One problem I have with the HIV=AIDS=Death idea is the statistics.

I was reading this article earlier today:
<http://www.dailyindia.com/show/133866.php/Richard-Gere-to-truckers:-Keep-off-HIV/AIDS>:
"The rising prevalence of HIV in the country [India] showed that a
decade of government efforts had not slowed the virus, which is now
estimated to have infected 5.7 million Indians.

According to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, ten percent of the world's
HIV-positive population is in India.

According to estimates by the U.N. Population Division, if trends
continue, nearly 49.5 million Indians will die of the disease between
2015 and 2050."

The figure of 49.5 million deaths within 35 years is pretty
staggering, so I thought I'd do a bit of checking.

According to this web page: <http://www.avert.org/indiaaids.htm> the
cumulative number of AIDS cases in India up until August 2006 was
124,995.  I thought that was probably for the year 2006 alone, however
this web page: <http://www.nacoonline.org/facts_reportaug.htm>
suggests 124,995 is the total number of AIDS cases there's been in
India between 1986 to 31 August 2006.  With only 126 of those being
reported in August 2006 itself.  The Avert website refers to these as
deaths, but NACO refers to them as AIDS cases.  Not everyone with AIDS
is dead, are they?

I appreciate that diagnosis and recording of statistics in India
probably isn't up to North American and European standards.  But even
so, there's a stark contrast between 124,995 diagnosed cases in the 20
years from 1986 to 2006 and a prediction of nearly 50 million cases
within 35 years.

Are these predictions really about getting financial assistance, or am
I misinterpreting the figures?