward Dr. Holmes,
despite Holmes's bad-faith actions
toward homeopathy. Irving experienced
noticeable improvement that first night
from this remedy. However, two days
later he suffered a severe nervous
attack, and Dr. Peters then chose to
use only homeopathic medicines for
Irving (Hendrick 1987, 174).

Temporary improvement followed by the
development of different and more
serious symptoms are typical results
from conventional drugs of the
nineteenth century as well as today,
and while conventional physicians
pride themselves on their ability
to reduce or suppress symptoms,
homeopaths have sharply criticized
such treatments that provide short-term
benefits but long-term problems."

I will direct your attention
PARTICULARLY to that last sentence
about short-term benefits and
suppression of symptoms.

Here are some quotes from people
about Ullman's recent
"The Homeopathic Revolution"
book, several of them former
or CURRENT medical school professors:
from
http://www.homeopathicrevolution.com/

Kenneth R. Pelletier, PhD, MD
Author, The Best Alternative Medicine: What Works? What Does Not?
Former Clinical Professor of Medicine, Stanford University School of
Medicine;
Presently, Clinical Professor of Medicine, University of Arizona;
Director of the Corporate Health Improvement Program which is a
research program including such Fortune 500 companies as Corning, IBM,
Dow, Ford, Nestle, and NASA.

"The pharmaceutic industry will hate this book almost as much as the
AMA. KUDOS, Dana Ullman, for providing the foundations for a broader
understanding of this far safer approach to health."

C. Norman Shealy, M.D., Ph.D.
Neurosurgeon and Pain Management Specialist
Founding President, American Holistic Medical Association
President, Holos University Graduate Seminary

"Homeopathy is perhaps the most misunderstood area of medicine,
evoking passions pro and con. In THE HOMEOPATHIC REVOLUTION, Dana
Ullman, one of the world's foremost authorities, illuminates this
field for laypersons and professionals alike. Like a medical
detective, Ullman probes the corners of history and science in a
delightful, fascinating romp. Highly recommended."

Larry Dossey, MD
Author, The Extraordinary Healing Power of Ordinary Things

"How do we reconcile the fact that the American Medical Association
has long held homeopathy to be worthless, when so many people have
reported that they found help for their ills in homeopathy? The AMA
responds that patients are unqualified to evaluate the treatment they
receive. I think that attitude is phenomenally patronizing, and I
think that Dana Ullman has done us a major service in showing that
many of the smartest and most successful people in recent history have
publicly expressed appreciation for the benefits they have received
from homeopathy."

John Robbins, Author of Diet For A New America, and Healthy At 100.

"Several Harvard-affiliated physicians have told me in private
conversation that homeopathy has helped their family members or
friends, but they would not want to say so publicly due to fear of
ridicule. Hopefully, this book will help open-minded doctors and
scientists to realize they are not alone and to have the courage to
call for more research on this most interesting and paradoxical form
of treatment."

David Anick PhD MD
Research Associate, McLean Hospital
Harvard Medical School

"Dana Ullman takes the reader from the origins of homeopathy as a 19th
century system of medicine into a 21st century science. Through this
fascinating ride of medical history, he shows us that many of the
world's most famous and respected people of the past 200 years have
advocated for and appreciated this other approach to medicine. I am
personally amazed that so many of my cultural heroes have benefited
from this misunderstood science and healing art. Homeopathy deserves a
definitive place in health care today."

Leonard A. Wisneski, MD, FACP,
An endocrinologist and Clinical Professor of Medicine at George
Washington University Medical Center;
Adjunct Faculty in the Department of Physiology and Biophysics at
Georgetown University;
Authored over 30 scientific articles and a textbook, The Scientific
Basis of Integrative Medicine

Do you STILL persist
in your irrational denialism?

Citizen Jimserac
D. C. Sessions - 17 May 2008 20:11 GMT
>  Dr. Oliver Wendell Holmes, Sr. had
> written a book extremely critical
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
> his treatment was not based on
> adequate understanding of this patient.

based on the principles of homeopathy, cigarettes would
be an excellent choice as a treatment for asthma.

