Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / June 2007
Told You So - Indian 'HIV victims' halved
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Alex - 07 Jun 2007 23:15 GMT Obviously, more and more people are now at least acknowledging that these antenatal clinic surveys are garbage when it comes to reflecting national infection rates. Strike one.
Alex
India Has Fewer AIDS Victims Than Thought By DONALD G. McNEIL Jr. June 7, 2007
NEW DELHI, June 7 - India, which has repeatedly been accused of denying the size of its AIDS epidemic, probably has millions fewer victims than has been widely believed, according to a new household survey that has not yet been released.
If the results of the survey - conducted under international supervision with American financing - are correct, India is no longer the world's supposed leader, with 5.7 million people infected with the virus in the official United Nations 2006 estimate; it would again rank behind South Africa with 5.5 million infected people, and possibly behind Nigeria with 2.9 million.
Early analysis of the figures in the survey suggests that the number of infected people in India is between 2 and 3 million, according to several sources, including American epidemiologists who know the data and the health ministry here.
"Everyone transiting through here says, 'This is a pandemic,' " Dr. Anbumani Ramadoss, India's health minister, said in an interview here. "But I am very confident that we will not turn into a generalized epidemic."
A nation's AIDS epidemic is considered "generalized," meaning it is spreading throughout the sexually active population, when more than 1 percent of people are infected. India's official rate has hovered for years at 0.9 percent of its 1.1 billion people; the new survey suggests that it may actually be as low as 0.3 percent.
That implies that India has managed to keep its epidemic more like that of the United States, where the virus circulates mostly within high-risk groups rather than generally in the population. In the United States, the prevalance rate is 0.6 percent.
In India's case, the high-risk groups are prostitutes and their clients, especially truckers; men who have sex with men; and people who inject drugs, especially in the northeastern part of the country near the border with Myanmar.
Some experts on AIDS surveillance techniques have been saying the same thing for years, arguing that Indians do not have the same kind of sexual networks that are common in southern and eastern Africa, in which both men and women often have two or more occasional but regular sexual partners over long periods of time. Also, outside of prostitution, "transactional sex" between teen-age girls and older men in return for money, food or clothes is much less common in Asia than in Africa.
James Chin, a professor of epidemiology at the University of California at Berkeley, has argued that the typical way of estimating AIDS prevalence rates - sampling the blood of pregnant women who come to urban health clinics and the blood of high-risk groups - greatly exaggerates national estimates.
[James Chin said the same in an interview with The Boston Globe, back in 2004, which was roughly repeated in the Washington Post in 2006. The wheels of AIDS science do turn slowly - Alex]
He has been vindicated by more recent surveys, paid for by the United States, that take blood samples in randomly chosen households in rural and urban areas.
One of those, called the National Family Health Survey, produced India's new figures.
Such surveys, country by country, have led the United Nations to gradually reduce its world estimates of the total number of people infected.
"This is a replay of what happened in Kenya," Daniel Halperin, an expert on AIDS infection rates at the Harvard School of Public Health, said of the India report.
When Kenya was more carefully surveyed in 2004, Dr. Halperin said, estimates of its prevalence rate were more than halved, to 6.7 percent from the 15 percent that the U.N. AIDS agency had estimated in 2001.
['More carefully surveyed', meaning they used a statistically sound sampling method, the DHS or Demographic and Health Survey, performed by the CDC instead of UNAIDS - Alex]
But Dr. Halperin said that AIDS-fighting agencies have such a stake in portraying the epidemic as an approaching Armageddon that they are hesitant to make significant downward revisions in estimates.
[In other words, this is first and foremost a political and financial disease - Alex]
India's survey was finished last year, but Avahan, an AIDS group here financed by the Gates Foundation, refused to discuss the figures before their formal release, which has not been scheduled.
"If the total number of cases in the world is half of what you've been saying, that's a bitter pill to swallow," Dr. Halperin said. "So every year they lower the numbers a little bit, and retroactively change the estimates of what it used to be. It's sort of Orwellian."
In Africa, infection rates range as high as 30 percent. South Africa's is about 22 percent, and that figure is considered relatively accurate because the epidemic is older there than in India, and full population surveys have been conducted.
[Actually, that figure has been shown to be totall bullshit, years ago. The official infection rate in South Africa is now somwhere around 11%, which is just a smaller pile of bullshit - Alex]
Claims in recent years by prominent experts that India was in denial about the scale of its AIDS problem have become a sore point for Indian health officials.
[The pop-psychology charge of 'you're in denial' fits perfectly with the lack of scientific rigour that pervades 'AIDS science' and activism - Alex]
Richard Feacham, until recently the executive director of the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, said in early 2005, when South Africa was thought to have slightly more cases, that "the official statistics are wrong - India is in first place." He warned that India's epidemic could shoot up to African levels, wiping out the surging economy and leaving a nation of orphans.
But S.Y. Quaraishi, then head of India's National AIDS Control Organization, took offense, calling such projections "technically incorrect and misleading."
Richard Holbrooke, president of the Global Business Coalition on HIV/AIDS said in a 2006 interview disparaged contentions by Indian leaders that their country would not follow Africa's path, and compared their political courage unfavorably to that of China's leaders.
And in 2002, when Bill Gates visited India to donate $100 million to fighting its epidemic, the country's health minister at the time, Satrugan Sinha, accused him of "spreading panic among the general public" by suggesting that cases could reach 25 million by 2010.
Given the new survey results, Dr. Ramadoss, the current health minister, was asked if India was owed any apologies. All he wanted, he replied, was "that the world acknowledge the efforts India is making."
Among them, Dr. Ramadoss said, was the $2 billion it is spending to fight the disease, the 75,000 people who now receive free antiretroviral treatment, the 2,000 centers around the country that provide sex education and condoms to sex workers and clients, and the 3,600 free testing centers.
India sends government workers to hand out condoms outside theaters showing pornographic films, even though the films are illegal. It has created a government condom brand called "Dipper," a play on the the advice painted on the backs of many large trucks, "Use Dipper at Night," meaning that following drivers should switch to low-beam headlights.
"India is glaringly not in a denial phase," Dr. Ramadoss said, adding that he was grateful for the pressure on his country from critics because it had forced the country to move faster. "We need to work with the Global Fund, not contradict each other."
Anjali Gopolan, executive director of the Naz Foundation (India) Trust, which runs an orphanage and fights stigmatization of AIDS victims, said she was skeptical of any estimate as low as 2 million. But whatever the correct figure turns out to be, she said, "the infection is here, and we have a huge burden - we are a very sexually active culture, contrary to what the politicians want to project."
AIDS is still a disease that carries tremendous stigma in India. In recent weeks, newspapers have carried reports of an AIDS patient left on the street outside a hospital to die, of five infected children expelled from school, and of a woman beaten to death by her in-laws, who feared she would infect the family.
["AIDS is still a disease that carries tremendous stigma in India." Duh. A bit like leprosy, really - Alex]
See here the articles from The Boston Globe (2004) and The Washington Post (2006)
http://www.boston.com/news/world/articles/2004/06/20/estimates_on_hiv_called_too _high/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/05/AR2006040502517. html?sub=new
Read here Peter Ghys' feeble defense of the use of antenatal clinic surveys. He concludes:
" Donnelly's article might lead readers to think that AIDS is not as pervasive as once thought. This couldn't be further from the truth. The actual number of people living with HIV globally continues to grow at alarming rates due to new HIV infections. "
http://www.boston.com/news/globe/editorial_opinion/letters/articles/2004/06/27/t he_number_of_people_ with_hiv/
I guess not, huh, dr. Ghys?
