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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / October 2005

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Flu Shots and False Positives

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Fondoo - 03 Oct 2005 08:49 GMT
 I think everyone will agree that a false positive is "a bad thing". Some
very well read folks on both sides of the HIV/AIDS fence post here. So how
about we team up on this one and make a Talkabout Definitive list of cross
reacting cofactors that could give a false result, also how long would it
take the body to heal up and be ready to test after symptoms of a cofactor
disappear.
 Thank you  
DavidT - 03 Oct 2005 09:48 GMT
Not a bad idea - this article is a good starting point. The editorial
coment at the end is interesting.
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/00019855.htm

Also here
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=1
501307&dopt=Abstract


This states the false positivity was of mean 75 day duration.

Crucial points
1. All these cases can be readily identified as false positives. There
should be no real risk of anyone recieving a label of HIV-positive.
2. Newer ELISAs are unlikely to be subject to the same phenomenon.
3. It was very unusual, and transient. The way some dissidents talk,
they expect everyone who has ever had a vaccination to become
"HIV-positive" and stay that way.
Fondoo - 03 Oct 2005 18:41 GMT
 I am going to post this Wall Street Journal report on Doctors using out
of state and or the cheapest labs for profit. Since the HIV test has
several steps a quality lab is important. As well as how long blood is in
transit if it's getting shipped out of state

After her mother was diagnosed with skin cancer, Lori Hansen went to a
local dermatologist in North Carolina to have her skin tested. When she
got the results-with a worrisome mention of "atypical" levels-she was
surprised to learn her doctor had sent the samples across the country to
California.

Even more surprising: Her doctor stood to make nearly $200 on the test,
she says. Ms. Hansen later learned her skin biopsies weren't abnormal.
Also, the California testing center's owner had once directed a lab that
the state called a threat to public health.

Arrangements such as the one between Ms. Hansen's North Carolina doctor
and the California operation --- sometimes called referral deals --- are
common in the more than $40 billion medical laboratory business.

It works like this: A doctor sends a patient sample to an outside lab for
testing. The lab charges the doctor a discounted price --- say, $30 for a
skin biopsy. The doctor then gets reimbursed by the patient's insurer for
a much higher amount, say $100. The difference, $70, is profit for the
doctor.

Typically the doctor doesn't tell the insurer that an outside lab did the
work for a steep discount. Insurers could put a stop to the practice by
refusing to pay the inflated reimbursement, but they are often unaware of
the arrangements.

Critics say referral deals are harmful because doctors have an incentive
to send work to the cheapest lab, not necessarily the best one, to
maximize their profit margins. Also, by enticing doctors to order many
tests, the arrangements drive up the nation's health-care bill.

"Patients should wonder if this dermatologist is doing this biopsy because
I need it or he is going to make money from it," says Lisa Lerner, a
Boston area dermatopathologist.

While referral deals aren't new, people in the industry say they have
grown rapidly in recent years as doctors seek new sources of income and
demand grows for expensive lab work to detect diseases such as prostate
cancer. "Five years ago, no one was interested in this," says Bernie Ness,
the owner of a laboratory industry consulting firm in Toledo, Ohio. "That
has changed dramatically. I get calls every week from people who want to
get in on the billing."

One of the few private insurers to block' doctors from profiting on
outside lab work is Blue Cross Blue Shield of Georgia. Starting Aug. 1, it
required those performing lab tests to do the billing themselves, a
practice known as direct billing. That eliminated deals where doctors bill
for work they didn't perform. It isn't clear why other insurers don't do
the same. Several of the biggest ones declined to comment.

Medicare requires direct billing, as do a few states. In some other
states, doctors and local medical societies upset at the prospect of
losing revenue have thwarted such legislation. Some doctors still bill
Medicare for lab work performed off-site by owning "condo" labs within a
larger facility.

The American Medical Association's code of ethics says under the heading
of laboratory services that a "physician should not charge a markup,
commission, or profit on the services rendered by others." It adds,
however, that doctors can levy a processing charge on such services. The
AMA code says that a doctor "who chooses a laboratory solely because it
provides low-cost laboratory services on which the patient is charged a
profit is not acting in the best interest of the patient."

Federal laws broadly prohibit doctors from receiving inducements for
referrals or engaging in "self-dealing" --- referring patients for
services in which they have a financial interest. Doctors and companies
involved in lab referrals say what they do is legal. Companies say they're
just offering a service for a price, and that doesn't add up to illegal
inducement. In general doctors don't own a stake in the outside labs,
which they say clears them of any charge of self-dealing. They say they're
entitled to mark up work farmed out to a contractor to cover costs such as
billing for the work and delivering results to patients.

Last year, the U.S. attorney in Oklahoma City indicted three former
executives of a lab, UroCor Inc. The indictment says UroCor charged
discount prices to doctors who turned around and billed private insurance
companies at a much higher rate for the lab work. Doctors were charged as
little as $2.75 for a common analysis to detect prostate cancer, called
the PSA test, and got reimbursement of $25 and up, the indictment says. It
says the discount was a kickback to induce the doctors to also refer work
covered by Medicare, which was billed directly by the lab.

UroCor is now a division of Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings, known as
LabCorp. The illegal activity alleged in the indictment occurred before
UroCor was sold and none of the three executives named in the indictment
still work for UroCor, according to LabCorp. The case is scheduled for
trial next June. The executives have denied wrongdoing.

The Oklahoma case is an exception. Most of the referral arrangements never
get authorities' attention.

In 2004 LabCorp gave a Tennessee dermatologist a document marked
"confidential special client fees." It said Lab Corp would charge the
doctor $30 to analyze a skin biopsy. Blue Cross Blue Shield of Tennessee
says it reimburse an average of $109 per biopsy interpretation. That would
allow the doctor to realize a profit of 263%. Fees for other lab services
on the document allowed for a markup of m re ban 700%.

LabCorp Executive Vice President Bradford T. Smith says the company has a
policy of not discussing specific billing arrangements. He says another
case in which a Nashville doctor group was charged only $17 for a biopsy
analysis appears to be an "outlier." That doctor group could yield a
profit of more than $90. About 10% of LabCorp's business comes from
"client billing," or arrangements in which LabCorp bills the doctor and
the doctor then bills the patient or an insurer, Mr. Smith says.

LabCorp, with sales of $3 billion last year, is the country's second
largest tab company. The biggest is Quest Diagnostics Inc. of Lyndhurst,
N.J., with revenue of $5.1 billion last year. Quest says client billing
accounts for 6% to 7% of its revenue.

No Choice

At a recent conference of the American Urological Association in San
Antonio, doctors took seats at the exhibition booth of Lakewood Pathology
Associates of Lakewood, N.J., as the firm touted its "revenue share"
model. If urologists send their tests to Lakewood, the company's marketing
director said they could generate up to $35,000 per year. Lake wood's
chief executive, Raza Bokhari, says the lab is careful to obey federal
laws barring kickbacks to doctors, in part by making sure that doctors
don't get a discount based on the volume of referrals.

Some of the labs engaged in client billing say they have no choice. "A lot
of labs do it and if you got out of it the other guys will take you to the
cleaners," says Clay Cockerell, a Dallas dermatopathologist who is on the
board of Ameripath Inc., a national lab based in Palm Beach Gardens, Fla,

Dr. Cockerell, who is also the president of the American Academy of
Dermatology concedes the practice raises ethical issues. "Is the physician
billing for it the one looking at the slide? No," he says. "From that
perspective, does it totally pass the smell test? Maybe not."

