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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / September 2005

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Questions are the cornerstone of science

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Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 01:30 GMT
Here are some questions for people that believe that questioning is
important.

http://www.duesberg.com/papers/chemical-bases.html

Table 4

"Prediction" 11
 AIDS spreads by infection  of HIV.

"Fact" 11
But, contrary to the spread of AIDS, there is no  spread  of HIV in
the
US. In the US HIV infections have remained constant at 1 million from
1985 (29) until now (30), (see also The Durban Declaration and figure
1b). By contrast, AIDS has increased from 1981 until 1992 and has
declined ever since (figure 1a).

The first thing an enquiring mind would ask is how it was that 1
million people were tested for HIV in 1985. The simple answer is they
weren't.

Reference 29. the data point for 1985 is

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&...

The first thing that is noteworthy is that the estimate is  0.5-1
million. For some reason Duesberg takes only the high end of the
range.

The basis of the estimate comes from the San Francisco CDC cohort study

with a total of 6875 subjects.
In this cohort the seropositivity was found to have increased from 4%
in 1978 to 68% in 1984.

In this group HIV prevalence increased from 4% to 68% in six years.
Duesberg uses this study as evidence that  "there is no  spread  of
HIV
in the US".

Is Duesberg crazy?

Does he think we are stupid?

Why did this paper grace the pages of an obscure indian journal?

Why is that none of you bother to read the references that Duesberg
cites?

Can anyone explain how someone can use a paper that presents a rapid
increase of HIV prevalence in order to show that "there is no spread of
HIV in the US".

Anyone?

I'm not going to bother to reply to anybody unless they can give me a
credible answer to these questions.

Chris Noble
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 01:34 GMT
More questions.

Duesberg: stupidity or deception?

http://www.duesberg.com/papers/chemical-bases.html
"Even HIV-AIDS researchers have inadvertently confirmed our prediction

of no AIDS in drug-free HIV-positives. For example, David Ho,
signatory
of the Durban Declaration, points out that in a group of  long-term
survivors  of HIV studied in his lab,  none had received
antiretroviral
therapy  (Cao et al 1995). In a parallel publication, Pantaleo et al
studying a group of long- non-progressors  of HIV have made the same
observation (Pantaleo et al 1995). Ho et al recently attributed
longterm survival to some special human proteins, termed  defensins
(Zhang et al 2002), but acknowledged personally that all long-term
survivors had again abstained from anti-HIV therapies (David Ho,
personal communication)."

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&...

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&...

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&...

What Duesberg doesn't mention is that to satisfy selection criteria for

entry to LTNP groups you have to have abstained from anti-HIV
therapies. Naturally, researchers studying LTNPs only want to look at
people that have not progressed despite not taking ARVs.

"Ten HIV-1-seropositive subjects from the New York metropolitan area
were referred to us because they met our working definition of
long-term survivors of HIV-1 infection: they had no symptoms, normal
and stable CD4+ lymphocyte counts, no prolonged use of antiretroviral
agents, and at least 12 years of infection."

"We studied 15 subjects with long-term nonprogressive HIV infection and

18 subjects with progressive HIV disease. Nonprogressive infection was

defined as seven or more years of documented HIV infection, with more
than 600 CD4+ T cells per cubic millimeter, no antiretroviral therapy,

and no HIV-related disease."

Again I ask the question, is Duesberg crazy?

Does he think people won't read the articles he cites?

Why does he "forget" to mention that the selection criteria for these
studies included not taking ARVs?

How the hell did this crap get published?

All these questions and nobody to answer them.

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 00:33 GMT
Ah, Mr. Noble!  I was just looking for you.

>"Ho et al recently attributed  longterm survival to some special human
proteins, termed  defensins"

Ah so!  If you have taken ARVs and you die of liver disease, a nice new
virus (HCV) is invented to explain it.  And if you have never taken ARVs
and you live forever, Ho invents a new protein to explain why you don't
die of AIDS...
Once a Ho, always a Ho.

Tell me more about these defensins, Mr. Noble.  Proteins are my strong
suit, so I might understand.
GMCarter - 24 Sep 2005 01:23 GMT
>Ah, Mr. Noble!  I was just looking for you.
>
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>Ah so!  If you have taken ARVs and you die of liver disease, a nice new
>virus (HCV) is invented to explain it.

Idiot of the FIRST water.

No. HCV exists. It is recognized as a cause of morbidity and mortality
in co-infection. The literature is REPLETE with data on co-infection.

People with HIV who do NOT have HCV or who do and die of liver related
hepatotoxicity related to ARV are both recognized.

Nothing is hidden. No one is denying it happens.

Yet again, you make a fool of yourself, blubbering your wholly
unsupported platitudes and nonsense.

        George M. Carter
Iconoclaster - 29 Sep 2005 01:32 GMT
>"Idiot of the FIRST water.
No. HCV exists. It is recognized as a cause of morbidity and mortality in
co-infection. The literature is REPLETE with data on co-infection."

Mr. Carter, would you be kind enough to show me where to find a paper
describing the discovery and isolation of HCV (pretty please, with sugar
on it)?
Your partner in crime, Mr. Stein presented me already with 29 references.
But they all ASSUME that HCV exists and attacks your liver.
"HCV exists. It is recognized... bla bla bla"
Recognized... BY WHOM?
I have asked an "official" institution for hepatic diseases about HCV.
They mumble something about "9 main classes and more than 100 sub-classes"
Not a word about the virus itself; it's existence, its physical
properties.
Wouldn't you rather be selling snake oil?  This HIV/HCV business seems
hopeless.
GMCarter - 29 Sep 2005 11:55 GMT
>>"Idiot of the FIRST water.
>No. HCV exists. It is recognized as a cause of morbidity and mortality in
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>describing the discovery and isolation of HCV (pretty please, with sugar
>on it)?

Oh go f.ck yourself you stupid a.shole.

For you to claim that it does NOT exist implies you've read papers
that you had a meticulous analysis of which leads you to that
conclusion. That is, presuming you were intellectually honest, which
you have proven again and again that at the very least, your VASTLY
defiicent to be making any such claims.

        George M. Carter
Iconoclaster - 29 Sep 2005 18:01 GMT
>"Oh go f.ck yourself you stupid a.shole.
For you to claim that it does NOT exist implies you've read papers that
you had a meticulous analysis of which leads you to that conclusion."

Aw, that ain't fair, Mr. Carter.  I never laid a claim.  Things don't
exist until somebody proves they do.  So I asked you (in a very sweet way)
for the paper(s) that prove the existence of this virus.  And now you're
treating me this way...  I'm hurt.
I even wrote an orthodox liver disease institute in Hollnd for the same
information.  They just tried to baffle me with bullshit.
Now do you really work my way through thousands of  publications, looking
for something that's not there?
I think I'd rather go f.ck myself.
GMCarter - 29 Sep 2005 22:47 GMT
>>"Oh go f.ck yourself you stupid a.shole.
>For you to claim that it does NOT exist implies you've read papers that
>you had a meticulous analysis of which leads you to that conclusion."
>
>Aw, that ain't fair, Mr. Carter.  I never laid a claim.  

You claimed to be some kind of expert. Turns out, you're an idiot.
Chris Noble - 26 Sep 2005 04:52 GMT
> Ah, Mr. Noble!  I was just looking for you.
>
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
> Tell me more about these defensins, Mr. Noble.  Proteins are my strong
> suit, so I might understand.

The question was

Can anyone explain how someone can use a paper that presents a rapid
increase of HIV prevalence in order to show that "there is no spread of
HIV in the US".?

It is a very simple question.

All of the questions were simple.

You gave no answers.

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 29 Sep 2005 02:18 GMT
>"Can anyone explain how someone can use a paper that presents a rapid
increase of HIV prevalence in order to show that "there is no spread of
HIV in the US".?
>"It is a very simple question.
All of the questions were simple.
You gave no answers."

