Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / October 2005
Flu Shots and False Positives
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Fondoo - 03 Oct 2005 08:49 GMT I think everyone will agree that a false positive is "a bad thing". Some very well read folks on both sides of the HIV/AIDS fence post here. So how about we team up on this one and make a Talkabout Definitive list of cross reacting cofactors that could give a false result, also how long would it take the body to heal up and be ready to test after symptoms of a cofactor disappear. Thank you
DavidT - 03 Oct 2005 09:48 GMT Not a bad idea - this article is a good starting point. The editorial coment at the end is interesting. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/00019855.htm
Also here http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=1 501307&dopt=Abstract
This states the false positivity was of mean 75 day duration.
Crucial points 1. All these cases can be readily identified as false positives. There should be no real risk of anyone recieving a label of HIV-positive. 2. Newer ELISAs are unlikely to be subject to the same phenomenon. 3. It was very unusual, and transient. The way some dissidents talk, they expect everyone who has ever had a vaccination to become "HIV-positive" and stay that way.
Fondoo - 03 Oct 2005 18:41 GMT I am going to post this Wall Street Journal report on Doctors using out of state and or the cheapest labs for profit. Since the HIV test has several steps a quality lab is important. As well as how long blood is in transit if it's getting shipped out of state
After her mother was diagnosed with skin cancer, Lori Hansen went to a local dermatologist in North Carolina to have her skin tested. When she got the results-with a worrisome mention of "atypical" levels-she was surprised to learn her doctor had sent the samples across the country to California.
Even more surprising: Her doctor stood to make nearly $200 on the test, she says. Ms. Hansen later learned her skin biopsies weren't abnormal. Also, the California testing center's owner had once directed a lab that the state called a threat to public health.
Arrangements such as the one between Ms. Hansen's North Carolina doctor and the California operation --- sometimes called referral deals --- are common in the more than $40 billion medical laboratory business.
It works like this: A doctor sends a patient sample to an outside lab for testing. The lab charges the doctor a discounted price --- say, $30 for a skin biopsy. The doctor then gets reimbursed by the patient's insurer for a much higher amount, say $100. The difference, $70, is profit for the doctor.
Typically the doctor doesn't tell the insurer that an outside lab did the work for a steep discount. Insurers could put a stop to the practice by refusing to pay the inflated reimbursement, but they are often unaware of the arrangements.
Critics say referral deals are harmful because doctors have an incentive to send work to the cheapest lab, not necessarily the best one, to maximize their profit margins. Also, by enticing doctors to order many tests, the arrangements drive up the nation's health-care bill.
"Patients should wonder if this dermatologist is doing this biopsy because I need it or he is going to make money from it," says Lisa Lerner, a Boston area dermatopathologist.
While referral deals aren't new, people in the industry say they have grown rapidly in recent years as doctors seek new sources of income and demand grows for expensive lab work to detect diseases such as prostate cancer. "Five years ago, no one was interested in this," says Bernie Ness, the owner of a laboratory industry consulting firm in Toledo, Ohio. "That has changed dramatically. I get calls every week from people who want to get in on the billing."
One of the few private insurers to block' doctors from profiting on outside lab work is Blue Cross Blue Shield of Georgia. Starting Aug. 1, it required those performing lab tests to do the billing themselves, a practice known as direct billing. That eliminated deals where doctors bill for work they didn't perform. It isn't clear why other insurers don't do the same. Several of the biggest ones declined to comment.
Medicare requires direct billing, as do a few states. In some other states, doctors and local medical societies upset at the prospect of losing revenue have thwarted such legislation. Some doctors still bill Medicare for lab work performed off-site by owning "condo" labs within a larger facility.
The American Medical Association's code of ethics says under the heading of laboratory services that a "physician should not charge a markup, commission, or profit on the services rendered by others." It adds, however, that doctors can levy a processing charge on such services. The AMA code says that a doctor "who chooses a laboratory solely because it provides low-cost laboratory services on which the patient is charged a profit is not acting in the best interest of the patient."
Federal laws broadly prohibit doctors from receiving inducements for referrals or engaging in "self-dealing" --- referring patients for services in which they have a financial interest. Doctors and companies involved in lab referrals say what they do is legal. Companies say they're just offering a service for a price, and that doesn't add up to illegal inducement. In general doctors don't own a stake in the outside labs, which they say clears them of any charge of self-dealing. They say they're entitled to mark up work farmed out to a contractor to cover costs such as billing for the work and delivering results to patients.
Last year, the U.S. attorney in Oklahoma City indicted three former executives of a lab, UroCor Inc. The indictment says UroCor charged discount prices to doctors who turned around and billed private insurance companies at a much higher rate for the lab work. Doctors were charged as little as $2.75 for a common analysis to detect prostate cancer, called the PSA test, and got reimbursement of $25 and up, the indictment says. It says the discount was a kickback to induce the doctors to also refer work covered by Medicare, which was billed directly by the lab.
UroCor is now a division of Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings, known as LabCorp. The illegal activity alleged in the indictment occurred before UroCor was sold and none of the three executives named in the indictment still work for UroCor, according to LabCorp. The case is scheduled for trial next June. The executives have denied wrongdoing.
The Oklahoma case is an exception. Most of the referral arrangements never get authorities' attention.
In 2004 LabCorp gave a Tennessee dermatologist a document marked "confidential special client fees." It said Lab Corp would charge the doctor $30 to analyze a skin biopsy. Blue Cross Blue Shield of Tennessee says it reimburse an average of $109 per biopsy interpretation. That would allow the doctor to realize a profit of 263%. Fees for other lab services on the document allowed for a markup of m re ban 700%.
LabCorp Executive Vice President Bradford T. Smith says the company has a policy of not discussing specific billing arrangements. He says another case in which a Nashville doctor group was charged only $17 for a biopsy analysis appears to be an "outlier." That doctor group could yield a profit of more than $90. About 10% of LabCorp's business comes from "client billing," or arrangements in which LabCorp bills the doctor and the doctor then bills the patient or an insurer, Mr. Smith says.
LabCorp, with sales of $3 billion last year, is the country's second largest tab company. The biggest is Quest Diagnostics Inc. of Lyndhurst, N.J., with revenue of $5.1 billion last year. Quest says client billing accounts for 6% to 7% of its revenue.
No Choice
At a recent conference of the American Urological Association in San Antonio, doctors took seats at the exhibition booth of Lakewood Pathology Associates of Lakewood, N.J., as the firm touted its "revenue share" model. If urologists send their tests to Lakewood, the company's marketing director said they could generate up to $35,000 per year. Lake wood's chief executive, Raza Bokhari, says the lab is careful to obey federal laws barring kickbacks to doctors, in part by making sure that doctors don't get a discount based on the volume of referrals.
Some of the labs engaged in client billing say they have no choice. "A lot of labs do it and if you got out of it the other guys will take you to the cleaners," says Clay Cockerell, a Dallas dermatopathologist who is on the board of Ameripath Inc., a national lab based in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla,
Dr. Cockerell, who is also the president of the American Academy of Dermatology concedes the practice raises ethical issues. "Is the physician billing for it the one looking at the slide? No," he says. "From that perspective, does it totally pass the smell test? Maybe not."