Several studies have shown physicians are more likely to order services
for patients if they have a financial incentive. A 1993 study compared
states where doctors are allowed to bill for outside lab work and states
where they aren't It found doctors in the former ordered 28% more tests.
The study was conducted by the Center for Health Policy Studies, a
consulting group, for the American Clinical Laboratory Association, an
industry group.

The study's author, economist Zachary Dyckman, says he would expect the
same results today. The extra testing, he says, "appears to be done
exclusively to earn more revenue and increase profits."

Ms. Hansen, the North Carolinian who was worried about skin cancer, had
her skin biopsies analyzed by National Dermatopathology Laboratory of Lake
Balboa, Calif. Ms. Hansen of Cary, N.C., says she asked a local
pathologist, Keith Nance, to review her biopsies after hearing that they
were "atypical." Dr. Nance found no abnormalities.

Dr. Nance, who considers client billing unethical and pushed an
unsuccessful effort to ban the practice in North Carolina, urged her to
report the situation to the state medical board and helped write a
complaint. He helped her find out how much the California lab was charging
doctors by contacting the lab and pretending to be a potential customer.

In her October 2003 complaint to the medical board, Ms. Hansen cites an
email in which National Dermatopathology quoted Dr. Nance a rate of $35 to
analyze a biopsy. Ms. Hansen, who had four biopsies analyzed, says in the
complaint that the lab must have charged her dermatologist, William
Ketcham, no more than $140 for her lab work. Insurance records show Dr.
Ketcham was paid $328 for the work by her insurance company.

Dr. Ketcham declined to discuss dollar figures but says his deals with
labs are appropriate and don't cost patients anything. He says paperwork
is easier when he doesn't have to exchange patient information with the
lab. The North Carolina Medical Society has said that "markups are a
legitimate business practice" for lab services.

Dr. Ketcham says he has stopped using National Dermatopathology because
the state medical board told him he must send his biopsies to pathologists
licensed by North Carolina. The board took no disciplinary action against
Dr. Ketcham. He now sends his lab work to Dermatopathology Laboratory of
Central States in Dayton, Ohio.

Central States won't say what it charges doctors for lab work. But a 2003
fee schedule from the lab states that doctors were charged $25 for the
first biopsy and $15 for each additional specimen. The same fee schedule
indicates that when Central States billed insurers directly for biopsy
interpretations it charged a rate of $95.

The owner of National Dermatopathology Laboratory, Cyrus Milani, was
banned from performing certain laboratory work by the state of California
in 1989 after state officials accused a lab he directed of operating "in a
manner which poses a threat of injury to public health." The state said
the lab had an error rate of 21.2%.

Dr. Milani says the charges were "totally false." He acknowledged a
settlement barred him from serving as medical director of any lab
conducting pap smear tests "for a year or two." California authorities
couldn't find a copy of the settlement.

For several years after the ban, Dr. Milani says he had "a very meager
income." Even now, he says, his life is one of "simple living." Los
Angeles County real-estate records show him as the owner of a home
assessed at $4.1 million on the same street in Bel Air where the actress
Elizabeth Taylor lives.

According to a court filing, the pathologist who analyzed Ms. Hansen's
biopsies was Hong Li, who worked at National Dermatopathology between July
and December 2003. Dr. Milani is suing Dr. Li, accusing her of breaking a
one year employment contract. In the court filing, Dr. Li says her daily
volume "far exceeded the generally accepted workload" in her specialty and
"directly affected the quality of patient care." She says she quit from
fatigue. Dr. Milani says Dr. Li's allegations are false.

Getting Around Medicare Ban

Although Medicare refuses to pay doctors for work performed by others,
some companies have figured out a way to let doctors bill Medicare for
offsite lab work. It involves doctor groups creating a "condo" or "pod"
lab within a building that also houses labs for many other practices.
Since the doctors own their "condo" lab, they believe they can bill
Medicare for work performed there.

One such facility is operated by Uropath LLC at a medical office building
in San Antonio. The door of the building lists the names of 15 urology
practices from as far away as Missouri. Inside, there is a long hallway
with a series of doors that open into small rooms with labels such as "Lab
F --- Urologic Associates of South Texas." Technicians and pathologists in
white flab coats move in and out of the small rooms conducting tests.

Each doctor group buys the microscope and other supplies used in its lab.
Uropath is paid a management fee by the doctor groups and is reimbursed
for rent, personnel costs and other expenses. The doctor groups pay
pathologists for their work on a per-case basis. The doctor group does all
of the insurance billing, including for patients on Medicare.

The inspector general for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
evaluated a somewhat different condo arrangement last December. In that
case, the lab company provided the pathologists and equipment while
receiving a monthly management fee from the referring doctors, who did the
billing and kept any profit. The inspector general said the deal could
constitute a violation of antikickback laws since the lab company was
giving the doctors an opportunity for near-certain profits in exchange for
the business.

A lawyer for Uropath, Greg Cardenas, says the company has carefully
constructed its dealings with doctor groups to comply with federal laws
including the antikickback law.

Another company offering doctors a chance to profit from lab work for both
Medicare and privately insured patients is PathOptions of Hollywood, Fla.
It solicited business from Edward Coles, a gastroenterologist in New
Braunfels, Texas, saying he could bill insurance companies for four times
what tests cost him. A financial "snapshot" attached to the letter claimed
Dr. Coles could boost revenue for his small practice by a quarter million
dollars. Dr. Coles says the proposal "didn't sound kosher" and he declined
to participate.

But dozens of other doctors have signed up with PathOptions, says company
co-founder Daniel Karten. Mr. Karten says lawyers have reviewed the
company's model to make sure it is legal.

Getting a cut of lab revenue is attractive to gastroenterologists, who
specialize in stomach and intestinal diseases. One of their cash cows used
to be endoscopy, in which the doctor puts a tube down the patient's throat
to examine the digestive tract, but Medicare reimbursement for that
procedure fell more than 50% in the five-year period ended in 2002,
according to a government study.

At an April 2004 seminar in Knoxville, Tenn., sponsored by the American
Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy, gastroenterologist Bergein
Overholt began with a review of reimbursement cuts before dangling some
big numbers in front of the audience.

Dr. Overholt showed how his practice of 12 doctors, Gastrointestinal
Associates in Knoxville, netted $643,000 by sending its lab work to GI
Pathology Partners in Memphis, Tenn. According to information presented at
the seminar, Dr. Overholt's group paid $52.55 to GI Pathology Partners for
each biopsy the lab examined and then billed insurance companies an
average of $94.55 for the work.

Dr. Overholt has presented the material at similar seminars, including
some underwritten by GI Pathology Partners. He says he typically receives
a $1,000 honorarium for such talks. Dr. Overholt was among those who
fought a bill in Tennessee last year to ban client billing. The
Legislature eventually approved a watered-down measure.

In an interview, Dr. Overholt says the $643,000 figure he cited at the
2004 meeting doesn't include "significant administrative" costs in billing
patients and losses from patients who don't pay. He says the profit to his
practice from billing on lab work is about 10% to 20%.

GI Pathology Partners says it does work for doctors in 14 states. Pat
Dean, a pathologist and lab co-founder, says his company has a "business
model of focused, factory efficiency," which along with client billing has
"been a real boon for us. "

Some doctors who send lab work to Dr. Dean, however, eschew client
billing.

"We are a little old-fashioned," says one of them, Michael Freeman of Cape
Girardeau, Mo. "It's one of those ethical things. Pat is doing the work.
We just assume that Pat does the billing."





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DavidT - 04 Oct 2005 09:14 GMT
What are you trying to do here, Fondoo?
First you propose a reasonable suggestion to discuss vaccinations
leading to false HIV positivity. Then you derail the entire topic by
posting at length an irrelevant article about doctors getting paid for
doing cancer biopsy analysis.