I don't think you adressed that question to me, Mr. Noble, or I would have
answered it.  I love simple questions.
You mention "a paper that presents a rapid increase of HIV prevalence"
That doesn't give me much to go on.  Which paper do you mean?  I know
various methods of showing an "increase in HIV prevalence".  More frequent
testing is one of them.  Linear or exponential extrapolation of
statistical data is another.
I read somewhere that a cat named Thompson had said that there are 1
million HIV-infected persons in the U.S.  Many of them don't even know
they're infected.  Well now, something doesn't jibe here: If these people
don't know it themselfves, how does Thompson know it?  Could extrapolated
estimates have something to do with it?
Anyhow, this figure of 1 million was already floating around 10 years or
so ago.  So maybe nothing much has changed after all.
Say!  You're not going to claim there really IS an epidemic going on, are
you?
Chris Noble - 30 Sep 2005 00:48 GMT
> >"Can anyone explain how someone can use a paper that presents a rapid
> increase of HIV prevalence in order to show that "there is no spread of
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> I don't think you adressed that question to me, Mr. Noble, or I would have
> answered it.  I love simple questions.

The question was directed at all rethinkers.

> You mention "a paper that presents a rapid increase of HIV prevalence"

Read the first post in this thread.

The correct link to the abstract is

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=2996395&query_hl=10


Can you answer the questions?

Chris Noble
Chris Noble - 30 Sep 2005 01:01 GMT
> >"Can anyone explain how someone can use a paper that presents a rapid
> increase of HIV prevalence in order to show that "there is no spread of
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> answered it.  I love simple questions.
> You mention "a paper that presents a rapid increase of HIV prevalence"

http://groups.google.com/group/misc.health.aids/msg/9df479644e67314b

Can you answer these questions?

Chris Noble
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 01:39 GMT
More questions.

http://www.duesberg.com/papers/chemical-bases.html

Table 4

"Prediction" 5

With an RNA of 9 kilobases, just like polio virus, HIV should be able
to cause one specific disease, or no disease if it is a passenger
(22).

"Fact" 5
But, HIV is said to be  the sole cause of AIDS , or of 26 different
immunodeficiency and non-immunodeficiency diseases, all of which also
occur without HIV (table 2). Thus there is not one HIV-specific
disease, which is the definition of a passenger virus!

Why does Duesberg completely "forget" to mention CD4+ cell depletion?

Why does he present a strawman version of the HIV/AIDS relationship?

Is it because be doesn't understand the simple concept that HIV causes
immune suppression and that the manifestation of this immune
suppression can be a number of different opportunistic infections?

Or is it because he wants to deceive his audience?

Chris Noble


Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 00:35 GMT
>"Is it because be doesn't understand the simple concept that HIV causes
immune suppression and that the manifestation of this immune suppression
can be a number of different opportunistic infections?"

Maybe it's because immune suppression can have a number of different
causes.  And a retrovirus is the least likely of them all.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 02:08 GMT
The Perth Group has claimed in may of their writings that the genomes
of all RNA viruses vary by less than 1%. They have used this claim as
an argument for the nonexistence of HIV.

For example
"By comparison, two RNA containing viruses (polio and influenza, the
latter after 27 years of dormancy,) vary by less than 1%..."

http://www.theperthgroup.com/POPPAPERS/yinyang.html

Notice this paper is published in the prestigious Nexus journal!

The reference that the Perth group provide for this claim is
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=3318675&query_hl=2


Not only does the paper not state what the Perth Group claim  - it says

the opposite.

"It is clear from sequencing data now available that despite the
presence of some strongly conserved genomic stretches, well over half
of the nucleotide poistions in many RNA viruses can be substitued
without loss of virus viability"

Did the Perth Group read the article that they cited?

Why did they give this article as a reference for their claim when it
directly contradicts it?

How is it possible that the Perth Group turn: "well over half of the
nucleotide poistions in many RNA viruses can be substitued  without
loss of virus viability"

into: the genomes of rna viruses vary by less than 1%

Why does this article appear in a magazine full of conspiracy theories
and alien abduction stories?

Is it possible that if a reviewer took the time to read the references
they would find that the references do not support the Perth Group
opinions?

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 00:49 GMT
The reference quoted has only one significant sentence in its abstract:

>"These rapidly mutating populations can remain remarkably stable under
certain conditions of replication."

The rest is troolalalala.
I've tried so many times already to pound the simple fact in several dene
skulls that these frequent mutations of RNA-viruses with such a small
genome mean nothing.  The mutants simply don't replicate further, so only
the wild type prevails.  Has anybody in the plant virus world ever
complained about "rapidly mutating viruses", causing "pesticide-resistant
strains"?  Plant viruses (which all contain RNA) are genetically very
stable.  But then, there are no billions of dollars going on in plant
virology.

>"Why does this article appear in a magazine full of conspiracy theories
and alien abduction stories?"

For the same reason Liam Scheff had to publish his stirring articles in
The Weekly Dig.  Because the "respectable" journals all have sold their
souls to AID$ Inc.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 02:16 GMT
Dr Al-Bayati another "rethinker" said in an interview

http://www.mercola.com/2001/jul/11/aids.htm

"Dr. Al-Bayati: My investigation was focused on finding the causes of
AIDS and the link between HIV and AIDS. When I found that HIV is not
the cause of AIDS, then the issue of the HIV test became unimportant.
In fact, I have found that the majority of people who participated in
the major four AZT clinical trials that were conducted in the USA
between 1986-1992 were HIV-negative prior to their treatment with AZT
and their diagnoses were based only on clinical symptoms."

"The four published clinical trials are (1) Fischl et al., The New
England Journal of Medicine 317 (4): 185-191 (1987); (2) Fischl et al.,
The New England Journal of Medicine 323 (15): 1009-1014 (1990); (3)
Volberding et al., The New England Journal of Medicine 322 (14):
941-949 (1990); and (4) Hamilton et al., The New England Journal of
Medicine 326(7): 437-443 (1992). Briefly, a total of 2,482 patients
participated in these studies, and only 22% were HIV-positive prior to
their treatment with AZT and the rest of the subjects were HIV-negative
(62%) and untested (16%)."

I have read all of these papers and they clearly state that all
patients were HIV positive. This is clearly stated in the selection
criteria.

Why does Al-Bayati say something that isn't true?

Did he think people would not read the articles?

Why does he not admit this when confronted with the truth?

Why was his response per email "I am the expert"?

Why does he publish this in a book targetted to a lay-audience?

Why doesn't he publish his theories in a peer-reviewed journal?

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 00:55 GMT
>"Why was his response per email "I am the expert"?

Because he is.

>"Why does he publish this in a book targetted to a lay-audience?"

Because that's the audience the rethinkers want to reach.  The
"HIV-scientists" are too corrupt to listen.

>"Why doesn't he publish his theories in a peer-reviewed journal?"

Because his "peers" are too corrupt, and the respectable journals have
sold their souls to AID$ Inc.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 02:48 GMT
More questions.

Duesberg: stupidity or deception?

http://www.duesberg.com/papers/chemical-bases.html

"Even HIV-AIDS researchers have inadvertently confirmed our prediction
of no AIDS in drug-free HIV-positives. For example, David Ho,
signatory of the Durban Declaration, points out that in a group of
long-term   survivors  of HIV studied in his lab,  none had received
antiretroviral  therapy  (Cao et al 1995). In a parallel publication,
Pantaleo et al  studying a group of long- non-progressors  of HIV have
made the same  observation (Pantaleo et al 1995). Ho et al recently
attributed   longterm survival to some special human proteins, termed
defensins   (Zhang et al 2002), but acknowledged personally that all
long-term   survivors had again abstained from anti-HIV therapies
(David Ho,  personal communication)."

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=7808485&query_hl=49

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=7808486&query_hl=52

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=12351674&query_hl=40


What Duesberg doesn't mention is that to satisfy selection criteria for
entry to LTNP groups you have to have abstained from anti-HIV
therapies. Naturally, researchers studying LTNPs only want to look at
people that have not progressed despite not taking ARVs.

"Ten HIV-1-seropositive subjects from the New York metropolitan area
 were referred to us because they met our working definition of
 long-term survivors of HIV-1 infection: they had no symptoms, normal
and stable CD4+ lymphocyte counts, no prolonged use of antiretroviral
agents, and at least 12 years of infection."