Alex
Martin - 08 Jun 2007 00:36 GMT >Obviously, more and more people are now at least >acknowledging that these antenatal clinic surveys >are garbage when it comes to reflecting national >infection rates. Strike one. The whole HIV nonsense is falling apart.
I questioned the figures from India in the misc.health.aids newsgroup a couple of months ago, see <rb9723t1ej43vihvt8c7i2up11gaup3v2u@4ax.com>.
According to <http://www.avert.org/indiaaids.htm> and <http://www.nacoonline.org/facts_reportaug.htm>India has had less than 130,000 AIDS cases in total, despite supposedly having over five million people 'infected' with HIV.
But this, <http://www.dailyindia.com/show/133866.php/Richard-Gere-to-truckers:-Keep-off-HIV/AIDS>, article reports:
"According to estimates by the U.N. Population Division, if trends continue, nearly 49.5 million Indians will die of the disease between 2015 and 2050."
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Alex - 13 Jun 2007 12:58 GMT And another thing. Antenatal Clinic Surveys (ANCs) are the favorite of the official United Nations AIDS hyping agency... excuse me, the 'AIDS awareness' agency, UNAIDS.
Is it a mystery that they prefer ANCs? Even though it is clear to a first year student that using these surveys to estimate national prevalence is unscientific?
Alex
DavidT - 14 Jun 2007 16:31 GMT Gosh! You mean that the number of people in India with HIV infection was overestimated by some autorities?
I am astounded, gob-smacked, awe struck and completely bemused!!!
I agree with you- this is clearly the deathknell for the HIV hypothesis.
Obviously this means the virus does not exist at all. HIV is entirely a figment of the imagination of tens of thousands of virologists, epidemiologists, microbiologists, clinicians, infectious disease specialists, microbiologists and other scientists, and of the millions who have died and suffered from it.
Martin - 14 Jun 2007 18:59 GMT >You mean that the number of people in India with HIV infection was >overestimated by some autorities? [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] >specialists, microbiologists and other scientists, and of the millions >who have died and suffered from it. No one has ever died from HIV, and the suffering your mention has been forced on people diagnosed HIV+ by those you applaud.
I wonder how many of the tens of thousands of people you mention work directly in the HIV research business? In reality I suspect most don't, but they rely on the 'research' of a small number of those who do.
Medical and scientific development is a long chain of research done by many people over a long period of time. If the basics at the beginning are wrong the whole line of research is flawed.
Is your argument that HIV must exist and be the unique cause of AIDS because tens of thousands of people say it is? That's a very weak argument.
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 14 Jun 2007 19:27 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
>>Obviously this means the virus does not exist at all. HIV is entirely >>a figment of the imagination of tens of thousands of virologists, >>epidemiologists, microbiologists, clinicians, infectious disease >>specialists, microbiologists and other scientists, and of the millions >>who have died and suffered from it.
> No one has ever died from HIV, and the suffering your mention has been > forced on people diagnosed HIV+ by those you applaud. No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases and the eventual in people who were healthy before they became HIV positive (in the days before ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social demographics don't similarly become ill?
Death - 14 Jun 2007 19:49 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the > body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases and the eventual in > people who were healthy before they became HIV positive (in the days before > ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social > demographics don't similarly become ill? Which exactly is your argument? HIV does kill or HIV gets people ill ? You jumped from HIV to AIDS in a single sentence.
Martin - 14 Jun 2007 20:16 GMT >"Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message >> No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the >> body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases and the eventual in >> people who were healthy before they became HIV positive (in the days before >> ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social >> demographics don't similarly become ill?
>Which exactly is your argument? HIV does kill or HIV gets people ill ? The latter, I suspect. Which is why HIV and AIDS have merged to become HIV/AIDS.
What's HIV? A killer virus that doesn't kill.
What's AIDS? A new term for diseases that have been around for longer than anyone can remember.
>You jumped from HIV to AIDS in a single sentence. Definitions of HIV and AIDS are a bit fluid. What's AIDS in one country is only HIV in another.
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Death - 14 Jun 2007 20:32 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >
> The latter, I suspect. Which is why HIV and AIDS have merged to > become HIV/AIDS. [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > Definitions of HIV and AIDS are a bit fluid. What's AIDS in one > country is only HIV in another. Moira has posted here too many years to make such a mistake so I have to ass-ume it was calculated and delivered to muddy bloody waters.
Moira de Swardt - 15 Jun 2007 17:41 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >
>> The latter, I suspect. Which is why HIV and AIDS have merged to >> become HIV/AIDS. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > so I have to ass-ume it was calculated and delivered to muddy > bloody waters. I didn't even mention AIDS. How can I be trying to "muddy bloody waters" in this regard? Do try and be rational about the use of the English language, even if HIV is beyond you.
Death - 16 Jun 2007 16:29 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> I didn't even mention AIDS. This is part of your statement is it not?
"Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the > body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases ... Yes, you mentioned AIDS.
Alex - 15 Jun 2007 21:57 GMT > >You jumped from HIV to AIDS in a single sentence. > [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> > Moible: +447939991519 A bit fluid is a bit of an understatement. There are (or is that were) 'AIDS defining illnesses' back in the eighties, in Europe and America.
However, in Africa, there are no AIDS defining illnesses. Instead, the most common conditions and diseases are interpreted as evidence of AIDS.
And whatever happened to Kaposi's Sarcoma? Which itself has been around for so long it was depicted in Ancient Egypt.
Alex
Alex - 16 Jun 2007 17:50 GMT > >You jumped from HIV to AIDS in a single sentence. > [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> > Moible: +447939991519 A bit fluid is a bit of an understatement. There are (or is that were) 'AIDS defining illnesses' back in the eighties, in Europe and America.
However, in Africa, there are no AIDS defining illnesses. Instead, the most common conditions and diseases are interpreted as evidence of AIDS.
And whatever happened to Kaposi's Sarcoma? Which itself has been around for so long it was depicted in Ancient Egypt.
Alex
Moira de Swardt - 15 Jun 2007 17:40 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the >> body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases and the eventual [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] >> ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social >> demographics don't similarly become ill?
> Which exactly is your argument? HIV does kill or HIV gets people ill ? > You jumped from HIV to AIDS in a single sentence. I never mentioned "AIDS" at all. HIV is the virus. It can be managed in 2007 in most cases. Yet this virus still kills people. But it makes them sick first. However, the reality is that now there is a way of dealing with the virus, and that the virus should no longer be a killer, but it is has killed far too many people in the past. They died of HIV. Or as we say, HIV related diseases. Or (and I now mention the word) AIDS.
Martin - 16 Jun 2007 12:11 GMT >They died of HIV. Or as we say, HIV related diseases. >Or (and I now mention the word) AIDS. Or as *I* say, people die of things that have been around for longer than anyone can remember.
I find it interesting that you have to qualify your "they died of HIV" with "or as we say, HIV related disease." To me this suggests you know HIV doesn't kill. You may believe HIV is a contributory factor, but do you really believe HIV kills? Do you believe anyone has died of HIV?
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 16 Jun 2007 15:58 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
>>They died of HIV. Or as we say, HIV related diseases. >>Or (and I now mention the word) AIDS.
> Or as *I* say, people die of things that have been around for longer > than anyone can remember.