Several studies have shown physicians are more likely to order services for patients if they have a financial incentive. A 1993 study compared states where doctors are allowed to bill for outside lab work and states where they aren't It found doctors in the former ordered 28% more tests. The study was conducted by the Center for Health Policy Studies, a consulting group, for the American Clinical Laboratory Association, an industry group.
The study's author, economist Zachary Dyckman, says he would expect the same results today. The extra testing, he says, "appears to be done exclusively to earn more revenue and increase profits."
Ms. Hansen, the North Carolinian who was worried about skin cancer, had her skin biopsies analyzed by National Dermatopathology Laboratory of Lake Balboa, Calif. Ms. Hansen of Cary, N.C., says she asked a local pathologist, Keith Nance, to review her biopsies after hearing that they were "atypical." Dr. Nance found no abnormalities.
Dr. Nance, who considers client billing unethical and pushed an unsuccessful effort to ban the practice in North Carolina, urged her to report the situation to the state medical board and helped write a complaint. He helped her find out how much the California lab was charging doctors by contacting the lab and pretending to be a potential customer.
In her October 2003 complaint to the medical board, Ms. Hansen cites an email in which National Dermatopathology quoted Dr. Nance a rate of $35 to analyze a biopsy. Ms. Hansen, who had four biopsies analyzed, says in the complaint that the lab must have charged her dermatologist, William Ketcham, no more than $140 for her lab work. Insurance records show Dr. Ketcham was paid $328 for the work by her insurance company.
Dr. Ketcham declined to discuss dollar figures but says his deals with labs are appropriate and don't cost patients anything. He says paperwork is easier when he doesn't have to exchange patient information with the lab. The North Carolina Medical Society has said that "markups are a legitimate business practice" for lab services.
Dr. Ketcham says he has stopped using National Dermatopathology because the state medical board told him he must send his biopsies to pathologists licensed by North Carolina. The board took no disciplinary action against Dr. Ketcham. He now sends his lab work to Dermatopathology Laboratory of Central States in Dayton, Ohio.
Central States won't say what it charges doctors for lab work. But a 2003 fee schedule from the lab states that doctors were charged $25 for the first biopsy and $15 for each additional specimen. The same fee schedule indicates that when Central States billed insurers directly for biopsy interpretations it charged a rate of $95.
The owner of National Dermatopathology Laboratory, Cyrus Milani, was banned from performing certain laboratory work by the state of California in 1989 after state officials accused a lab he directed of operating "in a manner which poses a threat of injury to public health." The state said the lab had an error rate of 21.2%.
Dr. Milani says the charges were "totally false." He acknowledged a settlement barred him from serving as medical director of any lab conducting pap smear tests "for a year or two." California authorities couldn't find a copy of the settlement.
For several years after the ban, Dr. Milani says he had "a very meager income." Even now, he says, his life is one of "simple living." Los Angeles County real-estate records show him as the owner of a home assessed at $4.1 million on the same street in Bel Air where the actress Elizabeth Taylor lives.
According to a court filing, the pathologist who analyzed Ms. Hansen's biopsies was Hong Li, who worked at National Dermatopathology between July and December 2003. Dr. Milani is suing Dr. Li, accusing her of breaking a one year employment contract. In the court filing, Dr. Li says her daily volume "far exceeded the generally accepted workload" in her specialty and "directly affected the quality of patient care." She says she quit from fatigue. Dr. Milani says Dr. Li's allegations are false.
Getting Around Medicare Ban
Although Medicare refuses to pay doctors for work performed by others, some companies have figured out a way to let doctors bill Medicare for offsite lab work. It involves doctor groups creating a "condo" or "pod" lab within a building that also houses labs for many other practices. Since the doctors own their "condo" lab, they believe they can bill Medicare for work performed there.
One such facility is operated by Uropath LLC at a medical office building in San Antonio. The door of the building lists the names of 15 urology practices from as far away as Missouri. Inside, there is a long hallway with a series of doors that open into small rooms with labels such as "Lab F --- Urologic Associates of South Texas." Technicians and pathologists in white flab coats move in and out of the small rooms conducting tests.
Each doctor group buys the microscope and other supplies used in its lab. Uropath is paid a management fee by the doctor groups and is reimbursed for rent, personnel costs and other expenses. The doctor groups pay pathologists for their work on a per-case basis. The doctor group does all of the insurance billing, including for patients on Medicare.
The inspector general for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services evaluated a somewhat different condo arrangement last December. In that case, the lab company provided the pathologists and equipment while receiving a monthly management fee from the referring doctors, who did the billing and kept any profit. The inspector general said the deal could constitute a violation of antikickback laws since the lab company was giving the doctors an opportunity for near-certain profits in exchange for the business.
A lawyer for Uropath, Greg Cardenas, says the company has carefully constructed its dealings with doctor groups to comply with federal laws including the antikickback law.
Another company offering doctors a chance to profit from lab work for both Medicare and privately insured patients is PathOptions of Hollywood, Fla. It solicited business from Edward Coles, a gastroenterologist in New Braunfels, Texas, saying he could bill insurance companies for four times what tests cost him. A financial "snapshot" attached to the letter claimed Dr. Coles could boost revenue for his small practice by a quarter million dollars. Dr. Coles says the proposal "didn't sound kosher" and he declined to participate.
But dozens of other doctors have signed up with PathOptions, says company co-founder Daniel Karten. Mr. Karten says lawyers have reviewed the company's model to make sure it is legal.
Getting a cut of lab revenue is attractive to gastroenterologists, who specialize in stomach and intestinal diseases. One of their cash cows used to be endoscopy, in which the doctor puts a tube down the patient's throat to examine the digestive tract, but Medicare reimbursement for that procedure fell more than 50% in the five-year period ended in 2002, according to a government study.
At an April 2004 seminar in Knoxville, Tenn., sponsored by the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy, gastroenterologist Bergein Overholt began with a review of reimbursement cuts before dangling some big numbers in front of the audience.
Dr. Overholt showed how his practice of 12 doctors, Gastrointestinal Associates in Knoxville, netted $643,000 by sending its lab work to GI Pathology Partners in Memphis, Tenn. According to information presented at the seminar, Dr. Overholt's group paid $52.55 to GI Pathology Partners for each biopsy the lab examined and then billed insurance companies an average of $94.55 for the work.
Dr. Overholt has presented the material at similar seminars, including some underwritten by GI Pathology Partners. He says he typically receives a $1,000 honorarium for such talks. Dr. Overholt was among those who fought a bill in Tennessee last year to ban client billing. The Legislature eventually approved a watered-down measure.
In an interview, Dr. Overholt says the $643,000 figure he cited at the 2004 meeting doesn't include "significant administrative" costs in billing patients and losses from patients who don't pay. He says the profit to his practice from billing on lab work is about 10% to 20%.