"We studied 15 subjects with long-term nonprogressive HIV infection and
18 subjects with progressive HIV disease. Nonprogressive infection was
defined as seven or more years of documented HIV infection, with more
than 600 CD4+ T cells per cubic millimeter, no antiretroviral therapy,
and no HIV-related disease."

Again I ask the question, is Duesberg crazy?

Does he think people won't read the articles he cites?

Why does he "forget" to mention that the selection criteria for these
studies included not taking ARVs?

How the hell did this crap get published?

All these questions and nobody to answer them.

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 00:57 GMT
Hey, that's exactly the same post again that I already answered, Mr. Noble.
Are you playing games?
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 02:50 GMT
The reference for the initial post was truncated.
The correct link is

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=2996395&query_hl=10


Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 01:02 GMT
>"Preventing transmission among sexual partners, ... yadda yadda yadda..."

Who was teaching these people's science classes, John Calvin?  Jerry
Falwell?
They just ASSUME the cause (whatever) of immunodeficiency is
transmissible, and they take it from there.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 04:37 GMT
More questions.

http://www.theperthgroup.com/SCIPAPERS/MHMONT.pdf

"At present it is accepted that HIV plays no role, either directly or
indirectly, in the causation of KS [20,21]."

[20] Beral V, Peterman TA, Berkelman RL, Jaffe HW. Kaposi s sarcoma
among persons with AIDS: a sexually transmitted infection. Lancet
1990;335:123 8.

[21] Papadopulos-Eleopulos E, Turner VF, Papadimitriou JM. Kaposi s
sarcoma and HIV. Med Hypotheses 1992;39:22 9.

The first reference is to a paper by Valerie Beral. She definitely does
think that HIV plays a role in Kaposi's Sarcoma.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=9709294&query_hl=15


This view is not confined to Valerie Beral. Even a cursory literature
review would have shown this.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=16115121&query_hl=19


The second reference is to one of their own papers!

Why do the Perth Group misrepresent the accepted thought on the
pathogenesis of KS?

Did they ask Valerie Beral or any other scientist whether it is
accepted that HIV plays no role in KS?

Did the Perth Group think that nobody would check the literature?

Were they hoping that a lay audience would simply accept what they
write as gospel?

What happened with the peer-review of this article? When an article
claims to review 20+ years of research it is expected that the authors
have a) read the literature and b) present a truthful account of it.

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 01:06 GMT
>"Did they ask Valerie Beral or any other scientist whether it is accepted
that HIV plays no role in KS?"

It may be accepted, but I remember reading somewhere that they asked the
Pope of AIDS:  Robert Gallo.  And he didn't even believe in a role for HIV
in KS.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 04:57 GMT
More

http://www.theperthgroup.com/SCIPAPERS/MHMONT.pdf

"Although no effort has been spared no model of a retrovirus causing
AIDS has been forthcoming."

Hmmm.

The paper was received by the journal in February 2004.

Do a literature search for animal models of AIDS.

The first papers on AIDS in macaques came out in 1983.

If there are no animal models for AIDS what have all these vaccine
studies been using.

http://www.pubmedcentral.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pubmed&pubmedid=15731236

Why do the Perth Group claim that there are no animal models for AIDS
when there clearly are?

Who, exactly, are the Perth Group trying to convince? People that have
read the literature? People who would prefer not having to deal with
the science?

Again, how did this paper get published?

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 01:11 GMT
Ah, a paper that I remember!  The macaque story. I wrote some criticisms on
that paper before, but you didn't really answer them, Mr. Noble.  The
worst feature of this study is that no control experiment was done, where
the monkeys were inoculated with the whole mishmash, but without the
virus.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 05:37 GMT
More questions.

http://www.theperthgroup.com/POPPAPERS/yinyang.html

"...as well as the fact that the only animal model of AIDS is
non-infectious. Mice repeatedly injected with foreign cellular proteins
develop a dramatic depletion of T4 cells, Kaposi's sarcoma-like tumors
and "abundant" retroviral-like particles appear in their spleens.(87)"

87. Ter-Grigorov VS, Krifuks O, Liubashevsky E, Nyska A, Trainin Z,
Toder V. (1997). A new transmissible AIDS-like disease in mice induced
by alloimmune stimuli. Nat. Med. 3:37-41.

This model most definitely is infectious.

http://www.pubmedcentral.gov/articlerender.fcgi?tool=pubmed&pubmedid=12414952

This was known *before* the Perth Group published their article in
Nexus.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=9209360&query_hl=43


Why do the Perth Group state that this is the only animal model of
AIDS?

Why do they claim it is non-infectious when it clearly is?

Who were the Perth Group targetting when they published the article in
Nexus?

http://www.nexusmagazine.com/

Scientists?

Lay-people?

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 01:23 GMT
Same flaw as the other paper: No matched control.
The authors go out of their way to pellet the supenatant of the cell
culture, and test it for all kinds of possible contaminating viruses, and
then...

>"The RL-MuLV was propagated in BALB/cJ mice older than 5 weeks by
intraperitoneal inoculation with plasma from affected mice"

They inoculate with plasma, for catsake!  Why not suspend some of that
superduper clean uncontaminated pellet material in saline solution and
inoculate with that?
Cleancut experiments seem to be 'out' in HIV-science.
And do you know why all of these studies have 10 or even more authors?  Is
that a form of social job creation?  I used to publish alone.  Or with one
co-author.  You get a better grip on what's happening that way.
Chris Noble - 16 Sep 2005 07:56 GMT
http://www.duesberg.com/papers/chemical-bases.html

"Likewise, in 1985, only 1.2% of the 1 million US citizens with HIV
developed AIDS (29, 30). Since an annual incidence of 1.2-1.4% of all
26 AIDS defining diseases combined is no more than the normal mortality
in the US and Europe (life expectancy of 75 years), HIV must be a
passenger virus."

Again Duesberg gives a 1 million figure for the prevalence of HIV in
1985.
Again he uses the this paper as a reference.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=pubmed&dopt=Abstra
ct&list_uids=2996395&query_hl=10


The paper actually gives an estimate of 0.5-1 million.

Why does Duesberg take this to be 1 million?

The data in the paper shows HIV prevalence increasing exponentially in
the San Francisco CDC cohort.

Why does Duesberg assume it is constant at 1 million?

The ratio of HIV-infected/Aids-cases depends on the point in the
epidemic and the time to progression. Early in the epidemic the ratio
will be very high. As the epidemic progresses the ratio will decrease.

The ratio of HIV-infected/AIDS-cases at this point in this sub-epidemic
(the SFCDC cohort) was 28:1. Curran et al assumed that in the US as a
whole the ratio of HIV-infected/AIDS-cases was higher - somewhere
between 50:1 and 100:1.
They then took the US cumulative number of AIDS cases ~10,000 and
multiplied it by the magic number to get an estimate of between 500,000
and 1,000,000.

Thus the 1 million estimate comes from assuming that for 1985 the
estimated 10,000 AIDS cases represent 1-2% of the total HIV infections.

Why does Duesberg act surprised that "in 1985, only 1.2% of the 1
million US citizens with HIV developed AIDS" when the estimate of 1
million was based on the assumption that between 1 to 2 percent of the
US citizens with HIV in 1985 will get AIDS in 1985?

Is anyone else amazed that this argument convinced even Duesberg?

As far as mortality rates I have no idea what Duesberg is talking
about.

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/mortfinal2001_work23R.pdf

The mortality rates for the following age groups are:
15-24 years 0.08%
25-34 years 0.11%
35-44 years 0.20%

Duesberg makes the mistake of assuming that mortality rate is constant
over a lifetime.

Would somebody competent in epidemiology make this mistake?

Would someone competent in epidemiology confuse incidence with
prevalence as he does in figure 1b.

Where are the error bars on figure 1b? The point for 1985 is an
estimate with a range of at least 0.5-1 million.

PS. The only people that currently that in 1985 there were 1 million US
citizens infected with HIV are "rethinkers" and most if not all of them
don't actually believe the claim. They only make this claim for
rhetorical purposes.