> I find it interesting that you have to qualify your "they died of HIV" > with "or as we say, HIV related disease." To me this suggests you > know HIV doesn't kill. You may believe HIV is a contributory factor, > but do you really believe HIV kills? Do you believe anyone has died > of HIV? HIV kills simply because it weakens the immune system, eventually causing it to collapse. At that point the person with HIV dies. HIV has killed its host. The person has died because of HIV. If you want to be very technical about it, then yes, it was the pneumonia or the TB or the cancer or some other opportunistic disease that the person contracted and could not deal with because of the weakened immune system (and in Africa malnutrition, sanitation and lack of education play their part in hastening death) which killed them. But the cause was HIV. Without HIV they would not have acquired the pneumonia or succumbed to TB or to a particular cancer.
Martin - 17 Jun 2007 19:27 GMT >"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >> I find it interesting that you have to qualify your "they died of HIV" >> with "or as we say, HIV related disease." To me this suggests you >> know HIV doesn't kill. You may believe HIV is a contributory factor, >> but do you really believe HIV kills? Do you believe anyone has died >> of HIV?
>HIV kills simply because it weakens the immune system, eventually causing >it to collapse. How does HIV weaken the immune system and cause it to collapse?
>At that point the person with HIV dies. HIV has killed its >host. The person has died because of HIV. If you want to be very technical [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] >sanitation and lack of education play their part in hastening death) which >killed them. So, 'technically' HIV doesn't kill. It amuses me the way you followers of the HIV religion gloss over technical issues. An HIV test doesn't test for HIV, but of course that's only a 'technical' issue as well.
>But the cause was HIV. Without HIV they would not have >acquired the pneumonia or succumbed to TB or to a particular cancer. Erm, pneumonia, TB and cancers have been around for a long time. Are you seriously suggesting that no one died from these things before HIV was invented?
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 21:42 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
>>"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
>>> I find it interesting that you have to qualify your "they died of HIV" >>> with "or as we say, HIV related disease." To me this suggests you >>> know HIV doesn't kill. You may believe HIV is a contributory factor, >>> but do you really believe HIV kills? Do you believe anyone has died >>> of HIV?
>>HIV kills simply because it weakens the immune system, eventually causing >>it to collapse.
> How does HIV weaken the immune system and cause it to collapse?
>>At that point the person with HIV dies. HIV has killed its >>host. The person has died because of HIV. If you want to be very [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] >>sanitation and lack of education play their part in hastening death) which >>killed them.
> So, 'technically' HIV doesn't kill. It amuses me the way you > followers of the HIV religion gloss over technical issues. An HIV > test doesn't test for HIV, but of course that's only a 'technical' > issue as well. Well, of course, I suppose it doesn't really matter to the grieving family whether it was the actual HIVirus or whether it was an opportunistic disease which killed their loved one, often the breadwinner of the family. HIV was certainly a killer before ARVs and, without ARVs, still kills.
>>But the cause was HIV. Without HIV they would not have >>acquired the pneumonia or succumbed to TB or to a particular cancer.
> Erm, pneumonia, TB and cancers have been around for a long time. Are > you seriously suggesting that no one died from these things before HIV > was invented? No, I'm not suggesting that at all. PCP, of course, was very rare. It is, as you know, a particular variety of pneumonia almost exclusively seen in HIV positive patients. It kills. TB should be a fairly rare disease, even in Africa. HIV has caused it to spiral out of control, and new drug resistant strains are now found. Many of the cancers, including some skin cancers are exceptionally rare outside of people who are immune compromised. But you knew all this. You're just being difficult to try and support some kind of anti-HIV stance. The bad news about AIDS denialists who are HIV positive is that they eventually stop posting to this forum. HIV positive people who take ARVs correctly and HIV negative people continue posting for years. I wonder why this is? Oh, wait. HIV positive people who are AIDS denialists eventually die of HIV related causes. You may take that as me saying that HIV killed them, even though technically it would have been some opportunistic disease which killed them. There are probably exceptions to the above. I acknowledge that some HIV positive people also die in car accidents, drownings, and even of non-HIV related medical conditions.
Alex - 17 Jun 2007 20:40 GMT > "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > >>They died of HIV. Or as we say, HIV related diseases. [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] > HIV kills simply because it weakens the immune system, eventually causing > it to collapse. So if it weakens the immune system in a general way, why is there such a thing as 'AIDS defining illnesses' (although of course not in Africa).
Oh yes, another one - HIV causes AIDS defining illnesses, unless when it doesn't.
Alex
Martin - 17 Jun 2007 21:17 GMT >So if it weakens the immune system in a general way, why >is there such a thing as 'AIDS defining illnesses' (although >of course not in Africa). In the US things are even more bizarre. They have 'AIDS defining illnesses,' and the catch-all of a CD4 count lower than 200.
My CD4 count is 100. Sitting here in the UK I am HIV+. If I hopped on a plane and went to the US I would have AIDS!
And the definition of an HIV+ diagnosis differs throughout the world.
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Alex - 18 Jun 2007 18:05 GMT > >So if it weakens the immune system in a general way, why > >is there such a thing as 'AIDS defining illnesses' (although [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> > Moible: +447939991519 Right, how can every country have their own definition of 'AIDS'?
And why are there different testing standards on different continents? Not just the single ELISA used in Africa, but the use of Western Blot as THE confirmation test in the US, while it is not used for diagnosis in the UK at all.
Alex
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 21:55 GMT "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message
> Right, how can every country have their own definition of 'AIDS'? Give examples of the definition of AIDS differing from country to country. Try the three which seem relevant from the snipped portion of this thread. USA, UK and Southern Africa.
> And why are there different testing standards on different continents? > Not just the single ELISA used in Africa, but the use of Western Blot > as THE confirmation test in the US, while it is not used for diagnosis > in the UK at all. Africa is made up of 58 countries. Most don't use the single ELISA test even for statistical purposes anymore. However you don't seem to have ethical problems with using outdated data where it supports the drivel you spout.
In South Africa there are a whole variety of tests available and the ELISA doesn't feature in any of the HIV tests I've had. Remember the new generation tests can now pick up the antibodies within eleven days of contracting the disease. These are the standing first screening tests done in antenatal clinics now and specifically by the South African Blood Transfusion Service.
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 21:48 GMT "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> schreef in bericht
>> HIV kills simply because it weakens the immune system, eventually >> causing >> it to collapse.
> So if it weakens the immune system in a general way, why > is there such a thing as 'AIDS defining illnesses' (although > of course not in Africa). Because there are some diseases which almost exclusively occur in people with compromised immune systems. When a certain number of these diseases are present then the combination of diseases is known as "AIDS defining illnesses". It is a clinical observation, not a scientific diagnosis.
> Oh yes, another one - HIV causes AIDS defining illnesses, > unless when it doesn't. This doesn't make sense. Where "AIDS defining illnesses" are present they are there because the immune system is compromised. There are other rare conditions which compromise the immune system, but once a diagnosis has been made of one of those and/or HIV ruled out as the cause of the opportunistic diseases then the person obviously doesn't have AIDS. "AIDS" and "HIV" are not synonyms. Nor are "AIDS" and "AIDS defining illness" interchangeable terms.
Alex - 24 Jun 2007 22:15 GMT > "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message > > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> schreef in bericht [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] > > This doesn't make sense. You mean, no sense you can make of it? For example, Kaposi's Sarcoma is only an 'aids defining illness' in combination of a positive HIV test.