GI Pathology Partners says it does work for doctors in 14 states. Pat Dean, a pathologist and lab co-founder, says his company has a "business model of focused, factory efficiency," which along with client billing has "been a real boon for us. "
Some doctors who send lab work to Dr. Dean, however, eschew client billing.
"We are a little old-fashioned," says one of them, Michael Freeman of Cape Girardeau, Mo. "It's one of those ethical things. Pat is doing the work. We just assume that Pat does the billing."
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DavidT - 04 Oct 2005 09:14 GMT What are you trying to do here, Fondoo? First you propose a reasonable suggestion to discuss vaccinations leading to false HIV positivity. Then you derail the entire topic by posting at length an irrelevant article about doctors getting paid for doing cancer biopsy analysis.
Now do you see why it is impossible to debate with dissidents?
Fondoo - 04 Oct 2005 15:32 GMT This was not meant as a debate. Sorry if my point was unclear, the article was to point out that WHAT LAB IS USED can present a false positive in my opinion. This thread was meant to be a public service but after your attack and Mr. Slippy's "bit oh brilliance" and otherwise slow response I am wondering if anyone cares. My point is there are many (published) ways to get a false positive and it should be better known
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:21 GMT In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that “68% to 89% of all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to represent false positive results.” (NEJM – New England Journal of Medicine. 312; 1985).
In 1992, the Lancet reported that for 66 true positives, there were 30,000 false positives. And in pregnant women, “there were 8,000 false positives for 6 confirmations.” (Lancet 339; 1992)
In September 2000, the Archives of Family Medicine stated that the more women we test, the greater “the proportion of false-positive and ambiguous (indeterminate) test results.” (Archives of Family Medicine. Sept/Oct. 2000).
The tests described above are standard HIV tests, the kind promoted in the ads. Their technical name is ELISA or EIA (Enzyme-linked Immunosorbant Assay). They are antibody tests. The tests contain proteins that react with antibodies in your blood.
In the U.S., you’re tested with an ELISA first. If your blood reacts, you’ll be tested again, with another ELISA. Why is the second more accurate than the first? That’s just the protocol. If you have a reaction on the second ELISA, you’ll be confirmed with a third antibody test, called the Western Blot. But that’s here in America. In some countries, one ELISA is all you get.
It is precisely because HIV tests are antibody tests, that they produce so many false-positive results. All antibodies tend to cross-react. We produce antibodies all the time, in response to stress, malnutrition, illness, drug use, vaccination, foods we eat, a cut, a cold, even pregnancy. These antibodies are known to make HIV tests come up as positive.
The medical literature lists dozens of reasons for positive HIV test results: “transfusions, transplantation, or pregnancy, autoimmune disorders, malignancies, alcoholic liver disease, or for reasons that are unclear…”(Archives of Family Medicine, Sept/Oct. 2000).
“[H]uman or technical errors, other viruses and vaccines” (Infectious Disease Clinician of North America 7; 1993)
“[L]iver diseases, parenteral substance abuse, hemodialysis, or vaccinations for hepatitis B, rabies, or influenza…” (Archives of Internal Medicine August, 2000).
“[U]npasteurized cows’ milk…Bovine exposure, or cross-reactivity with other human retroviruses” (Transfusion,1988)
Even geography can do it:
“Inhabitants of certain regions may have cross-reactive antibodies to local prevalent non-HIV retroviruses” (Medicine International 56; 1988).
The same is true for the confirmatory test – the Western Blot.
Causes of indeterminate Western Blots include: “lymphoma, multiple sclerosis, injection drug use, liver disease, or autoimmune disorders. Also, there appear to be healthy individuals with antibodies that cross-react….” (Archives of Internal Medicine, August 2000).
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 05:32 GMT >In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that “68% to 89% of >all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to >represent false positive results.” (NEJM – New England Journal of >Medicine. 312; 1985). That's from an article by Liam Scheff.
The article or letter Scheff cites is from NEJM volume 312. That's *all* Scheff has chosen to tell us about it. It would be impractically difficult to search an entire volume of NEJM for an article or letter with no page number, no date, no author's name and no title.
Normally, journal references provide enough information so a reader can find the cited letter or article easily. The purpose of a good reference is to enable readers to find the article you cite, check that you've quoted it accurately, and examine the evidence and reasoning you use to reach your conclusions.
So, what's the purpose of a "reference" that prevents readers from finding the cited article? There are two purposes: (1) to exploit the reputation of the journal, NEJM in this case, to support an illegitimate appeal to authority, and (2) to prevent readers from checking your evidence and reasoning.
What's Scheff hiding?
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 06:01 GMT > >In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that "68% to 89% of > >all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to [quoted text clipped - 21 lines] > > What's Scheff hiding? One thing that Scheff is hiding is that these quotes have a context in the original article.
Once again I found the citation that Scheff copied and pasted from this website.
http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html
"68% to 89% of all repeatedly reactive ELISA tests are likely to represent false positive results...each year we might expected to find 175 to 209 truly antibody-positive donors [in Minnesota] and between 371 and 1701 falsely positive donors among those who have repeatedly positive screening tests "
Osterholm MT et al. Screening donated blood and plasma for HTLV-III antibody: facing more than one crisis?. N Engl J Med. 1985;312:1185-8.
Now we have enough information to find the article.
We also have enough information to get the context.
The context is the screening of donated blood and plasma in a very, very low prevalence population. Minnesota in 1985 had a very, very low HIV prevalence. In the context of screening blood for HIV sensitivity is more important than specificity. It is important to minimise false negatives. Even with a very high specificity in a low prevalence population the ratio of true positives to false positives will be low. This is simple mathematics.
Scheff hopes that the people reading his article will not bother to look up the original articles. After all Scheff never bothered to read them. He simply cut and pasted his quotes from the dissident websites. Cut and paste journalism.
Chris Noble
greg78 - 05 Oct 2005 14:37 GMT Chris,
You are probably going to say these are VERY stupid questions. What I would like to know is HOW they knew that "Minnesota in 1985 had a very,very low HIV prevalence."? Are you not ASSUMING that Minnessota had a low prevalence and that therefore the high rate of positivity were "false positives"? Would you not have to gauge the TRUE level of infection with some OTHER test and then determine the specificity of the antibody test against this OTHER test? You know, like the gold standard of HIV infection? What is it?
Best regards Greg
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 06:15 GMT Really my point was to get all you friggin sci-fi guys to help out and list ways to get a false positive, but noooooo we can't go around helping people can we. Let the folks get there flu shots and ??? <--(you know it alls could help with the rest) then go get there aids tests and get told there going to die, Jesus Christ Bananas if this was anything besides AIDS we would be helping one another How could even one false positive that leads to lifelong Chemotherapy be a non-issue???????????????????????