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 20:41 GMT
> In message <a2ac60cb-8498-4f11-9739-aee74d09e...@m3g2000hsc.googlegroups.com>, CitizenJimseracwrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 21 lines]
> | sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
> +--- D. C. Sessions <d...@lumbercartel.com> ---+

Perhaps, but ONLY in HIGH dilution!!!

Why did the Homeopathic patient expire?
He forgot to take his remedy and died
of an overdose!!!

Citizen Jimserac
JanDrew - 17 May 2008 22:31 GMT
"Peter Bowditch" <myfirstname@ratbags.com> wrote in message

>>In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before
>>ever
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
>
> http://www.ratbags.comLIES
JanDrew - 18 May 2008 02:00 GMT
"Peter Bowditch" <myfirstname@ratbags.com> wrote in message

>>In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before
>>ever
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
>
> http://www.ratbags.com/rsoles--LIES
Citizen Jimserac - 17 May 2008 19:44 GMT
> So bloody what,  if one batch of one of the early vaccines did not produce a
> detectable immune response in some?    That is does not mean that no
> immunity was conferred, the relevant immune cells may still have been
> sensitised to a degree not detected by this crude test.

Ah!!!! You mean just as with Homeopathy!!
Yes, I could see that!

And it is  not that
> unusual for vaccines to vary in potency, even today, with low-potency
> vaccines being withdrawn. .

Unacceptable.  This kind of one size
fits all medicine needs to be modernized.
A system of medicine which individualizes
the remedy to the specific person is
needed... like Homeopathy.

> > I don't have to be a virologist or
> > epidemiologist to see that something
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> > WHICH YOU FOLKS REQUIRE OF HOMEOPATHY
> > BE APPLIED TO EVERYTHING ELSE TOO.

> No what you need to do is to stand back and look at ALL the evidence.  The
> fact is that the only epidemic illnesses that we do not see any more are
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> In fact,  lots of people thought homeopathy was just plain silly before ever
> clinical trials were even invented,

Yup, those are the ones rushing to their
appointes for Mercury treatments and
to get bloodletting!

and there was almost no such thing as
> biological science.  And two hundred years later there is still no support
> for its several core propositions.  The dilution thiung is only a small part
> of homeopathy's grossly inprobable and completely unsupported hypotheses, as
> I have many times pointed out.

OK, then how the hell did Hahnemann and every other Homeoapathic
prover experience the symptoms of the disease the substance was
designed to treat??  Remember, that's how this all started,
Hahneman took some malaria symptom producing substance
and got the symptoms of malaria.
Homeopathic provings go through an elaborate process and are repeated
over a period of time by several people.  The stuff they are "proving"
is UNKNOWN to them, all they do is report their effects.

That's the part that orthodox medicine has trouble with,
this selective BLINDNESS if something is announced
which goes contrary to their theories:
Example: A researcher claims that bacteria are the cause
of some types of peptic ulcer and orthodox medicine
all but ridicules the idea and dismisses it contemptuously.
The researcher publishes research it it gets discounted.
Funding starts to be denied.  Finally the researcher
figures out the ideal way to PROVE his theory - he INJECTS
himself with h. pylorii and later demonstrates to everyone
that he has (SURPRISE!) pyloric ulcers.   THAT is what
Homeopathy does on a regular basis.

> Here we have just one simple hypothesis and the evidence is overwhelmingly
> in favour of the effectiveness of vaccines..
>
> PM

I'm NOT SO SURE OF THAT ANYMORE, but there is ONE THING
that I am sure of and I will repeat it...
WHATEVER standards are applied to Homeopathy to prove
its efficacy and veracity, should be applied to
orthodox medicine and vaccination too.   If they
can't cut it than I will level the SAME CRITICISMS
against them, that are leveled against Homeopathy
when ITS research is discounted.

When ALL of Homeopathy is questioned on the
basis of one or a few failed tests then
I have the right to challenge ALL of vaccination
when some of their tests fail or the desired
antibodies are NOT produced.