This was made abundantly clear by Harvey Bialy who after aguing ad
infinitum on the basis that there were 1 million US citizens infected
with HIv in 1985 admitted that he thought the HIV tests were
meaningless.

Chris Noble
wilyretrovirus - 16 Sep 2005 13:00 GMT
Chris,

looks like you've been a busy boy.  

Is this your new tactic?  Disengaging from the conversation to point out
inconsistencies you happen to find amongst the dissident scientists,
bringing them back en masse, then expecting us to spend time refuting
them?

First, I'd like to point out that scientists are not infallible.  Even
though people like Duesberg, the Perth Group, and cohorts can all make
valid points, and are adept at getting us to see that there even ARE
reasons to question the HIV=AIDS hypothesis, they are still people, and as
such, can be subject to error.

I, for one, just agreed with you recently on a point you made about
Duesberg.  Still, I'm not going to "throw out the baby with the
bathwater".  I'm more than glad that Duesberg, the Perth Group, Al Bayati,
Giraldo, and so on, are out there asking questions, exposing us to other
points of view, opening our minds, and helping some of us realize that we
don't have to simply submit to an incredibly complex, untenable dogma.

So, while you're feverishly pointing out molehills in the backyard of the
dissidents, you're able to keep our audience's attention guided away from,
oh, let's say... Mt. Gallo.
Chris Noble - 19 Sep 2005 01:24 GMT
> Chris,
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> bringing them back en masse, then expecting us to spend time refuting
> them?

I am pointing out:

a) why "dissident" scientists have trouble getting published in
peer-reviewed journals.

b) why "dissident" scientists are normally ignored

c) how "dissident" scientists target lay-audiences

d) why it is important to look at the data, all the data, and not just
what the "dissident" scientists happen to include in their papers

e) why it is important to read the papers that "diisident" scientists
cite to support their opinions. It is of no benefit if the article is
"FULLY REFERENCED" if the references contradict the claims.

You, Paulee  and others think you can play this silly game where you
demand everyone else to personally answer all your questions no matter
how stupid and rhetorical. I have gone to a lot of trouble to answer as
many questions as possible. In this time you have answered practically
zero of mine. More than that, Iconoclaster has repeatedly lied about
the level of mutation in RNA viruses.

I would be a fool if I spent more time conversing with people that have
already made up their minds, are unwilling to learn and willing to lie.
Many people would say I am already a fool for spending so much time
answering your questions. It was obvious to most people from the start
that your group came here not with the intention of learning or
debating but with the intention of spreading your version of the truth.
Paul has specifically said that he will avoid addressing the scientific
data at all costs. This is not an openminded person.

Why don't you contact Duesberg and other "dissident" scientists and ask
them some probing questions? I have pointed out just a few of the many
paradoxes that are in their papers. I could list many, many more but as
the "dissident" scientists have not been bale to give a credible answer
to any so far there is little point making a comprehensive list.

Chris Noble
wilyretrovirus - 19 Sep 2005 02:42 GMT
"You, Paulee  and others think you can play this silly game where you
demand everyone else to personally answer all your questions no matter
how stupid and rhetorical."

Funny how quickly our "stupid and rhetorical" questions are
answered/refuted though.  

"It was obvious to most people from the start
that your group came here not with the intention of learning or
debating but with the intention of spreading your version of the truth."

That's called "projection", Chris.
Without "mountains" of "overwhelming evidence", how are we supposed to be
spreading "our version of the truth?"  Looks like a REAL uphill climb!

"Paul has specifically said that he will avoid addressing the scientific
data at all costs."

Sounds like hyperbole.  Did Paul actually say he would "avoid adressing
the scientific data at all costs?"  Kinda doubt it.

"Why don't you contact Duesberg and other "dissident" scientists and ask
them some probing questions? I have pointed out just a few of the many
paradoxes that are in their papers."

Yes, and I bet I would agree with a number of your points concerning
things Duesberg has stated.  None of these "dissident" scientists are
deities to me.  Just people who are providing us with information we may
not have seen before, and thought-provoking interpretations of the
information we may have already seen.
Chris Noble - 19 Sep 2005 03:07 GMT
> "You, Paulee  and others think you can play this silly game where you
> demand everyone else to personally answer all your questions no matter
> how stupid and rhetorical."
>
> Funny how quickly our "stupid and rhetorical" questions are
> answered/refuted though.

That I have answered or refuted many of these questions is a sign of my
goodwill.

> "It was obvious to most people from the start
> that your group came here not with the intention of learning or
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> Without "mountains" of "overwhelming evidence", how are we supposed to be
> spreading "our version of the truth?"  Looks like a REAL uphill climb!

*And the HIV theory is not science.  We all know this!  So as a
dissident, I come from a "place of knowing" that I am comfortable
with.*

> "Paul has specifically said that he will avoid addressing the scientific
> data at all costs."
>
> Sounds like hyperbole.  Did Paul actually say he would "avoid adressing
> the scientific data at all costs?"  Kinda doubt it.

* What I am teaching my fellow dissidents is that you don't need to
argue the HIV theory.  Period.  Not only is it not wise to go
head-to-head with these guys, since they can argue circles around most
of us (unless your name is Wilhem Godschalk), it is also pointless.*

Paul's tactics are to attempt to debate the scientific theory of AIDS
by avoiding any mention of the theory. This is - well - a novel way of
debating a theory.

> "Why don't you contact Duesberg and other "dissident" scientists and ask
> them some probing questions? I have pointed out just a few of the many
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> not have seen before, and thought-provoking interpretations of the
> information we may have already seen.

What is more revealing about Duesberg is what information he does not
provide.
It is evident that you and others get most of their information from
dissident websites. The same arguments are repeated time and time
again. Please spend more time studying science.

Chris Noble
Iconoclaster - 24 Sep 2005 02:03 GMT
>"That I have answered or refuted many of these questions is a sign of my
goodwill."

We're so grateful.

>"It is evident that you and others get most of their information from
dissident websites. The same arguments are repeated time and time again.
Please spend more time studying science."

Really?  I could've sworn some of the information Paul brought up came
straight from publications by the CDC and UNAIDS.
pauleewhiting - 20 Sep 2005 19:23 GMT
"You, Paulee and others think you can play this silly game where you demand
everyone else to personally answer all your questions no matter
how stupid and rhetorical. I have gone to a lot of trouble to answer as
many questions as possible. In this time you have answered practically
zero of mine. More than that, Iconoclaster has repeatedly lied about
the level of mutation in RNA viruses.

I would be a fool if I spent more time conversing with people that have
already made up their minds, are unwilling to learn and willing to lie.
Many people would say I am already a fool for spending so much time
answering your questions. It was obvious to most people from the start
that your group came here not with the intention of learning or debating
but with the intention of spreading your version of the truth.
Paul has specifically said that he will avoid addressing the scientific
data at all costs. This is not an openminded person.

Why don't you contact Duesberg and other "dissident" scientists and ask
them some probing questions? I have pointed out just a few of the many
paradoxes that are in their papers. I could list many, many more but as
the "dissident" scientists have not been bale to give a credible answer to
any so far there is little point making a comprehensive list."

I am pointing out:

a) why "apologist" scientists are the only ones who are allowed to be
published in peer-reviewed journals;

b) why "apologist" scientists are normally the only ones being heard;

c) how "apologists" scientists terrify lay-audiences;

d) why it is important to look at the simple logic, all the logic, and not
just what the "apologist" scientists point out in their "overwhelming
evidence";

e) why it is important to read the papers that "apologist" scientists cite
to support their opinions.  It is of no benefit if the article is  "FULLY
REFERENCED" if the references have a conflict of interest behind the
claims.

The reason I have stayed "above ground" with my simple logic is that going
down the technical “rabbit hole" is a source of great confusion for most
"HIV-positives" who may be interested in reading the dissident
literature.

I feel that everyone has a *right* to differing opinions on any scientific
matter, and that they have a *right* to share those opinions with others
without being called names, or being belittled, or being told they are
lying, or are deceiving, or are causing others to die, when they do
express those differing opinions.