Now do you see why it is impossible to debate with dissidents?
Fondoo - 04 Oct 2005 15:32 GMT
 This was not meant as a debate. Sorry if my point was unclear, the
article was to point out that WHAT LAB IS USED can present a false
positive in my opinion.
 This thread was meant to be a public service but after your attack and
Mr. Slippy's "bit oh brilliance" and otherwise slow response I am
wondering if anyone cares.
  My point is there are many (published) ways to get a false positive and
it should be better known

Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:21 GMT
In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that “68% to 89% of
all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to
represent false positive results.” (NEJM – New England Journal of
Medicine. 312; 1985).

In 1992, the Lancet reported that for 66 true positives, there were 30,000
false positives. And in pregnant women, “there were 8,000 false positives
for 6 confirmations.” (Lancet 339; 1992)

In September 2000, the Archives of Family Medicine stated that the more
women we test, the greater “the proportion of false-positive and ambiguous
(indeterminate) test results.” (Archives of Family Medicine. Sept/Oct.
2000).

The tests described above are standard HIV tests, the kind promoted in the
ads. Their technical name is ELISA or EIA (Enzyme-linked Immunosorbant
Assay). They are antibody tests. The tests contain proteins that react
with antibodies in your blood.

In the U.S., you’re tested with an ELISA first. If your blood reacts,
you’ll be tested again, with another ELISA. Why is the second more
accurate than the first? That’s just the protocol. If you have a reaction
on the second ELISA, you’ll be confirmed with a third antibody test,
called the Western Blot. But that’s here in America. In some countries,
one ELISA is all you get.

It is precisely because HIV tests are antibody tests, that they produce so
many false-positive results. All antibodies tend to cross-react. We
produce antibodies all the time, in response to stress, malnutrition,
illness, drug use, vaccination, foods we eat, a cut, a cold, even
pregnancy. These antibodies are known to make HIV tests come up as
positive.

The medical literature lists dozens of reasons for positive HIV test
results: “transfusions, transplantation, or pregnancy, autoimmune
disorders, malignancies, alcoholic liver disease, or for reasons that are
unclear…”(Archives of Family Medicine, Sept/Oct. 2000).

“[H]uman or technical errors, other viruses and vaccines” (Infectious
Disease Clinician of North America 7; 1993)

“[L]iver diseases, parenteral substance abuse, hemodialysis, or
vaccinations for hepatitis B, rabies, or influenza…” (Archives of Internal
Medicine August, 2000).

“[U]npasteurized cows’ milk…Bovine exposure, or cross-reactivity with
other human retroviruses” (Transfusion,1988)

Even geography can do it:

“Inhabitants of certain regions may have cross-reactive antibodies to
local prevalent non-HIV retroviruses” (Medicine International 56; 1988).

The same is true for the confirmatory test – the Western Blot.

Causes of indeterminate Western Blots include: “lymphoma, multiple
sclerosis, injection drug use, liver disease, or autoimmune disorders.
Also, there appear to be healthy individuals with antibodies that
cross-react….” (Archives of Internal Medicine, August 2000).
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 05:32 GMT
>In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that “68% to 89% of
>all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to
>represent false positive results.” (NEJM – New England Journal of
>Medicine. 312; 1985).

That's from an article by Liam Scheff.

The article or letter Scheff cites is from NEJM volume 312.  That's
*all* Scheff has chosen to tell us about it.  It would be impractically
difficult to search an entire volume of NEJM for an article or letter
with no page number, no date, no author's name and no title.

Normally, journal references provide enough information so a reader
can find the cited letter or article easily.  The purpose of a
good reference is to enable readers to find the article you cite,
check that you've quoted it accurately, and examine the evidence and
reasoning you use to reach your conclusions.

So, what's the purpose of a "reference" that prevents readers from
finding the cited article?  There are two purposes:  (1) to exploit
the reputation of the journal, NEJM in this case, to support an
illegitimate appeal to authority, and (2) to prevent readers from
checking your evidence and reasoning.

What's Scheff hiding?

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 06:01 GMT
> >In 1985, at the beginning of HIV testing, it was known that "68% to 89% of
> >all repeatedly reactive ELISA (HIV antibody) tests [were] likely to
[quoted text clipped - 21 lines]
>
> What's Scheff hiding?

One thing that Scheff is hiding is that these quotes have a context in
the original article.

Once again I found the citation that Scheff copied and pasted from this
website.

http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html

"68% to 89% of all repeatedly reactive ELISA tests are likely to
represent false positive results...each year we might expected to find
175 to 209 truly antibody-positive donors [in Minnesota] and between
371 and 1701 falsely positive donors among those who have repeatedly
positive screening tests "

Osterholm MT et al. Screening donated blood and plasma for HTLV-III
antibody: facing more than one crisis?. N Engl J Med. 1985;312:1185-8.

Now we have enough information to find the article.

We also have enough information to get the context.

The context is the screening of donated blood and plasma in a very,
very low prevalence population. Minnesota in 1985 had a very, very low
HIV prevalence. In the context of screening blood for HIV sensitivity
is more important than specificity. It is important to minimise false
negatives. Even with a very high specificity in a low prevalence
population the ratio of true positives to false positives will be low.
This is simple mathematics.

Scheff hopes that the people reading his article will not bother to
look up the original articles. After all Scheff never bothered to read
them. He simply cut and pasted his quotes from the dissident websites.
Cut and paste journalism.

Chris Noble
greg78 - 05 Oct 2005 14:37 GMT
Chris,

You are probably going to say these are VERY stupid questions. What I
would like to know is HOW they knew that "Minnesota in 1985 had a
very,very low HIV prevalence."? Are you not ASSUMING that Minnessota had a
low prevalence and that therefore the high rate of positivity were "false
positives"? Would you not have to gauge the TRUE level of infection with
some OTHER test and then determine the specificity of the antibody test
against this OTHER test? You know, like the gold standard of HIV
infection? What is it?

Best regards
Greg
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 06:15 GMT
 Really my point was to get all you friggin sci-fi guys to help out and
list ways to get a false positive, but noooooo we can't go around helping
people can we. Let the folks get there flu shots and ??? <--(you know it
alls could help with the rest) then go get there aids tests and get told
there going to die, Jesus Christ Bananas if this was anything besides AIDS
we would be helping one another
 How could even one false positive that leads to lifelong Chemotherapy be
a non-issue???????????????????????
GMCarter - 05 Oct 2005 12:31 GMT
>  Really my point was to get all you friggin sci-fi guys to help out and
>list ways to get a false positive, but noooooo we can't go around helping
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
>  How could even one false positive that leads to lifelong Chemotherapy be
>a non-issue???????????????????????

Because your premises are full of sh.t. And you are NOT out to help
people with your beliefs in people who f.cking LIE.

You're like a good lil follower of Bush. "Trust me" it says. Billions
lost, thousands dead for wars based on lies. Scheff says "Trust me"
and you go along--I pray not going blind from CMV retinitis.

        George M. Carter
Mr. Slippy Fist - 03 Oct 2005 19:59 GMT
"Fondoo" <dale601@hotmail.com> wrote...
>  I think everyone will agree that a false positive is "a bad thing". Some
> very well read folks on both sides of the HIV/AIDS fence post here. So how
> about we team up on this one and make a Talkabout Definitive list of cross
> reacting cofactors that could give a false result, also how long would it
> take the body to heal up and be ready to test after symptoms of a cofactor
> disappear.