It is THAT simple, there are no double standards.

Now go check with Peter Bowditch if he'd like
to revise his opinion about ignoring ALL Homeopathy
research journals and ALL its articles,
published by perfectly well qualified experts,
many of them MD's

Citizen Jimserac
D. C. Sessions - 17 May 2008 19:59 GMT
> OK, then how the hell did Hahnemann and every other Homeoapathic
> prover experience the symptoms of the disease the substance was
> designed to treat??  Remember, that's how this all started,
> Hahneman took some malaria symptom producing substance
> and got the symptoms of malaria.

/post hoc ergo propter hoc/ for starters.  He took some a small
dose of barley and over the next few weeks recorded every sensation
he experienced.  Did he have an erection?  Then barley produces
engorgement.  Did he feel sleepy?  Then barley produces drowsyness.
Did he awake?  Barley is a stimulant.  Did he feel hunger?  Barley
produces sensations of hunger.  Did his bladder fill?  Barley causes
urgency of urination.  (For the rhetorically impaired, I use barley
as a fictitious example.  The /Materia Medica/ and Hahnemann's more
discursive writings are full of detailed examples.)

And so on.  To the tune (per his /Materia Medica/) of over a thousand
symptoms for many substances.  Each "symptom" is ascribed entirely to
the sole account of the substance being "proved."

> Homeopathic provings go through an elaborate process and are repeated
> over a period of time by several people.  The stuff they are "proving"
> is UNKNOWN to them, all they do is report their effects.

Please recount where these "several people" are found.  Hahnemann only
describes single individuals, usually himself alone, for each.

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
D. C. Sessions - 17 May 2008 20:00 GMT
> That's the part that orthodox medicine has trouble with,
> this selective BLINDNESS if something is announced
> which goes contrary to their theories:

In contrast to how homeopathy deals with matters such as
acquired immunity.

> Example: A researcher claims that bacteria are the cause
> of some types of peptic ulcer and orthodox medicine
> all but ridicules the idea and dismisses it contemptuously.

When did this happen (warning: trick question)?

| sh.t happens.  Sometimes it happens to you. |
+--- D. C. Sessions <dcs@lumbercartel.com> ---+
David Wright - 21 May 2008 05:00 GMT
>> PM   This sort of nonsense makes me so angry, because neither of these two
>> (DrCEE andJimserac),  have sufficient personal scientific or medical
[quoted text clipped - 25 lines]
>Well, we must have really pulled your chain
>there to get you all riled up.

Some people get "all riled up" when they see something that's really
dumb.

 -- David Wright :: alphabeta at copper.net
    These are my opinions only, but they're almost always correct.
    "There are two kinds of Republicans:  millionaires and suckers."
                                                     -- John Dolan
Mark Probert - 17 May 2008 19:51 GMT
> <drcee...@insightbb.com> wrote in message
>
[quoted text clipped - 87 lines]
>
> PM-

Excellent post, unfortunely, it falls on empty heads.
Richard Schultz - 16 May 2008 14:17 GMT
:> > (1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?
:> > (2) If so, on what evidence do you base your conclusion?

Notice that yet another anti-statistics person failed to answer the
questions.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
The gardener plants an evergreen whilst trampling on a flower. . .
Citizen Jimserac - 16 May 2008 16:39 GMT
> In article <8b42e980-5756-4670-adfe-1901d285e...@a1g2000hsb.googlegroups.com>, Citizen Jimserac <Jimse...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> -----
> The gardener plants an evergreen whilst trampling on a flower. . .

Richard!!!!  How ya doin!!

I did not answer your questions?

Well, I've got to read some more
"Prisma", a really great Homeopathy book
by Hans Vermeulen right now.

I've got a question for YOU ->
How did the tobacco industry answer YOUR
questions, could it be that
they used STATISTICS?????????????

Like ciao dude!