I assert that the "apologists" are intentionally withholding the
"dissident" information by dismissing outright the very valid opinions of
highly qualified, highly credentialed individuals who disagree with the
HIV theory of AIDS.

I came to this forum, and started this debate, specifically to share that
information, to allow those who are "HIV-positive" the opportunity to
actually consider the views of dissenting scientists and doctors who
disagree with validity of the HIV theory.

I have intentionally kept the level of this debate simple to allow
"HIV-positives" an opportunity to actually see there may be some validity
to these dissenting views and to consider them as part of what we have
*all been told* for the last twenty years is the actual cause of AIDS.

Chris, if you don't want to waste your time answering the simple questions
the “dissidents” have about the contradictions we see in the HIV theory,
then don't.

No one is forcing you to respond.

But, personally, I don't think anyone who has simple questions about a
theory that is causing people to commit suicide, that is causing parents
to have their children taken away from them, that is causing adults to be
incarcerated and that is causing children to be forced into taking highly
toxic medications is even slightly "silly."

-Paul Whiting
Portland, Oregon
Gary Stein - 20 Sep 2005 19:53 GMT
> "You, Paulee and others think you can play this silly game where you
> demand
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
> a) why "apologist" scientists are the only ones who are allowed to be
> published in peer-reviewed journals;

The above is simply not true and you know it becuase it has been shown to be
false in previous posts to this forum.

> b) why "apologist" scientists are normally the only ones being heard;

In that they have data yes that makes sense your point would be?

> c) how "apologists" scientists terrify lay-audiences;

And you don't with your completly unfounded claims about the supposedly
deadly nature of ARV?

> d) why it is important to look at the simple logic, all the logic, and not
> just what the "apologist" scientists point out in their "overwhelming
> evidence";

Yes, sadly this is something the denialists seem totaly incapable of doing.

> e) why it is important to read the papers that "apologist" scientists cite
> to support their opinions.  It is of no benefit if the article is  "FULLY
> REFERENCED" if the references have a conflict of interest behind the
> claims.

Yes you need to read the studies and educate your self so that you
understand what it is your reading. As to the claim that confilicts of
interest are somehow a big deal in HIV/AIDS science I have yet to see you
provide any evidence that that is the case.

> The reason I have stayed "above ground" with my simple logic is that going
> down the technical “rabbit hole" is a source of great confusion for most
> "HIV-positives" who may be interested in reading the dissident
> literature.

Simple yes, logical no...............

> I feel that everyone has a *right* to differing opinions on any scientific
> matter, and that they have a *right* to share those opinions with others
> without being called names, or being belittled, or being told they are
> lying, or are deceiving, or are causing others to die, when they do
> express those differing opinions.

Sharing a personal opinion and discussing the merits of a scientfic theory
are not even remotely related. Sadly that is something you don't seem to
understand......

> I assert that the "apologists" are intentionally withholding the
> "dissident" information by dismissing outright the very valid opinions of
> highly qualified, highly credentialed individuals who disagree with the
> HIV theory of AIDS.

No what is dismissed are personal opinions that are not backed up with data.
Anyone can state a personal opinion but inorder to be taken seriously in a
sceinetific debate one must provide data to back up there ideas something
your so called "highly credentialed individuals" on the denialist side have
yet to do.

> I came to this forum, and started this debate, specifically to share that
> information, to allow those who are "HIV-positive" the opportunity to
> actually consider the views of dissenting scientists and doctors who
> disagree with validity of the HIV theory.

When are you going to start were waiting??????

> I have intentionally kept the level of this debate simple to allow
> "HIV-positives" an opportunity to actually see there may be some validity
> to these dissenting views and to consider them as part of what we have
> *all been told* for the last twenty years is the actual cause of AIDS.

By simple you meant to say void of facts didn't you?????

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 20 Sep 2005 20:57 GMT
"By simple you meant to say void of facts didn't you?????"

Gary,

Would you consider this "simple" enough?

All of the HIV test have disclaimers on them nullifying their ability to
detect HIV:

HIV TEST KIT DISCLAIMERS

ELISA Test

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence
or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA
HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")

"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an
asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an
AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV
Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")

"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and
medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott
Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the
Procedure")

Western Blot Test

"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
(Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations
of the Procedure")

“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic
person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit,
section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)

PCR "Viral Load" Test

"The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test, is not intended to be used as a
screening test for HIV or as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of
HIV infection." (Roche, Amplicor HIV-1 Monitor Test Kit, section "Intended
Use")
Gary Stein - 20 Sep 2005 21:31 GMT
> "By simple you meant to say void of facts didn't you?????"
>
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> All of the HIV test have disclaimers on them nullifying their ability to
> detect HIV:

If you actually took the time to understand what you read or any of the
basics of HIV science you would understand the labels that you cut and paste
from in this post (it is significant that you cut and paste because you
don't want your readers to see the whole insert or they might understand
your efforts at misdirection isn't it). Yes no single test is approved as a
defining diagnostic test for HIV. The combination of ELISA and Western Blot
however is accepted world wide by national health agencies and the
overwhelming majority of the medical community.

Yes Viral Load tests are not used to diagnose HIV infection that was never
there purpose in the first place (however I bet you would be surprised to
know that hospitals and labs use Viral Load tests for their needle stick
accidents as the first test given because it is able to find HIV prior to
the development of the antibodies that ELISA and Western Blot find).

So your point would be again what?????????

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 20 Sep 2005 22:30 GMT
"Yes no single test is approved as a defining diagnostic test for HIV. The
combination of ELISA and Western Blot however is accepted world wide by
national health agencies and the overwhelming majority of the medical
community."

So, Gary, how can two separate tests that both claim they CAN’T be used
diagnose HIV infection become suddenly, and miraculously, able to diagnose
HIV infection when they are used together?

"Yes Viral Load tests are not used to diagnose HIV infection that was
never there purpose in the first place (however I bet you would be
surprised to know that hospitals and labs use Viral Load tests for their
needle stick accidents as the first test given because it is able to find
HIV prior to the development of the antibodies that ELISA and Western Blot
find)."

Let me get this straight, Gary...

The "The AMPLICOR HIV-1 MONITOR test" which the label clearly states "is
not intended to be used as a diagnostic test to confirm the presence of
HIV infection" is somehow still able to find HIV prior to the development
of the antibodies that ELISA - which clearly states, "there is no
recognized standard for establishing the presence or absence of HIV-1
antibody in human blood" - and Western Blot - which clearly states, "Do
not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection" - can
somehow still find?

Okay!  Well, that's as clear as mud!

-Paul Whiting
Gary Stein - 20 Sep 2005 22:59 GMT
> "Yes no single test is approved as a defining diagnostic test for HIV. The
> combination of ELISA and Western Blot however is accepted world wide by
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> diagnose HIV infection become suddenly, and miraculously, able to diagnose
> HIV infection when they are used together?

Do you know anything about disease diagnosis, obviously you don't. There are
many disease states that are even more difficult to diagnose then is HIV
infection yet I don't hear you denying there existence why is that Paul?

> "Yes Viral Load tests are not used to diagnose HIV infection that was
> never there purpose in the first place (however I bet you would be
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection" - can
> somehow still find?

What it means is that due to real patient data, not simply the trial data
that the test mfg's used in producing there label, the medical community
best in a position to understand the uses of the viral load test have found
it to be helpful in making decisions about giving a needle stick patient ARV
treatment prior to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test.

> Okay!  Well, that's as clear as mud!
>
> -Paul Whiting

Yes to you I suppose it is. However to anyone with even a moderately open
mind on the issue I imagine it does make sense.......

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 20 Sep 2005 23:19 GMT
"What it means is that due to real patient data, not simply the trial data
that the test mfg's used in producing there label, the medical community
best in a position to understand the uses of the viral load test have
found it to be helpful in making decisions about giving a needle stick
patient ARV treatment prior to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test."

I do consider myself to be a reasonably intelligent person, but that
sentence of yours made absolutely NO SENSE whatsoever...

Can you say "run on"?