GMCarter - 05 Oct 2005 12:31 GMT > Really my point was to get all you friggin sci-fi guys to help out and >list ways to get a false positive, but noooooo we can't go around helping [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > How could even one false positive that leads to lifelong Chemotherapy be >a non-issue??????????????????????? Because your premises are full of sh.t. And you are NOT out to help people with your beliefs in people who f.cking LIE.
You're like a good lil follower of Bush. "Trust me" it says. Billions lost, thousands dead for wars based on lies. Scheff says "Trust me" and you go along--I pray not going blind from CMV retinitis.
George M. Carter
Mr. Slippy Fist - 03 Oct 2005 19:59 GMT "Fondoo" <dale601@hotmail.com> wrote...
> I think everyone will agree that a false positive is "a bad thing". Some > very well read folks on both sides of the HIV/AIDS fence post here. So how > about we team up on this one and make a Talkabout Definitive list of cross > reacting cofactors that could give a false result, also how long would it > take the body to heal up and be ready to test after symptoms of a cofactor > disappear. I don't think a false positive on an HIV test is a bad thing. The tests SHOULD be 100.0% accurate but since they're not, it is better to have false positives than false negatives, because a false negative gives a person a false sense of security and he WILL go out and infect others (of course many do this with real positive results, but the legal system can deal with that). It seems your concern with people's feelings is more important than stopping the transmission of HIV.
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:26 GMT The Western Blot is not used as a screening tool because…it yields an unacceptably high percentage of indeterminate results.” (Archives of Family Medicine, Sept/Oct 2000)
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 04:05 GMT >The Western Blot is not used as a screening tool because…it yields an >unacceptably high percentage of indeterminate results.” (Archives of >Family Medicine, Sept/Oct 2000) "Not suitable for the purpose for which it isn't used." Well, it can't open cans either. So what?
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:33 GMT At present there are about six dozen reasons given in the literature why the tests come up positive. In fact, the medical literature states that there is simply no way of knowing if any HIV test is truly positive or negative:
“[F]alse-positive reactions have been observed with every single HIV-1 protein, recombinant or authentic.” (Clinical Chemistry. 37; 1991). “Thus, it may be impossible to relate an antibody response specifically to HIV-1 infection.” (Medicine International, 1988)
And even if you believe the reaction is not a false positive, “the test does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus.” (Science, November, 1999).
The test manufacturers state that after the antibody reaction occurs, the tests have to be “interpreted.” There is no strict or clear definition of HIV positive or negative. There’s just the antibody reaction. The reaction is colored by an enzyme, and read by a machine called a spectrophotometer.
The machine grades the reactions according to their strength (but not specificity), above and below a cut-off. If you test above the cut-off, you’re positive; if you test below it, you’re negative.
So what determines the all-important cut-off? From The CDC’s instructional material: “Establishing the cutoff value to define a positive test result from a negative one is somewhat arbitrary.” (CDC-EIS, “Screening For HIV,” 2003 )
The University of Vermont Medical School agrees: “Where a cutoff is drawn to determine a diagnostic test result may be somewhat arbitrary….Where would the director of the Blood Bank who is screening donated blood for HIV antibody want to put the cut-off?...Where would an investigator enrolling high-risk patients in a clinical trial for an experimental, potentially toxic antiretroviral draw the cutoff?” (University of Vermont School of Medicine teaching module: Diagnostic Testing for HIV Infection)
A 1995 study comparing four major brands of HIV tests found that they all had different cut-off points, and as a result, gave different test results for the same sample: “[C]ut-off ratios do not correlate for any of the investigated ELISA pairs,” and one test’s cut-off point had “no predictive value” for any other. (INCQS-DSH, Brazil 1995).
I’ve never heard of a person being asked where they would “want to put the cut-off” for determining their HIV test result, or if they felt that testing positive was a “somewhat arbitrary” experience.
In the UK, if you get through two ELISA tests, you’re positive. In America, you get a third and final test to confirm the first two. The test is called the Western Blot. It uses the same proteins, laid out differently. Same proteins, same nonspecific reactions. But this time it’s read as lines on a page, not a color change. Which lines are HIV positive? That depends on where you are, what lab you’re in and what kit they’re using.
The Mayo Clinic reported that “the Western blot method lacks standardization, is cumbersome, and is subjective in interpretation of banding patterns.” (Mayo Clinic Procedural, 1988)
A 1988 study in the Journal of the American Medical Association reported that 19 different labs, testing one blood sample, got 19 different Western Blot results. (JAMA, 260, 1988)
A 1993 review in Bio/Technology reported that the FDA, the CDC/Department of Defense and the Red Cross all interpret WB’s differently, and further noted, “All the other major USA laboratories for HIV testing have their own criteria.” (Bio/Technology, June 1993)
In the early 1990s, perhaps in response to growing discontent in the medical community with the lack of precision of the tests, Roche Laboratories introduced a new genetic test, called Viral Load, based on a technology called PCR. How good is the new genetic marvel?
An early review of the technology in the 1991 Journal of AIDS reported that “a true positive PCR test cannot be distinguished from a false positive.” (J.AIDS, 1991)
A 1992 study “identified a disturbingly high rate of nonspecific positivity,” saying 18% antibody-negative (under the cut-off) patients tested Viral Load positive. (J. AIDS, 1992)
A 2001 study showed that the tests gave wildly different results from a single blood sample, as well as different results with different test brands. (CDC MMWR, November 16, 2001)
A 2002 African study showed that Viral Load was high in patients who had intestinal worms, but went down when they were treated for the problem. The title of the article really said it all. “Treatment of Intestinal Worms Is Associated With Decreased HIV Plasma Viral Load.” (J.AIDS, September, 2002)
Roche laboratories, the company that manufactures the PCR tests, puts this warning on the label:
“The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR Test….is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection.”
But that’s exactly how it is used – to convince pregnant mothers to take AZT and Nevirapine and to urge patients to start the drugs.
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:44 GMT “Warning: This test will not tell you if you’re infected with a virus. It may confirm that you are pregnant or have used drugs or alcohol, or that you’ve been vaccinated; that you have a cold, liver disease, arthritis, or are stressed, poor, hungry or tired. Or that you’re African. It will not tell you if you’re going to live or die; in fact, we really don’t know what testing positive, or negative, means at all.”
DavidT - 05 Oct 2005 09:07 GMT Which one are you, Fondoo?
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 02:28 GMT > At present there are about six dozen reasons given in the literature why > the tests come up positive. In fact, the medical literature states that [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] > does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus." > (Science, November, 1999). The first thing that should be noted is that the citations do not provide sufficient information to find the citated articles.
Googling, however, shows that this is part of a Liam Scheff article.
Scheff does not provide the full citation so that people can check to see whether the article supports his contention.
If we google the words "the test does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus"
We find http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html
"A confirmed positive test [i.e. one or two ELISA tests, followed by a Western Blot] indicates that a person has been exposed to the virus and has mounted an immunologic response (serum antibodies). However, this test does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus "
Zhang Z-Q et al. Sexual Transmission and Propagation of SIV and HIV in Resting and Activated CD4+ T Cells. Science. 1999 Nov 12;286(5443):1353-7.