James
Mark Probert - 16 May 2008 13:35 GMT
> I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
> who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
> methods are of any use in determining the efficacy (or lack thereof) of
> any particular course of medical treatment.  Certainly, my repeated offer
> to explain some of the statistical difficulties in determining the
> efficacy of alternative treatments has been ignored by all of them.

Richard, I am surprised at you. I thought you are a learned man. Do
you not realize that Alties ARE using statistics? They use
AltStatistics.

AltStatistics has two principles:

1) Efficacy of any alternative treatment is proven beyond a doubt when
one person says it "helped" them.

2) Any statistical proof that 1) is fallacious is rejected, since it
is made by someone who does not believe in Altie Treatment.

> I have two questions for those who reject the evidence brought so
> far on which conclusions such as the efficacy of vaccination in preventing
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> (1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?
> (2) If so, on what evidence do you base your conclusion?
The One True Zhen Jue - 17 May 2008 00:36 GMT
> I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
> who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
> (1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?

Yes.

> (2) If so, on what evidence do you base your conclusion?

The surgeon general's warning.

> -----
> Richard Schultz                              schu...@mail.biu.ac.il
> Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
> Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
> -----
> "Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
The One True Zhen Jue - 17 May 2008 00:42 GMT
On May 16, 7:36 pm, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com>
wrote:

> > I have noticed that many (possibly most) supporters of alternative medicine
> > who post here seem to reject in principle the notion that statistical
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
>
> The surgeon general's warning.

Oops!  I forgot to include these links; particularly to the NIH
regarding smoking:

http://health.nih.gov/result.asp/605

http://www.surgeongeneral.gov/tobacco/

http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/sgr/index.htm

http://www.who.int/tobacco/research/cessation/en/

And yes, I work with several smoking cessation patients every month.

> > -----
> > Richard Schultz                              schu...@mail.biu.ac.il
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
> - Show quoted text -
Richard Schultz - 18 May 2008 06:40 GMT
:> > (1) Do you believe that smoking cigarettes is detrimental to health?
:>
[quoted text clipped - 14 lines]
:
: http://www.who.int/tobacco/research/cessation/en/

If you believe that statistical evidence is sufficient to demonstrate
the harmful effects of smoking, why do you refuse even to acknowledge
the studies that I posted that present statistical evidence that
acupuncture works no better than a placebo?

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
The One True Zhen Jue - 18 May 2008 14:21 GMT
> In article <dee788a1-bfba-42d6-9f03-f1877b8a5...@m73g2000hsh.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 21 lines]
> the studies that I posted that present statistical evidence that
> acupuncture works no better than a placebo?

Because the evidence indicates otherwise.
Now, for some other statistics that you'll really like!

For over 10 years, Acupuncture has been acknowledged by mainstream
medicine as effective in treating several disorders.  Today, pain &
nausea are routinely treated with acupuncture; often in hospitals.
In
the UK, 86% of pain complaints are treated with acupuncture ahead of
drugs or other methods.  That isn't suprising, given that over half
of
the GPs in the UK want to learn acupuncture and practice it on their
patients.

In the USA, over 60% of medical doctors believe that acupuncture is
at
least somewhat effective.  Many people would probably express some
degree of surprise at that high a level of acceptance from MD's.
This
was so distressing to Richard Schultz, he felt compelled to ask what
%
of MD's could pass a statistics course.  Obviously, he feels that if
their ability to read medical studies were up to his level of
statistical savvy, they'd come to his negative conclusion.  At any
rate, the answer is 100%, but that won't matter to him.  He doesn't
accept that medical schools mandate that all students complete
standard courses, of which statistics is one.

Truly, the tipping point has been reached & passed.  Acupuncture
has grown greatly in its acceptance and use since the 1997 NIH
Consensus Statement.  Not only does a majority of the US & UK public
accept it, so do their healthcare providers.  Perhaps we've reached
the point where it should be considered mainstream, like physical
therapy, not alternative, like chiropractic.