Could you PLEASE restate it?
Gary Stein - 21 Sep 2005 00:33 GMT
> "What it means is that due to real patient data, not simply the trial data
> that the test mfg's used in producing there label, the medical community
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
>
> Could you PLEASE restate it?

I could, but why bother you won't pay any more attention if I did then you
are now....

What don't you understand?

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 01:07 GMT
"What it means is that due to real patient data, not simply the trial data
that the test mfg's used in producing there label, the medical community
best in a position to understand the uses of the viral load test have
found it to be helpful in making decisions about giving a needle stick
patient ARV treatment prior to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test."

Tell ya what, Gary, why don't you past that sentence of yours into
Microsoft Word and watch all the pretty colors appear...
Gary Stein - 21 Sep 2005 01:21 GMT
> "What it means is that due to real patient data, not simply the trial data
> that the test mfg's used in producing there label, the medical community
[quoted text clipped - 4 lines]
> Tell ya what, Gary, why don't you past that sentence of yours into
> Microsoft Word and watch all the pretty colors appear...

You still haven't explained what you don't understand. I thought we were
talking about HIV and AIDS not grammar was I wrong?

Gary Stein
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 19:20 GMT
Gary, did you mean to say, "What it means is that due to real patient data
- not simply the trial data that the test mfg's used in producing there
label - [that] the medical community [is] best in a position to understand
the uses of the viral load test [and] have found it to be helpful in
making decisions about giving a needle stick patient ARV treatment prior
to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test"?

Now, I would point out to those reading this debate that if the PCR test
manufacturers have a disclaimer on their test saying "The AMPLICOR HIV-1
MONITOR test is NOT INTENDED TO BE USED AS A SCREENING TEST FOR HIV OR AS
A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION," then how,
precisely, is it useful to the medical community in confirming the
presence of HIV?

And I would also point out to the readers of this debate, that if blatant
contradictions like this one aren’t enough to cause you to question the
HIV theory, I don’t know what will.

-Paul Whiting
Gary Stein - 21 Sep 2005 19:51 GMT
> Gary, did you mean to say, "What it means is that due to real patient data
> - not simply the trial data that the test mfg's used in producing there
> label - [that] the medical community [is] best in a position to understand
> the uses of the viral load test [and] have found it to be helpful in
> making decisions about giving a needle stick patient ARV treatment prior
> to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test"?

No I did not include the words you added nor do they clarify what I said. In
the context of the discussion the medical community I was referring to was
the one I mentioned in the first post on the subject. That would be the
staffs of Hospitals and Medical Laboratories that use viral load tests as
the first test on needle stick patients. Those professionals have found the
viral load test able to detect HIV earlier then do the ELISA or Western Blot
test.

> Now, I would point out to those reading this debate that if the PCR test
> manufacturers have a disclaimer on their test saying "The AMPLICOR HIV-1
> MONITOR test is NOT INTENDED TO BE USED AS A SCREENING TEST FOR HIV OR AS
> A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION," then how,
> precisely, is it useful to the medical community in confirming the
> presence of HIV?

Because the clinical data shows otherwise. Highly experienced Doctors in
this nations best hospitals based on there own experience in the field
recommend the viral load test be used on themselves or there staff to detect
HIV in people who have experienced a needle stick accident. Now if they did
not think the test worked why would they trust there own health to that test
Paul?

Gary Stein
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 21 Sep 2005 20:51 GMT
>Now, I would point out to those reading this debate that if the PCR test
>manufacturers have a disclaimer on their test saying "The AMPLICOR HIV-1
>MONITOR test is NOT INTENDED TO BE USED AS A SCREENING TEST FOR HIV OR AS
>A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF HIV INFECTION," then how,
>precisely, is it useful to the medical community in confirming the
>presence of HIV?

It isn't used for that purpose.  By asking a question that presumes
something false you lie by implication.

The biggest lie of all, the Mother Of All Whoppers, is the idea that
somebody using deceptive tactics in a discussion cares whether the
opinions he encourages others to believe are true or not.

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 21:35 GMT
"It isn't used for that purpose."

Okay, David...

If the PCR is *not* used as "A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF
HIV INFECTION," in the form of a "viral load,” then what is it used for?

-Paul
David Canzi -- non-mailable - 22 Sep 2005 19:24 GMT
>"It isn't used for that purpose."
>
>Okay, David...
>
>If the PCR is *not* used as "A DIAGNOSTIC TEST TO CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF
>HIV INFECTION," in the form of a "viral load,” then what is it used for?

It's used to measure the amount of HIV present after HIV infection
has been diagnosed and confirmed by other means.

Signature

David Canzi            "I am not denying anything." -- Celia Farber

pauleewhiting - 22 Sep 2005 19:53 GMT
"It's used to measure the amount of HIV present after HIV infection has
been diagnosed and confirmed by other means."

Then why is PCR used to detect HIV infection in cases of "needle stick"
injuries "prior to a confirming ELISA and Western Blot test”?

And would those "other means" to diagnose HIV be the Elisa and Western
Blot tests that both have disclaimers nullifying their ability to detect
HIV?

And., yet, they can somehow – miraculously - detect HIV when they are used
together, despite the fact they CAN'T do it when they are used
separately...

ELISA Test

"At present there is no recognized standard for establishing the presence
or absence of HIV-1 antibody in human blood." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA
HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Sensitivity and Specificity")

"EIA testing cannot be used to diagnose AIDS... The risk of an
asymptomatic person with a repeatedly reactive serum developing AIDS or an
AIDS-related condition is not known." (Abbott Laboratories, ELISA HIV
Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the Procedure")

"Clinical studies continue to clarify and refine the interpretation and
medical significance of the presence of antibodies to HIV-1." (Abbott
Laboratories, ELSA HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations of the
Procedure")

Western Blot Test

"Do not use this kit as the sole basis of diagnosis of HIV-1 infection."
(Eptope, Inc., Western Blot HIV Antibody Test Insert, section "Limitations
of the Procedure")

“The clinical implications of antibodies to HIV-1 in an asymptomatic
person are not known.” (Calypte, Cambridge Biotech HIV-1 Western Blot Kit,
section “Limitations of the Serum and Plasma Procedure”)
Chris Noble - 21 Sep 2005 01:12 GMT
> I am pointing out:
>
> a) why "apologist" scientists are the only ones who are allowed to be
> published in peer-reviewed journals;

Not true. In fact, the editor-in-chief of Genetica gave the dissidents
a whole edition to air their viewpoints. The major impediment to the
publication of dissident articles is the lack of evidence to support
their claims.

> b) why "apologist" scientists are normally the only ones being heard;

The wonders of the internet mean that pseudoscience like creationism,
anti-vaccination scare stories and HIV dissidence can reach a far, far
greater audience than a journal such as Nature or Science. Dissidents
target lay-audiences. Lay-audiences are much bigger than the smaller
number of scientists. Dissidents often have glossy websites and are
more in tune with how to influence lay-audiences.

> c) how "apologists" scientists terrify lay-audiences;

The dissidents who show great delight in telling their audiences that
"Doctors are the number one killer in America" or "doctors kill more
people than guns" or "take ARVs and you'll die" are they teriifying
lay-audiences? Paul King has his own personal vendetta against condoms.
He attempts to terrify his lay-audience.

> d) why it is important to look at the simple logic, all the logic, and not
> just what the "apologist" scientists point out in their "overwhelming
> evidence";

The only thing simple about your logic is you. I have spent some time
carefully explaining when and where your logic has failed you. Spend
some time reading relativity newsgroups to understand how logic without
understanding can lead you astray.

> e) why it is important to read the papers that "apologist" scientists cite
> to support their opinions.  It is of no benefit if the article is  "FULLY
> REFERENCED" if the references have a conflict of interest behind the
> claims.

If all else fails dissidents will claim that the evidence is not
important because the authors of the study have some conflict of
interest. Iconoclaster showed this. He rejects any paper that is funded
by industry or by government (unless of course he thinks it supports
his case). This is just a tactic to avoid the evidence.

> The reason I have stayed "above ground" with my simple logic is that going
> down the technical "rabbit hole" is a source of great confusion for most
> "HIV-positives" who may be interested in reading the dissident
> literature.

