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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / April 2005

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Argument from Ignorance

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dsaklad@zurich.csail.mit.edu - 19 Apr 2005 10:22 GMT
Copi and Cohen: 93, Davis: 59

By Stephen Downes
http://www.datanation.com/fallacies/distract/ig.htm

Stephen's Guide

Argument from Ignorance
(argumentum ad ignorantiam)

Definition:
Arguments of this form assume that since something has
not been proven false, it is therefore true.

Conversely, such an argument may assume that since
something has not been proven true, it is therefore
false.
(This is a special case of a false dilemma,
since it assumes that all propositions must either be
known to be true or known to be false.)

As Davis writes, "Lack of proof is not proof." (p. 59)

Examples:

(i)   Since you cannot prove that ghosts do not exist, they
     must exist.

(ii)  Since scientists cannot prove that global
     warming will occur, it probably won't.

(iii) Fred said that he is smarter than Jill, but he
     didn't prove it, so it must be false.

Proof:
Identify the proposition in question. Argue that it may be true
even though we don't know whether it is or isn't.

References:
Copi and Cohen: 93, Davis: 59

http://www.datanation.com/fallacies/distract/ig.htm
By Stephen Downes
PaulKing - 20 Apr 2005 00:25 GMT
"Arguments of this form assume that since something has not been proven
false, it is therefore true."

So true. This is exactly how 'AIDS' went from Gallo's statement "that HIV
is the probable cause of AIDS" to HIV causes AIDS without any evidence to
support that absurd contention.

Great post Don.
PaulKing - 20 Apr 2005 00:26 GMT
Our point exactly.

"If there is evidence that HIV causes AIDS, there should be scientific
documents which either singly or collectively demonstrate that fact, at
least with a high probability. There is no such document."
Dr. Kary Mullis, Biochemist, 1993 Nobel Prize for Chemistry.

"Up to today there is actually no single scientifically really convincing
evidence for the existence of HIV. Not even once such a retrovirus has
been isolated and purified by the methods of classical virology."
Dr. Heinz Ludwig Sänger, Emeritus Professor of Molecular Biology and
Virology, Max-Planck-Institutes for Biochemy, München.
 
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