> -----
> Richard Schultz                              schu...@mail.biu.ac.il
> Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
> Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
> -----
> "Logic is a wreath of pretty flowers which smell bad."
Citizen Jimserac - 18 May 2008 17:15 GMT
On May 18, 9:21 am, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com>
wrote:

> > In article <dee788a1-bfba-42d6-9f03-f1877b8a5...@m73g2000hsh.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 55 lines]
> the point where it should be considered mainstream, like physical
> therapy, not alternative, like chiropractic.

Excellent points !

(No pun intended!!).

As for what is mainstream and what is not
mainstream, could we  move "chemotherapy"
out of the "mainstream" area into
the "high risk" cateogry.
Richard Schultz - 19 May 2008 05:52 GMT
:> If you believe that statistical evidence is sufficient to demonstrate
:> the harmful effects of smoking, why do you refuse even to acknowledge
:> the studies that I posted that present statistical evidence that
:> acupuncture works no better than a placebo?
:
: Because the evidence indicates otherwise.

That's because you refuse to acknowledge the existence of any evidence that
contradicts your beliefs.  For example, I am quite sure that you did *not*
show the patients whom you are treating to quit smoking the article
"A Meta-Analysis of Acupuncture Techniques for Smoking Cessation" by
Adrian R. White, Karl-Ludwig Resch, and Edzard Ernst, that appeared in
the journal _Tobacco Control_ (a publication of the British Medical Journal)
(Tob. Control 1999, vol. 8, pp. 393-397).  I will quote the conclusion
for your benefit.  

CONCLUSIONS -- Acupuncture was not superior to sham acupuncture for smoking
cessation; no particular aspect of acupuncture technique was associated with
a positive effect. The conclusions are limited by methodological inadequacies
of studies and by the absence of testable hypotheses; design of future trials
should avoid these deficiencies.

I would guess that you probably *did* show them the article "Auricular
Acupuncture, Education, and Smoking Cessation" by I. D. Bier et al. (Am.
J. Pub. Health, vol. 92, pp. 1642 - 1647), becuase the authors claimed
that Acupuncture was more effective than sham acupuncture, and it's not
until nearly the end of the article that they explain that due to the
high dropout rate, the differences were not statistically significant.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"It is terrible to die of thirst in the ocean.  Do you have to salt your
truth so heavily that it does not even quench thirst any more?"
The One True Zhen Jue - 19 May 2008 13:23 GMT
> In article <51cd12d2-8c8b-44de-b2d7-afef9f3e0...@d45g2000hsc.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> That's because you refuse to acknowledge the existence of any evidence that
> contradicts your beliefs.

Why do you constantly have to lie?  What is it that compels a
chemistry professor to lie without remorse about a topic he doesn't
even have a vague clue about?  In the face of your repeated lie that I
would never accept any acupuncture study that had a negative result, I
posted some.  You've even commented on that fact.  In other words,
that is truely your MO; lies, strawmen, and a contant whine of
"placebo".

Are you capable of discussing acupuncture without repeatedly lying
about what YOU have said, what I have said, and what is written on
webpages I have cited?  Is it just the topic of Acupuncture or do you
consider lying justifiable across the board?  If not, why do you feel
the end always justifies the means (your repeated lies about what YOU
have said, what I have said, what is on webpages, and what pages you
cited and falsely attritbute to me)?

What is completely obvious to anyone is that your objection to
acupuncture far proceeded any examination of the evidence.  You refuse
to acknowledge the abundant evidence of acupuncture efficacy.  That's
true to form because you pre-rejected it before being aware of the
evidence.  Don't you remember that hair-brained statement you made?
It goes something like this: "what is well known is that acupuncture
does not work"

What is well known about Richard Schultz is that he'll lie without
remorse.
Richard Schultz - 19 May 2008 13:42 GMT
:> That's because you refuse to acknowledge the existence of any evidence that
:> contradicts your beliefs.
:
: Why do you constantly have to lie?  

It's not a lie.  I posted a number of studies that provided evidence that
acupuncture is not effective.  Not only did you not respond to the evidence
presented, you didn't even acknowledge it.  I offered on several occasions
to discuss with you the statistical difficulties associated with determining
the efficacy (or lack thereof) of an "alternative" treatment such as
acupuncture.  You ignored the offer every time that it was made.  How would
you describe that behavior other than refusing to acknowledge the
existence of any evidence that contradicts your beliefs?