Ignorance is bliss.

> I feel that everyone has a *right* to differing opinions on any scientific
> matter, and that they have a *right* to share those opinions with others
> without being called names, or being belittled, or being told they are
> lying, or are deceiving, or are causing others to die, when they do
> express those differing opinions.

Other people have a *right* to argue against your opinions. If you or
others state falsehoods people have a right to challenge you about
these falsehoods. Remember it is the dissidents that are claiming that
"HIV goons" are murdering people with ARV. It is the dissidents that
claim that anyone that does not share their views are shills for the
pharmaceutical cartels.

> I assert that the "apologists" are intentionally withholding the
> "dissident" information by dismissing outright the very valid opinions of
> highly qualified, highly credentialed individuals who disagree with the
> HIV theory of AIDS.

How do you know that the opinions of Peter Duesberg are "very valid"?
The only possible way of deciding that is to read his papers, read the
references he cites and read further about the area. This is what I
have done. I have come to the conclusion that Duesberg and other
dissidents are wrong. I have provided a number of examples that led me
to this conclusion. Science does not ultimately care about "highly
qualified, highly credentialed individuals". People arguing with the
logical fallacy - argument from authority - do.

Before you advance further with your "simple" logic do some reading on
logical fallacies.

> I came to this forum, and started this debate, specifically to share that
> information, to allow those who are "HIV-positive" the opportunity to
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> to these dissenting views and to consider them as part of what we have
> *all been told* for the last twenty years is the actual cause of AIDS.

You have attempted to keep the level of the "debate" simple because you
are ignorant of the very basics of the scientific theory which you are
criticising.

> Chris, if you don't want to waste your time answering the simple questions
> the "dissidents" have about the contradictions we see in the HIV theory,
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> incarcerated and that is causing children to be forced into taking highly
> toxic medications is even slightly "silly."

What is silly is attempting to argue against a scientific theory that
you do not understand or even attempt to understand.

Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 02:00 GMT
"What is silly is attempting to argue against a scientific theory that you
do not understand or even attempt to understand."

Chris, I understand this:

Haunted By AIDS Misdiagnosis

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/08/30/health/main639393.shtml

Jurors Find Texas Hospital Negligent In HIV Misdiagnosis - Woman
Misdiagnosed During Pregnancy Wins $52,000 In Damages

http://www.thebostonchannel.com/health/4894975/detail.html

01/05/2004 Entry: "Lawsuit over HIV misdiagnosis."

http://www.everythingisnt.com/archives/00001024.htm

Horror of $20M HIV goof - Misdiagnosis nightmare

http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/249007p-213148c.html

Doctor Accused of HIV Misdiagnosis

http://www.aegis.com/news/ap/1999/AP990110.html

Woman sues hospital for alleged HIV misdiagnosis

http://www.aegis.com/news/ap/2005/AP050718.html

HIV Misdiagnosis Cost Clinic $1.4 Million

http://www.injuryboard.com/view.cfm/Article=1184

Mass. Woman Sues Over HIV Misdiagnosis

http://www.intelihealth.com/IH/ihtIH/WSIHW000/333/8013/373952.html

2004 Cumulative Supplement - AIDS and the Law, Aspen Publishers, Inc.

http://www.aidsandthelaw.com/publications/2004%20supplement.htm
Chris Noble - 21 Sep 2005 02:16 GMT
> "What is silly is attempting to argue against a scientific theory that you
> do not understand or even attempt to understand."
>
> Chris, I understand this:

<snip numerous cases of misdiagnosis of HIV>

No you don't understand.

There are still too many people that are misdiagnosed with cancer. Some
of these people have organs removed. Some of these people undergo
unnecessary chemotherapy with severe side-effects.

This is tragic. These cases are to differing degrees all preventable.
However, none of this means that cancer does not exist and that
untreated cancer is not serious.

Logic should be as simple as possible but no simpler.

Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 04:53 GMT
"Logic should be as simple as possible but no simpler."

Chris,

Logic is always simple.

And if what I've had to say in this debate has not had a great impact on
those who are reading it, then the apologists’ reactions have been saying
the exact opposite.

Let this debate be decided in the courts of law.

That is where this debate is heading.

And that is where it belongs.

Let the juries decide.

-Paul
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 04:59 GMT
"Logic should be as simple as possible but no simpler."

Chris,

Logic is always simple.

And if what I've had to say in this debate has not had a great impact on
those who are reading it, then the apologists’ reactions have been saying
the exact opposite.

Let this debate be decided in the courts of law.

That is where this debate is heading.

And that is where it belongs.

-Paul
Chris Noble - 21 Sep 2005 06:59 GMT
> "Logic should be as simple as possible but no simpler."
>
> Chris,
>
> Logic is always simple.

Logical fallacies are always simple and they are always fallacious.

> And if what I've had to say in this debate has not had a great impact on
> those who are reading it, then the apologists' reactions have been saying
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
> And that is where it belongs.

You are demonstrating your ignorance once again.

Scientific debates are not determined in courts of law.

You are sounding like a Creationist again.

The validity of evolutionary science cannot be determined by a court
case in Kansas.

The scientific process involves looking at the data and determining
which theory better explains it. There is simply no way that you can a)
avoid looking at the data and b) avoid understanding the theory.

Chris Noble
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 11:41 GMT
"Scientific debates are not determined in courts of law.

The scientific process involves looking at the data and determining which
theory better explains it. There is simply no way that you can a) avoid
looking at the data and b) avoid understanding the theory."

Chris,

I respectfully disagree with you!

I think the more people challenge the HIV tests in court, the more it
disproves the HIV theory.  

BOSTON (AP) -- A Fitchburg woman who received nine years of HIV treatments
after she was misdiagnosed with the virus is suing the doctors and clinics
who treated her.

Audrey Serrano, 41, said she was diagnosed with the virus that causes AIDS
in 1994 by the Family Practice Clinic in Fitchburg, but six blood tests
since Labor Day show she does not have HIV. The lawsuit was filed Dec. 29
in Worcester Superior Court and seeks unspecified damages.

"It's nice to not constantly feel like you're going to die, literally,"
she said. "I'm still tired a lot, though."

Serrano claims she's suffered a variety of physical ailments -- including
colitis, an inflammation of the intestine -- because of AZT and other
harsh medicines she took daily to fight the virus, which attacks the
immune system. Emotional distress led to depression, she said.

In addition to the Family Practice Clinic (now called All Family Care
Inc.), the lawsuit names several doctors and clinics that treated Serrano,
including Dr. Kwan K. Lai, who works for the University of Massachusetts
Medical Center in Worcester; Dr. Bonnie Laudenbach, who now works in
Kentucky; and Women's Medical Associates, formerly of Fitchburg.

UMass Memorial spokesman Mark L. Shelton said the hospital did nothing
wrong. The hospital has not been notified of the suit, but received a
letter from one of Serrano's attorneys alleging negligence and "demanding
'the maximum amount of compensation permitted by law,"' he said.

"These allegations are unfounded and UMass Memorial is confident it would
prevail should a suit actually be brought and a full and objective review
of the relevant records be conducted," Shelton said in statement. "UMass
Memorial has not treated anyone for HIV who did not have HIV, and there is
no factual basis for reporting otherwise."

A call to All Family Care was not immediately returned. There was no
answer to calls to Laudenbach's office in Ashland, Ky., and there was no
listing in Massachusetts for Women's Medical Associates.

Serrano's suit claims, among other things, that her providers failed to
periodically retest her to determine the accuracy of the initial test.

Serrano, who is divorced and has a 13-year-old daughter who is also a
plaintiff in the lawsuit, said she became suspicious of her HIV-positive
status just before Labor Day after obtaining her medical records, and
noticing the word "negative" beside a long list of tests. She got
retested.

"Part of me still didn't believe it, that's why I went for another test,"
Serrano said. "I kept saying 'one more test."'

She's unsure whether the test nine years ago was a false positive, or if
it was a record mix up. "It didn't hit me until I got to my car," she
said. "I just sat in my car and a I cried. I was numb. I didn't know what
to feel."