So how can it be AIDS defining? For that matter, how can something as common as TB be 'AIDS defining' - it isn't, of course.
> Where "AIDS defining illnesses" are present they > are there because the immune system is compromised. Like Kaposi's Sarcoma? Which is a cancer? How is this an opportunistic infection again? Or a sign of a compromised immune system? Is cancer now a sign of a compromised immune system?
Alex
Moira de Swardt - 25 Jun 2007 20:08 GMT "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> schreef in bericht >> "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message >> > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> schreef in bericht
>> > Oh yes, another one - HIV causes AIDS defining illnesses, >> > unless when it doesn't.
>> This doesn't make sense.
> You mean, no sense you can make of it? For example, Kaposi's Sarcoma > is only an 'aids defining illness' in combination of a positive HIV test.
> So how can it be AIDS defining? For that matter, how can something > as common as TB be 'AIDS defining' - it isn't, of course. TB isn't AIDS defining on its own. And you know that.
DavidT - 28 Jun 2007 11:47 GMT > "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETH...@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message > > "Moira de Swardt" <moira...@wol.co.za> schreef in bericht > >> "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETH...@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message
> TB isn't AIDS defining on its own. And you know that. Either Alex is extremely stupid (he persistently fails to understand even the simplest data when spelled out to him in words of one syllable), or he does understand and is being a vexatious troll. My money is on the former.
Death - 28 Jun 2007 15:47 GMT "DavidT" <david199@volcanomail.com> wrote in message
> > TB isn't AIDS defining on its own. And you know that. > > Either Alex is extremely stupid (he persistently fails to understand > even the simplest data when spelled out to him in words of one > syllable), or he does understand and is being a vexatious troll. > My money is on the former. Speaking of failing to understand simple data....
Death - 16 Jun 2007 16:35 GMT > " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message > > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] > > I never mentioned "AIDS" at all. Yes you did, hiv plus OIs is AIDS. If you have another definition share it.
>HIV is the virus. The virus you say kills?
>It can be managed in > 2007 in most cases. Yet this virus still kills people. But it makes them > sick first. However, the reality is that now there is a way of dealing with > the virus, and that the virus should no longer be a killer, but it is has > killed far too many people in the past. They died of HIV. Or as we say,
> HIV related diseases. Or (and I now mention the word) AIDS. So, which is it, HIV or AIDS that did the killing? HIV is a stand alone disease and to my knowledge has killed no one.
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 22:01 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> So, which is it, HIV or AIDS that did the killing? > HIV is a stand alone disease and to my knowledge has killed no one. Ok, if you want to state it like that, then you have a point. Incidentally why I nearly always state "HIV related diseases". However, while you are doing your pedantic bit, bear in mind that HIV negative people don't get AIDS.
Martin - 19 Jun 2007 23:56 GMT >" Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message >> So, which is it, HIV or AIDS that did the killing? >> HIV is a stand alone disease and to my knowledge has killed no one.
>Ok, if you want to state it like that, then you have a point. Incidentally >why I nearly always state "HIV related diseases". However, while you are >doing your pedantic bit, bear in mind that HIV negative people don't get >AIDS. That's only because technicality you can't have AIDS without HIV.
The list of AIDS defining conditions, or "HIV related diseases" as you prefer to call them, were around a long time before HIV was invented. It's just that when you throw HIV into the pot they're suddenly called AIDS.
However, according to this article AIDS without HIV exists and is known as 'non-HIV AIDS.' You couldn't make this stuff up if you tried, opps, someone already has:
<http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg13718610.700-cause-unknown-for-aids-withou t-hiv-.html> But as I've mentioned before the definitions of HIV and AIDS varies throughout the world.
Is it still the case that in parts of Africa AIDS diagnosis is based on the patient having a bit of a cough, weight loss or diarrhoea?
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 20 Jun 2007 16:29 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
> Is it still the case that in parts of Africa AIDS diagnosis is based > on the patient having a bit of a cough, weight loss or diarrhoea? It never was the case.
The case was always two major defining diseases plus one minor defining or three minor defining and one major defining. What did vary from country to country is what has been regarded as major and minor defining diseases. But you know that.
Alex - 22 Jun 2007 01:34 GMT > "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > > > Is it still the case that in parts of Africa AIDS diagnosis is based > > on the patient having a bit of a cough, weight loss or diarrhoea? > > It never was the case. I'm getting tired of this - again, this is not true.
The Bangui Definition is very real, and well documented.
Alex
Moira de Swardt - 22 Jun 2007 16:14 GMT >> "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >> [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > > The Bangui Definition is very real, and well documented. A bit of a cough, weight loss or diarrhoea or full blown obvious AIDS with TB.
Let's be realistic here.
Alex - 24 Jun 2007 22:07 GMT > >> "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > >> [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] > > A bit of a cough, 2 points...
> weight loss 4 points...
> or diarrhoea I don't know how many points you get for those...
> or full blown obvious AIDS with > TB. > > Let's be realistic here. Realistic? And what is 'obvious AIDS'? And even I didn't know that the Bangui Definition worked with scored points.
Apparantly 'generalized kaposi's sarcoma' (12 points) gets you an instant AIDS diagnosis (also 12 points).
Alex
********************* From the Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bangui_definition
Inclusion criteria with the corresponding score Score
Important signs
Weight loss exceeding 10% of body weight 4 Protracted asthenia 4
Very frequent signs
Continuous or repeated attacks of fever for more than a month 3 Diarrhoea lasting for more than a month 3
Other signs
Cough 2 Pneumopathy 2 Oropharyngeal candidiasis 4 Chronic or relapsing cutaneous herpes 4 Generalized pruritic dermatosis 4 Herpes zoster (relapsing) 4 Generalized adenopathy 2 Neurological signs 2 Generalized Kaposi's sarcoma 12
The diagnosis of AIDS is established when the score is 12 or more.
Death - 24 Jun 2007 23:56 GMT "Alex" <avdeelen.REMOFETHIS1@wanadoo.nl> wrote in message
> Realistic? And what is 'obvious AIDS'? And even I > didn't know that the Bangui Definition worked with > scored points. > > The diagnosis of AIDS is established when the score is 12 or more. Something new for me as well
Death - 22 Jun 2007 02:15 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > > > Is it still the case that in parts of Africa AIDS diagnosis is based > > on the patient having a bit of a cough, weight loss or diarrhoea? > > It never was the case. In October 1985, a conference of public health officials including representatives of the Centers for Disease Control and World Health Organization met in Bangui and defined AIDS in Africa as, "prolonged fevers for a month or more, weight loss of over 10% and prolonged diarrhea". About half the AIDS cases in Africa based on the Bangui definition are HIV positive.
Moira de Swardt - 22 Jun 2007 16:16 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> In October 1985, a conference of public health officials including > representatives of the [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > diarrhea". About half the AIDS cases in Africa based on the Bangui > definition are HIV positive. And what ails the other half? And by what studies do you know this?
Death - 22 Jun 2007 23:06 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> And what ails the other half? And by what studies do you know this? See the CDC and WHO web sites.
Moira de Swardt - 23 Jun 2007 08:06 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> And what ails the other half? And by what studies do you know this?
> See the CDC and WHO web sites. Both websites are huge. Provide links, or better still, discuss the issues.