You seem to forget that I have already shown that by your peculiar definition
of "liar," you yourself have posted "lies" here.

In the meantime, any time that you want to discuss the evidence that
acupuncture is not effective, you know where to find me.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"It is terrible to die of thirst in the ocean.  Do you have to salt your
truth so heavily that it does not even quench thirst any more?"
Jan - 19 May 2008 19:11 GMT
> In article <401ab85b-c514-4a62-b755-5f06cdd26...@b1g2000hsg.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>
> It's not a lie.

Yes, it is.

Web  Results 1 - 10 of about 475,000 for acupuncture is effective.
(0.22 seconds)

> -----
> Richard Schultz � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �schu...@mail.biu.ac.il
The One True Zhen Jue - 19 May 2008 23:26 GMT
> In article <401ab85b-c514-4a62-b755-5f06cdd26...@b1g2000hsg.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 14 lines]
> You seem to forget that I have already shown that by your peculiar definition
> of "liar," you yourself have posted "lies" here.

Peculiar?  I cited specific examples of you going far beyond
misquoting me.  I even warned you that I was going to post specific
examples of you fabricating statements and attributing them to me.
You replied by telling me to go ahead and see what happens.  What
happened is that you keep lying and got caught.

Tell me, Richard, have you ever had another usenet discussion where
you:

A. Created claims out of whole cloth and attributed to them to the
other poster
B. Tried to discredit another poster's argument by falsely stating
that they based on a website that YOU cited, not they
C. Repeatedly denied that specific things were stated on a website
when ever you had previously agreed they were and are there
D. Repeatedly lied about your own beliefs, even when they are
preserved in the google archive

I tend to doubt it.  Perhaps you'll prove me wrong by showing me some
threads wherein you've done all or most of the above.  What is really
surprising is that as a professor, you see nothing wrong with making
this statement:

"I am not making any assumption of the source.  That is why I have
*always* treated acupuncture as something "not proven," as opposed to,
say, homeopathy.  I have never said that I do not believe that
acupuncture works, only that *if* it works, it is not by restoring
balance to one's Qi."

Having already said: ""what is well known is that acupuncture does not
work."

So, _you_ think, I have a peculiar definition of "lie".  Obviously,
you prefer a definition that allows you to be deliberately false.  The
rest of us are happy with the dictionary definition.  You'll just have
to settle for your well practiced rationalizations.

> In the meantime, any time that you want to discuss the evidence that
> acupuncture is not effective, you know where to find me.

In the meantime, you'll be seeing more and more acupuncture.

> -----
> Richard Schultz                              schu...@mail.biu.ac.il
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> "It is terrible to die of thirst in the ocean.  Do you have to salt your
> truth so heavily that it does not even quench thirst any more?"
Richard Schultz - 20 May 2008 01:09 GMT
:> In the meantime, any time that you want to discuss the evidence that
:> acupuncture is not effective, you know where to find me.
:
: In the meantime, you'll be seeing more and more acupuncture.

In other words, you treat any evidence against the efficacy of acupuncture
by ignoring it.  Any time that you want to discuss any of the numerous
studies that I have cited, or discuss how statistics enter into the issue
of estimating the efficacy of a proposed medical treatment, I will be happy
to respond.  From now on, any accusations on your part that I am "lying"
will be ignored.

-----
Richard Schultz                              schultr@mail.biu.ac.il
Department of Chemistry, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
Opinions expressed are mine alone, and not those of Bar-Ilan University
-----
"It is terrible to die of thirst in the ocean.  Do you have to salt your
truth so heavily that it does not even quench thirst any more?"
The One True Zhen Jue - 20 May 2008 13:14 GMT
> In article <badfa6ab-e38c-4116-a0e5-683aecb8a...@d1g2000hsg.googlegroups.com>, The One True Zhen Jue <Andrew_King...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> In other words, yo