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Medical Forum / Diseases and Disorders / AIDS / December 2004

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Canzi tries to confuse the obvious - Sad

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PaulKing - 09 Dec 2004 20:59 GMT
You are mixing figures from the United States with those from the UK. I
quoted from a great number of sources that differ by a few months in their
estimates of usage.

The slight differences make no difference to the points at hand.

The real decline happened in 1992.

The figures were distorted by the revised definition.

The average use in 1996 (when even the distorted CDC figures show a
decline) was in the region of 19% to 25%. These people had JUST STARTED
taking HAART, would not reflect in mortality statistics (if they died) and
would have no effect on CDC statistics.

'Infections' also dropped. Clearly this could not be the result of HAART.

You are grasping at straws to try to confuse the reader and escape the
clear fact you have been proved WRONG and a lier.

Sad!
Gary Stein - 15 Dec 2004 07:02 GMT
> You are mixing figures from the United States with those from the UK. I
> quoted from a great number of sources that differ by a few months in their
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
>
> Sad!

Here are the numbers after half a day of roaming through the CDC data;

HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report

The HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report contains tabular and graphic information
about U.S. AIDS and HIV case reports, including data by state, metropolitan
statistical area, mode of exposure to HIV, sex, race/ethnicity, age group,
vital status, and case definition category. It is published annually by the
Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, National Center for HIV, STD, and TB
Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), usually in the
early fall. The mid-year edition was discontinued after the 2001 reporting
year

From the following URLS http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/hasrlink.HTM

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/2003SurveillanceReport.pdf
Cases of HIV infection and AIDS in the United States, 2003  Vol. 15

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/hasr1402.htm

Cases of HIV infection and AIDS in the United States, 2002 (HIV/AIDS
Surveillance Report, Vol.14

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/hasr1302.htm

U.S. HIV and AIDS cases reported through December 2001 Year-end edition
Vol.13, No.2

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/hivsur92.pdf

U.S. HIV and AIDS cases reported through December 1997 Year-end edition Vol.
9, No. 2

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/stats/hivsur82.pdf

U.S. HIV and AIDS cases reported through December 1996 Year-end edition Vol.
8, No. 2

     Year
    AIDS DEATHS

     Pre 1981
                           31

     1981
    128

     1982
    463

     1983
                      1,508

     1984
                      3,505

     1985
                      6,972

     1986
                   12,110

     1987
                   16,412

     1988
                   21,119

     1989
                   27,631

     1990
                   31,071

     1991
                   36,066

     1992
                   41,270

     1993
                   45,850

     1994
                   50,842

     1995
                   51,670

     1996
                   38,296

     1997
                   22,245

     1998
                   19,005

     1999
                   18,491

     2000
                   17,741

     2001
                   18,524

     2002
                   17,557

     2003
                   18,017

Gary Stein
 
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