Moira
Death - 23 Jun 2007 18:12 GMT > " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message > > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > > Both websites are huge. Provide links, or better still, discuss the issues. (CBS) This story was written by CBS News producer Sarah Carter in Johannesburg, South Africa.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "It was the height of summer in February 2005 and the hospital was filled with patients with both TB and HIV/AIDS," recalled Dr. Tony Moll, the anti-retroviral program manager at the Church of Scotland Hospital in Tugela Ferry.
"I remember there were two patients who just weren't getting better. I don't know why, but I had this terrible feeling that something really sinister was happening," Moll said.
In most instances, HIV/AIDS positive patients being treated with both anti-retrovirals and tuberculosis drugs improved, Dr. Moll explained, but not these two. "They were getting worse by the hour."
With a lack of testing facilities in his rural hospital in South Africa's Kwazulu-Natal province, Dr. Moll asked for special permission to have the sputum samples of 45 patients sent to Durban and tested for resistance to TB drugs.
Nurses collected samples from the two very ill patients, as well as 43 others being treated with TB and anti-retroviral drugs, and sent them off. By the time the results came back eight weeks later, 10 of the patients were dead, including the two who had been very ill.
Of the 45 samples, 10 were resistant to all six TB drugs they tested for.
"I got a cold shiver, with such fear in my heart," Moll said. "I thought, 'This is airborne. Could I be infected? Could my staff be infected?' To go into a new realm of XDR-TB, which is basically untreatable, was almost unthinkable," he said, using the acronym for Extremely Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis.
Moll's worst fears eventually were realized: Four of the hospital nurses died in those first few months. From that point on, the hospital began identifying more and more patients - and in almost all cases, the patients with XDR-TB were dead before the lab results were back. Most die within 16 days of being identified as a possible XDR-TB case. The mortality rate of XDR-TB is 84 percent.
Since the first two cases, close to three years ago, doctors at the Church of Scotland Hospital have identified 266 people with XDR-TB.
That is just one small hospital. Across South Africa, doctors in all nine provinces have reported XDR-TB cases.
"It seems to be simmering, with increasing numbers each month," says Moll said. "It's not explosive, but it's slow, insidious, increasing numbers."
With recent U.S. fears of tuberculosis being stoked by a Georgia man's trans-Atlantic travels while infected with XDR-TB, South Africa's struggles serve as an ominous reminder of how deadly the disease can be.
The South African government has installed extractor fans in all TB wards and hospital staff use surgical face masks, but doctors claim there is a lack of good isolation facilities available. It has been reported that small rural clinics and hospitals can sometimes wait for up to three weeks with an XDR-TB patient in a general ward before a bed is available in one of the few urban hospitals better equipped to deal with the disease.
Experts claim a drug to deal specifically with XDR-TB is more than a decade away, so doctors use a combination of six to eight TB drugs to treat it.
Currently, a small group of XDR patients have been treated for more than five months in a Durban hospital, but their results have fallen short of doctors' expectations.
"Ultimately we need prevention, as the current treatment regime just isn't the way to go," Moll said. "The bulk of the patients just die so quickly."
Moira de Swardt - 23 Jun 2007 21:49 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message >> " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message >> > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> >> And what ails the other half? And by what studies do you know this?
>> > See the CDC and WHO web sites.
>> Both websites are huge. Provide links, or better still, discuss the >> issues.
> (CBS) This story was written by CBS News producer Sarah Carter in > Johannesburg, South Africa.
> "It was the height of summer in February 2005 and the hospital was filled > with patients with > both TB and HIV/AIDS," recalled Dr. Tony Moll, the anti-retroviral program > manager at the > Church of Scotland Hospital in Tugela Ferry.
> "I remember there were two patients who just weren't getting better. I > don't know why, but I > had this terrible feeling that something really sinister was happening," > Moll said.
> In most instances, HIV/AIDS positive patients being treated with both > anti-retrovirals and > tuberculosis drugs improved, Dr. Moll explained, but not these two. "They > were getting worse by > the hour."
> With a lack of testing facilities in his rural hospital in South Africa's > Kwazulu-Natal > province, Dr. Moll asked for special permission to have the sputum samples > of 45 patients sent > to Durban and tested for resistance to TB drugs.
> Nurses collected samples from the two very ill patients, as well as 43 > others being treated > with TB and anti-retroviral drugs, and sent them off. By the time the > results came back eight > weeks later, 10 of the patients were dead, including the two who had been > very ill.
> Of the 45 samples, 10 were resistant to all six TB drugs they tested for.
> "I got a cold shiver, with such fear in my heart," Moll said. "I thought, > 'This is airborne. [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > for Extremely > Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis.
> Moll's worst fears eventually were realized: Four of the hospital nurses > died in those first [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > mortality rate of XDR-TB is > 84 percent.
> Since the first two cases, close to three years ago, doctors at the Church > of Scotland Hospital > have identified 266 people with XDR-TB.
> That is just one small hospital. Across South Africa, doctors in all nine > provinces have > reported XDR-TB cases. And you reckon that this accounts for half of all the deaths attributed to HIV in people who aren't HIV positive? You talk drivel. Nearly all people with TB are HIV positive. Yes, there are people with TB who are not HIV positive and who do not have compromised immune systems, but they have, until now, always responded well to the drugs and get better. That's one of the reasons this new drug resistant variety is so scary. You don't think that most governments actually *care* about HIV positive people, do you? Certainly I haven't seen any care from the South African government that hasn't been forced on them. TB, incidentally, is one of the diseases which is now routinely treated prophylactically in people whose CD4 count is being monitored when it reached 360 or less, at which point TB becomes a problem. Bear in mind that very few South Africans have not been exposed to TB which is endemic. (Incidentally, I tested negative in 2004 on the skin test for TB, a result which surprised the medical staff who did the test, widely regarded as a waste of time in South African conditions simply because so few people actually test negative on it - and more so because I have worked extensively with HIV positive patients in both South Africa and Swaziland and a few in Zimbabwe).
Death - 23 Jun 2007 22:50 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> And you reckon that this accounts for half of all the deaths attributed to > HIV in people who aren't HIV positive? LOL, do what?
>You talk drivel. No, the drivel begins now:
>Nearly all people with TB are HIV positive. >Yes, there are people with TB who are not HIV > positive and who do not have compromised immune systems, ... That's what I said.
Death - 23 Jun 2007 23:08 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> You don't think that most governments actually *care* >about HIV positive people, do you? No.
> Certainly I haven't seen any care from the South African government that > hasn't been forced on them. TB, incidentally, is one of the diseases which > is now routinely treated prophylactically in people whose CD4 count is being > monitored when it reached 360 or less, TB does not lower CD4 cells, see HIVirus.
TB is a bacteria. The drug does 90% (say) of the work. Your immune system is suppose to be able to kill off the other 10%. If the 10% isn't suppressed by the immune system, they multiply and are known as drug resistant.
>at which point TB becomes a problem.
> Bear in mind that very few South Africans have not been exposed to TB which > is endemic. Endemic, ......hardly.
Ad for pharma snipped.
Death - 20 Jun 2007 00:37 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> Ok, if you want to state it like that, then you have a point. Incidentally > why I nearly always state "HIV related diseases". However, while you are > doing your pedantic bit, bear in mind that HIV negative people don't get > AIDS. I understand HIV- people don't acquire AIDS. I don't remember that being said.
Back to what is at hand, exactly which diseases do you consider to be HIV related ?
My understanding is you either have HIV or you have progressed with an OI and now are in the beginning stages of AIDS. Perhaps the term (syndrome) is wasted on some of us and A.I.D. related is the new terminology. Who knew?