This is where Scheff got his quote from. He just cuts and pastes from this site http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html
At least now we have the full citation and we can read the article to find the full context for the citation.
The abstract can be found here
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra ct&list_uids=10558989&query_hl=9
and the full article here
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/286/5443/1353
The quotation from the Scheff article is found nowhere in the text. The citation is wrong.
This demonstrates that Scheff did not read the original article he just copied and pasted the text from a dissident website.
In fact no dissident has apparently read the original article.
The real question is why do dissidents blindly believe whatever they read on the internet as long as it is on a dissident website.
Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 04:55 GMT One reason I do not strictly "hang" on dissident sites is so well read folks like you can show me the dissident spin.
Thank you Chris
I would owe you another debt if you would help in making a comprehensive list of conditions known to create false positives DEVOID of spins from either side
Cheers
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 05:36 GMT > One reason I do not strictly "hang" on dissident sites is so well read > folks like you can show me the dissident spin. [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > > Cheers It would be possible to go through the literature and look for every report of false positives for all the different HIV tests. This would be of little value however.
Most of these false positives occurred with specific test not all tests. Once the false positives have been reported tests have been modified.
Often the number of false positives was very small. It is not informative to just list the number of different causes of false positives it is important to know how often they cause false positives.
HIV tests have been subjected to more scrutiny than any other test in history. Every possible cause of false positives have been researched and documented. This has also lead to the development of tests that have higher specificity than any other test in history.
To be approved by the FDA or relevant authority in other countries these tests have to be rigorously tested.
See here
http://www.fda.gov/cber/pmasumm/P020066S.htm
and in particular table 11 where the test is checked against possible interfering substances or medical conditions.
The NRL in Australia also rigorously tests all HIV tests that are sold in Australia. We don't simply take the FDAs word.
http://www.nrl.gov.au/dir185/nrl-pub.nsf/structure/PublicationsandPresentations- NRLA-5WG8KE
In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different conditions can cause false positives but rather the percentage of false positives ie the specificity. Researching and documenting false positives can lead to the development of better and more accurate tests.
Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 06:03 GMT Thank you for the thoughtful reply Chris. It seems you look at large populations and not the individual people so you and I hold different values. You see a test as good if it works out overall even if people go generally uninformed. I see any steps that could be taken to prevent a person going thru the horror that I have, being of tremendous value. After all this is not a herpes test this is a death sentence according to popular science
But I still thank you for the reply
Cheers
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 06:23 GMT > Thank you for the thoughtful reply Chris. It seems you look at large > populations and not the individual people so you and I hold different > values. I agree with you here. If a test is 99.999% specific it is of no consulation if you are the 0.001% that might be a false positive.
You would like Homo Faber by Max Frisch.
"Did you know", I ask, "that the rate of mortality from snake bites is only three to ten percent?" I was surprised. Hanna does not think much of statistics, that I discovered soon. [...] "You and your statistics!" she says. "If I had a hundred daughters, each of them bitten by a viper, then yes! Then I would loose only three to ten daughters. Surprisingly few! You are absolutely right." Her laughter with this. "I have only a single child!" she says.
> You see a test as good if it works out overall even if people go > generally uninformed. I see any steps that could be taken to prevent a > person going thru the horror that I have, being of tremendous value. I see from reading the literature that extraordinary lengths have been taken to prevent as many as possible false positives. I agree that people including doctors and patients should be aware that a very, very small percentage of tests give false positive results.
A doctor can say that if you have tested repeatedly positive on a number of different tests with different principles such as ELISA and Western Blot or just different ELISAs that the probability of it being a false positive is very very low.
But a patient does not want to hear statistics they want absolute certainty. Disisdents feed of this desire.
What I object to is rhetorical arguments whereby dissidents argue that if HIV tests are less than 100% specific that means they are completely non-specific. This is simply nonsense.
> After all this is not a herpes test this is a death sentence according > to popular science Again this is not a 100% certainty. However, only a smale percentage ~2-5% of people infected with HIV are likely to be LTNPs.
Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:44 GMT "What I object to is rhetorical arguments whereby dissidents argue that if HIV tests are less than 100% specific that means they are completely non-specific. This is simply nonsense."
So, Chris, once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their results were a "false positive"?
What's the deciding factor?
In other words, how does the doctor, or clinician, interpret the lab results to determine someone's actual status?
What criteria do they use?
-Paul Whiting
pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:38 GMT "In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different conditions can cause false positives but rather the percentage of false positives ie the specificity. Researching and documenting false positives can lead to the development of better and more accurate tests."
So, Chris, two questions for you:
1) Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have these pesky disclaimers?
ELISA Test
"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")
"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
Western Blot Test
"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection." (Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit, section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)
PCR "Viral Load" Test
"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test, is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection." (Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor Test Kit, section "Intended Use")
2) And once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their results were a "false positive"? What's the deciding factor?
-Paul Whiting
GMCarter - 05 Oct 2005 22:53 GMT >"In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No >test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different conditions [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] >1) Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have >these pesky disclaimers? These are the ONLY diagnostic tests or treatments or devices that would EVER have any kind of disclaimer. All other tests work 100% of the time, all the time and are absolutely perfect.
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 07:28 GMT "Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have these pesky disclaimers?
These are the ONLY diagnostic tests or treatments or devices that would EVER have any kind of disclaimer. All other tests work 100% of the time, all the time and are absolutely perfect."
Well, these test don't have just *any kind* of disclaimer, George.
These disclaimers actually nullify each test's ability to do what they are used for, namley to diagnose HIV infection...
GMCarter - 06 Oct 2005 12:27 GMT >"Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have >these pesky disclaimers? [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] >These disclaimers actually nullify each test's ability to do what they are >used for, namley to diagnose HIV infection... LOL. No, they do not.
Each test has some limitations. ELISA+WB+PCR+clinical picture together provide a high degree of confidence for any sane individual that a person has HIV.
George M. Carter
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 08:08 GMT Great job all you have again acted completely predictable. Faced with a very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok. All the papers in the world will only defy Lay-man common sense so long buck'os
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 08:29 GMT > Great job all you have again acted completely predictable. Faced with a > very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or > dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok. Nobody said it was OK. Misdiagnoses are bad whether it is cancer or AIDS. Scientists have researched causes of false positives and have produced better tests. In an ideal world there would be no misdiagnoses. In the real world we do our best to minimise them.
> All the papers in the world will only defy Lay-man common sense so long > buck'os HIV diagnostic techniques have steadily improved due to the very research that you want to dismiss.
Exactly how would you improve the diagnostic procedure?
Ban HIV tests altogether? Out of sight - out of mind?
A large percentage of those presenting with AIDS had not been tested until they ended up in hospital. Not knowing they were infeceted with HIV did not protect them. Ignorance can and does kill.
Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 08:56 GMT First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore everyone should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago. People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof of an accurate test. As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple STD's and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients. I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 09:21 GMT > First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore everyone > should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago. I did not say that previous tests were completely useless. If people want to be retested then they can.