I don't think a false positive on an HIV test is a bad thing.  The tests
SHOULD be 100.0% accurate but since they're not, it is better to have
false positives than false negatives, because a false negative gives a
person a false sense of security and he WILL go out and infect others
(of course many do this with real positive results, but the legal system
can deal with that).  It seems your concern with people's feelings is
more important than stopping the transmission of HIV.
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:26 GMT
The Western Blot is not used as a screening tool because…it yields an
unacceptably high percentage of indeterminate results.” (Archives of
Family Medicine, Sept/Oct 2000)
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 04:05 GMT
>The Western Blot is not used as a screening tool because…it yields an
>unacceptably high percentage of indeterminate results.” (Archives of
>Family Medicine, Sept/Oct 2000)

"Not suitable for the purpose for which it isn't used."  Well, it
can't open cans either.  So what?

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:33 GMT
At present there are about six dozen reasons given in the literature why
the tests come up positive. In fact, the medical literature states that
there is simply no way of knowing if any HIV test is truly positive or
negative:

“[F]alse-positive reactions have been observed with every single HIV-1
protein, recombinant or authentic.” (Clinical Chemistry. 37; 1991). “Thus,
it may be impossible to relate an antibody response specifically to HIV-1
infection.” (Medicine International, 1988)

And even if you believe the reaction is not a false positive, “the test
does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus.”
(Science, November, 1999).

The test manufacturers state that after the antibody reaction occurs, the
tests have to be “interpreted.” There is no strict or clear definition of
HIV positive or negative. There’s just the antibody reaction. The reaction
is colored by an enzyme, and read by a machine called a spectrophotometer.

The machine grades the reactions according to their strength (but not
specificity), above and below a cut-off. If you test above the cut-off,
you’re positive; if you test below it, you’re negative.

So what determines the all-important cut-off? From The CDC’s instructional
material: “Establishing the cutoff value to define a positive test result
from a negative one is somewhat arbitrary.” (CDC-EIS, “Screening For HIV,”
2003 )

The University of Vermont Medical School agrees: “Where a cutoff is drawn
to determine a diagnostic test result may be somewhat arbitrary….Where
would the director of the Blood Bank who is screening donated blood for
HIV antibody want to put the cut-off?...Where would an investigator
enrolling high-risk patients in a clinical trial for an experimental,
potentially toxic antiretroviral draw the cutoff?” (University of Vermont
School of Medicine teaching module: Diagnostic Testing for HIV Infection)

A 1995 study comparing four major brands of HIV tests found that they all
had different cut-off points, and as a result, gave different test results
for the same sample: “[C]ut-off ratios do not correlate for any of the
investigated ELISA pairs,” and one test’s cut-off point had “no predictive
value” for any other. (INCQS-DSH, Brazil 1995).

I’ve never heard of a person being asked where they would “want to put the
cut-off” for determining their HIV test result, or if they felt that
testing positive was a “somewhat arbitrary” experience.

In the UK, if you get through two ELISA tests, you’re positive. In
America, you get a third and final test to confirm the first two. The test
is called the Western Blot. It uses the same proteins, laid out
differently. Same proteins, same nonspecific reactions. But this time it’s
read as lines on a page, not a color change. Which lines are HIV positive?
That depends on where you are, what lab you’re in and what kit they’re
using.

The Mayo Clinic reported that “the Western blot method lacks
standardization, is cumbersome, and is subjective in interpretation of
banding patterns.” (Mayo Clinic Procedural, 1988)

A 1988 study in the Journal of the American Medical Association reported
that 19 different labs, testing one blood sample, got 19 different Western
Blot results. (JAMA, 260, 1988)

A 1993 review in Bio/Technology reported that the FDA, the CDC/Department
of Defense and the Red Cross all interpret WB’s differently, and further
noted, “All the other major USA laboratories for HIV testing have their
own criteria.” (Bio/Technology, June 1993)

In the early 1990s, perhaps in response to growing discontent in the
medical community with the lack of precision of the tests, Roche
Laboratories introduced a new genetic test, called Viral Load, based on a
technology called PCR. How good is the new genetic marvel?

An early review of the technology in the 1991 Journal of AIDS reported
that “a true positive PCR test cannot be distinguished from a false
positive.” (J.AIDS, 1991)

A 1992 study “identified a disturbingly high rate of nonspecific
positivity,” saying 18% antibody-negative (under the cut-off) patients
tested Viral Load positive. (J. AIDS, 1992)

A 2001 study showed that the tests gave wildly different results from a
single blood sample, as well as different results with different test
brands. (CDC MMWR, November 16, 2001)

A 2002 African study showed that Viral Load was high in patients who had
intestinal worms, but went down when they were treated for the problem.
The title of the article really said it all. “Treatment of Intestinal
Worms Is Associated With Decreased HIV Plasma Viral Load.” (J.AIDS,
September, 2002)

Roche laboratories, the company that manufactures the PCR tests, puts this
warning on the label:

“The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR Test….is not intended to be used as a
screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of
HIV infection.”

But that’s exactly how it is used – to convince pregnant mothers to take
AZT and Nevirapine and to urge patients to start the drugs.
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 01:44 GMT
“Warning: This test will not tell you if you’re infected with a virus. It
may confirm that you are pregnant or have used drugs or alcohol, or that
you’ve been vaccinated; that you have a cold, liver disease, arthritis, or
are stressed, poor, hungry or tired. Or that you’re African. It will not
tell you if you’re going to live or die; in fact, we really don’t know
what testing positive, or negative, means at all.”
DavidT - 05 Oct 2005 09:07 GMT
Which one are you, Fondoo?
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 02:28 GMT
> At present there are about six dozen reasons given in the literature why
> the tests come up positive. In fact, the medical literature states that
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus."
> (Science, November, 1999).

The first thing that should be noted is that the citations do not
provide sufficient information to find the citated articles.

Googling, however, shows that this is part of a Liam Scheff article.

Scheff does not provide the full citation so that people can check to
see whether the article supports his contention.

If we google the words "the test does not indicate whether the person
currently harbors the virus"

We find http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html

"A confirmed positive test [i.e. one or two ELISA tests, followed by a
Western Blot] indicates that a person has been exposed to the virus and
has mounted an immunologic response (serum antibodies). However, this
test does not indicate whether the person currently harbors the virus "

Zhang Z-Q et al. Sexual Transmission and Propagation of SIV and HIV in
Resting and Activated CD4+ T Cells. Science. 1999 Nov
12;286(5443):1353-7.

This is where Scheff got his quote from. He just cuts and pastes from
this site http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html

At least now we have the full citation and we can read the article to
find the full context for the citation.

The abstract can be found here

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=10558989&query_hl=9


and the full article here

http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/286/5443/1353

The quotation from the Scheff article is found nowhere in the text. The
citation is wrong.

This demonstrates that Scheff did not read the original article he just
copied and pasted the text from a dissident website.

In fact no dissident has apparently read the original article.

The real question is why do dissidents blindly believe whatever they
read on the internet as long as it is on a dissident website.

Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 04:55 GMT
 One reason I do not strictly "hang" on dissident sites is so well read
folks like you can show me the dissident spin.
 

 Thank you Chris

I would owe you another debt if you would help in making a comprehensive
list of conditions known to create false positives DEVOID of spins from
either side

 Cheers
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 05:36 GMT
> One reason I do not strictly "hang" on dissident sites is so well read
> folks like you can show me the dissident spin.
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>
>   Cheers

It would be possible to go through the literature and look for every
report of false positives for all the different HIV tests. This would
be of little value however.

Most of these false positives occurred with specific test not all
tests. Once the false positives have been reported tests have been
modified.

Often the number of false positives was very small. It is not
informative to just list the number of different causes of false
positives it is important to know how often they cause false positives.