Serrano, an alcoholic who had been sober for three years before the HIV
diagnosis, started drinking again. "I ended up totaling my car," she said.

She spent 30 days in a women's prison in Framingham for drunken driving.

Serrano celebrated nine years of sobriety on Nov. 9. She's unemployed, but
is studying to be a paralegal and does AIDS outreach.

She said she still suffers side effects from taking more than 20 pills
daily for nine years. Bowel problems from colitis require frequent trips
to the bathroom, and her strength is limited, she said.

One of her attorneys, Ross Annenberg, said there's no specific dollar
figure they are seeking. That would be determined later, he said.

"(Serrano) incurred great sums in medical expenses, lost significant
earnings, and has suffered diminished earning capacity in the future as a
direct and proximate result of the defendants' negligence," the lawsuit
states.

The defendants have about three weeks to respond to the suit.
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 11:50 GMT
In the story below, the readers of this forum will note that Serrano was
treated nine years for her "HIV infection."

She took the "harsh medicines," and that means she also had regular PCR
tests done to check her "viral load," right?

Now, if the "viral load" test can accurately count the actual virus in
someone's blood, how is it possible that Serrano could then receive six
blood tests that show she does NOT have the virus after being treated for
nine years?

There are many reasons to question the HIV theory, folks and if this
article doesn't get you to seriously wonder what's going on, I don't know
what will...

Mass. Woman Sues Over HIV Misdiagnosis
January 2, 2004

BOSTON (AP) -- A Fitchburg woman who received nine years of HIV treatments
after she was misdiagnosed with the virus is suing the doctors and clinics
who treated her.

Audrey Serrano, 41, said she was diagnosed with the virus that causes AIDS
in 1994 by the Family Practice Clinic in Fitchburg, but six blood tests
since Labor Day show she does not have HIV. The lawsuit was filed Dec. 29
in Worcester Superior Court and seeks unspecified damages.

"It's nice to not constantly feel like you're going to die, literally,"
she said. "I'm still tired a lot, though."

Serrano claims she's suffered a variety of physical ailments -- including
colitis, an inflammation of the intestine -- because of AZT and other
harsh medicines she took daily to fight the virus, which attacks the
immune system. Emotional distress led to depression, she said.

In addition to the Family Practice Clinic (now called All Family Care
Inc.), the lawsuit names several doctors and clinics that treated Serrano,
including Dr. Kwan K. Lai, who works for the University of Massachusetts
Medical Center in Worcester; Dr. Bonnie Laudenbach, who now works in
Kentucky; and Women's Medical Associates, formerly of Fitchburg.

UMass Memorial spokesman Mark L. Shelton said the hospital did nothing
wrong. The hospital has not been notified of the suit, but received a
letter from one of Serrano's attorneys alleging negligence and "demanding
'the maximum amount of compensation permitted by law,"' he said.

"These allegations are unfounded and UMass Memorial is confident it would
prevail should a suit actually be brought and a full and objective review
of the relevant records be conducted," Shelton said in statement. "UMass
Memorial has not treated anyone for HIV who did not have HIV, and there is
no factual basis for reporting otherwise."

A call to All Family Care was not immediately returned. There was no
answer to calls to Laudenbach's office in Ashland, Ky., and there was no
listing in Massachusetts for Women's Medical Associates.

Serrano's suit claims, among other things, that her providers failed to
periodically retest her to determine the accuracy of the initial test.

Serrano, who is divorced and has a 13-year-old daughter who is also a
plaintiff in the lawsuit, said she became suspicious of her HIV-positive
status just before Labor Day after obtaining her medical records, and
noticing the word "negative" beside a long list of tests. She got
retested.

"Part of me still didn't believe it, that's why I went for another test,"
Serrano said. "I kept saying 'one more test."'

She's unsure whether the test nine years ago was a false positive, or if
it was a record mix up. "It didn't hit me until I got to my car," she
said. "I just sat in my car and a I cried. I was numb. I didn't know what
to feel."

Serrano, an alcoholic who had been sober for three years before the HIV
diagnosis, started drinking again. "I ended up totaling my car," she said.

She spent 30 days in a women's prison in Framingham for drunken driving.

Serrano celebrated nine years of sobriety on Nov. 9. She's unemployed, but
is studying to be a paralegal and does AIDS outreach.

She said she still suffers side effects from taking more than 20 pills
daily for nine years. Bowel problems from colitis require frequent trips
to the bathroom, and her strength is limited, she said.

One of her attorneys, Ross Annenberg, said there's no specific dollar
figure they are seeking. That would be determined later, he said.

"(Serrano) incurred great sums in medical expenses, lost significant
earnings, and has suffered diminished earning capacity in the future as a
direct and proximate result of the defendants' negligence," the lawsuit
states.

The defendants have about three weeks to respond to the suit.
GMCarter - 21 Sep 2005 13:42 GMT
>In the story below, the readers of this forum will note that Serrano was
>treated nine years for her "HIV infection."
snip
>"These allegations are unfounded and UMass Memorial is confident it would
>prevail should a suit actually be brought and a full and objective review
>of the relevant records be conducted," Shelton said in statement. "UMass
>Memorial has not treated anyone for HIV who did not have HIV, and there is
>no factual basis for reporting otherwise."

Well--it may be true, it may not.

One case, however, should her claim be true, is pretty thin evidence
to justify a belief that HIV doesn't exist or cause AIDS, don't you
think?

        George M. Carter
pauleewhiting - 21 Sep 2005 21:50 GMT
"One case, however, should her claim be true, is pretty thin evidence to
justify a belief that HIV doesn't exist or cause AIDS, don't you
think?"

That's just the point, George, it isn't just one case...

Haunted By AIDS Misdiagnosis

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/08/30/health/main639393.shtml

Jurors Find Texas Hospital Negligent In HIV Misdiagnosis - Woman
Misdiagnosed During Pregnancy Wins $52,000 In Damages

http://www.thebostonchannel.com/health/4894975/detail.html

01/05/2004 Entry: "Lawsuit over HIV misdiagnosis."

http://www.everythingisnt.com/archives/00001024.htm

Horror of $20M HIV goof - Misdiagnosis nightmare

http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/249007p-213148c.html

Doctor Accused of HIV Misdiagnosis

http://www.aegis.com/news/ap/1999/AP990110.html

Woman sues hospital for alleged HIV misdiagnosis

http://www.aegis.com/news/ap/2005/AP050718.html

HIV Misdiagnosis Cost Clinic $1.4 Million

http://www.injuryboard.com/view.cfm/Article=1184

Mass. Woman Sues Over HIV Misdiagnosis

http://www.intelihealth.com/IH/ihtIH/WSIHW000/333/8013/373952.html

2004 Cumulative Supplement - AIDS and the Law, Aspen Publishers, Inc.

http://www.aidsandthelaw.com/publications/2004%20supplement.htm
Gary Stein - 21 Sep 2005 22:56 GMT
> "One case, however, should her claim be true, is pretty thin evidence to
> justify a belief that HIV doesn't exist or cause AIDS, don't you
[quoted text clipped - 8 lines]
> Jurors Find Texas Hospital Negligent In HIV Misdiagnosis - Woman
> Misdiagnosed During Pregnancy Wins $52,000 In Damages

Well as to this one from the URL above we see "The clinic performed its own
HIV test on Malone to confirm the first set of results and it came back
negative, but that information was never shared with the patient, Pridmore
said." So that one says nothing about the HIV=AIDS debate nor does it say
anything about the HIV tests accuracy.

> http://www.thebostonchannel.com/health/4894975/detail.html
>
> 01/05/2004 Entry: "Lawsuit over HIV misdiagnosis."

As to the one above we see "Two weeks after Johnson gave birth, her
obstetrician called and said there had been a mix-up at the lab, operated by
Quest Diagnostics, and that she was not HIV-positive..."The person that drew
her blood apparently mixed her blood up with someone else's blood," Buttram
said."

So that one also says nothing about the HIV=AIDS debate nor does it say
anything about the HIV tests accuracy.