Every year or so some of the dissidents talk about a cunning plan to prove that the tests are bullshit. The basic plan is that a group of people that have been diagnosed HIV positive will get anonymously tested at a number of different sites and that they will deny any risk group status. Every time I hear about this plan I patiently wait for the news that they all tested negative. I never hear the reports from these experiments. Why?
> People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof > of an accurate test. PCR is more prone to false positives but the actual performance depends on quality control in the lab. The majority of studies show 100% concordance between PCR and antibody testing. While PCR has on average a higher false positive rate than antibody testing it is generally not used for diagnostic purposes. This does not mean that it cannot be used to confirm infection. It can. However, given the option of two tests the one with the higher specificity should be used.
> As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it > was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple > STD's and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients. I am saying that the evidence is that HIV causes AIDS. The one factor in common is HIV. No other cofactor can predict progression to AIDS.
Not testing for HIV can:
a) mean a more rapid progression to AIDS
b) the transmission of HIv to more people
Not testing for HIV does not protect you from AIDS.
> I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible > immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD's > repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on > the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease It would be helpful to back these statements up with solid science.
None of these "other factors" can predict AIDS. HIV can.
Chris Noble
j.umber@ac-nancy-metz.fr - 05 Oct 2005 11:10 GMT No Chris,
the one factor in common is not hiv, but abnormal proteins (P24,...), which appear in an alloimmunogenic disease. Alloimmunogeneticity could be transmitted IV :
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=4 044015&dopt=Abstract
Gary Stein - 05 Oct 2005 22:14 GMT > First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore > everyone > should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago. > People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof > of an accurate test. Well that is certainly your and the denialist interpretation of PCR however you might be surprised to learn the following. When a needle stick injury occurs in a health worker in either a laboratory or health care setting PCR is in fact the diagnostic test of choice by the medical community and part of the standard of care. Now keep in mind this is the decision of the medical community about how to best protect it's self from HIV infection not the results of the initial FDA approval process that lead to the label language you so much like to quote.
The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands that PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for HIV. So when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I mean why would any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test says they should not. Could it be that they have data that has come from there clinical experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA approval process that convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to diagnosis HIV in them selves as well as there patients.
> As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it > was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple > STD's > and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients. What utter bull, were is the data that shows any correlation between IV drug use and AIDS, or that shows STD's other then HIV can cause AIDS, and were is the data that shows any cofactor at all come one just one will do fine?
> I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible > immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s > repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on > the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease Yes and one would then need to explain why it is that the vast majority of those who used Poppers, Meth or had multiple STD's or had repeated exposure to antibiotics are AIDS free, and that it is only seen in those who are HIV positive.
You would also have to explain why the people who do any or all of the above and who have an AIDS diagnosis have such vastly different AIDS progression rates. After all if the use of "poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s, repeated exposure to antibiotics" is the cause of AIDS then doing those things after an AIDS diagnosis should result in immediate critical and fatal consequences. Yet there are Meth users who are AIDS free and AIDS patients who use Meth who live for years and years. The same can be said about each of your above listed claimed causes of AIDS.
Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 07:15 GMT "Yes no single test is approved as a defining diagnostic test for HIV. The combination of ELISA and Western Blot however is accepted world wide by national health agencies and the overwhelming majority of the medical community. Gary Stein"
"Now, I would point out to those reading this debate that if the PCR test manufacturers have a disclaimer on their test saying 'The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test is NOT INTENDED TO BE USED AS A SCREENING TEST FOR HIV OR AS A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION,' then how, precisely, is it useful to the medical community in confirming the presence of HIV?"
"It isn't used for that purpose. By asking a question that presumes something false you lie by implication. -- David Canzi"
"Okay, David... If the PCR is *not* used as 'A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION,' in the form of a "viral load,” then what is it used for?"
"It's used to measure the amount of HIV present after HIV infection has been diagnosed and confirmed by other means. -- David Canzi"
"The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands that PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for HIV. So when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I mean why would any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test says they should not. Could it be that they have data that has come from there clinical experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA approval process that convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to diagnosis HIV in them selves as well as there patients. Gary Stein"
"Given the need to test a patient and a choice between two tests, the doctor uses the test that is more reliable. Antibody testing is more reliable than PCR for adults, so the doctor uses antibody testing on adult patients. PCR is more reliable than antibody testing for infants, so the doctor uses PCR for an infant patient. That isn't the whole story, but it's enough to explain why a different test would be used for infants than for adults. -- David Canzi"
Fondoo - 07 Oct 2005 07:50 GMT "The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands that PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for HIV. So when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I mean why would
any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test says they should
not. Could it be that they have data that has come from there clinical experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA approval process that
convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to diagnosis HIV in them selves as well as there patients."
Could it be that they are using PCR to make a decision to use AIDS drugs to prevent so called seroconversion and your example does not apply to this discussion what so ever?
I don't like being so hostile but I very much resent the misinformation that has been fed to me for the 15 years of my life with a positive test result. My family and I have suffered because of suppressed information and misinformation about our so-called condition. I doubt an industry professional can really understand where I am coming from. Having no medical knowledge and no reason to pursue it (that’s what I pay MD's for)the picture fed to us by the big-pharma backed media is a sack of SH** That’s not the professionals on this boards fault so I just want to let you know a little of where I am coming from
Chris Noble - 07 Oct 2005 08:29 GMT > So when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose > to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV > infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. http://www.fda.gov/cber/products/testkits.htm
None of the currently approved Nucleic Acid Tests state that they cannot be used as an aid to the diagnosis of HIV. Most of them say that they are not intended for this use. This is not the same thing.
http://www.fda.gov/cber/label/hivhcvgen060404LB.pdf
"The Procleix HIV-1 Discriminatory Assay may be used as an aid in the diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
As far as antibody tests you just have to look at this.
http://www.fda.gov/cber/pmalabel/P020066LB.pdf
"The Vironostika HIV-1 Plus O Microelisa System is intended for use as an aid in diagnosis of infection with HIV-1."
If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident websites you would not be as ignorant.
Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 11 Oct 2005 03:35 GMT "The Procleix HIV-1 Discriminatory Assay may be used as an aid in the diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
"The Vironostika HIV-1 Plus O Microelisa System is intended for use as an aid in diagnosis of infection with HIV-1."
So, Chris, if the HIV antibody tests are merely an "aid" in diagnosing HIV infection, what process, exactly, are they aiding?
In other words, what process is *actually being used* to diagnose HIV infection, since the HIV antibody tests are simply an "aid" to diagnosing it?
-Paul Whiting
Fondoo - 14 Oct 2005 05:13 GMT If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident websites you would not be as ignorant.