HIV tests have been subjected to more scrutiny than any other test in
history. Every possible cause of false positives have been researched
and documented. This has also lead to the development of tests that
have higher specificity than any other test in history.

To be approved by the FDA or relevant authority in other countries
these tests have to be rigorously tested.

See here

http://www.fda.gov/cber/pmasumm/P020066S.htm

and in particular table 11 where the test is checked against possible
interfering substances or medical conditions.

The NRL in Australia also rigorously tests all HIV tests that are sold
in Australia. We don't simply take the FDAs word.

http://www.nrl.gov.au/dir185/nrl-pub.nsf/structure/PublicationsandPresentations-
NRLA-5WG8KE


In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No
test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different
conditions can cause false positives but rather the percentage of false
positives ie the specificity. Researching and documenting false
positives can lead to the development of better and more accurate
tests.

Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 06:03 GMT
  Thank you for the thoughtful reply Chris. It seems you look at large
populations and not the individual people so you and I hold different
values. You see a test as good if it works out overall even if people go
generally uninformed. I see any steps that could be taken to prevent a
person going thru the horror that I have, being of tremendous value.
  After all this is not a herpes test this is a death sentence according
to popular science

 But I still thank you for the reply

  Cheers
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 06:23 GMT
> Thank you for the thoughtful reply Chris. It seems you look at large
> populations and not the individual people so you and I hold different
> values.

I agree with you here. If a test is 99.999% specific it is of no
consulation if you are the 0.001% that might be a false positive.

You would like Homo Faber by Max Frisch.

"Did you know", I ask, "that the rate of mortality from snake bites
is only three to ten percent?"
  I was surprised.
  Hanna does not think much of statistics, that I discovered soon.
[...]
  "You and your statistics!" she says. "If I had a hundred daughters,
each of them bitten by a viper, then yes! Then I would loose only
three to ten daughters. Surprisingly few! You are absolutely right."
  Her laughter with this.
  "I have only a single child!" she says.

> You see a test as good if it works out overall even if people go
> generally uninformed. I see any steps that could be taken to prevent a
> person going thru the horror that I have, being of tremendous value.

I see from reading the literature that extraordinary lengths have been
taken to prevent as many as possible false positives. I agree that
people including doctors and patients should be aware that a very, very
small percentage of tests give false positive results.

A doctor can say that if you have tested repeatedly positive on a
number of different tests with different principles such as ELISA and
Western Blot or just different ELISAs that the probability of it being
a false positive is very very low.

But a patient does not want to hear statistics they want absolute
certainty. Disisdents feed of this desire.

What I object to is rhetorical arguments whereby dissidents argue that
if HIV tests are less than 100% specific that means they are completely
non-specific. This is simply nonsense.

>    After all this is not a herpes test this is a death sentence according
> to popular science

Again this is not a 100% certainty. However, only a smale percentage
~2-5% of people infected with HIV are likely to be LTNPs.


Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:44 GMT
"What I object to is rhetorical arguments whereby dissidents argue that if
HIV tests are less than 100% specific that means they are completely
non-specific. This is simply nonsense."

So, Chris, once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive
from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final
determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their
results were a "false positive"?

What's the deciding factor?

In other words, how does the doctor, or clinician, interpret the lab
results to determine someone's actual status?

What criteria do they use?

-Paul Whiting
pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:38 GMT
"In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No
test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different conditions
can cause false positives but rather the percentage of false positives ie
the specificity. Researching and documenting false positives can lead to
the development of better and more accurate tests."

So, Chris, two questions for you:

1)  Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have
these pesky disclaimers?

ELISA Test

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence
or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA
HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")

"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an
asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an
AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV
Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")

"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and
medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott
Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the
Procedure")

Western Blot Test

"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
(Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations
of the Procedure")

“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic
person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit,
section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)

PCR "Viral Load" Test

"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test, is not intended to be used as a
screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of
HIV infection." (Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor Test Kit, section "Intended
Use")

2)  And once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive
from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final
determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their
results were a "false positive"?   What's the deciding factor?

-Paul Whiting
GMCarter - 05 Oct 2005 22:53 GMT
>"In conclusion it is not possible to prevent 100% of false positives. No
>test is 100% specific. It is not important how many different conditions
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>1)  Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have
>these pesky disclaimers?

These are the ONLY diagnostic tests or treatments or devices that
would EVER have any kind of disclaimer. All other tests work 100% of
the time, all the time and are absolutely perfect.
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 07:28 GMT
"Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have
these pesky disclaimers?

These are the ONLY diagnostic tests or treatments or devices that would
EVER have any kind of disclaimer. All other tests work 100% of the time,
all the time and are absolutely perfect."

Well, these test don't have just *any kind* of disclaimer, George.

These disclaimers actually nullify each test's ability to do what they are
used for, namley to diagnose HIV infection...
GMCarter - 06 Oct 2005 12:27 GMT
>"Why do all HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot and PCR, have
>these pesky disclaimers?
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
>These disclaimers actually nullify each test's ability to do what they are
>used for, namley to diagnose HIV infection...

LOL. No, they do not.

Each test has some limitations. ELISA+WB+PCR+clinical picture together
provide a high degree of confidence for any sane individual that a
person has HIV.

        George M. Carter
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 08:08 GMT
   Great job all you have again acted completely predictable. Faced with a
very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or
dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok.
  All the papers in the world will only defy Lay-man common sense so long
buck'os
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 08:29 GMT
> Great job all you have again acted completely predictable. Faced with a
> very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or
> dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok.

Nobody said it was OK. Misdiagnoses are bad whether it is cancer or
AIDS. Scientists have researched causes of false positives and have
produced better tests. In an ideal world there would be no
misdiagnoses. In the real world we do our best to minimise them.

>    All the papers in the world will only defy Lay-man common sense so long
> buck'os

HIV diagnostic techniques have steadily improved due to the very
research that you want to dismiss.

Exactly how would you improve the diagnostic procedure?

Ban HIV tests altogether? Out of sight - out of mind?

A large percentage of those presenting with AIDS had not been tested
until they ended up in hospital. Not knowing they were infeceted with
HIV did not protect them. Ignorance can and does kill.

Chris Noble
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 08:56 GMT
First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore everyone
should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago.
People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof
of an accurate test.
 As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it
was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple
STD's
and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients.
 I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible
immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s
repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on
the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease
Chris Noble - 05 Oct 2005 09:21 GMT
> First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore everyone
> should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago.

I did not say that previous tests were completely useless. If people
want to be retested then they can.

Every year or so some of the dissidents talk about a cunning plan to
prove that the tests are bullshit. The basic plan is that a group of
people that have been diagnosed HIV positive will get anonymously
tested at a number of different sites and that they will deny any risk
group status. Every time I hear about this plan I patiently wait for
the news that they all tested negative. I never hear the reports from
these experiments. Why?

> People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof
> of an accurate test.

PCR is more prone to false positives but the actual performance depends
on quality control in the lab. The majority of studies show 100%
concordance between PCR and antibody testing.
While PCR has on average a higher false positive rate than antibody
testing it is generally not used for diagnostic purposes. This does not
mean that it cannot be used to confirm infection. It can. However,
given the option of two tests the one with the higher specificity
should be used.

>   As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it
> was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple
> STD's and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients.

I am saying that the evidence is that HIV causes AIDS. The one factor
in common is HIV. No other cofactor can predict progression to AIDS.

Not testing for HIV can:

a) mean a more rapid progression to AIDS

b) the transmission of HIv to more people

Not testing for HIV does not protect you from AIDS.