Moira de Swardt - 20 Jun 2007 16:41 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> Ok, if you want to state it like that, then you have a point. >> Incidentally >> why I nearly always state "HIV related diseases". However, while you are >> doing your pedantic bit, bear in mind that HIV negative people don't get >> AIDS.
> I understand HIV- people don't acquire AIDS. I don't remember > that being said. I have just said it above.
> to be HIV related ? PCP, CMV and KS are very rarely ever seen outside of HIV positive people. TB, while not being HIV related, is almost always present in untreated HIV positive people whose CD4 count has already dropped to about 350 or below. Shingles, also not exclusively HIV related, is widespread in HIV positive people whose immune systems are already in trouble. But you don't have to ask me. Just Google for "AIDS defining illnesses" and you can get the list, how many have to be present etc.
> My understanding is you either have HIV or you have progressed > with an OI and now are in the beginning stages of AIDS. > Perhaps the term (syndrome) is wasted on some of us and A.I.D. related > is the new terminology. Who knew? What on earth are you talking about AID related? I said HIV related, not AID related. Do try and follow.
Death - 20 Jun 2007 18:26 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> PCP, CMV and KS are very rarely ever seen outside of HIV positive people. > TB, while not being HIV related, is almost always present in untreated HIV [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > ask me. Just Google for "AIDS defining illnesses" and you can get the list, > how many have to be present etc. http://www.hivandhepatitis.com/recent/2006/011706_a.html
Martin - 14 Jun 2007 20:09 GMT >"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > [quoted text clipped - 12 lines] >ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social >demographics don't similarly become ill? Really? Well, let me explain something to you: I was diagnosed HIV+ twelve and a half years ago. Obviously I didn't get my diagnosis on the day I supposedly acquired HIV - a few simple calculations with a calendar suggests that would have happened about fifteen years ago.
I'm not wasting away. I've put on about half a stone during the past few weeks which I'm trying to lose.
My CD4 count? Well, that is currently 100. It was 150 at the beginning of this year, and did drop below 100 a few months ago. Am I worried? No. CD4 count isn't really much of an indicator of prognosis.
Oh, and what was the other thing you mentioned? Opportunistic disease. Well, I can't remember the last time I had one of those. I haven't even had flu for over a year, despite it being common in people around me.
The demographics you mention are quite interesting: gay people, drug users and black people.
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 15 Jun 2007 17:45 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
> On Thu, 14 Jun 2007 20:27:55 +0200, "Moira de Swardt"
>>No one has ever died of HIV? Then what explains the wasting away of the >>body, the dropping CD4 count, the opportunistic diseases and the eventual [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] >>ARVs)? What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social >>demographics don't similarly become ill?
> Really? Well, let me explain something to you: I was diagnosed HIV+ > twelve and a half years ago. Obviously I didn't get my diagnosis on > the day I supposedly acquired HIV - a few simple calculations with a > calendar suggests that would have happened about fifteen years ago.
> I'm not wasting away. I've put on about half a stone during the past > few weeks which I'm trying to lose.
> My CD4 count? Well, that is currently 100. It was 150 at the > beginning of this year, and did drop below 100 a few months ago. Am I > worried? No. CD4 count isn't really much of an indicator of > prognosis. I'm pleased to hear that your health is so good even though your CD4 count is now well below 200.
> Oh, and what was the other thing you mentioned? Opportunistic > disease. Well, I can't remember the last time I had one of those. I > haven't even had flu for over a year, despite it being common in > people around me. Flu? There are ways of explaining no flu in people with low CD4 counts, but I don't really understand the argument.
> The demographics you mention are quite interesting: gay people, drug > users and black people. I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. HIV doesn't discriminate.
Martin - 16 Jun 2007 12:26 GMT >"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >> Oh, and what was the other thing you mentioned? Opportunistic >> disease. Well, I can't remember the last time I had one of those. I >> haven't even had flu for over a year, despite it being common in >> people around me.
>Flu? There are ways of explaining no flu in people with low CD4 counts, but >I don't really understand the argument. I'm sure there are. HIV advocates are constantly having to invent new theories to support the HIV myth.
Which argument do you have problems understanding?
>> The demographics you mention are quite interesting: gay people, drug >> users and black people.
>I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. You wrote, I quoted, and then your conveniently snipped this:
"What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social demographics don't similarly become ill?"
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 16 Jun 2007 16:10 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
> <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote: >>"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
>>> Oh, and what was the other thing you mentioned? Opportunistic >>> disease. Well, I can't remember the last time I had one of those. I >>> haven't even had flu for over a year, despite it being common in >>> people around me.
>>Flu? There are ways of explaining no flu in people with low CD4 counts, >>but >>I don't really understand the argument.
> I'm sure there are. HIV advocates are constantly having to invent new > theories to support the HIV myth.
> Which argument do you have problems understanding? If I could describe it, I'd probably understand it.
>>> The demographics you mention are quite interesting: gay people, drug >>> users and black people.
>>I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. .
> You wrote, I quoted, and then your conveniently snipped this:
> "What explains that HIV negative people of similar age and social > demographics don't similarly become ill?" Oh, *you* sucked "gay people, drug users and black people" out of the term "similar age and social demographics". Yeah. In Africa we have black people. They also get HIV. Drug users in Africa are not a high risk for HIV because most drug users in Africa don't inject. We have other drug problems. Gay people are divided into two categories, males and females. Female homosexuals have the lowest rates of HIV of any group, incidentally, while I understand that male homosexuals in South Africa tend to have slightly lower rates than the general population in South Africa because they're more aware as a group of the need to prevent transmission of the virus. This wasn't always the case and most people who know the gay community lost quite a few friends to AIDS in the 80's and even the 90's. In the last five years I've lost three gay friends to HIV but have known, directly or indirectly, many more straight people who have died of HIV, including a white, heterosexual woman who had no drug problem whatsoever.
Martin - 17 Jun 2007 20:02 GMT >If I could describe it, I'd probably understand it. Hmmm, well I'm not sure it makes a very good argument then. :)
>Oh, *you* sucked "gay people, drug users and black people" out of the term >"similar age and social demographics". Yeah. In Africa we have black [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] >they're more aware as a group of the need to prevent transmission of the >virus. Yes, it is interesting that 'HIV' is more of a heterosexual problem in South Africa than it is elsewhere.
Here in the UK gay men were by far the biggest group of people diagnosed HIV+, but now Black African women are.
Year, and number of women identifying themselves are 'Black African,' diagnosed HIV+ in the UK:
2002: 1914 2003: 2368 2004: 2148
This compares poorly with the number of women who identified themselves are 'White' and were diagnosed HIV+:
2002: 286 2003: 310 2004: 334
And for comparison, the number of gay men who were diagnosed HIV+:
2002: 1892 2003: 2024 2004: 2214
And, total number of people diagnosed HIV+ in those years:
2002: 6224 2003: 7247 2004: 7328
Why is HIV so prevalent amongst Black African women here in the UK?
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 21:58 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
> Yes, it is interesting that 'HIV' is more of a heterosexual problem in > South Africa than it is elsewhere.
> Here in the UK gay men were by far the biggest group of people > diagnosed HIV+, but now Black African women are.