Chris Noble I believe I was quoting Gary Chris, so take a little more time reading the posts of the authors you are so quick to throw insults at. By the way being HIV+ with an AIDS diagnosis I think what I have to say is just as important as what you have. If my own body, that of my wife and several friends disproves your precious Big-Pharma studies we have a right to hold those studies suspect. As well as well as sharing our thoughts with all our positive branded brothers and sisters that can rise above the fear unjustly put on them by the media and there doctor to listen
Gary Stein - 15 Oct 2005 00:35 GMT > If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident > websites you would not be as ignorant. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > brothers and sisters that can rise above the fear unjustly put on them by > the media and there doctor to listen But it doesn't Madge it doesn't.
Gary Stein
Gary Stein - 07 Oct 2005 23:32 GMT > Could it be that they are using PCR to make a decision to use AIDS > drugs to prevent so called seroconversion and your example does not apply > to this discussion what so ever? No the standard of care states that ARV should be started immediately if a needle stick involving a known HIV positive patient and a health worker occurs. The PCR is used to decide when to stop the ARV treatment not when to start it as you imply.
> I don't like being so hostile but I very much resent the misinformation > that has been fed to me for the 15 years of my life with a positive test [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > sack of SH** That’s not the professionals on this boards fault so I just > want to let you know a little of where I am coming from Well I am not an industry professional I am a disabled AIDS patient who was diagnosed with AIDS in 1995 and have been on ARV ever since. During that time I spent thousands of hours reading the medical literature on HIV, AIDS, the treatment of OI's and I don't understand what you mean by misinformation being feed to you. Every idea that the rethinkers or denialists bring up has been out there available to anyone since the 1980's nothing is hidden or kept from those who look. Just because most of it is pure hogwash and thus not taken seriously by the mainstream medical community doesn't mean that you were not free to ask any question you wanted to ask and look for the answers anywhere you wanted to look.
The issue is that you choose to believe that you've been lied to by the mainstream and I know your being lied to by the rethinkers/denialists. Lastly there is scientific evidence that backs up my knowledge about HIV, AIDS, and ARV while the denialists have no data to back up what they are telling you. I do not accept personal opinions when it comes to making medical decisions it is hard for me to understand why someone would trust every thing AIDSMYTH.ORG says and at the seem time completely ignore everything that the NIH, CDC or all the medical journals say about HIV and AIDS. How does one make that kind of logical leap of faith without a profound break with reality?
Gary Stein
Fondoo - 09 Oct 2005 06:34 GMT First off Gary thanks for sharing part of your story and I wish you health and happiness. I think where we very in our opinion greatest is in government agencies that we assume are protecting us from unscrupulous corporate greed. I think they have been corrupted beyond our wildest dreams and you Gary feel they are doing there jobs and protecting us. I respect your opinion now that I know you are one of us, the positives. My wakeup call came as an accident by being very concerned about my daughter, never before did government policy or big business interest me. I did some homework for her because common sense alarms kept going off with doctors at the hospital she was born in. Also I was learning about non toxic AIDS prevention so her mommy and daddy will be around as long as possible and since liver failure is becoming an issue for long term HAART users it's not a bad line of thought. You can guess the rest I stumbled on a dissident view and it made more sense to me and I believe others have the right to know there are other views besides the damn side with all the money. We all have the right to choose and labeling other views of science and medicine as dangerous and kept out of the public eye is wrong. It just so happens to be the most profitable way to do things if you are a drug manufacturer and that area of commerce I see as the biggest threat to the health of mankind. All the best Gary may you live to be a 100
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 03:16 GMT "HIV diagnostic techniques have steadily improved due to the very research that you want to dismiss.
Exactly how would you improve the diagnostic procedure?
Ban HIV tests altogether? Out of sight - out of mind?
A large percentage of those presenting with AIDS had not been tested until they ended up in hospital. Not knowing they were infeceted with HIV did not protect them. Ignorance can and does kill."
So, Chris, once someone's been admitted to a hospital, and has been given the Elisa and Western Blot tests, and those tests come back positive from the lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their results were a "false positive"?
What's the deciding factor?
In other words, how does the doctor, or clinician, interpret the lab results to determine someone's actual status?
What criteria do they use?
-Paul Whiting
DavidT - 05 Oct 2005 12:40 GMT >Faced with a very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok. The tests do have false positives, which is a problem that affects all tests. Fewer HIV tests are falsely positive than other tests.
The point is that medical science can identify these as FALSE positive results, and although this may be somewhat disconcerting to the individual initially, things can be clarified soon enough. Only someone who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health consequences and drug treatments you mention.No-one condethe through a process of retesting with more
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 21:14 GMT The tests do have false positives, which is a problem that affects all tests. Fewer HIV tests are falsely positive than other tests. That is a piss poor excuse for the amount of supressed and misinformation the press and the scientific community spoon feeds the public Only someone who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health consequences and drug treatments you mention.
where do you get this idea?
DavidT - 06 Oct 2005 14:04 GMT Only someone who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health
consequences and drug treatments you mention.
>where do you get this idea? This is generally accepted. Do we have to spell it out? Only people who are infected with HIV are candidates for long term antiretroviral therapy. In the same way that only someone with a diagnosis of breast cancer is considered for mastectomy/chemo, and not someone who had a false positive biopsy result.
Fondoo - 06 Oct 2005 20:14 GMT At least you can "See" breast cancer. With HIV we are supposed to believe in it even though we cannot "See" it. I do not need to see the mountains of evidence why it's there even though we cannot "See" it. I am sure there was mountains of evidence why leeches worked so damn well too
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 04:59 GMT "Only someone who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health consequences and drug treatments you mention."
"And the results from those tests are then interpreted based on whether the patient belongs to a known 'risk group.'
As part of the overall diagnosis, yes."
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 06:47 GMT >“[F]alse-positive reactions have been observed with every single HIV-1 >protein, recombinant or authentic.” (Clinical Chemistry. 37; 1991). Another "Scheff ref" -- untraceable by design.
A fuller version of this quote may be found at http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html
| A common misperception is that, if a serological [antibody] | assay is based on recombinant antigens, then results obtained [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] | Ng V. Serological diagnosis with recombinant peptides/proteins. | Clin Chem. 1991;37(10):1667-8. This quote pastes together two pieces of the aricle that are not actually within shouting distance of each other. The first part of the quote comes from this passage:
| A common misperception is that, if a serological assay is based | on recombinant antigens, then results obtained by that assay [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] | no false-positive reactions were observed in a set of these known | problematic sera. If we're "proving" that antibody tests are unreliable, let's just omit that last sentence, okay?
The second part comes from this passage:
| Although the opinion is frequently voiced that reactivity against | a single HIV-1 envelope protein (gp4l) should be sufficient for [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] | recombinant or authentic-an important consideration, given the | ramifications of a diagnosis of HIV-1 infection. So Crowe and Scheff quoted the part about a problem affecting the reliability of antibody tests and cut carefully, within the sentence quoted, to avoid giving a reader any hints about the solution.
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:51 GMT "So Crowe and Scheff quoted the part about a problem affecting the reliability of antibody tests and cut carefully, within the sentence quoted, to avoid giving a reader any hints about the solution."