>   I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible
> immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD's
> repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on
> the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease

It would be helpful to back these statements up with solid science.

None of these "other factors" can predict AIDS.
HIV can.

Chris Noble
j.umber@ac-nancy-metz.fr - 05 Oct 2005 11:10 GMT
No Chris,

the one factor in common is not hiv, but abnormal proteins (P24,...),
which appear in an alloimmunogenic disease. Alloimmunogeneticity could
be transmitted IV :

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=4
044015&dopt=Abstract

Gary Stein - 05 Oct 2005 22:14 GMT
> First off EVERYONE needs to know the tests have evolved. Therefore
> everyone
> should retest, particularly people who tested positive many years ago.
> People need to know PCR does not necessarily confirm virus so is no proof
> of an accurate test.

Well that is certainly your and the denialist interpretation of PCR however
you might be surprised to learn the following. When a needle stick injury
occurs in a health worker in either a laboratory or health care setting PCR
is in fact the diagnostic test of choice by the medical community and part
of the standard of care. Now keep in mind this is the decision of the
medical community about how to best protect it's self from HIV infection not
the results of the initial FDA approval process that lead to the label
language you so much like to quote.

The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands that
PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for HIV. So
when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose to
rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV
infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I mean why would
any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test says they should
not. Could it be that they have data that has come from there clinical
experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA approval process that
convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to diagnosis HIV in them selves
as well as there patients.

>  As far undiagnosed people in the hospital are you going to tell me it
> was not having an HIV test that hurt them? Not the IV drugs, multiple
> STD's
> and other cofactors almost always found with AIDS patients.

What utter bull, were is the data that shows any correlation between IV drug
use and AIDS, or that shows STD's other then HIV can cause AIDS, and were is
the data that shows any cofactor at all come one just one will do fine?

>  I feel it would be more helpful to inform the public of the horrible
> immune suppression caused by poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s
> repeated exposure to antibiotics and other factors than focusing only on
> the Test that may show a virus that may be a factor in disease

Yes and one would then need to explain why it is that the vast majority of
those who used Poppers, Meth or had multiple STD's or had repeated exposure
to antibiotics are AIDS free, and that it is only seen in those who are HIV
positive.

You would also have to explain why the people who do any or all of the above
and who have an AIDS diagnosis have such vastly different AIDS progression
rates. After all if the use of "poppers, methamphetamine, multiple STD’s,
repeated exposure to antibiotics" is the cause of AIDS then doing those
things after an AIDS diagnosis should result in immediate critical and fatal
consequences. Yet there are Meth users who are AIDS free and AIDS patients
who use Meth who live for years and years. The same can be said about each
of your above listed claimed causes of AIDS.

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 07:15 GMT
"Yes no single test is approved as a defining diagnostic test for HIV. The
combination of ELISA and Western Blot however is accepted world wide by
national health agencies and the overwhelming majority of the medical
community.  Gary Stein"

"Now, I would point out to those reading this debate that if the PCR test
manufacturers have a disclaimer on their test saying 'The AMPLICOR HIV-1
MONITOR test is NOT INTENDED TO BE USED AS A SCREENING TEST FOR HIV OR AS
A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION,' then how,
precisely, is it useful to the medical community in confirming the
presence of HIV?"

"It isn't used for that purpose. By asking a question that presumes
something false you lie by implication. -- David Canzi"

"Okay, David...  If the PCR is *not* used as 'A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM
THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION,' in the form of a "viral load,” then what
is it used for?"

"It's used to measure the amount of HIV present after HIV infection has
been diagnosed and confirmed by other means.  -- David Canzi"

"The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands
that PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for
HIV.  So when concerned about there own health status the medical
community choose to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to
diagnosis HIV infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I
mean why would any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test
says they should not. Could it be that they have data that has come from
there clinical experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA
approval process that convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to
diagnosis HIV in them selves as well as there patients.  Gary Stein"

"Given the need to test a patient and a choice between two tests, the
doctor uses the test that is more reliable. Antibody testing is more
reliable than PCR for adults, so the doctor uses antibody testing on adult
patients. PCR is more reliable than antibody testing for infants, so the
doctor uses PCR for an infant patient. That isn't the whole story, but
it's enough to explain why a different test would be used for infants than
for adults. -- David Canzi"
Fondoo - 07 Oct 2005 07:50 GMT
"The reason PCR is used first is that the medical community understands
that
PCR is able to detect HIV earlier then any of the Antibody tests for HIV.
So
when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose
to
rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV
infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you. I mean why
would

any sane person rely on a test when the mfg of that test says they should

not. Could it be that they have data that has come from there clinical
experience rather then from the tests trials and FDA approval process
that

convinces them that they can in fact use PCR to diagnosis HIV in them
selves
as well as there patients."

  Could it be that they are using PCR to make a decision to use AIDS
drugs to prevent so called seroconversion and your example does not apply
to this discussion what so ever?

 I don't like being so hostile but I very much resent the misinformation
that has been fed to me for the 15 years of my life with a positive test
result.
  My family and I have suffered because of suppressed information and
misinformation about our so-called condition. I doubt an industry
professional can really understand where I am coming from.
  Having no medical knowledge and no reason to pursue it (that’s what I
pay MD's for)the picture fed to us by the big-pharma backed media is a
sack of SH** That’s not the professionals on this boards fault so I just
want to let you know a little of where I am coming from
Chris Noble - 07 Oct 2005 08:29 GMT
> So when concerned about there own health status the medical community choose
> to rely on a test that the label says can not be used to diagnosis HIV
> infection gee doesn't that seem really really odd to you.

http://www.fda.gov/cber/products/testkits.htm

None of the currently approved Nucleic Acid Tests state that they
cannot be used as an aid to the diagnosis of HIV. Most of them say that
they are not intended for this use. This is not the same thing.

http://www.fda.gov/cber/label/hivhcvgen060404LB.pdf

"The Procleix HIV-1 Discriminatory Assay may be used as an aid in the
diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."

As far as antibody tests you just have to look at this.

http://www.fda.gov/cber/pmalabel/P020066LB.pdf

"The Vironostika HIV-1 Plus O Microelisa System is intended for use as
an aid in diagnosis of infection with HIV-1."

If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident
websites you would not be as ignorant.

Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 11 Oct 2005 03:35 GMT
"The Procleix HIV-1 Discriminatory Assay may be used as an aid in the
diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."

"The Vironostika HIV-1 Plus O Microelisa System is intended for use as an
aid in diagnosis of infection with HIV-1."

So, Chris, if the HIV antibody tests are merely an "aid" in diagnosing HIV
infection, what process, exactly, are they aiding?

In other words, what process is *actually being used* to diagnose HIV
infection, since the HIV antibody tests are simply an "aid" to diagnosing
it?

-Paul Whiting
Fondoo - 14 Oct 2005 05:13 GMT
 
If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident
websites you would not be as ignorant.

Chris Noble
 
I believe I was quoting Gary Chris, so take a little more time reading
the posts of the authors you are so quick to throw insults at.
  By the way being HIV+ with an AIDS diagnosis I think what I have to say
is just as important as what you have.
  If my own body, that of my wife and several friends disproves your
precious Big-Pharma studies we have a right to hold those studies suspect.
As well as well as sharing our thoughts with all our positive branded
brothers and sisters that can rise above the fear unjustly put on them by
the media and there doctor to listen
Gary Stein - 15 Oct 2005 00:35 GMT
> If you spent more time reading these labels rather than dissident
> websites you would not be as ignorant.
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> brothers and sisters that can rise above the fear unjustly put on them by
> the media and there doctor to listen

But it doesn't Madge it doesn't.