> Year, and number of women identifying themselves are 'Black African,' > diagnosed HIV+ in the UK:
> 2002: 1914 > 2003: 2368 > 2004: 2148
> This compares poorly with the number of women who identified > themselves are 'White' and were diagnosed HIV+:
> 2002: 286 > 2003: 310 > 2004: 334
> And for comparison, the number of gay men who were diagnosed HIV+:
> 2002: 1892 > 2003: 2024 > 2004: 2214
> And, total number of people diagnosed HIV+ in those years:
> 2002: 6224 > 2003: 7247 > 2004: 7328
> Why is HIV so prevalent amongst Black African women here in the UK? My first thought is that they have sexual partners who visit Africa. What are your ideas on the subject?
Martin - 20 Jun 2007 00:26 GMT >"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message >> 2002: 1914 >> 2003: 2368 >> 2004: 2148 >> Why is HIV so prevalent amongst Black African women here in the UK?
>My first thought is that they have sexual partners who visit Africa. However the figures of Black African men diagnosed HIV+ in the UK during those years is just over half:
2002: 1098 2003: 1276 2004: 1300
They're here if anyone is interested: <http://www.hpa.org.uk/infections/topics_az/hiv_and_sti/hiv/epidemiology/hars_tab les.htm>.
I didn't use more recent figures because these things tend to take a while to filter through the system. However, they do follow the same pattern in 2005 and 2006.
And, of course, it's worth mentioning that we don't all only have sexual relationships within our own 'ethnic group.' :)
>What are your ideas on the subject? I don't know. There is some evidence that the more people you test for HIV the more HIV+ diagnosis you get. I suppose that's fairly obvious. But if Black African women have been identified as a high risk group, which they probably have, perhaps statistically more of them have an HIV test, so you get more positives.
And, as we know, an HIV test doesn't test for HIV. So, perhaps, Black African women and gay men have something in common which leads to a higher percentage than the norm having a positive result.
 Signature <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> Moible: +447939991519
Death - 20 Jun 2007 02:07 GMT "Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message
> And, as we know, an HIV test doesn't test for HIV. So, perhaps, Black > African women and gay men have something in common which leads to a > higher percentage than the norm having a positive result. http://www.thebody.com/content/art17105.html
Take a trip back in time to see what was, then look at what is.
Alex - 20 Jun 2007 14:08 GMT > >"Martin" <martin@hiv-poz.co.uk> wrote in message > >> 2002: 1914 [quoted text clipped - 35 lines] > <http://www.hiv-poz.co.uk/> > Moible: +447939991519 I think a lot of these 'African Women' will be nurses from Southern and Eastern Africa?
So whatever makes them test positive on ELISA tests in Africa, makes them test positive on the same tests in the UK.
It would be interesting to compare the same statistics from the US, where they use Western Blot as well.
Alex
Death - 16 Jun 2007 16:41 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. HIV doesn't discriminate. Yes, HIV does discriminate. There are billions who will never contact HIV. Why do you suppose that is?
Moira de Swardt - 19 Jun 2007 22:02 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. HIV doesn't discriminate.
> Yes, HIV does discriminate. There are billions who will > never contact HIV. > Why do you suppose that is? Because they never have unprotected sex with someone who is HIV positive.
Death - 19 Jun 2007 23:36 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message > [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > > Because they never have unprotected sex with someone who is HIV positive. The myth that every-one is at equal risk is a lie, do you agree?
Moira de Swardt - 20 Jun 2007 16:59 GMT " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message
> "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message >> " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message >> > "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
>> >> I didn't mention any demographics whatseover. HIV doesn't >> >> discriminate.
>> > Yes, HIV does discriminate. There are billions who will >> > never contact HIV. >> > Why do you suppose that is?
>> Because they never have unprotected sex with someone who is HIV positive.
> The myth that every-one is at equal risk is a lie, do you agree? What myth about people being at equal risk? I've never heard this "myth" before. The fact that HIV doesn't discriminate certainly doesn't mean that risks are equal. Obviously people who never have sex have a lower risk than sexually active people simply because HIV is, inter alia, sexually transmitted. People who are in faithful monogamous relationships with HIV negative partners have lower risks than people who have partners who are not faithful. People, even promiscuous ones (and one tongue-in-cheek definition of promiscuous is anyone who has more sex or more sexual partners than I do) who always use condoms when having sex with people whose sexual history they don't know have lower risks than those who have unprotected sex with people whose sexual history is unknown. Etc.
Death - 20 Jun 2007 18:13 GMT "Moira de Swardt" <moira.ds@wol.co.za> wrote in message
> " Death" <Death@yourdoor.net> wrote in message > > > The myth that every-one is at equal risk is a lie, do you agree? > > What myth about people being at equal risk? I've never heard this "myth" > before. Reprinted from Details Magazine, March 2004 Whatever Happened to AIDS and Straight Men? By Kevin Gray
"Health officials have known this for years, but the politically incorrect truth is rarely spoken out loud: The dreaded heterosexual epidemic never happened. The result is a conspiracy of silence. And it's not in anybody's interest to clear this up."
===
In 1987, America was obsessed with sex. On the radio, the average high school rocker heard the command to "push it" and eagerly obliged. On Friday nights he put on acid washed jeans and took his date to see Glenn Close boil rabbit. He received stud lessons from a beer-guzzling, model nailing pooch named Spuds Mackenzie. He channel-surfed in parachute pants and saw Jessica Hahn bring televangelist Jim Baker to his knees. In between, he found TV's first ever condom ads. Yes, sir, sex was on his mind. And it was about to turn deadly.
That fall, federal health officials sounded a terrifying alarm: AIDS could kill anyone. For six years we had known that the disease was stalking America's gay men and intravenous-drug users. It deposited purple blotches on their skin, sent their minds into spirals of dementia, reduced their bodies to withered skeletons. Our high-schooler had heard about it but he didn't give it much thought. Like most of America, he vaguely worried that he might catch it from a toilet seat, a sneeze, or a handshake. But it didn't truly.concern him.
Until the panic landed with a thump at newsstands. Stacks of U.S. News & World Report heralded "the dawn of fear," telling him "The disease of them suddenly is the disease of us." AIDS, it seemed, was spreading through the heterosexual population-through straight sex!-at a fearsome rate that health experts likened to the Black Plague. Surgeon General C. Everett Koop called it "the biggest threat to health this nation has ever faced."
Suddenly, wherever our kid turned-MTV, Time Magazine-he saw a parade of walking dead, people who looked and talked like him, grimly recounting one-night-stand horror stories. The message: Whether you're a Berkeley co-ed or a Portland plumber, plain old vanilla intercourse can kill you. And in case he still didn't get it, from daytime TV came a voice so grave, so full of maternal concern, it stopped him dead in his Reeboks. "Aids has both sexes running scared," Oprah Winfrey said. "Research studies now project that one in five--listen to me, hard to believe-one in five heterosexuals could be dead from AIDS at the end of the next three years.believe me."
The idea was staggering: Nearly 44 million people dead in less time than it takes tofinish college. AIDS anxiety suddenly gripped the country. Our young guy recalled last Saturday's bar pick up, a buddy's too easy sister, even his new girlfriend. How well did he know her? Some mornings he saw, or thought he saw, a red rash spreading across his flesh (hadn't it just been a vigorous romp?) and bolted to the nearest clinic for a blood test, joining a brotherhood that doctors called "the worried well." Sex was no longer just a game; it was Russian roulette.
Since doctors first reported the outbreak of a mysterious new disease in 1981, an estimated 900,000 Americans have been diagnosed with AIDS. Nearly half of them were men who had sex with other men, 27 percent were IV-drug users, and another 7 percent were both. But the politically incorrect truth is rarely spoken out loud: The dreaded heterosexual epidemic never happened.