So, David, two questions for you:
1) Why do all the "reliable" HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have these pesky disclaimers?
ELISA Test
"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")
"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
Western Blot Test
"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection." (Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")
“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit, section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)
PCR "Viral Load" Test
"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test, is not intended to be used as a screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of HIV infection." (Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor Test Kit, section "Intended Use")
2) And once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their results were a "false positive"? What's the deciding factor?
-Paul Whiting
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 07 Oct 2005 02:31 GMT >So, David, two questions for you: > [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] >or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA >HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity") I'm going to answer only this one, because this is hard work and I'm not getting paid for it.
Some of the context this quote was taken out of can be found here: http://www.virusmyth.net/aids/data/rgelisa.htm
| At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the | presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood. Therefore | sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS | and specificity based on random donors (1). When you take the first sentence out of context, and call it a disclaimer, it looks like a disclaimer about the reliability of all HIV testing. When that sentence is seen with just a little more context it is clear that it is not what you made it look like.
Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on their side resort to deceptive tactics like this?
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
pauleewhiting - 10 Oct 2005 00:11 GMT >I'm going to answer only this one, because this is hard work and I'm >not getting paid for it. [quoted text clipped - 14 lines] >Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on >their side resort to deceptive tactics like this? And, David, do you know *why* the "sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors" for the HIV antibody tests?
How *was* the "clinical diagnosis of AIDS" used to determine the *sensitivity* of the HIV antibody tests?
How *were* the "random donors" used to establish the *specificity* of the HIV antibody tests?
Why not just use the *gold standard* of viral isolation for determining the sensitivity, and establishing the specificity, of the HIV antibody tests?
And the answer to that "270 billion dollar question," boys and girls, is why...
.."At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."
Again, why do you think the HIV test kits *all* have those disclaimers?
Everyone *knows* that the direct translation of the word disclaimer is: "Cover your a.s!"
-Paul Whiting
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 11 Oct 2005 08:19 GMT >>Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on >>their side resort to deceptive tactics like this? > >And, David, do you know *why* the "sensitivity was computed based on the >clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors" for >the HIV antibody tests? [snip]
>.."At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the >presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." > >Again, why do you think the HIV test kits *all* have those disclaimers? You took this statement out of context and called it a disclaimer:
"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."
Taken out of context it's ambiguous enough that, by calling it a disclaimer, you can make it look like an embarrassing admission that HIV testing is unreliable.
With additional context we see something quite different:
"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood. Therefore sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors."
Here its meaning is clarified -- essentially the statement says there is no gold standard, and is immediately followed by a casual description of how they measure sensitivity and specifictiy without a gold standard -- it is not even perceived as a problem.
When you take the statement out of context and call it a disclaimer, you misrepresesnt the motivation for making the statement and falsely imply serious consequences.
Now you're just trying to distract attention from this evidence of dissident dishonesty.
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
wilyretrovirus - 11 Oct 2005 21:08 GMT Nice "spin-doctoring", David.
Unfortunately, even with the additional context, a thinking person would ponder the implications of a test that states: "At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."
Doesn't sound like a test I would bet my life on. Unfortunately, most people don't know they have these disclaimers and DO bet their lives on them.
"Here its meaning is clarified -- essentially the statement says there is no gold standard, and is immediately followed by a casual description of how they measure sensitivity and specifictiy without a gold standard -- it is not even perceived as a problem."
Thank you for pointing out that there is no gold standard for HIV tests.
"Therefore sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors."
Without a gold standard, we've got a crapshoot and/or a witchhunt. Take your pick.
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 12 Oct 2005 03:03 GMT >Nice "spin-doctoring", David. > >Unfortunately, even with the additional context, a thinking person would >ponder the implications of a test that states: "At present there is no >recognized standard for establishing the >presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a "gold standard". It's not difficult to understand how it's done.
The point of my article, which you are trying to distract attention from, is that the dissident argument I was examining was dishonest. Readers can see my article here:
http://groups.google.com/group/misc.health.aids/msg/12435ebd4374a3d1?hl=en
What type of person tries to convince others of what he thinks is the truth by fooling them with deceptive tactics of argument?
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
wilyretrovirus - 12 Oct 2005 03:27 GMT "A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a "gold standard". It's not difficult to understand how it's done."
You don't have a pot to piss in without a gold standard. Just witchhunts and crapshoots.
The witchhunts come in handy with gay men and blacks. The crapshoots are used for the rest of the population.
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 14 Oct 2005 05:00 GMT >"A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity >and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a >"gold standard". It's not difficult to understand how it's done." > >You don't have a pot to piss in without a gold standard. Just witchhunts >and crapshoots. When a test gets 100% or nearly 100% positive results on a population clinically diagnosed with AIDS, it's sensitive. When it gets 100% or nearly 100% negative on a test of random blood donors, it's specific.
No gold standard is needed.
Estimates of specificity produced this way tend to be underestimates.
 Signature David Canzi "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber
wilyretrovirus - 14 Oct 2005 14:56 GMT "When a test gets 100% or nearly 100% positive results on a population clinically diagnosed with AIDS, it's sensitive. When it gets 100% or nearly 100% negative on a test of random blood donors, it's specific.
No gold standard is needed.
Estimates of specificity produced this way tend to be underestimates."
Just keep telling yourself that, David. I'm sure it "works" quite well for you.
If the tests were "100% accurate", there wouldn't be ANY reason to ask people being tested if they're part of a "risk group", or have engaged in "risk behavior".
GMCarter - 14 Oct 2005 15:13 GMT >If the tests were "100% accurate", there wouldn't be ANY reason to ask >people being tested if they're part of a "risk group", or have engaged in >"risk behavior". This is correct. And so what? People are asked about risk factors for lung cancer when getting an X Ray. Not smoking ever doesn't mean that's NOT the diagnosis. Smoking 2 packs a day for 25 years increases the likelihood A LOT--but is not definitive. Does that mean lung cancer doesn't exist?
What diagnostic test is 100%? There may be some but I don't think so.
George M. Carter
DavidT - 14 Oct 2005 17:51 GMT Much is made of this "risk behaviour questioning" when people get HIV tested.
The primary reason is to help determine what to do if the test result is equivocal/indeterminate.
It is not used to determine whether someone has HIV or not, merely to help in deciding what action to take in respect of repeat testing/confirmatory tests, window periods etc.
wilyretrovirus - 14 Oct 2005 18:44 GMT "Much is made of this "risk behaviour questioning" when people get HIV tested. The primary reason is to help determine what to do if the test result is equivocal/indeterminate."
Then the tests simply can't be as "accurate" as they're touted to be.
If they're nearly "100% accurate", then the only time there would supposedly be a "need" to ask questions about "risk" would be AFTER repeated indeterminate results. Or does that just sound too logical and reasonable?
Also, if we "need" to ask questions about risk because of the *possibility* of an indeterminate test result, it gives the impression that there must be a LOT of indeterminate results out there to warrant such pre-test questioning.
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