Gary Stein
Gary Stein - 07 Oct 2005 23:32 GMT
>   Could it be that they are using PCR to make a decision to use AIDS
> drugs to prevent so called seroconversion and your example does not apply
> to this discussion what so ever?

No the standard of care states that ARV should be started immediately if a
needle stick involving a known HIV positive patient and a health worker
occurs. The PCR is used to decide when to stop the ARV treatment not when to
start it as you imply.

>  I don't like being so hostile but I very much resent the misinformation
> that has been fed to me for the 15 years of my life with a positive test
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> sack of SH** That’s not the professionals on this boards fault so I just
> want to let you know a little of where I am coming from

Well I am not an industry professional I am a disabled AIDS patient who was
diagnosed with AIDS in 1995 and have been on ARV ever since. During that
time I spent thousands of hours reading the medical literature on HIV, AIDS,
the treatment of OI's and I don't understand what you mean by misinformation
being feed to you. Every idea that the rethinkers or denialists bring up has
been out there available to anyone since the 1980's nothing is hidden or
kept from those who look. Just because most of it is pure hogwash and thus
not taken seriously by the mainstream medical community doesn't mean that
you were not free to ask any question you wanted to ask and look for the
answers anywhere you wanted to look.

The issue is that you choose to believe that you've been lied to by the
mainstream and I know your being lied to by the rethinkers/denialists.
Lastly there is scientific evidence that backs up my knowledge about HIV,
AIDS, and ARV while the denialists have no data to back up what they are
telling you. I do not accept personal opinions when it comes to making
medical decisions it is hard for me to understand why someone would trust
every thing AIDSMYTH.ORG says and at the seem time completely ignore
everything that the NIH, CDC or all the medical journals say about HIV and
AIDS. How does one make that kind of logical leap of faith without a
profound break with reality?

Gary Stein
Fondoo - 09 Oct 2005 06:34 GMT
First off Gary thanks for sharing part of your story and I wish you
health and happiness.
 I think where we very in our opinion greatest is in government
agencies that we assume are protecting us from unscrupulous corporate
greed. I think they have been corrupted beyond our wildest dreams and
you Gary feel they are doing there jobs and protecting us. I respect
your opinion now that I know you are one of us, the positives.
 My wakeup call came as an accident by being very concerned about my
daughter, never before did government policy or big business interest
me. I did some homework for her because common sense alarms kept going
off with doctors at the hospital she was born in. Also I was learning
about non toxic AIDS prevention so her mommy and daddy will be around as
long as possible and since liver failure is becoming an issue for long
term HAART users it's not a bad line of thought. You can guess the rest
I stumbled on a dissident view and it made more sense to me and I
believe others have the right to know there are other views besides the
damn side with all the money. We all have the right to choose and
labeling other views of science and medicine as dangerous and kept out
of the public eye is wrong.
  It just so happens to be the most profitable way to do things if you
are a drug manufacturer and that area of commerce I see as the biggest
threat to the health of mankind.
  All the best Gary may you live to be a 100  
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 03:16 GMT
"HIV diagnostic techniques have steadily improved due to the very research
that you want to dismiss.

Exactly how would you improve the diagnostic procedure?

Ban HIV tests altogether? Out of sight - out of mind?

A large percentage of those presenting with AIDS had not been tested until
they ended up in hospital. Not knowing they were infeceted with HIV did
not protect them. Ignorance can and does kill."

So, Chris, once someone's been admitted to a hospital, and has been given
the Elisa and Western Blot tests, and those tests come back positive from
the lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final determination
whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their results were a
"false positive"?

What's the deciding factor?

In other words, how does the doctor, or clinician, interpret the lab
results to determine someone's actual status?

What criteria do they use?

-Paul Whiting
DavidT - 05 Oct 2005 12:40 GMT
>Faced with a very real possibility of 1000's of false positives over 20+ years dying or dead of Chemotherapy you all run around waving papers saying why it's ok.

The tests do have false positives, which is a problem that affects all
tests. Fewer HIV tests are falsely positive than other tests.

The point is that medical science can identify these as FALSE positive
results, and although this may be somewhat disconcerting to the
individual initially, things can be clarified soon enough. Only someone
who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health
consequences and drug treatments you mention.No-one condethe through a
process of retesting with more
Fondoo - 05 Oct 2005 21:14 GMT
The tests do have false positives, which is a problem that affects all
tests. Fewer HIV tests are falsely positive than other tests.
 That is a piss poor excuse for the amount of supressed and
misinformation the press and the scientific community spoon feeds the
public

Only someone
who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health
consequences and drug treatments you mention.

where do you get this idea?
DavidT - 06 Oct 2005 14:04 GMT
Only someone
who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the possible health

consequences and drug treatments you mention.

>where do you get this idea?

This is generally accepted. Do we have to spell it out?
Only people who are infected with HIV are candidates for long term
antiretroviral therapy. In the same way that only someone with a
diagnosis of breast cancer is considered for mastectomy/chemo, and not
someone who had a false positive biopsy result.
Fondoo - 06 Oct 2005 20:14 GMT
  At least you can "See" breast cancer. With HIV we are supposed to
believe in it even though we cannot "See" it. I do not need to see the
mountains of evidence why it's there even though we cannot "See" it. I am
sure there was mountains of evidence why leeches worked so damn well too
pauleewhiting - 06 Oct 2005 04:59 GMT
"Only someone who is a TRUE positive would find themselves facing the
possible health consequences and drug treatments you mention."

"And the results from those tests are then interpreted based on whether
the patient belongs to a known 'risk group.'

As part of the overall diagnosis, yes."
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 05 Oct 2005 06:47 GMT
>“[F]alse-positive reactions have been observed with every single HIV-1
>protein, recombinant or authentic.” (Clinical Chemistry. 37; 1991).

Another "Scheff ref" -- untraceable by design.

A fuller version of this quote may be found at
http://www.aras.ab.ca/test.html

| A common misperception is that, if a serological [antibody]
| assay is based on recombinant antigens, then results obtained
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
| Ng V. Serological diagnosis with recombinant peptides/proteins.
| Clin Chem. 1991;37(10):1667-8.

This quote pastes together two pieces of the aricle that are not
actually within shouting distance of each other.  The first part of
the quote comes from this passage:

| A common misperception is that, if a serological assay is based
| on recombinant antigens, then results obtained by that assay
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
| no false-positive reactions were observed in a set of these known
| problematic sera.

If we're "proving" that antibody tests are unreliable, let's just omit
that last sentence, okay?

The second part comes from this passage:

| Although the opinion is frequently voiced that reactivity against
| a single HIV-1 envelope protein (gp4l) should be sufficient for
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
| recombinant or authentic-an important consideration, given the
| ramifications of a diagnosis of HIV-1 infection.

So Crowe and Scheff quoted the part about a problem affecting the
reliability of antibody tests and cut carefully, within the sentence
quoted, to avoid giving a reader any hints about the solution.

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

pauleewhiting - 05 Oct 2005 18:51 GMT
"So Crowe and Scheff quoted the part about a problem affecting the
reliability of antibody tests and cut carefully, within the sentence
quoted, to avoid giving a reader any hints about the solution."

So, David, two questions for you:

1)  Why do all the "reliable" HIV tests, including the Elisa, Western Blot
and PCR, have these pesky disclaimers?