Straight men and women make up 90 percent of the population, but they account for only 15 percent of non-childhood AIDS cases. Only 6 percent of men with AIDS, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says, contracted the virus from straight sex. And even that figure doesn't hold up to a closer look. Several studies now suggest that most men who claim they got the virus this way are lying. They got it from sex with other men or sharing needles with addicts. Those studies also show that many women listed in the straight-sex category are either IV-drug users themselves or have likely contracted AIDS from sex with an IV drug user.
Health officials have known these things for years. A growing pile of federally funded reports on HIV transmission, published over the past decade and available to anyone who has the time to read them, shows that men almost never get HIV from women. In fact, according to a 1998 study in the Journal of the American Medical Association, a disease-free man who has an unprotected one-nighter with a drug-free woman stands a one in 5 million chance of getting HIV. If he wears a condom, it's one in 50 million. He's more likely to be struck by lightning (one in 7000,000).
Female to male transmission is very inefficient, says Dr. Nancy Padian a professor in the department of obstetrics, gynecology and reproductive science at the University of California, San Francisco and the author of a 1996 10 year study of HIV infected heterosexual couples, the nation's longest and largest. She points out that "its two to three times easier for men to infect women." But even so, if there are no other risk factors involved, the rate at which an infected man will transmit the virus to a woman is one in 1,100 sex acts.
Today it's clear that the AIDS epidemic in the United States peaked in 1993 when 106.000 new cases turned up [A & W note: The 106,00 new cases referred to above were added by reclassifying past and present HIV positives under an expanded definition of AIDS instituted in 1993. This broadened definition included more types of pneumonia, women with cervical cancer, and the non-illness criteria of a lab test of 200 or less T cells that has since been the determining factor for an AIDS diagnosis in at least 50% of all new cases. AIDS cases had actually leveled off by 1992 and increased only due to the expanded definition, a fact omitted from this article]. Then it began a slow decline and has now leveled off to 40,000 new cases a year. Thanks to powerful anti-retroviral drugs that allow HIV-infected people to live longer, AIDS deaths have plummeted 14 percent since 1998, falling in 2002 to a new low of 16,371. [A & W note: The figure cited above of 40,000 new AIDS cases a year is an error. Rather, official estimates claim there are 40,000 new HIV infections annually in the US. The notion there are 40,000 new HIV positives each year however is derived from an unsubstantiated estimate and calculated by dividing the high end total of estimated HIV positive Americans (around 900,000) by the number of "AIDS years" (around 20). Also, the "powerful new AIDS drugs" thought to be responsible for decreased deaths were introduced in 1996, not 1998 as the articles states, which is a year after AIDS deaths had already peaked. Futher, there is still no published data in the mainstream medical literature showing that these new drugs increase life expectancy, improve clinical health, or prevent the illnesses associated with AIDS. And no AIDS drug since 1986 has ever been tested against a true placebo control.]
Clearly, a single death from this illness is one too many. But AIDS is not killing Americans at the levels of cancer (554,000 deaths in 2001), diabetes (71,000), or Alzheimer's (54,000). In fact, the CDC has not put the disease on its list of the top 15 killers since 1998.
America may be winning the war on AIDS, but not without collateral damage. After two decades, we are still overwhelmed with misinformation and misconceptions about how the virus spreads. Straight men are still haunted by the notion that old-fashioned sex can be lethal. Among the biggest fear factors, some AIDS educators say, is shoddy federal health data. The CDC statistics are only good as the local health departments that gather them. But many of those departments don't have time or resources for "surveillance" staff to investigate every person's claim of how they contracted the virus. If a man wants to lie about having had sex with other men, he can, and that makes it look like more people get AIDS from straight sex than really do. By re-interviewing victims, their doctors, and their families, Chicagohealth officials found in 1997 that in 85% of the cases the city had blamed on heterosexual transmission, other risk factors were present. This phenomenon became a source of black humor at New York City's overworked health department in the late eighties. "What do you call a man who got HIV from his girlfriend?" the joke went. "A liar."
The truth is out there, but its not reaching people who have been needlessly scared-the result, some critics charge, of a conspiracy of silence. "It's not in anybody's interest to clear this up," says Joseph Sonnabend, a physician who treated some of New York City's first AIDS cases. Sonnabend, helped found what later became the American Foundation for AIDS Research (AmFAR), But he quit the group in the mid-eighties when it claimed-falsely, he believed-that a heterosexual epidemic could be coming. "Gay men don't want it fixed because they'll be blamed again for the disease," Sonnabend says. "Charities like AmFAR don't want it fixed because they' ll lose their funding. And "straight" men with HIV certainly don't want it fixed because then everybody will know they've been having sex with men. Those are the ones who will scream bloody murder if you print all this stuff. You're outing the poor bastards."
Any overhaul in America's AIDS policies has to begin with an overhaul of public perception away from the anyone-can-get-AIDS mentality. That means looking at the cultural forces that originally shaped that perception and continue to do so today. Many scientists now say that the first major public awareness program, 1987's America Responds to AIDS campaign, was not only largely wasted on mainstream America but deadly to those most at risk, drawing precious funds from the very people AIDS was attacking: gays, bisexuals, drug addicts, and the poor.
Certainly the horizons of the AIDS epidemic were less clear in 1987. "With diseases like this you're working with a moving target," says Walter Dowdle, who helped start the CDC's anti-AIDS office. "We knew the groups hardest hit were gay men and drug addicts. But we didn't have a lot of information about heterosexual spread."
Nevertheless, by 1987 the CDC knew that vaginal intercourse was an extremely inefficient way of transmitting the virus. The agency had already produced research that showed the widespread fears of contagion were exaggerated. Less than two months before it launched its AIDS campaign, the CDC's epidemiology chief, Harold Jaffe, publicly criticized the everyone-gets-AIDS message, noting the risk to straight America was "very small."
"People would talk about the hypothetical housewife in Des Moines," says Jaffe, now the director of the CDC's AIDS-prevention program. "Was she at risk? The answer was 'not really,' unless her husband happened to be a drug user or a bisexual."
In trying to address groups at risk-gay men and drug addicts-the CDC's Dowdle had already run into political and cultural roadblocks. Broadcasters refused to carry announcements advocating condom use. Ronald Regan remained infamously silent of AIDS almost until the end of his presidency, and moral objections led his White House to quash the publication of a 1986 brochure prepared by the CDC that touted condoms. "We were getting virtually nowhere with the Regan administration," Dowdle says. "They paid no attention to it at all."
Congress, though, had become increasingly alarmed by the CDC's reports loudly disseminated by gay activists and charity groups like AmFAR that AIDS was killing off straight Americans. In 1987, Congress ordered the CDC to send out a nationwide mailing to educate Americans about the dangers of AIDS.
Dowdle, who was put in charge of this mission, knew that mainstream America cared little for the plight of drug addicts, prostitutes, and homosexuals. William F. Buckley Jr. had suggested that anyone with HIV be tattooed to protect the healthy. Liberace died of the disease without ever admitting he had it. When Americans were asked by Gallup pollsters if AIDS was God's punishment for immoral behavior, 43 percent of the respondents said yes.
There was only one way to make all Americans concerned about AIDS: Put out the word that the disease was an equal-opportunity killer, one that could get your best friend or your mom. Otherwise, straight A
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