ELISA Test

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence
or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA
HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")

"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an
asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an
AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV
Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")

"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and
medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott
Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the
Procedure")

Western Blot Test

"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
(Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations
of the Procedure")

“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic
person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit,
section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)

PCR "Viral Load" Test

"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test, is not intended to be used as a
screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of
HIV infection." (Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor Test Kit, section "Intended
Use")

2)  And once someone's Elisa and Western Blot tests come back positive
from a lab, how does the doctor, or clinician, make the final
determination whether the person is *truly* HIV-positive or whether their
results were a "false positive"?   What's the deciding factor?

-Paul Whiting
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 07 Oct 2005 02:31 GMT
>So, David, two questions for you:
>
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
>or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA
>HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")

I'm going to answer only this one, because this is hard work and I'm
not getting paid for it.

Some of the context this quote was taken out of can be found here:
http://www.virusmyth.net/aids/data/rgelisa.htm

| At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the
| presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood. Therefore
| sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS
| and specificity based on random donors (1).

When you take the first sentence out of context, and call it a
disclaimer, it looks like a disclaimer about the reliability of all
HIV testing.  When that sentence is seen with just a little more
context it is clear that it is not what you made it look like.

Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on
their side resort to deceptive tactics like this?

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

pauleewhiting - 10 Oct 2005 00:11 GMT
>I'm going to answer only this one, because this is hard work and I'm
>not getting paid for it.
[quoted text clipped - 14 lines]
>Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on
>their side resort to deceptive tactics like this?

And, David, do you know *why* the "sensitivity was computed based on the
clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors" for
the HIV antibody tests?

How *was* the "clinical diagnosis of AIDS" used to determine the
*sensitivity* of the HIV antibody tests?

How *were* the "random donors" used to establish the *specificity* of
the HIV antibody tests?

Why not just use the *gold standard* of viral isolation for determining
the sensitivity, and establishing the specificity, of the HIV antibody
tests?

And the answer to that "270 billion dollar question," boys and girls, is
why...

.."At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the
presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."

Again, why do you think the HIV test kits *all* have those disclaimers?

Everyone *knows* that the direct translation of the word disclaimer is:
"Cover your a.s!"

-Paul Whiting
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 11 Oct 2005 08:19 GMT
>>Why would people who claim to have all the evidence and logic on
>>their side resort to deceptive tactics like this?
>
>And, David, do you know *why* the "sensitivity was computed based on the
>clinical diagnosis of AIDS and specificity based on random donors" for
>the HIV antibody tests?
[snip]
>.."At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the
>presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."
>
>Again, why do you think the HIV test kits *all* have those disclaimers?

You took this statement out of context and called it a disclaimer:

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the
presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."

Taken out of context it's ambiguous enough that, by calling it a
disclaimer, you can make it look like an embarrassing admission that
HIV testing is unreliable.

With additional context we see something quite different:

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the
presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood. Therefore
sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS
and specificity based on random donors."

Here its meaning is clarified -- essentially the statement says
there is no gold standard, and is immediately followed by a casual
description of how they measure sensitivity and specifictiy without
a gold standard -- it is not even perceived as a problem.

When you take the statement out of context and call it a disclaimer,
you misrepresesnt the motivation for making the statement and falsely
imply serious consequences.

Now you're just trying to distract attention from this evidence of
dissident dishonesty.

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

wilyretrovirus - 11 Oct 2005 21:08 GMT
Nice "spin-doctoring", David.

Unfortunately, even with the additional context, a thinking person would
ponder the implications of a test that states:  "At present there is no
recognized standard for establishing the
presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."

Doesn't sound like a test I would bet my life on.  Unfortunately, most
people don't know they have these disclaimers and DO bet their lives on
them.

"Here its meaning is clarified -- essentially the statement says
there is no gold standard, and is immediately followed by a casual
description of how they measure sensitivity and specifictiy without
a gold standard -- it is not even perceived as a problem."

Thank you for pointing out that there is no gold standard for HIV tests.

"Therefore
sensitivity was computed based on the clinical diagnosis of AIDS
and specificity based on random donors."

Without a gold standard, we've got a crapshoot and/or a witchhunt.  Take
your pick.
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 12 Oct 2005 03:03 GMT
>Nice "spin-doctoring", David.
>
>Unfortunately, even with the additional context, a thinking person would
>ponder the implications of a test that states:  "At present there is no
>recognized standard for establishing the
>presence and absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood."

A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity
and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a
"gold standard".  It's not difficult to understand how it's done.

The point of my article, which you are trying to distract attention
from, is that the dissident argument I was examining was dishonest.
Readers can see my article here:

http://groups.google.com/group/misc.health.aids/msg/12435ebd4374a3d1?hl=en

What type of person tries to convince others of what he thinks is
the truth by fooling them with deceptive tactics of argument?

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

wilyretrovirus - 12 Oct 2005 03:27 GMT
"A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity
and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a
"gold standard".  It's not difficult to understand how it's done."

You don't have a pot to piss in without a gold standard.  Just witchhunts
and crapshoots.

The witchhunts come in handy with gay men and blacks.  The crapshoots are
used for the rest of the population.
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 14 Oct 2005 05:00 GMT
>"A thinking person who pondered the meanings of the words sensitivity
>and spcificity would realize that they can be measured without a
>"gold standard".  It's not difficult to understand how it's done."
>
>You don't have a pot to piss in without a gold standard.  Just witchhunts
>and crapshoots.

When a test gets 100% or nearly 100% positive results on a population
clinically diagnosed with AIDS, it's sensitive.  When it gets 100% or
nearly 100% negative on a test of random blood donors, it's specific.

No gold standard is needed.

Estimates of specificity produced this way tend to be underestimates.

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

wilyretrovirus - 14 Oct 2005 14:56 GMT
"When a test gets 100% or nearly 100% positive results on a population
clinically diagnosed with AIDS, it's sensitive.  When it gets 100% or
nearly 100% negative on a test of random blood donors, it's specific.

No gold standard is needed.

Estimates of specificity produced this way tend to be underestimates."

Just keep telling yourself that, David.  I'm sure it "works" quite well
for you.

If the tests were "100% accurate", there wouldn't be ANY reason to ask
people being tested if they're part of a "risk group", or have engaged in
"risk behavior".  
GMCarter - 14 Oct 2005 15:13 GMT
>If the tests were "100% accurate", there wouldn't be ANY reason to ask
>people being tested if they're part of a "risk group", or have engaged in
>"risk behavior".  

This is correct. And so what? People are asked about risk factors for
lung cancer when getting an X Ray. Not smoking ever doesn't mean
that's NOT the diagnosis. Smoking 2 packs a day for 25 years increases
the likelihood A LOT--but is not definitive. Does that mean lung
cancer doesn't exist?

What diagnostic test is 100%? There may be some but I don't think so.

        George M. Carter
DavidT - 14 Oct 2005 17:51 GMT
Much is made of this "risk  behaviour questioning" when people get HIV
tested.

The primary reason is to help determine what to do if the test result
is equivocal/indeterminate.

It is not used to determine whether someone has HIV or not, merely to
help in deciding what action to take in respect of repeat
testing/confirmatory tests, window periods etc.
wilyretrovirus - 14 Oct 2005 18:44 GMT
"Much is made of this "risk  behaviour questioning" when people get HIV
tested.
The primary reason is to help determine what to do if the test result is
equivocal/indeterminate."

Then the tests simply can't be as "accurate" as they're touted to be.

If they're nearly "100% accurate", then the only time there would
supposedly be a "need" to ask questions about "risk" would be AFTER
repeated indeterminate results.  Or does that just sound too logical and
reasonable?

Also, if we "need" to ask questions about risk because of the
*possibility* of an indeterminate test result, it gives the impression
that there must be a LOT of indeterminate results out there to warrant
such pre-test questioning.